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Week 6 DUSHEE (2018)

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Duquesne Frog

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Since this is late getting out, I'll keep the commentary to a minimum.  However, I'll revisit the Tech-TCU matchup because it is an interesting case study as to how the numbers change even when teams do not play.  As a teaser, Tech comes out of the bye better than the Frogs do ...

 

We have a new #1 as Clemson goes past Alabama to claim the top spot. 

 

Top 3 Performances - Week 6

63.47 - Clemson at Wake (+60 MOV, 449 YM)

53.42 - Temple vs. ECU (+43, +274)

40.19 - New Mexico at UNLV (+36, +336)

 

Bottom 3 Performances

-62.03 - ULaMon at Ole Miss (-49, -399)

-52.24 - UNLV vs. UNM (-36, -336)

-48.83 - Texas St. vs. ULaLa (-15, -132)

 

Conference Rankings

SEC 14.30
B12 9.94
B10 9.32
ACC 4.11
P12 2.60
AAC -3.30
MWC -5.19
MAC -10.42
CUSA -10.69
SBC -12.84

 

Frogs Week-to-Week (Now)

Opp:    @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex  |   ISU

PD:       11.25      20.40         -8.40    |  2.75

YD:       -13.75    223.00       63.80    | 123.25

Score:   6.82       24.68        -2.43     |   7.96

 

Frogs Week-to-Week (Last Week)

Opp:  @ SMU   N OhSt     @ Tex   |     ISU

PD:     14.33      22.75      -7.50      |    0.67

YD:      5.00       231.75    86.25     |  107.33

Score:  9.81      26.75       -0.69     |     5.81

 

Note that the Frogs did not fare particularly well against Bye this week.  As a general rule, scores do regress toward the mean as the season goes on (in other words, scores, particularly toward the extreme, tend to drift closer to zero as the season goes on).  Only their Iowa State score improved.  I'm a little surprised the Texas score fell, given the Horns big upset of Oklahoma, but DUSHEE didn't have the Sooners ranked as high as many others.

 

Tech, on the other hand, had their average score go up during the bye, even though three of their four individual game scores went down (including Oklahoma State by 9 points).  Tech fared well during the bye on the backs of Ole Miss's annihilation of Louisiana-Monroe which made Tech's loss to Ole Miss look comparatively better.  It still doesn't look like a good loss, but it went from 5 TDs worse than average to a little more than 2 TDs worse than average.

 

Tech Week-to-Week (Now)

Opp:          N Miss       Hou          @OkSt   |      WVU

PD:           -23.50          34.33        43.75    |    15.67

YD:           -25.50        139.00      375.25    |   179.00

Score:      -16.93         29.80        47.81     |    19.34

 

Tech Week-to-Week (Last Week)

Opp:        N Miss        Hou           @OkSt  |       WVU

PD:           -41.00        37.00           52.33  |      19.50

YD:         -146.33      147.50         438.67 |    170.00

Score:      -34.65        32.04          56.82   |    21.50

 

With these results, Tech's DUSHEE score improved a little more than a point overall and TCU's dropped a little more than a point.  Tech climbed 6 spots in the rankings to #12 (due mostly to teams above them like Wisconsin, LSU, Kentucky, S. Carolina, and Miami falling) while the Frogs fell a spot to #34. And the DUSHEE line on the game goes from Tech -5 to Tech -7.  You might remember that last week I said that Tech's DUSHEE score against Oklahoma State was the highest single game score for any team this season?  Now, it's not even the highest score for its week, having been surpassed by Clemson's win in Week 4 over Georgia Tech.

