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Showing content with the highest reputation on 04/01/2020 in all areas

  1. 2 points
    1) People will not uniformly implement the measures you propose. 2) A major part of the reason why NYC has gotten as bad as it has is because they took them too long to shut stuff down. 3) S. Korea and China are now able to start turning on parts of their economy because they took such drastic measures to shut down early AND implement far more comprehensive testing. 4) As long as testing in places like Texas is insufficient, there is no basis for determining what parts of the economy can be kept on. The lack of testing is the main reason why we can't be more selective about what part of the economy can be safely turned back on. 5) Assuming your numbers are right: 61,000/44.8M = 0.13% mortality rate and 44.8M/327M = 13.7% infection rate. Range of estimates now is that COVID-19 's mortality rate is 0.66% to 1.5% (5-15 x worse than seasonal flu) and I've seen estimates of the infection rate for a disease for which we have little to no innate immunity nor a vaccine for (and assuming no mitigating efforts undertaken) from 50-75%. That puts the potential fatality numbers in the 250,000 ballpark for the US, which is in the ballpark of what the White House (who has had to be drug kicking and screaming into fact-based reality throughout this and all other matters) yesterday warned the US should expect. 6) And the issue isn't so much the total number of fatalities as the rate at which hospitals are having to deal with those and the potentially millions of other hospitalizations all in the time span of a few weeks. 7) A total breakdown of the national medical infrastructure over the course of months is going to cost a shittonne, financially and sociologically. Backing off now greatly increases the likelihood that Dallas or Houston becomes the next NYC. The inability of the federal government (and some state governments) to respond to the events in China appropriately is why the US "curve" is now appreciably worse than all the other hot-spots (Italy, Iran, China, etc.) we've been seeing in the news. And NYC hasn't gotten nearly as bad as it is going to get.
  2. 1 point
    I think for retail, measures similar to those in place for hardware and grocery stores, although I would require places to offer purrell every couple of aisles I think we could implement a reasonable dine-in plan as well, similar to Betsy Price's original one. Max Capacity, minimum spacing. The technology already exists to allow people to order on their phones, to minimize interaction with the wait staff, you could even take the wait staff out of the equation all together and have a pickup counter. Tables wiped down with disinfectant after each use, etc. But I just cannot support shutting down the economy in the name of saving a hypothetical number of lives, or in some cases, just to spread out when those lives are taken. We lose ~37,000 people annually due to car crashes. Can we justify shutting down the economy to save those lives? What about the tens of thousands each year that get the flu? There has to be some middle ground.
  3. 1 point
    Jokes? This may come as a surprise to those of you not living in Las Vegas. But there are more Catholic churches than casinos. Not surprisingly, some worshipers at Sunday services will drop in casino chips rather than cash when the offering plate is passed. Since they get chips from many different casinos, the churches have devised a method to collect the offerings. The churches send all their collected chips to a nearby Franciscan monastery for sorting and then the chips are taken to the casinos of origin and cashed in and then distributed. This is done by the chip monks. 🙂 I apologize.
  4. 1 point
    Big 12 Future Win Total Projections Baylor 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 10 3 Key Games: 1) Oklahoma State, Nov. 7, 2) Kansas State, Nov. 28, 3) at West Virginia, Nov. 21 – Schedule Analysis Iowa State 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7 3 Key Games: 1) at Iowa, Sept. 12, 2) Baylor, Nov. 14, 3) at TCU, Nov. 7 – Schedule Analysis Kansas 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 4 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 3.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 3 3 Key Games: 1) Boston College, Sept. 19, 2) TCU, Nov. 28, 3) at Kansas State, Oct. 10 – Schedule Analysis Kansas State 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 8.5 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8 3 Key Games: 1) at Baylor, Nov. 28, 2) at TCU, Oct. 17, 3) at Iowa State, Oct. 29 – Schedule Analysis Oklahoma 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 10.5 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 10.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 11 3 Key Games: 1) Tennessee, Sept. 12, 2) Texas, Oct. 10, 3) at West Virginia, Nov. 7 – Schedule Analysis Related Big Ten Football Schedule 2020: 5 Things You Need To Know Oklahoma State 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 8 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8 3 Key Games: 1) at TCU, Oct. 3, 2) at Kansas State, Nov. 21, 3) at Baylor, Nov. 7 – Schedule Analysis TCU 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7.5 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5 3 Key Games: 1) Oklahoma State, Oct. 3, 2) Iowa State, Nov. 7, 3) at Baylor, Oct. 24 – Schedule Analysis Texas 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 8.5 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 9.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7 3 Key Games: 1) at Kansas State, Oct. 3, 2) at Oklahoma State, Nov. 28, 3) at Texas Tech, Oct. 24 – Schedule Analysis Texas Tech 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 4 3 Key Games: 1) Baylor, Oct. 15, 2) West Virginia, Oct. 3, 3) at TCU, Nov. 21 – Schedule Analysis West Virginia 2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7 2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5 2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5 3 Key Games: 1) at Texas Tech, Oct. 3, 2) at Iowa State, Nov. 28, 3) Kansas State, Sept. 26 – Schedule Analysis https://collegefootballnews.com/2020/03/college-football-future-win-total-projections-for-all-130-teams-spring-version/4
  5. 1 point
    Round of 32, Patterson Region ... picks are getting tough ... https://www.frogsowar.com/2020/4/1/21202921/best-moments-bracket-patterson-region-round-of-32
  6. 1 point
  7. 1 point
    It's almost as if the media doesn't realize that the NYC area has 1/2 of the cases in the entire country. They added more than twice as many cases yesterday than the entire state of Texas has since this began. EDIT: I just ran the math and DFW has a whopping 0.017% of its population (1345 cases out of ~7.7 million people) that have tested positive for the virus. At its current growth rate, we'll be up to 0.054% in 12 days. Glad we are putting millions of people out of work for this. It is extremely frustrating that the argument has been framed that there are two options: (a) either shut it all down and tank the economy or (b) do nothing because we are monsters and want to kill millions of people. There is absolutely no reason that retail stores cannot stay open, so long as they implement protective measures such as maximum occupancy, offering hand sanitizer, gloves, etc., requiring people to wear masks, requiring social distancing (such as no cash transactions, etc.). Similarly, those who are higher risk should be encouraged to shelter in place. But for heaven's sake, the CDC estimates that 60 million Americans had Swine Flu in '09/'10, with 12,000, and we didn't change a single thing. In '17/'18 the CDC estimates that 44.8 million Americans had the Flu and that 61,000 died, yet again, no one changed a thing. But now we are just telling millions of businesses that they cannot operate, and forcing millions of people to rely solely on the government to survive. It's ludicrous.
  8. 1 point
  9. 1 point
    It's looking more and more like we might lose all or most of this whole sailing season. Immune system be damned...I need a drink.
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