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Week 6 DUSHEE Rankings

Duquesne Frog

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The Frogs move back up to 9th in this week's rankings. Some of you may wonder, "What are you smoking, DUSHEE? We blow out Texas and drop 7 spots and then eek past Kansas State and go back up?" A look at the numbers reveals that a number of factors are at play.

First, teams that were above the Frogs dropped, namely Oklahoma and USC. Oklahoma's loss to Texas dropped their DUSHEE score 14 points, meaning they are evaluated to be two touchdowns worse this week than they were evaluated to be last week.

Second, DUSHEE views Kansas State right now as a solid top 30-ish team where Texas, even after the OU win, is ranked 77th (up from 86th). So a close win against Kansas State is worth more than a similar win against Texas would be.

Finally, as we discussed last week, what TCU's prior opponents did this week had a significant impact on their rankings. Minnesota beat a bad Purdue team badly, Tech beat a bad Iowa State team badly, and (of course) we got a big boost from Texas beating Oklahoma.

Here is what TCU's game-by-game DUSHEE score looks like this week compared to last week:

After week 6:

Opp: Minn SMU Ttech | Tex KSU

PD: 8.00 3.00 19.75 | 39.40 17.33

YD: 186.00 101.75 282.75 | 197.00 143.67

Score:: 14.81 7.18 27.57 | 36.30 18.87

After week 5:

Opp: Minn SMU Ttech | Tex

PD: 1.50 4.67 13.67 | 36.75

YD: 169.25 84.33 235.67 | 151.50

Score: 9.63 7.41 21.13 | 32.22

So after this weekend's games, the Minnesota win looks 5 points better, the Tech win looks 6 points better, the Texas win looks 4 points better, and the SMU win dropped a fraction of a point.

Cumulatively, this had the effect of raising TCU's DUSHEE score from 17.73 to 20.95.

Those of you questioning DUSHEE's sobriety probably question the positioning of 2-loss West Virginia and Texas Tech in the top 6. We'll hold off on further analysis on these two teams until later in the season, but qualitatively, DUSHEE really, really loves the top of the Big XII-II to the point that close losses among the top 6-7 teams in the conference do not negatively impact their DUSHEE ranking ... they act as further confirmation that those teams are really good. As long as those teams continue to play each other competitively and don't lose to teams like Kansas or Iowa State, they will continue to rank highly.

The Top 3/Bottom 3 DUSHEE performances

Top 3:

89.3 Mississippi (52-665) vs. New Mexico State (3-239)

49.3 Michigan (38-380) vs. Northwestern (0-168)

42.8 Duke (44-458) vs. Army (3-168)

Bottom 3:

-62.5 Hawaii (14-251) vs. San Diego State (28-402)

-51.7 Oregon State (7-249) vs. Arizona (44-644)

-49.8 UTEP (12-267) vs. FIU (52-518)

Conference Rankings

B12 12.39

SEC 11.88

ACC 8.23

P12 6.28

B1G 5.53

AAC -2.20

MAC -6.25

MWC -12.15

CUSA -14.04

SBC -22.22

Next Week's Opponent

Iowa State (DUSHEE Ranking #81)

Opp: Iowa Tol Kan | Ttech

PD: 1.50 12.75 -9.67 | -27.75

YD: -107.00 298.75 -67.33 | -247.25

Score: -4.45 23.72 -9.87 | -31.10

Despite losing to Toledo in overtime, DUSHEE views the Cyclones' performance in that game favorably, primarily because ISU outgained the Rockets by 170 yards. Kansas is so bad that beating the Jayhawks by 25 is viewed as a significantly worse performance than the OT loss to Toledo.

DUSHEE installs TCU as a 22.5 point favorite over Iowa State, giving the Cyclones 4 points for home field.

Full Rankings

1 Baylor 38.29 304.38 41.03

2 Alabama 27.23 253.50 31.07

3 Clemson 28.64 213.95 29.99

4 Mississippi 26.26 236.77 29.57

5 West Virginia 24.27 222.52 27.52

6 Texas Tech 22.67 213.89 26.01

7 Michigan 23.23 179.73 24.64

8 Notre Dame 19.51 190.36 22.70

9 TCU 17.50 182.23 20.95

10 Oklahoma 20.60 135.71 20.64

________________________________________

11 Florida 22.97 100.92 20.46

12 USC 23.18 92.42 20.16

13 Texas A&M 21.29 117.05 20.16

14 Boise St. 18.06 153.70 19.87

15 Washington 22.85 69.81 18.79

16 Stanford 18.15 129.33 18.69

17 Utah 23.26 39.38 17.51

18 Iowa 16.17 112.60 16.51

19 Navy 17.59 93.55 16.49

20 Tennessee 17.39 95.24 16.44

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21 Oklahoma St. 17.54 90.55 16.31