 

Overall Rankings

Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/-
1 Clemson  37.30 319.62 40.75 2 6.47
2 Alabama  37.92 259.39 38.17 -1 0.89
3 Penn St.  41.14 210.90 37.91 -1 2.74
4 Georgia  29.47 225.65 30.86 1 0.39
5 Ohio St.  29.51 218.01 30.51 -1 -2.19
6 Michigan  22.17 228.98 26.16 3 1.00
7 Appalachian State 26.07 175.94 26.12 0 -0.71
8 Oklahoma  22.75 145.29 22.39 4 -1.15
9 N.C. State  19.96 172.94 21.90 1 -2.38
10 West Virginia  20.23 166.60 21.77 6 1.21
11 Notre Dame  23.12 109.96 20.88 -5 -7.78
12 Texas Tech  17.56 166.94 20.00 6 1.08
13 Wisconsin  17.95 159.77 19.91 2 -2.40
14 Texas A&M  14.01 192.53 18.91 8 0.45
15 LSU  20.32 93.80 18.21 -1 -4.63
16 Missouri  12.31 184.38 17.37 4 -1.52
17 Iowa  17.56 111.34 17.24 11 3.04
18 Kentucky  18.80 91.65 17.09 -10 -8.48
19 Army  16.67 105.69 16.36 4 -2.05
20 Miami (FL)  15.23 120.57 16.15 -1 -2.76
21 South Carolina  14.18 131.38 15.98 -10 -7.64
22 Florida  18.98 59.55 15.61 5 0.46
23 Temple  15.32 106.82 15.52 11 5.23
24 Mississippi St.  15.07 67.63 13.41 11 3.62
25 Boise St.  10.82 105.27 12.44 -4 -6.12
26 Oklahoma St.  12.64 72.79 12.04 -13 -11.13
27 North Texas  10.38 98.96 11.83 -2 -4.94
28 Texas  11.46 73.96 11.31 3 0.28
29 Washington St.  6.95 124.75 10.83 -3 -4.47
30 Colorado  8.33 104.03 10.72 25 7.08
31 Maryland  10.24 72.97 10.45 -1 -2.27
32 Washington  10.49 66.37 10.29 -15 -8.86
33 Auburn  11.80 46.95 10.20 -9 -7.13
34 TCU  6.50 99.08 9.26 -1 -1.16
35 UCF  10.38 46.94 9.25 17 4.62
36 Utah St.  15.85 -27.56 9.19 20 5.76
37 Fresno St.  9.08 53.00 8.69 0 0.00
38 Arizona St.  9.99 38.01 8.55 1 0.89
39 Utah  9.69 16.21 7.26 8 1.23
40 Michigan St.  6.28 53.86 6.86 -11 -6.67
41 Virginia  3.73 84.83 6.70 -9 -3.92
42 Duke  10.31 -9.02 6.43 -1 -0.74
43 Minnesota  7.03 32.97 6.33 -7 -3.20
44 Iowa St.  7.24 15.99 5.62 7 0.60
45 Boston Coll.  9.02 -9.04 5.57 -1 -1.27
46 Houston  5.04 41.58 5.43 7 1.40
47 Mississippi  3.64 55.49 5.18 29 8.06
48 Purdue  2.63 68.00 5.13 -2 -1.37
49 San Diego St.  5.26 18.41 4.42 26 6.81
50 Vanderbilt  5.61 8.78 4.18 -2 -1.46
51 Stanford  8.47 -33.39 3.99 -13 -4.49
52 Cincinnati  4.62 12.10 3.68 13 3.80
53 Oregon  3.85 16.33 3.38 1 -0.57
54 USC  1.40 46.94 3.27 -14 -3.90
55 Baylor  1.83 35.31 2.98 -12 -3.91
56 Northwestern  3.81 1.79 2.63 2 1.02
57 Georgia Tech  2.63 17.47 2.62 24 8.26
58 Syracuse  3.35 7.20 2.59 -13 -4.16
59 Nebraska  -5.21 117.38 2.36 2 1.27
60 Buffalo  1.50 24.41 2.21 2 1.14
61 Virginia Tech  4.09 -11.51 2.16 -4 -1.23
62 South Florida  5.85 -44.07 1.71 -13 -3.50
63 Tennessee  -1.77 50.85 1.35 1 0.92
64 Indiana  -2.78 36.69 -0.03 2 0.46
65 Tulane  0.96 -16.24 -0.17 -2 -1.21
66 W. Michigan  -5.46 59.03 -0.71 2 -0.06
67 UCLA  -2.68 10.28 -1.27 6 0.49
68 Kansas  1.33 -44.70 -1.33 3 -0.24
