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Week 12 DUSHEE (2018)

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Duquesne Frog

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A lot of movement in this week's rankings.  Alabama now has a 3-point lead on Clemson.  Oklahoma has fallen out of the top 4 as Georgia has moved into the 4-slot.  Notre Dame has slowly crept up into 7th, and would still be a home underdog to any other teams in the top-4, but are now in a position where another school (Georgia or Oklahoma) isn't totally getting screwed when they get in the CFP.  UCF has also climbed into the top 10, just ahead of Fresno as the top ranked Have Not ... last week's gnashing of teeth about Utah State has been corrected as the Aggies' so-so performance against a bad Colorado State team (they won, but only by 5 and got badly outgained) drops them 14 spots (biggest ranking drop of the week) to 20th.  The biggest climber of the week was Auburn, who jumped 16 spots and over 5 points into 30th after manhandling a bad, but not terrible, Liberty team, who had the corresponding largest fall in points at just over 6.  For the first time this season, the Frogs moved up in the rankings (two spots to 70th) although they still dropped in points (-0.55).

 

Frogs Week-to-Week

Opp:      @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex  |    ISU      Ttech           OU    |   @ Kan      KSU     @ WVU   |   @ Bay

PD:           23.22         5.50        -9.40  |    8.33      -2.33         -6.80  |      -8.22      -2.67      -24.00  |      -0.44

YD:           75.00     142.80      31.60  | 135.56     40.67   -117.80  |   136.00    -92.11    -240.13  |     11.78

Score:      19.08       10.52       -4.75  |   12.06        0.40     -10.19  |        1.04      -6.20      -27.52  |       0.27

 

Note that DUSHEE wasn't super impressed with the Frogs gutty performance against Baylor, although it was in the same realm of mediocre performances that have been the high bar for the Frogs since Week 7 (Tech).  It seems the performance of an average FBS team is about as good as we can expect out of this injury-plagued ragtag bunch of misfits.  It was enough to beat Baylor.

 

The Path to Cheez-Its: Oklahoma State

Opp:        USA      Boise      Ttech    |  @ Kan       ISU      @ KSU     |     Tex        @ Bay       @ OU    |   WVU

PD:        22.56      42.00     -25.67   |   15.11     -1.67       -24.89     |   10.40       -12.67       19.60   |   22.13

YD:      286.56    127.00   -249.33   | 137.11  -54.44     -203.22    |  136.10     137.33     101.10   | 169.38

Score:   28.79      34.09     -29.07   |    16.65    -3.72       -26.34    |     13.46        -1.85        17.92   |   22.88

 

In the last four weeks, Okie Lite has beaten Texas and West Virginia and basically played Oklahoma to a draw.  But also in the last four weeks, they lost to the same sadsack Baylor team we just beat.  They were inexplicably pounded by Kansas State and Tech, but they, in turn, pounded Boise in a performance that looks better each week.  Oklahoma State has been wildly inconsistent, the 5th most inconsistent team in FBS.

 

As many have pointed out, they've been far worse on the road (1.6 DUSHEE score) than at home (11.1), but the team that played in Norman two weeks ago whips anything TCU has been able to put on the field over the last 6 weeks by three scores.  Taking the whole season into account, the Frogs are 4.5-point dogs at home with a 43% chance of winning.

 

Conference Rankings

Despite all the talk about the mediocrity of the Big XII-II, the conference is still in a virtual tie with the B1G as the best conference that isn't the SEC.  On average, they are not nearly as mediocre as the ACC (which will have 51st ranked Pitt playing Clemson in the CCG) or the P12.  So don't be so down on the conference.  It's just the week-in-week-out slaughterhouse that we were told we'd never be able to compete in.

 

I've complained in the past about the over inflation of the SEC, and I still argue that the conference doesn't deserve it's branding as NFL Lite, but this year, it is leaps and bounds better than any other conference.  If there was a year they deserved to have two teams in the CFP, it may be this year.

 

And once again, I'd like to point out the ridiculousness of the American's "Power 6" ad campaign as the conference struggles to stay ahead of the Mountain West as the best Have Not conference.  And it has what is easily the worst team in FBS, the UConn Huskies.

