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Week 6 DUSHEE (2017 Season)

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Duquesne Frog

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As the weeks progress, things in DUSHEE tend to settle out.  Extremes begin to regress to the mean.  Of the top 15 teams, 12 saw their DUSHEE score drop this week; of the bottom 15, 9 saw their DUSHEE score rise.

 

Baylor got hammered during their bye week, falling 28 spots and losing 11 points in their DUSHEE score primarily because each of their past opponents (UTSA, Duke, OU, and K-State) all lost.  The Bears went from ranked 24th to 52nd and a DUSHEE score of 15.91 to 4.87.

 

TCU was impacted similarly, despite winning.  The positive impact of TCU beating WVU by 7 (point differential = +24) was stunted by being outgained by 102 yards (yardage differential = +12.3) resulting in a DUSHEE score of +16.6 for the game.  Which is good, but less than half of their average DUSHEE score from the week before, +34.9.  Then add to that the fact that most of TCU's opponents lost (Arkansas was whipped by South Carolina, SMU fell to Houston) and the Frogs fell 2 spots and lost almost 8 points on their DUSHEE score.

 

As for the other oddballs mentioned last week, UCF fell 3 spots and lost more than 10 points off their DUSHEE score, despite beating Cincinnati by 4 TDs, but are still ranked 7th, one spot ahead of the Frogs.  Ohio State's point differential over UNLV fell by 20 points due to the Running Rebel's 31-point loss to San Diego State, but the Buckeyes made up for that by getting a +44.3 point differential against Maryland.  So Ohio State not only tops the new DUSHEE poll, but extended their lead over Alabama and Clemson by almost 4 DUSHEE points.

 

The main oddity that needs addressing this week is the fact that Oklahoma lost to Iowa State and rose 3 spots in the rankings.  Oklahoma's rise was not due to DUSHEE thinking highly of their performance against Iowa State; in fact the Sooners' point differential against the Cyclones was a -2.3.  However, the Sooners got huge boosts from two prior opponents, Ohio State and ... Tulane.  Unlike Baylor and TCU, Oklahoma's previous opponents had banner days, with Ohio State's aforementioned beat down of Maryland and the Green Wave putting a 62-28 curb-stomping on Tulsa.  Both of these results caused a huge boost in OU's point differential in their games against those two opponents.  So despite the fact that Oklahoma has looked extremely average the last two weeks against middling-to-poor conference opponents, their non-conference wins continue to look really good.

 

So before we get to the rankings, a few other items of interest that I'll track from week-to-week.

 

The Frogs Week-to-Week:

Highlighted cells mean one of the top 3 values of that week.

Opp: @ Ark  SMU @ OkSt    WVU
PD: 16.00 33.25 42.25   24.00
YD: 116.33 239.00 235.75   12.33
Score: 16.60 34.36 40.19   16.63

 

Conference Ratings:

B10 12.10
B12 11.84
ACC 10.33
P12 8.05
SEC 4.79
AAC -0.54
MWC -7.39
MAC -13.72
CUSA -14.05
SBC -14.21

 

Performances of the week:

Note: These reflect the highest and lowest DUSHEE point totals of for games this week as of this moment.  As the discussion above points out, the point totals, even for games that are weeks old, change as the season progresses.  So these may not be the highest and lowest performances for this week by the end of the season.

 

Top 3:

54.0 Ohio State vs. Maryland (62-14 point margin, 584-66 yardage margin)

39.2 Washington State vs. Oregon (33-10 point margin, 369-277 yardage margin)

34.4 Iowa State vs. Oklahoma (38-31 point margin, 449-513 yardage margin)

 

Bottom 3:

-51.0 Tulsa vs. Tulane (28-62 point margin, 412-658 yardage margin)

-48.7 ECU vs. Temple (10-34 point margin, 287-523 yardage margin)

-46.4 UConn vs. Memphis (31-70 point margin, 477-711 yardage margin)

 

Strength of Schedule:

Top 10

FSU 19.7
Mary 19.5
Rut 13.2
OreSt 13.0
Ind 12.8
BC 11.3
Bay 11.2
TCU 10.5
MissSt 9.9
Vandy 9.9

 

Bottom 10 (in reverse order)

MTSU -9.6
Marsh -10.4
EMU -10.5
Ball -11.0
Ohio -11.2
Umass -11.3
FIU -12.5
Ida -13.0
WKU -19.2
USF -20.7

 

Overall Ranks (Original Formulation):

I've added two columns to the ranks to capture movement in the rankings from week-to-week.  The first column is the change in rank and the second is the change in DUSHEE score.