69 Ball St.  -0.96 -16.69 -1.47 -10 -2.80
70 Pittsburgh  -0.65 -21.47 -1.50 23 8.09
71 Louisiana Tech  -3.91 21.38 -1.54 -21 -6.67
72 Arkansas St.  -4.12 15.58 -1.97 -3 -1.19
73 New Mexico  -0.51 -37.62 -2.21 35 16.29
74 Florida Atlantic  -4.11 -1.48 -2.81 21 7.36
75 BYU  -1.97 -36.92 -3.15 -1 -1.32
76 East Carolina  -7.90 40.02 -3.28 -34 -10.29
77 UAB -6.31 5.56 -3.93 19 6.73
78 Arizona  -8.80 37.03 -4.03 12 5.45
79 Georgia Southern 1.69 -112.10 -4.44 20 7.67
80 Air Force  -1.15 -75.88 -4.53 27 13.05
81 Kansas St.  -1.81 -68.15 -4.59 2 1.63
82 Liberty -5.04 -26.35 -4.67 -10 -3.29
83 East. Michigan  -4.99 -27.79 -4.71 2 2.04
84 Tulsa  -7.76 1.85 -5.08 2 2.97
85 Florida Intl.  -0.11 -113.05 -5.69 -7 -1.66
86 Florida St.  -6.69 -34.69 -6.18 2 2.16
87 California  -7.48 -24.81 -6.22 -10 -2.61
88 Arkansas  -11.15 21.68 -6.36 9 4.43
89 Memphis  -6.01 -51.19 -6.55 -10 -1.73
90 Troy  -7.60 -30.00 -6.56 -8 -0.89
91 Ohio  -5.71 -57.38 -6.66 -31 -7.84
92 Marshall  -8.05 -27.98 -6.76 -25 -6.21
93 Hawaii  -4.42 -79.15 -6.88 -6 1.39
94 Wyoming  -7.98 -45.48 -7.58 -3 1.91
95 Miami (OH)  -8.08 -52.82 -8.01 8 5.42
96 West. Kentucky  -9.67 -32.38 -8.05 -12 -1.62
97 Southern Miss  -13.67 6.42 -8.79 -17 -3.42
98 Wake Forest  -8.83 -86.12 -10.17 -28 -9.08
99 Northern Illinois  -8.39 -113.31 -11.22 11 7.71
100 SMU  -10.91 -83.12 -11.40 1 1.24
101 Illinois  -6.25 -148.02 -11.53 8 7.06
102 Toledo  -8.46 -124.10 -11.81 -13 -3.00
103 Coastal Carolina -11.44 -84.65 -11.83 9 7.16
104 Middle Tenn. St.  -13.90 -61.81 -12.34 9 7.10
105 Cent. Michigan  -12.96 -100.25 -13.62 -5 -1.02
106 Colorado St.  -15.04 -78.09 -13.90 -1 0.88
107 Louisville  -14.73 -87.09 -14.15 -9 -3.12
108 North Carolina  -21.37 -23.02 -15.39 -6 -2.68
109 Oregon St.  -19.12 -58.08 -15.63 7 5.62
110 Navy  -13.62 -133.26 -15.70 -16 -5.54
111 Nevada  -18.37 -87.20 -16.58 10 9.66
112 LA Lafayette  -14.78 -142.12 -16.92 7 7.58
113 Georgia State -17.95 -127.58 -18.31 -2 0.64
114 UNC-Charlotte -22.03 -93.31 -19.33 4 2.42
115 Akron  -14.80 -192.20 -19.42 -9 -2.89
116 UNLV  -18.85 -144.38 -19.74 -24 -10.20
117 Kent St.  -20.13 -156.68 -21.21 10 13.54
118 Old Dominion -19.29 -171.44 -21.38 -14 -6.86
119 South Alabama -21.61 -165.67 -22.64 -4 -1.71
120 UTEP  -22.39 -163.00 -23.02 8 13.31
121 Rutgers  -22.59 -167.46 -23.38 -7 -2.81
122 UT-San Antonio -20.32 -205.40 -23.75 1 4.26
123 Rice  -25.20 -147.66 -24.14 -6 -2.78
124 San Jose St.  -22.79 -208.83 -25.57 -2 1.01
125 Massachusetts -21.26 -248.32 -26.52 1 6.43
126 New Mexico St.  -26.08 -188.53 -26.76 3 13.39
127 Bowling Green  -30.64 -161.55 -28.45 -3 3.66
128 LA Monroe  -32.05 -187.80 -30.70 -8 -4.59
129 Connecticut  -29.18 -271.93 -32.97 -4 -0.70
130 Texas St. -39.15 -302.05 -41.11 0 0.88