22 LSU 15.46 115.08 16.17

23 Northwestern 14.03 130.78 16.02

24 BYU 15.26 113.68 15.96

25 Florida St. 13.10 130.15 15.36

26 Arkansas 9.95 135.48 13.53

27 Louisville 13.44 78.50 12.96

28 Wisconsin 11.61 101.73 12.92

29 Ohio St. 12.74 85.39 12.84

30 Houston 11.83 84.60 12.20

___________________________________________

31 Boston Coll. 4.50 176.81 12.01

32 West. Kentucky 13.46 59.46 12.00

33 Louisiana Tech 9.65 108.90 11.98

34 Kansas St. 15.08 33.43 11.75

35 Penn St. 14.25 40.86 11.58

36 Duke 10.98 83.02 11.55

37 California 11.72 66.18 11.18

38 Appalachian State 9.58 89.29 10.94

39 Arizona St. 10.95 63.90 10.56

40 UCLA 9.63 61.16 9.53

____________________________________________

41 Vanderbilt 6.11 105.23 9.44

42 North Carolina 13.48 4.93 9.24

43 Memphis 4.78 115.27 9.06

44 Georgia 8.90 61.27 9.06

45 Mississippi St. 12.02 17.67 8.91

46 Miami (FL) 8.35 65.48 8.90

47 Georgia Tech 10.01 38.75 8.65

48 Pittsburgh 6.73 72.85 8.20

49 Indiana 10.06 27.37 8.10

50 Virginia Tech 9.58 31.79 8.00

_______________________________________________

51 Temple 13.93 -27.17 7.90

52 Toledo 8.22 37.44 7.39

53 Nebraska 7.87 33.15 6.94

54 N.C. State 5.03 59.98 6.41

55 Bowling Green 0.94 93.89 5.41

56 Cincinnati 2.52 65.58 5.02

57 Washington St. 1.98 57.83 4.27

58 Massachusetts 2.68 46.60 4.16

59 Air Force -0.28 84.36 4.11

60 Illinois 5.08 5.32 3.66

________________________________________________

61 Arizona 0.45 53.93 3.04

62 Middle Tenn. St. 1.62 31.93 2.70

63 East Carolina 2.19 16.33 2.29

64 Kentucky 4.34 -18.73 1.94

65 Michigan St. 3.46 -7.92 1.90

66 Minnesota -1.76 41.04 0.91

67 Oregon -0.52 3.57 -0.16

68 Utah St. 3.42 -50.40 -0.29

69 Akron 0.50 -15.54 -0.46

70 Tulsa -0.57 -3.98 -0.58

_________________________________________________

71 Auburn 2.52 -46.56 -0.69

72 Virginia -4.60 40.12 -1.02

73 Buffalo -0.34 -20.93 -1.29

74 Northern Illinois -2.27 0.53 -1.48

75 Ohio 3.07 -76.73 -1.86

76 Missouri -1.96 -25.45 -2.61

77 Texas -1.92 -40.91 -3.36

78 Wake Forest -5.13 -13.92 -4.13

79 Cent. Michigan -4.98 -17.73 -4.23

80 Connecticut -2.48 -69.71 -5.20

__________________________________________________

81 Iowa St. -5.79 -30.71 -5.43

82 South Florida -4.44 -52.69 -5.64

83 SMU -8.07 -24.67 -6.63

84 South Carolina -4.57 -80.53 -7.15

85 Army -5.55 -73.80 -7.46

86 Marshall 2.56 -188.29 -7.88

87 Georgia Southern -9.08 -36.17 -7.90

88 W. Michigan -10.35 -46.11 -9.25

89 Oregon St. -9.89 -54.70 -9.38

90 Maryland -8.99 -68.95 -9.50

________________________________________________

91 Nevada -7.07 -96.58 -9.63

92 Ball St. -7.70 -95.75 -10.01

93 UNLV -8.63 -85.07 -10.09

94 Colorado St. -11.55 -50.39 -10.27

95 Southern Miss -10.50 -67.81 -10.45

96 Syracuse -5.19 -145.69 -10.88

97 Florida Intl. -8.85 -99.40 -10.96

98 Wyoming -18.87 -2.68 -12.71