 

Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/-
1 Ohio St.  36.46 322.65 40.76 0 -1.61
2 Alabama  35.49 253.03 36.56 0 -5.43
3 Clemson  32.19 288.23 36.16 0 -5.17
4 Penn St.  36.93 158.92 32.73 3 -1.01
5 Oklahoma  26.07 273.59 31.33 3 -1.38
6 Georgia  30.87 155.34 28.50 3 -1.54
7 UCF  29.44 150.92 27.32 -3 -10.33
8 TCU  28.88 150.85 26.94 -2 -7.96
9 Oklahoma St.  23.36 200.40 25.79 3 -0.51
10 Notre Dame  27.70 136.86 25.45 3 0.24
11 Wisconsin  26.07 151.91 25.13 0 -1.58
12 Auburn  19.86 174.64 22.15 5 0.00
13 Washington St.  18.63 177.20 21.46 18 8.17
14 Michigan  14.78 208.60 20.49 1 -2.10
15 Virginia Tech  16.76 165.53 19.61 -5 -9.36
16 Michigan St.  16.58 167.00 19.57 5 2.77
17 Miami (FL)  20.97 102.22 19.19 -12 -16.09
18 Washington  19.20 114.47 18.64 9 4.16
19 USC  16.97 102.63 16.55 -5 -6.91
20 Texas Tech  16.85 103.85 16.53 9 2.97
21 Mississippi St.  14.06 131.94 16.10 1 -0.13
22 Florida St.  14.76 108.29 15.36 -3 -2.54
23 N.C. State  12.64 126.15 14.86 11 5.21
24 Iowa St.  17.21 63.90 14.73 26 10.58
25 Oregon  11.11 131.23 14.10 -7 -6.83
26 Arizona  13.48 86.17 13.38 -6 -4.29
27 Georgia Tech  5.89 183.66 13.29 -1 -1.58
28 Stanford  16.59 33.92 12.79 5 2.80
29 Purdue  12.38 86.38 12.66 6 3.18
30 Texas A&M  11.90 88.03 12.42 14 5.33
31 Indiana  10.88 93.41 12.02 11 4.76
32 Louisville  5.18 153.63 11.29 -9 -4.75
33 West Virginia  8.29 108.15 11.04 -5 -3.03
34 South Florida  8.81 96.45 10.79 7 3.13
35 San Diego St.  13.84 29.89 10.75 21 8.44
36 Iowa  17.39 -17.54 10.70 -6 -2.69
37 Houston  13.13 28.21 10.19 12 5.51
38 Texas  9.55 68.85 9.88 2 1.60
39 Memphis  12.60 19.48 9.40 12 5.46
40 Colorado  9.88 53.65 9.32 3 2.19
41 Colorado St.  5.77 91.25 8.50 -2 0.19
42 Wake Forest  9.73 30.43 8.04 3 1.20
43 Duke  4.96 82.09 7.49 -18 -7.60
44 Boise St.  7.17 50.28 7.34 -12 -4.32
45 UCLA  5.41 65.18 6.93 2 1.19
46 Virginia  3.88 83.00 6.82 0 1.01
47 SMU  8.47 17.33 6.53 -11 -2.36
48 Southern Miss  2.06 100.54 6.50 19 7.84
49 Maryland  8.28 3.58 5.70 -33 -16.61
50 UT-San Antonio -1.28 127.53 5.65 -13 -3.10
51 Northwestern  6.45 21.18 5.38 4 3.04
52 Baylor  2.23 66.38 4.87 -28 -11.04
53 Tulane  5.59 6.50 4.06 15 5.82
54 Arizona St.  5.45 5.27 3.90 0 1.52
55 Utah  4.84 6.58 3.56 4 1.62
56 Navy  3.01 13.84 2.71 -3 0.02
57 W. Michigan  6.64 -43.18 2.22 -5 -1.20
58 Nebraska  1.58 22.81 2.22 8 3.39
59 Syracuse  -2.70 64.29 1.48 4 0.84
60 North Texas  -2.86 62.35 1.27 1 -0.03
61 Appalachian State 1.29 -7.90 0.46 3 1.12
62 Kansas St.  4.21 -47.42 0.39 -2 -0.98
63 Air Force  -2.15 26.83 -0.06 21 5.45
64 Minnesota  2.17 -29.82 -0.07 -16 -5.38
65 South Carolina  3.82 -56.08 -0.31 18 5.11
66 Boston Coll.  -0.03 -8.84 -0.47 7 2.22
67 LSU  -4.27 45.58 -0.52 2 1.36