 

Rankings By Conference

AAC

23 Temple  15.32 106.82 15.52
35 UCF  10.38 46.94 9.25
46 Houston  5.04 41.58 5.43
52 Cincinnati  4.62 12.10 3.68
62 South Florida  5.85 -44.07 1.71
65 Tulane  0.96 -16.24 -0.17
76 East Carolina  -7.90 40.02 -3.28
84 Tulsa  -7.76 1.85 -5.08
89 Memphis  -6.01 -51.19 -6.55
100 SMU  -10.91 -83.12 -11.40
110 Navy  -13.62 -133.26 -15.70
129 Connecticut  -29.18 -271.93 -32.97

 

ACC

1 Clemson  37.30 319.62 40.75
9 N.C. State  19.96 172.94 21.90
20 Miami (FL)  15.23 120.57 16.15
41 Virginia  3.73 84.83 6.70
42 Duke  10.31 -9.02 6.43
45 Boston Coll.  9.02 -9.04 5.57
57 Georgia Tech  2.63 17.47 2.62
58 Syracuse  3.35 7.20 2.59
61 Virginia Tech  4.09 -11.51 2.16
70 Pittsburgh  -0.65 -21.47 -1.50
86 Florida St.  -6.69 -34.69 -6.18
98 Wake Forest  -8.83 -86.12 -10.17
107 Louisville  -14.73 -87.09 -14.15
108 North Carolina  -21.37 -23.02 -15.39

 

B1G

3 Penn St.  41.14 210.90 37.91
5 Ohio St.  29.51 218.01 30.51
6 Michigan  22.17 228.98 26.16
13 Wisconsin  17.95 159.77 19.91
17 Iowa  17.56 111.34 17.24
31 Maryland  10.24 72.97 10.45
40 Michigan St.  6.28 53.86 6.86
43 Minnesota  7.03 32.97 6.33
48 Purdue  2.63 68.00 5.13
56 Northwestern  3.81 1.79 2.63
59 Nebraska  -5.21 117.38 2.36
64 Indiana  -2.78 36.69 -0.03
101 Illinois  -6.25 -148.02 -11.53
121 Rutgers  -22.59 -167.46 -23.38

 

BXII-II

8 Oklahoma  22.75 145.29 22.39
10 West Virginia  20.23 166.60 21.77
12 Texas Tech  17.56 166.94 20.00
26 Oklahoma St.  12.64 72.79 12.04
28 Texas  11.46 73.96 11.31
34 TCU  6.50 99.08 9.26
44 Iowa St.  7.24 15.99 5.62
55 Baylor  1.83 35.31 2.98
68 Kansas  1.33 -44.70 -1.33
81 Kansas St.  -1.81 -68.15 -4.59

 

CUSA

27 North Texas  10.38 98.96 11.83
71 Louisiana Tech  -3.91 21.38 -1.54
74 Florida Atlantic  -4.11 -1.48 -2.81
77 UAB -6.31 5.56 -3.93
85 Florida Intl.  -0.11 -113.05 -5.69
92 Marshall  -8.05 -27.98 -6.76
96 West. Kentucky  -9.67 -32.38 -8.05
97 Southern Miss  -13.67 6.42 -8.79
104 Middle Tenn. St.  -13.90 -61.81 -12.34
114 UNC-Charlotte -22.03 -93.31 -19.33
118 Old Dominion -19.29 -171.44 -21.38
120 UTEP  -22.39 -163.00 -23.02
122 UT-San Antonio -20.32 -205.40 -23.75
123 Rice  -25.20 -147.66 -24.14

