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Lyle Lanley II

2019 MLB Draft

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This year's draft starts on Monday.

 

Lodolo is projected to go early in the 1st round.  I've read a few items by Rangers bloggers that hope he'll fall to Texas at #8, but expressing doubt he will.  I believe The Athletic's mock draft had him going #7 to the Reds.

 

Josh Watson (a 35th round pick last year) and Rizer (undrafted last year) have probably boosted their stock with solid senior seasons.  Janczak will be an interesting case - he was a 32nd round pick last year.  Overall, you'd think his senior season would drop his stock - but if he can bring more magic in the NCAA Tournament like he showed in OKC, that might not be the case.

 

We have a lot of draft-eligible juniors besides Lodolo that we'll need to keep an eye on during the process - Jake Guenther, Chuck King, Brandon Williamson, Jake Eissler, Haylen Green, Hunter Wolfe, Austin Henry, Zach Humphreys, Conner Shepherd, Alex Isola, Andrew Keefer, Cal Coughlin.  I doubt they'll all be drafted, and we've faired pretty well with drafted juniors returning in recent years.  Wymer signed with Toronto after being picked in the 4th round a year ago.  Having a solid senior class next year could be big.

 

As for the newcomers, I believe Quinn Priester is the main one we need to fear going pro.  Last year, you'll recall, we lost Cole Winn (Rangers, 1st round), Alek Thomas (White Sox, 2nd round), Adam Kloffenstein (Blue Jays, 3rd round) and Mateo Gil (Cardinals, 3rd round) to the draft.

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As a life long Reds fan I’m very much hoping for Lodolo to be there at 7 and the Reds to take him. They need lefties 

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Quinn Priester is the 2019 Gatorade Illinois High School player of the year...

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Lodolo goes #7 to the Reds

 

Frogs handed L's to several top picks, including:

-Andrew Vaughn, Cal (#3 to the White Sox)

-JJ Bleday, Vanderbilt (#4 to the Padres)

-Josh Jung, Tech (#8 to the Rangers)

-Shea Langoliers, Baylor (#9 to the Braves)

-Alek Manoah, West Virginia (#11 to the Blue Jays)

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On 5/29/2019 at 6:32 PM, Rothbardian said:

Quinn Priester is the 2019 Gatorade Illinois High School player of the year...

 

...now to see if he slides...

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4 Texas college players, 1 Texas junior college player  and 2 Texas high school players in the first round.

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Brandon WIlliamson selected by the Mariners in the 2nd round, #59 overall.  $1.19 million slot money.

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10 minutes ago, Senor Ballistico said:

What kind of money did Lodolo get?

 

The projection for his slot was $5.43 million

 

When you recall that he turned down $1.57 million when he was drafted by the Pirates at #41 overall in 2016, each of his three seasons at TCU were worth $1.29 million.

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I mixed up my numbers earlier.  Lodolo had actually turned down $1.75 million from the Pirates in 2016, not $1.57 million.

 

So each of his seasons at TCU were "only" worth $1.23 million apiece.

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Through the end of the 4th round, no more Frogs or Frog commits off the board.

 

The main HS guys to keep an eye on are Riley Cornelio (RHP from Colorado), Kurtis Byrne (C from St. Louis) and Jacob Meador (RHP from Burleson).  Cornelio was ranked 86th in the final pre-draft rankings.  Being picked 86th would've brought with it $700k in slot bonus money.  As of the current pick (#140, early 5th round), slot money is now under $400k.

 

Obviously we'd like to hold on to many of our current juniors, too.  Another year of Guenther, in particular, would be great.

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Into the sixth round and no one else of interest taken.  If all we lose out of this recruiting class is Priester, it will be one elluva class.

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Johnny Rizer is off the board, going with the 1st pick of the 7th round (#198 overall).  $235k estimated slot money, although sometimes seniors get less than slot.  

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1 hour ago, Lyle Lanley II said:

Johnny Rizer is off the board, going with the 1st pick of the 7th round (#198 overall).  $235k estimated slot money, although sometimes seniors get less than slot.  

 

Hey that’s not bad. The MLB is littered with guys taken in the 7th round. 

 

Better than going and getting a real job at 22. 

 

What is a minor leaguers salary?

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1 hour ago, Captain Obvious said:

Average salary in A ball is 1300-1600 a month.

 

Okay. So do the math. 7th round pick get say $225k sign on bonus. Say he plays in the minors for 4 years having never made the show. He’s now 26. He’s made approximately another $150,000 in total salary over those 4 years (assuming he works up to maybe AA or AAA). So now he’s at $375k in career earnings at 26 years old and he bet on himself and could potentially earn a lot more if called up? Not bad. He just averaged $93k/ year in his first 4 years of working. That’s Investment Banker analyst money. 

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12 hours ago, DirtyThirdFrog said:

 

Okay. So do the math. 7th round pick get say $225k sign on bonus. Say he plays in the minors for 4 years having never made the show. He’s now 26. He’s made approximately another $150,000 in total salary over those 4 years (assuming he works up to maybe AA or AAA). So now he’s at $375k in career earnings at 26 years old and he bet on himself and could potentially earn a lot more if called up? Not bad. He just averaged $93k/ year in his first 4 years of working. That’s Investment Banker analyst money. 

 

 

That's 1300-1600 a month during the season.  So 6500 to 8000 for the year.  Plus the signing bonus, unless paid over time, will be taxed at a higher rate.  Plus agent fees.

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They're back at it today.  As of Pick #390 overall in the 13th round, no more Frogs or Frog commits have come off the board since Guenther.

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2 hours ago, Captain Obvious said:

 

 

That's 1300-1600 a month during the season.  So 6500 to 8000 for the year.  Plus the signing bonus, unless paid over time, will be taxed at a higher rate.  Plus agent fees.

 

Still better than the first 4 years of an average student's career.

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Catcher recruit Raphael Pelletier from Canada to the Rangers in the 25th round.

 

At this point I'd say we probably will keep all our recruits except Quinn Priester (1st round, Pirates). And probably will keep our juniors except for Williamson and Guenther. Going to make for a lot of competition this fall for roster spots, probably some guys will get pushed out and transfer. Let the cream rise to the top.

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