99 Rutgers -9.02 -135.85 -12.93

100 LA Lafayette -17.69 -67.13 -15.21

_________________________________________________

101 Rice -18.46 -64.97 -15.61

103 Purdue -14.53 -126.85 -16.15

104 UT-San Antonio -18.29 -83.17 -16.43

105 Florida Atlantic -20.08 -76.05 -17.26

106 Arkansas St. -18.71 -94.73 -17.30

107 Troy -21.35 -95.35 -19.09

108 San Diego St. -20.52 -112.20 -19.40

109 San Jose St. -21.37 -121.55 -20.44

110 South Alabama -25.03 -74.53 -20.48

_________________________________________________

111 LA Monroe -20.25 -147.71 -21.02

112 Kent St. -20.76 -141.49 -21.05

113 Old Dominion -18.68 -209.52 -23.13

114 New Mexico -20.30 -190.10 -23.22

115 East. Michigan -22.96 -158.47 -23.38

116 Miami (OH) -27.46 -135.46 -25.20

117 Texas St. -28.40 -172.50 -27.72

118 Colorado -29.30 -182.85 -28.85

119 Georgia State -31.58 -158.75 -29.14

120 UCF -25.70 -236.70 -29.19

___________________________________________________

121 Idaho -26.81 -233.31 -29.76

122 UNC-Charlotte -33.10 -158.50 -30.14

123 Hawaii -28.57 -227.24 -30.62

124 Kansas -28.75 -242.92 -31.54

125 Tulane -28.00 -263.88 -32.11

126 Fresno St. -30.45 -250.53 -33.06

127 New Mexico St. -32.16 -258.96 -34.63

128 UTEP -39.42 -240.95 -38.55

129 North Texas -41.81 -213.50 -38.75

Rankings by Conference

AAC

19 Navy 17.59 93.55 16.49

30 Houston 11.83 84.60 12.20

43 Memphis 4.78 115.27 9.06

51 Temple 13.93 -27.17 7.90

56 Cincinnati 2.52 65.58 5.02

63 East Carolina 2.19 16.33 2.29

70 Tulsa -0.57 -3.98 -0.58

80 Connecticut -2.48 -69.71 -5.20

82 South Florida -4.44 -52.69 -5.64

83 SMU -8.07 -24.67 -6.63

120 UCF -25.70 -236.70 -29.19

125 Tulane -28.00 -263.88 -32.11

ACC

3 Clemson 28.64 213.95 29.99

25 Florida St. 13.10 130.15 15.36

27 Louisville 13.44 78.50 12.96

31 Boston Coll. 4.50 176.81 12.01

36 Duke 10.98 83.02 11.55

42 North Carolina 13.48 4.93 9.24

46 Miami (FL) 8.35 65.48 8.90

47 Georgia Tech 10.01 38.75 8.65

48 Pittsburgh 6.73 72.85 8.20

50 Virginia Tech 9.58 31.79 8.00

54 N.C. State 5.03 59.98 6.41

72 Virginia -4.60 40.12 -1.02

78 Wake Forest -5.13 -13.92 -4.13

96 Syracuse -5.19 -145.69 -10.88

B1G

7 Michigan 23.23 179.73 24.64

18 Iowa 16.17 112.60 16.51

23 Northwestern 14.03 130.78 16.02

28 Wisconsin 11.61 101.73 12.92

29 Ohio St. 12.74 85.39 12.84

35 Penn St. 14.25 40.86 11.58

49 Indiana 10.06 27.37 8.10

53 Nebraska 7.87 33.15 6.94

60 Illinois 5.08 5.32 3.66

65 Michigan St. 3.46 -7.92 1.90

66 Minnesota -1.76 41.04 0.91

90 Maryland -8.99 -68.95 -9.50

99 Rutgers -9.02 -135.85 -12.93

103 Purdue -14.53 -126.85 -16.15

BXII-II

1 Baylor 38.29 304.38 41.03

5 West Virginia 24.27 222.52 27.52

6 Texas Tech 22.67 213.89 26.01

9 TCU 17.50 182.23 20.95

10 Oklahoma 20.60 135.71 20.64

21 Oklahoma St. 17.54 90.55 16.31

34 Kansas St. 15.08 33.43 11.75

77 Texas -1.92 -40.91 -3.36