68 Pittsburgh  -1.44 4.88 -0.71 -11 -2.95
69 New Mexico  -3.89 22.67 -1.44 1 0.66
70 Arkansas  -3.54 17.33 -1.48 -32 -9.98
71 Troy  -1.95 -4.89 -1.55 10 3.34
72 Florida Atlantic  3.28 -75.76 -1.67 2 1.29
73 Tennessee  -2.01 -13.18 -2.01 3 1.16
74 Cincinnati  -4.35 15.80 -2.09 4 1.66
75 Fresno St.  -4.09 8.66 -2.28 -17 -4.39
76 Army  -0.55 -42.25 -2.52 23 10.77
77 Toledo  -2.40 -38.81 -3.58 11 3.65
78 Northern Illinois  -4.04 -19.54 -3.69 -13 -2.66
79 Florida  -0.55 -66.42 -3.75 -8 -1.63
80 Kentucky  1.62 -109.86 -4.52 -18 -5.82
81 Georgia State -5.77 -14.73 -4.60 13 4.77
82 Coastal Carolina -9.42 14.15 -5.56 0 -0.24
83 UNLV  -2.93 -79.20 -5.99 -11 -3.41
84 LA Monroe  -6.10 -46.97 -6.46 20 8.05
85 Temple  -4.13 -75.37 -6.59 7 1.91
86 Rutgers  -7.28 -35.13 -6.64 1 0.17
87 New Mexico St.  -10.92 11.51 -6.69 2 0.79
88 California  -6.15 -51.52 -6.73 -11 -3.18
89 Marshall  -6.90 -56.80 -7.50 4 1.62
90 Buffalo  -1.85 -124.25 -7.57 10 5.86
91 North Carolina  -7.23 -57.44 -7.75 -12 -3.79
92 Miami (OH)  -10.69 -12.77 -7.78 -12 -3.07
93 Vanderbilt  -2.24 -127.23 -7.98 -18 -4.93
94 Ohio  -7.48 -64.64 -8.29 -9 -2.34
95 East. Michigan  -8.67 -62.78 -8.98 0 0.51
96 UAB -13.15 -19.79 -9.77 0 1.39
97 Louisiana Tech  -10.17 -69.52 -10.33 0 2.29
98 Illinois  -8.19 -114.11 -11.28 -7 -2.92
99 Middle Tenn. St.  -13.68 -58.25 -12.09 10 5.78
100 Tulsa  -9.43 -122.33 -12.53 -14 -6.27
101 Mississippi  -14.37 -64.05 -12.85 0 1.54
102 Utah St.  -11.06 -148.90 -14.97 0 -0.49
103 Missouri  -15.03 -101.88 -15.21 13 8.15
104 Akron  -10.30 -185.60 -16.33 16 8.63
105 Wyoming  -11.75 -169.53 -16.48 0 -1.11
106 Hawaii  -23.87 -12.43 -16.54 -8 -3.82
107 Oregon St.  -19.36 -86.22 -17.30 1 0.31
108 Arkansas St.  -14.67 -155.38 -17.70 -18 -10.13
109 Cent. Michigan  -20.38 -82.09 -17.78 5 3.48
110 BYU  -15.82 -147.65 -18.07 -4 -1.64
111 LA Lafayette  -18.33 -125.73 -18.63 6 5.17
112 Massachusetts -22.29 -78.08 -18.84 3 2.84
113 Nevada  -18.80 -131.70 -19.25 9 10.10
114 West. Kentucky  -17.64 -156.51 -19.74 -11 -5.25
115 Idaho  -21.31 -153.35 -22.03 -3 -2.20
116 Florida Intl.  -23.58 -126.59 -22.18 -3 -1.06
117 Ball St.  -23.28 -134.00 -22.36 -6 -2.94
118 Kansas  -26.73 -103.54 -23.10 -11 -6.21
119 East Carolina  -27.47 -165.55 -26.75 -9 -7.73
120 Bowling Green  -24.16 -211.65 -26.90 6 8.80
121 Kent St.  -27.32 -186.51 -27.73 0 1.58
122 Old Dominion -25.70 -229.63 -28.84 -3 -4.04
123 Georgia Southern -31.25 -162.47 -29.12 2 5.04
124 Texas St. -29.42 -186.87 -29.14 -1 0.36
125 South Alabama -29.79 -188.35 -29.47 -1 2.41
126 UNC-Charlotte -29.22 -196.50 -29.50 1 8.61
127 Connecticut  -29.15 -197.46 -29.50 -9 -5.35
128 UTEP  -30.24 -245.05 -32.66 2 6.75
129 Rice  -35.36 -239.34 -35.78 0 3.19
130 San Jose St.  -37.18 -265.35 -38.32 -2 0.03