 

Indies

11 Notre Dame  23.12 109.96 20.88
19 Army  16.67 105.69 16.36
75 BYU  -1.97 -36.92 -3.15
82 Liberty -5.04 -26.35 -4.67
125 Massachusetts -21.26 -248.32 -26.52
126 New Mexico St.  -26.08 -188.53 -26.76

 

MAC

60 Buffalo  1.50 24.41 2.21
66 W. Michigan  -5.46 59.03 -0.71
69 Ball St.  -0.96 -16.69 -1.47
83 East. Michigan  -4.99 -27.79 -4.71
91 Ohio  -5.71 -57.38 -6.66
95 Miami (OH)  -8.08 -52.82 -8.01
99 Northern Illinois  -8.39 -113.31 -11.22
102 Toledo  -8.46 -124.10 -11.81
105 Cent. Michigan  -12.96 -100.25 -13.62
115 Akron  -14.80 -192.20 -19.42
117 Kent St.  -20.13 -156.68 -21.21
127 Bowling Green  -30.64 -161.55 -28.45

 

MWC

25 Boise St.  10.82 105.27 12.44
36 Utah St.  15.85 -27.56 9.19
37 Fresno St.  9.08 53.00 8.69
49 San Diego St.  5.26 18.41 4.42
73 New Mexico  -0.51 -37.62 -2.21
80 Air Force  -1.15 -75.88 -4.53
93 Hawaii  -4.42 -79.15 -6.88
94 Wyoming  -7.98 -45.48 -7.58
106 Colorado St.  -15.04 -78.09 -13.90
111 Nevada  -18.37 -87.20 -16.58
116 UNLV  -18.85 -144.38 -19.74
124 San Jose St.  -22.79 -208.83 -25.57

 

P12

29 Washington St.  6.95 124.75 10.83
30 Colorado  8.33 104.03 10.72
32 Washington  10.49 66.37 10.29
38 Arizona St.  9.99 38.01 8.55
39 Utah  9.69 16.21 7.26
51 Stanford  8.47 -33.39 3.99
53 Oregon  3.85 16.33 3.38
54 USC  1.40 46.94 3.27
67 UCLA  -2.68 10.28 -1.27
78 Arizona  -8.80 37.03 -4.03
87 California  -7.48 -24.81 -6.22
109 Oregon St.  -19.12 -58.08 -15.63

 

SBC

7 Appalachian State 26.07 175.94 26.12
72 Arkansas St.  -4.12 15.58 -1.97
79 Georgia Southern 1.69 -112.10 -4.44
90 Troy  -7.60 -30.00 -6.56
103 Coastal Carolina -11.44 -84.65 -11.83
112 LA Lafayette  -14.78 -142.12 -16.92
113 Georgia State -17.95 -127.58 -18.31
119 South Alabama -21.61 -165.67 -22.64
128 LA Monroe  -32.05 -187.80 -30.70
130 Texas St. -39.15 -302.05 -41.11

 

SEC

2 Alabama  37.92 259.39 38.17
4 Georgia  29.47 225.65 30.86
14 Texas A&M  14.01 192.53 18.91
15 LSU  20.32 93.80 18.21
16 Missouri  12.31 184.38 17.37
18 Kentucky  18.80 91.65 17.09
21 South Carolina  14.18 131.38 15.98
22 Florida  18.98 59.55 15.61
24 Mississippi St.  15.07 67.63 13.41
33 Auburn  11.80 46.95 10.20
47 Mississippi  3.64 55.49 5.18
50 Vanderbilt  5.61 8.78 4.18
63 Tennessee  -1.77 50.85 1.35
88 Arkansas  -11.15 21.68 -6.36

 

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