81 Iowa St. -5.79 -30.71 -5.43

124 Kansas -28.75 -242.92 -31.54

CUSA

32 West. Kentucky 13.46 59.46 12.00

33 Louisiana Tech 9.65 108.90 11.98

62 Middle Tenn. St. 1.62 31.93 2.70

86 Marshall 2.56 -188.29 -7.88

95 Southern Miss -10.50 -67.81 -10.45

97 Florida Intl. -8.85 -99.40 -10.96

101 Rice -18.46 -64.97 -15.61

104 UT-San Antonio -18.29 -83.17 -16.43

105 Florida Atlantic -20.08 -76.05 -17.26

113 Old Dominion -18.68 -209.52 -23.13

122 UNC-Charlotte -33.10 -158.50 -30.14

128 UTEP -39.42 -240.95 -38.55

129 North Texas -41.81 -213.50 -38.75

Indies

8 Notre Dame 19.51 190.36 22.70

24 BYU 15.26 113.68 15.96

85 Army -5.55 -73.80 -7.46

MAC

52 Toledo 8.22 37.44 7.39

55 Bowling Green 0.94 93.89 5.41

58 Massachusetts 2.68 46.60 4.16

69 Akron 0.50 -15.54 -0.46

73 Buffalo -0.34 -20.93 -1.29

74 Northern Illinois -2.27 0.53 -1.48

75 Ohio 3.07 -76.73 -1.86

79 Cent. Michigan -4.98 -17.73 -4.23

88 W. Michigan -10.35 -46.11 -9.25

92 Ball St. -7.70 -95.75 -10.01

112 Kent St. -20.76 -141.49 -21.05

115 East. Michigan -22.96 -158.47 -23.38

116 Miami (OH) -27.46 -135.46 -25.20

MWC

14 Boise St. 18.06 153.70 19.87

59 Air Force -0.28 84.36 4.11

68 Utah St. 3.42 -50.40 -0.29

91 Nevada -7.07 -96.58 -9.63

93 UNLV -8.63 -85.07 -10.09

94 Colorado St. -11.55 -50.39 -10.27

98 Wyoming -18.87 -2.68 -12.71

108 San Diego St. -20.52 -112.20 -19.40

109 San Jose St. -21.37 -121.55 -20.44

114 New Mexico -20.30 -190.10 -23.22

123 Hawaii -28.57 -227.24 -30.62

126 Fresno St. -30.45 -250.53 -33.06

P12

12 USC 23.18 92.42 20.16

15 Washington 22.85 69.81 18.79

16 Stanford 18.15 129.33 18.69

17 Utah 23.26 39.38 17.51

37 California 11.72 66.18 11.18

39 Arizona St. 10.95 63.90 10.56

40 UCLA 9.63 61.16 9.53

57 Washington St. 1.98 57.83 4.27

61 Arizona 0.45 53.93 3.04

67 Oregon -0.52 3.57 -0.16

89 Oregon St. -9.89 -54.70 -9.38

118 Colorado -29.30 -182.85 -28.85

SBC

38 Appalachian State 9.58 89.29 10.94

87 Georgia Southern -9.08 -36.17 -7.90

100 LA Lafayette -17.69 -67.13 -15.21

106 Arkansas St. -18.71 -94.73 -17.30

107 Troy -21.35 -95.35 -19.09

110 South Alabama -25.03 -74.53 -20.48

111 LA Monroe -20.25 -147.71 -21.02

117 Texas St. -28.40 -172.50 -27.72

119 Georgia State -31.58 -158.75 -29.14

121 Idaho -26.81 -233.31 -29.76

127 New Mexico St. -32.16 -258.96 -34.63

SEC

2 Alabama 27.23 253.50 31.07

4 Mississippi 26.26 236.77 29.57

11 Florida 22.97 100.92 20.46

13 Texas A&M 21.29 117.05 20.16

20 Tennessee 17.39 95.24 16.44

22 LSU 15.46 115.08 16.17

26 Arkansas 9.95 135.48 13.53

41 Vanderbilt 6.11 105.23 9.44

44 Georgia 8.90 61.27 9.06

45 Mississippi St. 12.02 17.67 8.91

64 Kentucky 4.34 -18.73 1.94

71 Auburn 2.52 -46.56 -0.69

76 Missouri -1.96 -25.45 -2.61

84 South Carolina -4.57 -80.53 -7.15



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