 

By Conference

AAC

7 UCF  29.44 150.92 27.32
34 South Florida  8.81 96.45 10.79
37 Houston  13.13 28.21 10.19
39 Memphis  12.60 19.48 9.40
47 SMU  8.47 17.33 6.53
53 Tulane  5.59 6.50 4.06
56 Navy  3.01 13.84 2.71
74 Cincinnati  -4.35 15.80 -2.09
85 Temple  -4.13 -75.37 -6.59
100 Tulsa  -9.43 -122.33 -12.53
119 East Carolina  -27.47 -165.55 -26.75
127 Connecticut  -29.15 -197.46 -29.50

ACC

3 Clemson  32.19 288.23 36.16
15 Virginia Tech  16.76 165.53 19.61
17 Miami (FL)  20.97 102.22 19.19
22 Florida St.  14.76 108.29 15.36
23 N.C. State  12.64 126.15 14.86
27 Georgia Tech  5.89 183.66 13.29
32 Louisville  5.18 153.63 11.29
42 Wake Forest  9.73 30.43 8.04
43 Duke  4.96 82.09 7.49
46 Virginia  3.88 83.00 6.82
59 Syracuse  -2.70 64.29 1.48
66 Boston Coll.  -0.03 -8.84 -0.47
68 Pittsburgh  -1.44 4.88 -0.71
91 North Carolina  -7.23 -57.44 -7.75

B1G

1 Ohio St.  36.46 322.65 40.76
4 Penn St.  36.93 158.92 32.73
11 Wisconsin  26.07 151.91 25.13
14 Michigan  14.78 208.60 20.49
16 Michigan St.  16.58 167.00 19.57
29 Purdue  12.38 86.38 12.66
31 Indiana  10.88 93.41 12.02
36 Iowa  17.39 -17.54 10.70
49 Maryland  8.28 3.58 5.70
51 Northwestern  6.45 21.18 5.38
58 Nebraska  1.58 22.81 2.22
64 Minnesota  2.17 -29.82 -0.07
86 Rutgers  -7.28 -35.13 -6.64
98 Illinois  -8.19 -114.11 -11.28

BXII-II

5 Oklahoma  26.07 273.59 31.33
8 TCU  28.88 150.85 26.94
9 Oklahoma St.  23.36 200.40 25.79
20 Texas Tech  16.85 103.85 16.53
24 Iowa St.  17.21 63.90 14.73
33 West Virginia  8.29 108.15 11.04
38 Texas  9.55 68.85 9.88
52 Baylor  2.23 66.38 4.87
62 Kansas St.  4.21 -47.42 0.39
118 Kansas  -26.73 -103.54 -23.10

