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A sports analysis blog hosted by lovable, furry old Duquesne. Come here for DUSHEE missives and other sundry wonkish thoughts.

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Week 13 DUSHEE

Thankfully, Baylor's performance against OkieSt was just mediocre enough to drop them from the top spot. They are now 2nd behind Alabama. DUSHEE continues to really love the B1G and Marshall. TCU climbs one spot due to the precipitous fall of Ole Miss out of the top 10. Rank Team P/G Y/G Score 1 Alabama 24.68 219.53 27.00 2 Baylor 23.01 219.04 25.86 3 Ohio St. 23.60 178.72 24.32 4 Michigan St. 21.60 198.06 23.92 5 Marshall 22.65 173.65 23.44 6 Wisconsin 19.86 194.77 22.59 7 TCU 22.59 143.95 21.97 8 Auburn 20.93 161.46 21.71 9 Georgia 22.86 132.46 21.60 10 Oregon 22.82 116.17 20.79 _______________________________________ 11 Mississippi 20.67 138.61 20.44 12 Mississippi St. 21.37 117.69 19.90 13 Oklahoma 19.48 131.75 19.31 14 Arkansas 18.01 115.91 17.58 15 LSU 16.38 98.74 15.66 16 Georgia Tech 15.26 100.52 15.00 17 Nebraska 15.53 92.97 14.82 18 UCLA 13.88 110.51 14.56 19 Boise St. 11.71 133.46 14.22 20 Miami (FL) 12.19 125.19 14.14 _______________________________________ 21 Kansas St. 14.98 81.02 13.88 22 Florida St. 13.14 69.85 12.12 23 Louisville 10.91 93.39 11.76 24 West Virginia 8.08 117.62 11.03 25 Notre Dame 9.32 84.95 10.29 26 Clemson 7.88 98.74 10.00 27 Arizona 11.62 42.51 9.79 28 Tennessee 10.32 55.70 9.55 29 Louisiana Tech 11.21 30.10 8.92 30 Stanford 7.65 74.98 8.70 ______________________________________ 31 USC 9.51 47.80 8.64 32 Minnesota 8.68 47.35 8.06 33 Colorado St. 8.78 44.84 8.00 34 Missouri 9.04 31.15 7.52 35 BYU 6.57 60.33 7.28 36 Florida 7.59 44.64 7.21 37 Arizona St. 9.52 12.11 6.93 38 Virginia 3.87 78.07 6.33 39 Georgia Southern 5.62 47.96 6.05 40 Virginia Tech 6.17 39.79 6.03 ______________________________________ 41 Texas A&M 7.00 20.83 5.67 42 Boston Coll. 4.74 49.73 5.55 43 Memphis 8.23 -1.17 5.43 44 East Carolina 1.00 98.99 5.42 45 Navy 5.12 33.11 5.01 46 Cincinnati 5.43 27.68 4.95 47 South Carolina 4.47 35.66 4.69 48 Penn St. 3.28 49.99 4.59 49 Texas 3.95 35.53 4.34 50 Utah St. 5.16 7.07 3.78 _______________________________________ 51 Pittsburgh 0.53 70.21 3.73 52 Iowa 1.90 43.23 3.34 53 UCF 2.04 35.13 3.05 54 Northwestern 1.39 24.25 2.09 55 Michigan 0.17 29.27 1.52 56 Washington 4.95 -38.67 1.44 57 Arkansas St. 0.79 18.66 1.42 58 UAB 1.92 0.60 1.31 59 Utah 4.25 -32.03 1.29 60 W. Michigan 2.59 -13.46 1.08 ________________________________________ 61 Duke 4.81 -44.83 1.05 62 Houston 1.29 -5.29 0.60 63 Appalachian State -3.62 52.06 