I think we win... but I am not sure by how much. - Tech is worse in every aspect of the game than LSU and we played LSU to the last quarter and had a legit shot at winning if a few cards fall our way. In particular, the performance of our secondary (especially the corners) and run defense are bright spots that should be even brighter against Tech. - Tech/SMU was a contest until the 4th quarter. Tech struggled to contain Gilbert, who is less mobile than Boykin. SMU also had some success with RBs and ours are just better. More, SMU's passing stats don't show the many drops their receivers had that could have extended drives - point being that the receivers were open. Boykin has impressed me with his improvement as a passer and I hope to see it highlighted tonight. - Tech's defense is all around bad. 490 yards to SMU and 364 to SFA. They are reasonably good in the red zone, but I think our running attack and Boykin scrambling can make the plays needed for TDs. - On offense, Tech has played well no doubt. But they haven't played a defense with a pulse. I think that they will rely heavily on Amaro because Ward will be covered up by Verrett. Tech's run game is very weak, with just 48 yards against SMU (granted, over 250 against SFA), and run defense is one of our strongest suits. This will make them one-dimensional as the game goes on, especially if we get an early lead. Keys to the game: - Pass rush. Mayfield is good, no mistake. But he is also a freshman who had never played a defense as fast and strong as ours. If we can put pressure on him, he's going to start making mistakes. If we sack him a few times, he will start to run scared. OTOH, if we give him all day to pass he will find an open receiver and it'll be a long night. I want to see some blitzes, especially at the start of the game to rattle Mayfield. Break his rhythm and he will make bad decisions. - Contain Amaro. Amaro's value has been overstated by Tech fans, but we have to prevent him from functioning as a safety valve for Mayfield. You don't want him to have any throws he feels comfortable with, or he will make us pay. - Control TOP. Tech can score very fast, so it is key to keep their defense on the field. Run the option all night and set up some deep balls. Get all three RBs involved from Play 1. Tech had a lot of trouble against Gilbert running, so let's capitalize. - Dominate the line of scrimmage. This is one of few games where we probably have an advantage on both sides of the ball on the line. If we can push them back then just run up the gut and make their linebackers cheat. Collapse the pocket on every play. - X factor. I suspect Tech will throw some trick plays at us. WATCH THE FAKE PUNT - Finally, special teams. It seems we may have finally found a return man worthy of Jeremy Kerley's legacy. Tech has been pretty good in coverage and also has some shifty (though unproven) return guys. So, everybody needs to do their jobs and I think Catalon might make a big play happen. Oberbomb should just kick it out of the endzone.