 

SEC  10.76

B10    4.74

B12     4.62

P12     1.96

ACC    1.77

AAC   -2.33

MWC -2.80

MAC  -6.05

CUSA -6.14

SBC    -6.82

 

Performances of the Week

Top 3

53.19 Ohio vs. Buffalo (MOV 35, YM 364)

49.17 Auburn vs. Liberty (MOV 53, YM 397)

43.53 Notre Dame vs. Syracuse (neutral) (MOV 33, YM 229)

 

Bottom 3

-54.50 Liberty at Auburn (MOV -53, YM -397)

-48.81 UConn at ECU (MOV -34, YM -383)

-41.15 Illinois vs. Iowa (MOV -63, YM -180)

 

Overall Ratings

  Week 12    
Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Rk +/- Score +/-
1 Alabama  37.36 294.09 39.01 0 0.40
2 Clemson  34.83 266.96 36.03 0 -1.01
3 Michigan  24.95 222.44 27.30 0 -1.86
4 Georgia  24.33 156.17 23.71 1 1.56
5 Oklahoma  20.12 168.05 21.47 -1 -1.64
6 Mississippi St.  17.68 137.19 18.37 7 3.24
7 Notre Dame  18.24 124.65 18.14 4 2.79
8 Texas A&M  14.21 166.18 17.45 4 2.32
9 UCF  20.05 82.40 17.32 7 3.31
10 Fresno St.  17.70 93.47 16.28 0 0.42
11 Ohio St.  14.36 131.75 15.90 -2 -0.68
12 Washington St.  14.24 131.87 15.82 8 2.52
13 Missouri  15.93 106.32 15.72 1 1.41
14 LSU  16.17 97.18 15.44 1 1.35
15 Iowa  16.37 89.65 15.21 3 1.79
16 West Virginia  15.42 93.68 14.77 -9 -2.44
17 Penn St.  16.00 81.64 14.58 -9 -2.03
18 Appalachian State 14.39 94.84 14.14 3 0.90
19 Boise St.  13.99 99.86 14.12 -2 0.51
20 Utah St.  17.25 47.14 13.76 -14 -3.50
21 Utah  13.37 98.24 13.63 3 1.18
22 Ohio  11.86 95.07 12.47 12 4.32
23 Temple  12.42 86.75 12.44 0 -0.53
24 Cincinnati  10.70 87.99 11.35 1 -0.97
25 Army  12.21 65.49 11.28 -3 -1.81
26 UAB 7.24 109.84 10.10 -7 -3.32
27 N.C. State  10.06 65.27 9.84 1 -0.78
28 North Texas  8.32 81.48 9.45 -2 -2.79
29 Washington  9.17 62.39 9.11 2 -0.36
30 Auburn  10.87 37.24 9.03 16 5.04
31 Michigan St.  8.36 71.54 9.00 -4 -2.16
32 Wisconsin  7.89 75.67 8.89 3 0.83
33 Florida  9.24 50.60 8.59 4 1.34
34 Texas  9.40 43.06 8.33 4 1.14
35 Purdue  8.28 55.67 8.19 -2 -0.37
36 Miami (FL)  7.27 67.76 8.10 0 0.18
37 Oklahoma St.  6.69 58.76 7.28 6 1.91
38 Iowa St.  8.51 24.28 6.84 -8 -2.68
39 Stanford  8.80 15.15 6.59 0 0.41
40 Kentucky  7.87 18.92 6.15 2 0.73
41 Texas Tech  5.69 40.09 5.72 -12 -3.93
42 Georgia Tech  4.74 50.06 5.56 -1 -0.24
43 Florida Atlantic  2.56 71.21 5.13 5 1.35
44 Buffalo  4.96 33.90 4.94 -12 -3.66
45 BYU  3.59 35.13 4.08 4 0.50
46 Syracuse  5.51 7.69 4.04 -6 -1.79
47 Houston  5.36 8.38 3.98 12 2.09
48 Virginia  4.06 24.33 3.87 4 0.60
49 Maryland  4.10 19.94 3.69 6 0.99
50 South Carolina  4.82 9.26 3.66 0 0.22
51 Pittsburgh  4.90 7.73 3.64 0 0.27
52 Marshall  3.26 30.46 3.63 8 1.78
53 Arizona St.  4.12 18.50 3.63 -8 -0.98
54 Oregon  3.42 21.95 3.33 9 2.03
55 Northwestern  4.95 -0.51 3.28 -1 0.32
56 Boston Coll.  4.39 0.54 2.95 -12 -2.23
57 Mississippi  -0.88 70.69 2.81 -1 0.26
58 Air Force  1.32 34.87 2.55 -11 -1.27
59 Duke  4.77 -14.51 2.48 -1 0.57
60 Memphis  2.20 19.70 2.41 1 0.67
61 Nebraska  -0.84 52.41 1.96 -8 -1.14
62 East. Michigan  1.34 11.26 1.43 -5 -0.56