0.09 64 Toledo -1.54 21.58 0.01 65 Rice -0.76 -0.44 -0.53 66 West. Kentucky 0.76 -21.92 -0.54 67 Nevada 1.78 -41.52 -0.81 68 North Carolina -0.69 -10.84 -0.98 69 Air Force -0.13 -31.66 -1.60 70 Washington St. -7.20 65.48 -1.65 ____________________________________________ 71 N.C. State -2.36 -5.77 -1.85 72 Maryland 0.56 -58.16 -2.42 73 Rutgers -3.77 0.33 -2.50 74 Syracuse -4.55 5.59 -2.76 75 California -2.60 -24.37 -2.90 76 San Diego St. -4.76 -1.03 -3.22 77 LA Lafayette -3.57 -29.93 -3.82 78 Kentucky -3.86 -28.68 -3.95 79 Purdue -3.89 -30.88 -4.08 80 Cent. Michigan -6.05 -8.09 -4.42 _____________________________________________ 81 Temple 0.08 -94.73 -4.50 82 Colorado -6.97 -7.50 -5.01 83 UTEP -6.23 -23.47 -5.28 84 Middle Tenn. St. -4.15 -57.92 -5.55 85 Oregon St. -6.83 -25.61 -5.79 86 Texas St. -7.11 -28.32 -6.10 87 South Alabama -7.24 -31.50 -6.34 88 Ohio -8.32 -31.26 -7.05 89 Illinois -4.81 -83.61 -7.22 90 Northern Illinois -6.30 -62.89 -7.22 ______________________________________________ 91 Oklahoma St. -5.77 -74.52 -7.42 92 Bowling Green -6.30 -73.18 -7.72 93 Akron -8.51 -50.21 -8.09 94 San Jose St. -14.39 28.14 -8.24 95 Florida Intl. -6.35 -102.33 -9.15 96 Indiana -9.33 -62.22 -9.21 97 Miami (OH) -9.18 -67.50 -9.36 98 Wyoming -11.04 -51.15 -9.82 99 Old Dominion -10.43 -61.20 -9.89 100 Texas Tech -12.02 -42.62 -10.06 _____________________________________________ 101 Buffalo -12.24 -40.45 -10.11 102 LA Monroe -12.01 -52.58 -10.53 103 Tulane -14.44 -24.97 -10.83 104 Iowa St. -9.98 -87.76 -10.87 105 Ball St. -6.38 -138.75 -10.92 106 Hawaii -10.40 -91.78 -11.34 107 Florida Atlantic -11.73 -102.27 -12.73 108 Massachusetts -13.72 -75.21 -12.76 109 Kansas -11.91 -106.45 -13.06 110 Idaho -15.67 -56.51 -13.16 ______________________________________________ 111 Southern Miss -13.78 -85.29 -13.28 112 Fresno St. -12.05 -109.69 -13.31 113 New Mexico -11.23 -134.96 -13.97 114 UT-San Antonio -12.82 -119.72 -14.30 115 Connecticut -16.07 -95.66 -15.31 116 South Florida -13.37 -149.49 -16.09 117 Army -15.81 -145.05 -17.51 118 Tulsa -17.82 -121.27 -17.70 119 Troy -18.80 -113.06 -17.97 120 Wake Forest -13.64 -196.83 -18.55 _____________________________________________ 121 Vanderbilt -18.05 -136.70 -18.60 122 Kent St. -17.76 -151.47 -19.11 123 North Texas -18.16 -148.56 -19.25 124 UNLV -19.40 -153.38 -20.30 125 New Mexico St. -23.47 -144.18 -22.57 126 Georgia State -25.47 -155.96 -24.47 127 East. Michigan -28.82 -218.04 -29.69 128 SMU -32.77 -255.60 -34.12 By Conference: Rank Team PD YD Score 43 Memphis 8.23 -1.17 5.43 44 East Carolina 1.00 98.99 5.42 46 Cincinnati 5.43 27.68 4.95 53 UCF 2.04 35.13 3.05 62 Houston 