CUSA

48 Southern Miss  2.06 100.54 6.50
50 UT-San Antonio -1.28 127.53 5.65
60 North Texas  -2.86 62.35 1.27
72 Florida Atlantic  3.28 -75.76 -1.67
89 Marshall  -6.90 -56.80 -7.50
96 UAB -13.15 -19.79 -9.77
97 Louisiana Tech  -10.17 -69.52 -10.33
99 Middle Tenn. St.  -13.68 -58.25 -12.09
114 West. Kentucky  -17.64 -156.51 -19.74
116 Florida Intl.  -23.58 -126.59 -22.18
122 Old Dominion -25.70 -229.63 -28.84
126 UNC-Charlotte -29.22 -196.50 -29.50
128 UTEP  -30.24 -245.05 -32.66
129 Rice  -35.36 -239.34 -35.78

Indies

10 Notre Dame  27.70 136.86 25.45
76 Army  -0.55 -42.25 -2.52
110 BYU  -15.82 -147.65 -18.07
112 Massachusetts -22.29 -78.08 -18.84

MAC

57 W. Michigan  6.64 -43.18 2.22
77 Toledo  -2.40 -38.81 -3.58
78 Northern Illinois  -4.04 -19.54 -3.69
90 Buffalo  -1.85 -124.25 -7.57
92 Miami (OH)  -10.69 -12.77 -7.78
94 Ohio  -7.48 -64.64 -8.29
95 East. Michigan  -8.67 -62.78 -8.98
104 Akron  -10.30 -185.60 -16.33
109 Cent. Michigan  -20.38 -82.09 -17.78
117 Ball St.  -23.28 -134.00 -22.36
120 Bowling Green  -24.16 -211.65 -26.90
121 Kent St.  -27.32 -186.51 -27.73

MWC

35 San Diego St.  13.84 29.89 10.75
41 Colorado St.  5.77 91.25 8.50
44 Boise St.  7.17 50.28 7.34
63 Air Force  -2.15 26.83 -0.06
69 New Mexico  -3.89 22.67 -1.44
75 Fresno St.  -4.09 8.66 -2.28
83 UNLV  -2.93 -79.20 -5.99
102 Utah St.  -11.06 -148.90 -14.97
105 Wyoming  -11.75 -169.53 -16.48
106 Hawaii  -23.87 -12.43 -16.54
113 Nevada  -18.80 -131.70 -19.25
130 San Jose St.  -37.18 -265.35 -38.32

P12

13 Washington St.  18.63 177.20 21.46
18 Washington  19.20 114.47 18.64
19 USC  16.97 102.63 16.55
25 Oregon  11.11 131.23 14.10
26 Arizona  13.48 86.17 13.38
28 Stanford  16.59 33.92 12.79
40 Colorado  9.88 53.65 9.32
45 UCLA  5.41 65.18 6.93
54 Arizona St.  5.45 5.27 3.90
55 Utah  4.84 6.58 3.56
88 California  -6.15 -51.52 -6.73
107 Oregon St.  -19.36 -86.22 -17.30

SBC

61 Appalachian State 1.29 -7.90 0.46
71 Troy  -1.95 -4.89 -1.55
81 Georgia State -5.77 -14.73 -4.60
82 Coastal Carolina -9.42 14.15 -5.56
84 LA Monroe  -6.10 -46.97 -6.46
87 New Mexico St.  -10.92 11.51 -6.69
108 Arkansas St.  -14.67 -155.38 -17.70
111 LA Lafayette  -18.33 -125.73 -18.63
115 Idaho  -21.31 -153.35 -22.03
123 Georgia Southern -31.25 -162.47 -29.12
124 Texas St. -29.42 -186.87 -29.14
125 South Alabama -29.79 -188.35 -29.47

SEC

2 Alabama  35.49 253.03 36.56
6 Georgia  30.87 155.34 28.50
12 Auburn  19.86 174.64 22.15
21 Mississippi St.  14.06 131.94 16.10
30 Texas A&M  11.90 88.03 12.42
65 South Carolina  3.82 -56.08 -0.31
67 LSU  -4.27 45.58 -0.52
70 Arkansas  -3.54 17.33 -1.48
73 Tennessee  -2.01 -13.18 -2.01
79 Florida  -0.55 -66.42 -3.75
80 Kentucky  1.62 -109.86 -4.52
93 Vanderbilt  -2.24 -127.23 -7.98
101 Mississippi  -14.37 -64.05 -12.85
103 Missouri  -15.03 -101.88 -15.21

 

 

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