63 Vanderbilt  4.48 -37.64 1.18 1 -0.10
64 Arkansas St.  -0.85 35.54 1.14 10 1.71
65 San Diego St.  -0.08 14.26 0.63 8 0.80
66 Southern Miss  -2.98 53.92 0.60 0 -0.35
67 Miami (OH)  0.82 -0.50 0.52 -2 -0.48
68 Arizona  -4.04 54.31 -0.09 -6 -1.39
69 Georgia Southern 3.98 -64.37 -0.44 9 1.91
70 TCU  -1.68 12.34 -0.53 2 -0.55
71 Troy  0.26 -15.62 -0.57 -4 -1.34
72 Minnesota  -0.68 -6.42 -0.76 -3 -1.37
73 Nevada  -1.97 8.45 -0.91 3 0.52
74 Toledo  1.56 -42.23 -0.98 1 0.04
75 Northern Illinois  0.47 -28.22 -1.04 8 2.16
76 USC  -1.41 -7.36 -1.29 -6 -1.83
77 Tennessee  -1.63 -12.10 -1.66 -9 -2.32
78 Middle Tenn. St.  0.12 -37.70 -1.73 1 0.69
79 Wyoming  -2.42 -10.58 -2.12 7 1.50
80 California  -2.58 -9.45 -2.17 0 0.55
81 Tulane  -2.68 -12.46 -2.38 -10 -2.51
82 Indiana  -3.36 -4.29 -2.44 5 1.70
83 Colorado  -4.02 -5.70 -2.95 -6 -1.27
84 UCLA  -3.71 -11.08 -3.01 -3 -0.06
85 Florida Intl.  -1.52 -60.59 -3.92 0 -0.35
86 East Carolina  -8.82 38.91 -4.01 4 1.65
87 Kansas St.  -1.57 -63.07 -4.07 7 3.05
88 W. Michigan  -8.23 27.18 -4.18 0 1.01
89 Louisiana Tech  -4.94 -25.06 -4.49 0 0.93
90 Baylor  -6.39 -6.25 -4.56 -6 -1.32
91 LA Lafayette  -4.73 -30.40 -4.61 -9 -1.49
92 Florida St.  -7.37 -14.23 -5.59 1 1.21
93 South Florida  -7.24 -33.49 -6.44 -2 -0.22
94 UNC-Charlotte -9.53 -1.93 -6.45 2 0.84
95 SMU  -5.87 -72.74 -7.40 2 0.43
96 North Carolina  -10.64 -31.74 -8.62 3 -0.04
97 Virginia Tech  -9.31 -53.56 -8.77 3 -0.07
98 Arkansas  -10.53 -36.72 -8.78 -3 -1.50
99 Kansas  -7.55 -83.07 -9.02 5 1.69
100 Wake Forest  -8.59 -68.91 -9.03 -8 -2.42
101 Navy  -8.30 -86.33 -9.67 4 1.09
102 LA Monroe  -11.55 -42.28 -9.73 -1 0.05
103 Ball St.  -9.35 -74.92 -9.83 0 0.61
104 Hawaii  -9.27 -78.07 -9.93 2 1.23
105 Coastal Carolina -11.73 -99.00 -12.57 -3 -2.57
106 Tulsa  -12.08 -96.98 -12.71 1 -1.48
107 Old Dominion -14.22 -84.80 -13.55 1 0.47
108 Liberty -13.15 -113.77 -14.23 -10 -6.05
109 Colorado St.  -17.24 -61.70 -14.46 11 4.84
110 West. Kentucky  -15.23 -99.75 -14.94 6 2.65
111 Georgia State -15.35 -107.25 -15.38 1 1.16
112 UNLV  -15.26 -112.28 -15.56 -2 -0.96
113 New Mexico  -12.49 -153.11 -15.67 -4 -1.26
114 Cent. Michigan  -17.21 -116.53 -17.07 0 0.01
115 Massachusetts -17.68 -116.00 -17.35 -2 -0.41
116 Akron  -14.66 -177.39 -18.28 -5 -3.18
117 Bowling Green  -20.14 -102.04 -18.32 5 3.44
118 Rutgers  -18.12 -137.38 -18.67 1 0.30
119 Texas St. -17.61 -152.92 -19.08 4 3.23
120 Oregon St.  -19.37 -129.43 -19.13 1 0.20
121 Louisville  -21.88 -106.34 -19.69 -3 -1.17
122 Illinois  -19.57 -138.68 -19.70 -7 -2.60
123 UTEP  -20.25 -140.14 -20.22 -6 -2.37
124 South Alabama -21.33 -144.27 -21.14 3 2.24
125 San Jose St.  -18.87 -201.83 -22.27 1 0.84
126 Kent St.  -22.19 -156.28 -22.29 -1 0.31
127 Rice  -23.36 -170.63 -23.76 -3 -1.25
128 New Mexico St.  -25.46 -178.90 -25.56 0 -1.41
129 UT-San Antonio -22.48 -227.00 -25.88 0 -0.52
130 Connecticut  -30.11 -265.93 -32.83 0 -2.81