1.29 -5.29 0.60 81 Temple 0.08 -94.73 -4.50 115 Connecticut -16.07 -95.66 -15.31 116 South Florida -13.37 -149.49 -16.09 118 Tulsa -17.82 -121.27 -17.70 128 SMU -32.77 -255.60 -34.12 ____________________________________________ 16 Georgia Tech 15.26 100.52 15.00 20 Miami (FL) 12.19 125.19 14.14 22 Florida St. 13.14 69.85 12.12 23 Louisville 10.91 93.39 11.76 26 Clemson 7.88 98.74 10.00 38 Virginia 3.87 78.07 6.33 40 Virginia Tech 6.17 39.79 6.03 42 Boston Coll. 4.74 49.73 5.55 51 Pittsburgh 0.53 70.21 3.73 61 Duke 4.81 -44.83 1.05 68 North Carolina -0.69 -10.84 -0.98 71 N.C. State -2.36 -5.77 -1.85 74 Syracuse -4.55 5.59 -2.76 120 Wake Forest -13.64 -196.83 -18.55 __________________________________________ 3 Ohio St. 23.60 178.72 24.32 4 Michigan St. 21.60 198.06 23.92 6 Wisconsin 19.86 194.77 22.59 17 Nebraska 15.53 92.97 14.82 32 Minnesota 8.68 47.35 8.06 48 Penn St. 3.28 49.99 4.59 52 Iowa 1.90 43.23 3.34 54 Northwestern 1.39 24.25 2.09 55 Michigan 0.17 29.27 1.52 72 Maryland 0.56 -58.16 -2.42 73 Rutgers -3.77 0.33 -2.50 79 Purdue -3.89 -30.88 -4.08 89 Illinois -4.81 -83.61 -7.22 96 Indiana -9.33 -62.22 -9.21 _________________________________________ 2 Baylor 23.01 219.04 25.86 7 TCU 22.59 143.95 21.97 13 Oklahoma 19.48 131.75 19.31 21 Kansas St. 14.98 81.02 13.88 24 West Virginia 8.08 117.62 11.03 49 Texas 3.95 35.53 4.34 91 Oklahoma St. -5.77 -74.52 -7.42 100 Texas Tech -12.02 -42.62 -10.06 104 Iowa St. -9.98 -87.76 -10.87 109 Kansas -11.91 -106.45 -13.06 _________________________________________ 5 Marshall 22.65 173.65 23.44 29 Louisiana Tech 11.21 30.10 8.92 58 UAB 1.92 0.60 1.31 65 Rice -0.76 -0.44 -0.53 66 West. Kentucky 0.76 -21.92 -0.54 83 UTEP -6.23 -23.47 -5.28 84 Middle Tenn. St. -4.15 -57.92 -5.55 95 Florida Intl. -6.35 -102.33 -9.15 99 Old Dominion -10.43 -61.20 -9.89 103 Tulane -14.44 -24.97 -10.83 107 Florida Atlantic -11.73 -102.27 -12.73 111 Southern Miss -13.78 -85.29 -13.28 114 UT-San Antonio -12.82 -119.72 -14.30 123 North Texas -18.16 -148.56 -19.25 ___________________________________________ 25 Notre Dame 9.32 84.95 10.29 35 BYU 6.57 60.33 7.28 45 Navy 5.12 33.11 5.01 117 Army -15.81 -145.05 -17.51 ___________________________________________ 60 W. Michigan 2.59 -13.46 1.08 64 Toledo -1.54 21.58 0.01 80 Cent. Michigan -6.05 -8.09 -4.42 88 Ohio -8.32 -31.26 -7.05 90 Northern Illinois -6.30 -62.89 -7.22 92 Bowling Green -6.30 -73.18 -7.72 93 Akron -8.51 -50.21 -8.09 97 Miami (OH) -9.18 -67.50 -9.36 101 Buffalo -12.24 -40.45 -10.11 105 Ball St. -6.38 -138.75 -10.92 108 Massachusetts -13.72 -75.21 -12.76 122 Kent St. -17.76 -151.47 -19.11 127 East. Michigan -28.82 -218.04 -29.69 ___________________________________________ 19 Boise St. 11.71 133.46 14.22 33 Colorado St. 8.78 44.84 8.00 50 Utah St. 5.16 7.07 3.78 67 Nevada 1.78 -41.52 -0.81 69 Air Force -0.13 -31.66 -1.60 76 San Diego St. -4.76 -1.03 -3.22 94 San Jose St. -14.39 28.14 -8.24 98 Wyoming -11.04 -51.15 -9.82 106 Hawaii -10.40 -91.78 -11.34 112 Fresno St. -12.05 -109.69 -13.31 113 New Mexico -11.23 -134.96 -13.97 124 UNLV -19.40 -153.38 -20.30 _________________________________________ 10 Oregon 22.82 116.17 20.79 18 UCLA 13.88 110.51 14.56 27 Arizona 11.62 42.51 9.79 30 Stanford 7.65 74.98 8.70 31 USC 9.51 47.80 8.64 37 Arizona St. 9.52 12.11 6.93 56 Washington 4.95 -38.67 1.44 59 Utah 4.25 -32.03 1.29 70 Washington St. -7.20 65.48 -1.65 75 California -2.60 -24.37 -2.90 82 Colorado -6.97 -7.50 -5.01 85 Oregon St. -6.83 -25.61 -5.79 _________________________________________ 39 Georgia Southern 5.62 47.96 6.05 57 Arkansas St. 0.79 18.66 1.42 63 Appalachian State -3.62 52.06 0.09 77 LA Lafayette -3.57 -29.93 -3.82 86 Texas St. -7.11 -28.32 -6.10 87 South Alabama -7.24 -31.50 -6.34 102 LA Monroe -12.01 -52.58 -10.53 110 Idaho -15.67 -56.51 -13.16 119 Troy -18.80 -113.06 -17.97 125 New Mexico St. -23.47 -144.18 -22.57 126 Georgia State -25.47 -155.96 -24.47 _________________________________________ 1 Alabama 24.68 219.53 27.00 8 Auburn 20.93 161.46 21.71 9 Georgia 22.86 132.46 21.60 11 Mississippi 20.67 138.61 20.44 12 Mississippi St. 21.37 117.69 19.90 14 Arkansas 18.01 115.91 17.58 15 LSU 16.38 98.74 15.66 28 Tennessee 10.32 55.70 9.55 34 Missouri 9.04 31.15 7.52 36 Florida 7.59 44.64 7.21 41 Texas A&M 7.00 20.83 5.67 47 South Carolina 4.47 35.66 4.69 78 Kentucky -3.86 -28.68 -3.95 121 Vanderbilt -18.05 -136.70 -18.60

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 12 Rankings

DUSHEE was also unimpressed with the Frogs close call in Lawrence, dropping TCU from 2nd to 8th in this week's ranking. DUSHEE was also quite impressed with Baylor's performance this week against Bye, moving them up from 4th to 1st ... that's right, DUSHEE now has Baylor as the #1 team in the land. Lest any of you accuse me of instituting personal bias in the DUSHEE model. So how did this happen? Well, Baylor gained a point during the bye, meaning that the had net movement in the DUSHEE Scores of their prior opponents upward. Then everyone above them lost points in the DUSHEE score: Alabama dropped about 1.5 points, TCU dropped 4.5, and Ohio State dropped a little over 0.5 points. It's a little hard to discern which teams gave Baylor their Bye push, but Buffalo (yes, Buffalo) got a PD of 26.3 in blowing out Akron. That's probably