 

By Conference

AAC

9 UCF  20.05 82.40 17.32
23 Temple  12.42 86.75 12.44
24 Cincinnati  10.70 87.99 11.35
47 Houston  5.36 8.38 3.98
60 Memphis  2.20 19.70 2.41
81 Tulane  -2.68 -12.46 -2.38
86 East Carolina  -8.82 38.91 -4.01
93 South Florida  -7.24 -33.49 -6.44
95 SMU  -5.87 -72.74 -7.40
101 Navy  -8.30 -86.33 -9.67
106 Tulsa  -12.08 -96.98 -12.71
130 Connecticut  -30.11 -265.93 -32.83

 

ACC

2 Clemson  34.83 266.96 36.03
27 N.C. State  10.06 65.27 9.84
36 Miami (FL)  7.27 67.76 8.10
42 Georgia Tech  4.74 50.06 5.56
46 Syracuse  5.51 7.69 4.04
48 Virginia  4.06 24.33 3.87
51 Pittsburgh  4.90 7.73 3.64
56 Boston Coll.  4.39 0.54 2.95
59 Duke  4.77 -14.51 2.48
92 Florida St.  -7.37 -14.23 -5.59
96 North Carolina  -10.64 -31.74 -8.62
97 Virginia Tech  -9.31 -53.56 -8.77
100 Wake Forest  -8.59 -68.91 -9.03
121 Louisville  -21.88 -106.34 -19.69

 

B1G

3 Michigan  24.95 222.44 27.30
11 Ohio St.  14.36 131.75 15.90
15 Iowa  16.37 89.65 15.21
17 Penn St.  16.00 81.64 14.58
31 Michigan St.  8.36 71.54 9.00
32 Wisconsin  7.89 75.67 8.89
35 Purdue  8.28 55.67 8.19
49 Maryland  4.10 19.94 3.69
55 Northwestern  4.95 -0.51 3.28
61 Nebraska  -0.84 52.41 1.96
72 Minnesota  -0.68 -6.42 -0.76
82 Indiana  -3.36 -4.29 -2.44
118 Rutgers  -18.12 -137.38 -18.67
122 Illinois  -19.57 -138.68 -19.70

 

BXII-II

5 Oklahoma  20.12 168.05 21.47
16 West Virginia  15.42 93.68 14.77
34 Texas  9.40 43.06 8.33
37 Oklahoma St.  6.69 58.76 7.28
38 Iowa St.  8.51 24.28 6.84
41 Texas Tech  5.69 40.09 5.72
70 TCU  -1.68 12.34 -0.53
87 Kansas St.  -1.57 -63.07 -4.07
90 Baylor  -6.39 -6.25 -4.56
99 Kansas  -7.55 -83.07 -9.02

 