where Baylor got their push. Wisconsin was a big mover up the poll, going from 16th to 5th in the wake of their blowout of Nebraska. And almost on the 44th anniversary of the plane crash involving the Marshall football team, DUSHEE has seen fit to lift Marshall up to 6th. We are Marshall!!! This weeks ranking: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score 1 Baylor 24.35 235.61 27.65 2 Alabama 24.78 220.36 27.19 3 Ohio St. 25.43 189.43 26.13 4 Mississippi 26.22 151.87 24.84 5 Wisconsin 21.74 210.98 24.72 6 Marshall 23.92 166.56 24.02 7 Michigan St. 20.64 193.35 23.13 8 TCU 23.32 150.10 22.82 9 Auburn 21.28 166.03 22.23 10 Georgia 22.67 132.79 21.55 _______________________________________ 11 Oregon 23.01 84.04 19.41 12 Mississippi St. 20.45 118.26 19.36 13 Oklahoma 19.36 114.13 18.44 14 Miami (FL) 16.34 133.82 17.38 15 Nebraska 17.06 101.03 16.27 16 Arkansas 14.07 118.01 15.10 17 LSU 15.47 97.69 15.04 18 Georgia Tech 15.11 100.36 14.94 19 Kansas St. 15.66 82.48 14.43 20 UCLA 12.28 99.83 13.03 _______________________________________ 21 Florida St. 14.37 69.14 12.93 22 Boise St. 10.14 123.13 12.73 23 Louisville 10.90 90.13 11.63 24 Louisiana Tech 13.99 44.79 11.50 25 West Virginia 8.29 122.11 11.44 26 USC 12.05 67.76 11.32 27 Tennessee 11.52 69.71 11.06 28 Notre Dame 8.91 92.93 10.44 29 Clemson 8.00 100.59 10.21 30 Arizona St. 10.54 54.07 9.65 _______________________________________ 31 Stanford 7.30 91.72 9.31 32 Virginia Tech 8.80 66.17 9.07 33 Arizona 10.10 38.24 8.58 34 Florida 7.68 41.87 7.15 35 Minnesota 7.59 41.57 7.08 36 BYU 5.47 57.60 6.44 37 Missouri 8.55 15.00 6.43 38 Memphis 9.37 3.21 6.40 39 Penn St. 4.57 68.84 6.39 40 Duke 9.67 -6.21 6.15 _____________________________________ 41 Colorado St. 6.83 29.85 6.00 42 Georgia Southern 5.48 47.76 5.97 43 Navy 5.71 40.77 5.78 44 Texas A&M 6.46 17.59 5.16 45 Boston Coll. 3.69 53.72 5.06 46 Virginia 1.47 70.39 4.39 47 Texas 3.87 34.22 4.24 48 Arkansas St. 3.46 31.77 3.85 49 East Carolina -1.22 86.40 3.37 50 Utah 6.99 -30.03 3.21 ______________________________________ 51 South Carolina 2.68 25.28 3.01 52 Michigan 1.68 39.02 3.01 53 Cincinnati 3.17 9.75 2.59 54 Nevada 4.99 -19.55 2.38 55 UCF 1.23 29.60 2.25 56 Northwestern 0.97 32.60 2.23 57 Utah St. 3.86 -14.29 1.88 58 Pittsburgh -1.84 53.98 1.39 59 Houston 1.74 -4.64 0.93 60 Air Force 1.99 -15.33 0.58 ____________________________________ 61 W. Michigan 2.29 -19.67 0.57 62 Rutgers -0.58 14.96 0.34 63 Iowa -1.37 13.34 -0.27 64 Syracuse -2.14 21.16 -0.40 65 Washington 2.85 -54.93 -0.76 66 Toledo -2.79 13.41 -1.21 67 Purdue -0.73 -15.43 -1.24 68 Washington St. -5.23 41.96 -1.45 69 Appalachian State -5.85 43.72 -1.78 70 UAB -2.00 -11.30 -1.88 _____________________________________ 71 LA Lafayette -1.50 -20.77 -2.01 72 N.C. State -2.53 -7.62 -2.05 73 Maryland 0.42 -49.82 -2.13 74 Rice -2.47 -18.66 -2.55 75 California -1.08 -39.04 -2.61 76 Colorado -6.29 23.58 -3.05 77 Oregon St. -4.65 -5.97 -3.39 78 West. Kentucky -2.30 -40.67 -3.50 79 UTEP -5.22 -15.71 -4.24 80 Kentucky -4.25 -31.61 -4.36 ______________________________________ 81 Cent. Michigan -6.06 -6.98 -4.38 82 Middle Tenn. St. -3.57 -45.67 -4.59 83 Temple 0.01 -95.77 -4.63 84 South Alabama -5.70 -19.68 -4.75 85 North Carolina -5.90 -36.69 -5.71 86 San Jose St. -13.26 41.97 -6.81 87 San Diego St. -8.68 -31.03 -7.29 88 Ohio -8.65 -38.74 -7.65 89 Bowling Green -6.34 -73.78 -7.80 90 Florida Intl. -5.60 -91.63 -8.17 _______________________________________ 91 Oklahoma St. -6.27 -83.24 -8.21 92 Wyoming -8.98 -47.12 -8.27 93 Northern Illinois -8.48 -71.99 -9.14 94 Illinois -6.21 -103.72 -9.17 95 Texas St. -10.75 -43.05 -9.25 96 Texas Tech -12.05 -32.39 -9.61 97 Ball St. -5.76 -119.33 -9.62 98 Miami (OH) -9.48 -71.58 -9.79 99 Iowa St. -8.66 -84.20 -9.85 100 Tulane -13.60 -27.27 -10.39 ________________________________________ 101 Kansas -10.35 -74.96 -10.53 102 Massachusetts -11.76 -57.35 -10.62 103 Buffalo -12.91 -47.88 -10.92 104 Hawaii -9.55 -94.82 -10.96 105 Indiana -11.19 -76.58 -11.17 106 LA Monroe -13.13 -53.41 -11.34 107 UT-San Antonio -10.30 -107.07 -12.05 108 Akron -12.30 -81.20 -12.13 109 New Mexico -10.49 -118.77 -12.75 110 Old Dominion -13.51 -84.44 -13.10 ________________________________________ 111 Florida Atlantic -11.67 -111.78 -13.19 112 Idaho -15.97 -58.20 -13.46 113 Southern Miss -13.98 -87.81 -13.57 114 Connecticut -15.01 -78.22 -13.79 115 Fresno St. -14.83 -129.48 -16.16 116 Vanderbilt -15.49 -129.96 -16.62 117 South Florida -14.97 -160.70 -17.76 118 Troy -18.67 -109.87 -17.77 119 Army -16.57 -146.93 -18.17 120 Kent St. -17.78 -149.49 -19.09 ______________________________________ 121 Tulsa -20.48 -144.56 -20.66 122 North Texas -19.71 -164.78 -21.12 123 Wake Forest -16.06 -218.30 -21.29 124 UNLV -20.97 -151.08 -21.30 125 New Mexico St. -23.27 -148.07 -22.69 126 Georgia State -25.34 -158.56 -24.57 127 East. Michigan -30.66 -240.26 -32.08 128 SMU -32.83 -256.70 -34.33 By Conference: Rank Team PD YD Score 38 Memphis 9.37 3.21 6.40 49 East Carolina -1.22 86.40 3.37 53 Cincinnati 3.17 9.75 2.59 55 UCF 1.23 29.60 2.25 59 Houston 1.74 -4.64 0.93 83 Temple 0.01 -95.77 -4.63 114 Connecticut -15.01 -78.22 -13.79 117 South Florida -14.97 -160.70 -17.76 121 Tulsa -20.48 -144.56 -20.66 128 SMU -32.83 -256.70 -34.33 _____________________________________ 