CUSA

26 UAB 7.24 109.84 10.10
28 North Texas  8.32 81.48 9.45
43 Florida Atlantic  2.56 71.21 5.13
52 Marshall  3.26 30.46 3.63
66 Southern Miss  -2.98 53.92 0.60
78 Middle Tenn. St.  0.12 -37.70 -1.73
85 Florida Intl.  -1.52 -60.59 -3.92
89 Louisiana Tech  -4.94 -25.06 -4.49
94 UNC-Charlotte -9.53 -1.93 -6.45
107 Old Dominion -14.22 -84.80 -13.55
110 West. Kentucky  -15.23 -99.75 -14.94
123 UTEP  -20.25 -140.14 -20.22
127 Rice  -23.36 -170.63 -23.76
129 UT-San Antonio -22.48 -227.00 -25.88

 

Indies

7 Notre Dame  18.24 124.65 18.14
25 Army  12.21 65.49 11.28
45 BYU  3.59 35.13 4.08
108 Liberty -13.15 -113.77 -14.23
115 Massachusetts -17.68 -116.00 -17.35
128 New Mexico St.  -25.46 -178.90 -25.56

 

MAC

22 Ohio  11.86 95.07 12.47
44 Buffalo  4.96 33.90 4.94
62 East. Michigan  1.34 11.26 1.43
67 Miami (OH)  0.82 -0.50 0.52
74 Toledo  1.56 -42.23 -0.98
75 Northern Illinois  0.47 -28.22 -1.04
88 W. Michigan  -8.23 27.18 -4.18
103 Ball St.  -9.35 -74.92 -9.83
114 Cent. Michigan  -17.21 -116.53 -17.07
116 Akron  -14.66 -177.39 -18.28
117 Bowling Green  -20.14 -102.04 -18.32
126 Kent St.  -22.19 -156.28 -22.29

 

MWC

10 Fresno St.  17.70 93.47 16.28
19 Boise St.  13.99 99.86 14.12
20 Utah St.  17.25 47.14 13.76
58 Air Force  1.32 34.87 2.55
65 San Diego St.  -0.08 14.26 0.63
73 Nevada  -1.97 8.45 -0.91
79 Wyoming  -2.42 -10.58 -2.12
104 Hawaii  -9.27 -78.07 -9.93
109 Colorado St.  -17.24 -61.70 -14.46
112 UNLV  -15.26 -112.28 -15.56
113 New Mexico  -12.49 -153.11 -15.67
125 San Jose St.  -18.87 -201.83 -22.27

 

P12

12 Washington St.  14.24 131.87 15.82
21 Utah  13.37 98.24 13.63
29 Washington  9.17 62.39 9.11
39 Stanford  8.80 15.15 6.59
53 Arizona St.  4.12 18.50 3.63
54 Oregon  3.42 21.95 3.33
68 Arizona  -4.04 54.31 -0.09
76 USC  -1.41 -7.36 -1.29
80 California  -2.58 -9.45 -2.17
83 Colorado  -4.02 -5.70 -2.95
84 UCLA  -3.71 -11.08 -3.01
120 Oregon St.  -19.37 -129.43 -19.13

 

SBC

18 Appalachian State 14.39 94.84 14.14
64 Arkansas St.  -0.85 35.54 1.14
69 Georgia Southern 3.98 -64.37 -0.44
71 Troy  0.26 -15.62 -0.57
91 LA Lafayette  -4.73 -30.40 -4.61
102 LA Monroe  -11.55 -42.28 -9.73
105 Coastal Carolina -11.73 -99.00 -12.57
111 Georgia State -15.35 -107.25 -15.38
119 Texas St. -17.61 -152.92 -19.08
124 South Alabama -21.33 -144.27 -21.14
         

SEC

1 Alabama  37.36 294.09 39.01
4 Georgia  24.33 156.17 23.71
6 Mississippi St.  17.68 137.19 18.37
8 Texas A&M  14.21 166.18 17.45
13 Missouri  15.93 106.32 15.72
14 LSU  16.17 97.18 15.44
30 Auburn  10.87 37.24 9.03
33 Florida  9.24 50.60 8.59
40 Kentucky  7.87 18.92 6.15
50 South Carolina  4.82 9.26 3.66
57 Mississippi  -0.88 70.69 2.81
63 Vanderbilt  4.48 -37.64 1.18
77 Tennessee  -1.63 -12.10 -1.66
98 Arkansas  -10.53 -36.72 -8.78

 

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