14 Miami (FL) 16.34 133.82 17.38 18 Georgia Tech 15.11 100.36 14.94 21 Florida St. 14.37 69.14 12.93 23 Louisville 10.90 90.13 11.63 29 Clemson 8.00 100.59 10.21 32 Virginia Tech 8.80 66.17 9.07 40 Duke 9.67 -6.21 6.15 45 Boston Coll. 3.69 53.72 5.06 46 Virginia 1.47 70.39 4.39 58 Pittsburgh -1.84 53.98 1.39 64 Syracuse -2.14 21.16 -0.40 72 N.C. State -2.53 -7.62 -2.05 85 North Carolina -5.90 -36.69 -5.71 123 Wake Forest -16.06 -218.30 -21.29 _______________________________________ 3 Ohio St. 25.43 189.43 26.13 5 Wisconsin 21.74 210.98 24.72 7 Michigan St. 20.64 193.35 23.13 15 Nebraska 17.06 101.03 16.27 35 Minnesota 7.59 41.57 7.08 39 Penn St. 4.57 68.84 6.39 52 Michigan 1.68 39.02 3.01 56 Northwestern 0.97 32.60 2.23 62 Rutgers -0.58 14.96 0.34 63 Iowa -1.37 13.34 -0.27 67 Purdue -0.73 -15.43 -1.24 73 Maryland 0.42 -49.82 -2.13 94 Illinois -6.21 -103.72 -9.17 105 Indiana -11.19 -76.58 -11.17 _____________________________________ 1 Baylor 24.35 235.61 27.65 8 TCU 23.32 150.10 22.82 13 Oklahoma 19.36 114.13 18.44 19 Kansas St. 15.66 82.48 14.43 25 West Virginia 8.29 122.11 11.44 47 Texas 3.87 34.22 4.24 91 Oklahoma St. -6.27 -83.24 -8.21 96 Texas Tech -12.05 -32.39 -9.61 99 Iowa St. -8.66 -84.20 -9.85 101 Kansas -10.35 -74.96 -10.53 ____________________________________ 6 Marshall 23.92 166.56 24.02 24 Louisiana Tech 13.99 44.79 11.50 70 UAB -2.00 -11.30 -1.88 74 Rice -2.47 -18.66 -2.55 78 West. Kentucky -2.30 -40.67 -3.50 79 UTEP -5.22 -15.71 -4.24 82 Middle Tenn. St. -3.57 -45.67 -4.59 90 Florida Intl. -5.60 -91.63 -8.17 100 Tulane -13.60 -27.27 -10.39 107 UT-San Antonio -10.30 -107.07 -12.05 110 Old Dominion -13.51 -84.44 -13.10 111 Florida Atlantic -11.67 -111.78 -13.19 113 Southern Miss -13.98 -87.81 -13.57 122 North Texas -19.71 -164.78 -21.12 ______________________________________ 28 Notre Dame 8.91 92.93 10.44 36 BYU 5.47 57.60 6.44 43 Navy 5.71 40.77 5.78 119 Army -16.57 -146.93 -18.17 _____________________________________ 61 W. Michigan 2.29 -19.67 0.57 66 Toledo -2.79 13.41 -1.21 81 Cent. Michigan -6.06 -6.98 -4.38 88 Ohio -8.65 -38.74 -7.65 89 Bowling Green -6.34 -73.78 -7.80 93 Northern Illinois -8.48 -71.99 -9.14 97 Ball St. -5.76 -119.33 -9.62 98 Miami (OH) -9.48 -71.58 -9.79 102 Massachusetts -11.76 -57.35 -10.62 103 Buffalo -12.91 -47.88 -10.92 108 Akron -12.30 -81.20 -12.13 120 Kent St. -17.78 -149.49 -19.09 127 East. Michigan -30.66 -240.26 -32.08 _______________________________________ 22 Boise St. 10.14 123.13 12.73 41 Colorado St. 6.83 29.85 6.00 54 Nevada 4.99 -19.55 2.38 57 Utah St. 3.86 -14.29 1.88 60 Air Force 1.99 -15.33 0.58 86 San Jose St. -13.26 41.97 -6.81 87 San Diego St. -8.68 -31.03 -7.29 92 Wyoming -8.98 -47.12 -8.27 104 Hawaii -9.55 -94.82 -10.96 109 New Mexico -10.49 -118.77 -12.75 115 Fresno St. -14.83 -129.48 -16.16 124 UNLV -20.97 -151.08 -21.30 _______________________________________ 11 Oregon 23.01 84.04 19.41 20 UCLA 12.28 99.83 13.03 26 USC 12.05 67.76 11.32 30 Arizona St. 10.54 54.07 9.65 31 Stanford 7.30 91.72 9.31 33 Arizona 10.10 38.24 8.58 50 Utah 6.99 -30.03 3.21 65 Washington 2.85 -54.93 -0.76 68 Washington St. -5.23 41.96 -1.45 75 California -1.08 -39.04 -2.61 76 Colorado -6.29 23.58 -3.05 77 Oregon St. -4.65 -5.97 -3.39 ________________________________________ 42 Georgia Southern 5.48 47.76 5.97 48 Arkansas St. 3.46 31.77 3.85 69 Appalachian State -5.85 43.72 -1.78 71 LA Lafayette -1.50 -20.77 -2.01 84 South Alabama -5.70 -19.68 -4.75 95 Texas St. -10.75 -43.05 -9.25 106 LA Monroe -13.13 -53.41 -11.34 112 Idaho -15.97 -58.20 -13.46 118 Troy -18.67 -109.87 -17.77 125 New Mexico St. -23.27 -148.07 -22.69 126 Georgia State -25.34 -158.56 -24.57 ______________________________________ 2 Alabama 24.78 220.36 27.19 4 Mississippi 26.22 151.87 24.84 9 Auburn 21.28 166.03 22.23 10 Georgia 22.67 132.79 21.55 12 Mississippi St. 20.45 118.26 19.36 16 Arkansas 14.07 118.01 15.10 17 LSU 15.47 97.69 15.04 27 Tennessee 11.52 69.71 11.06 34 Florida 7.68 41.87 7.15 37 Missouri 8.55 15.00 6.43 44 Texas A&M 6.46 17.59 5.16 51 South Carolina 2.68 25.28 3.01 80 Kentucky -4.25 -31.61 -4.36 116 Vanderbilt -15.49 -129.96 -16.62

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 11 Rankings

For those of you clamoring for two Big 12 teams in the college football playoffs, DUSHEE has your back. The Frogs lept three spots to 2 and Baylor is up 4 spots to 4th. Ohio State, despite that still really ugly loss to Virginia Tech early in the season has dominated the B1G into 3rd. Frogs now lead the country in point differential. Rank Team PD YD Score 1 Alabama 24.80 247.51 28.60 2 TCU 27.68 180.47 27.25 3 Ohio St. 26.10 192.62 26.79 4 Baylor 23.30 228.47 26.67 5 Auburn 25.26 188.30 26.02 6 Mississippi 26.77 163.36 25.81 7 Michigan St. 22.67 209.39 25.32 8 Marshall 23.19 129.09 21.76 9 Nebraska 20.69 145.71 20.90 10 Oklahoma 21.71 128.63 20.74 __________________________________________ 11 Mississippi St. 22.67 112.85 20.62 12 LSU 20.50 127.95 19.90 13 Oregon 23.60 85.22 19.89 14 Georgia 20.59 118.50 19.50 15 Miami (FL) 18.31 146.34 19.34 16 Wisconsin 17.17 160.84 19.29 17 Kansas St. 16.50 85.01 15.14 18 Arkansas 13.73 122.43 15.12 19 Florida St. 15.40 80.83 14.21 20 Notre Dame 11.23 123.94 13.53 _________________________________________ 21 Arizona St. 14.18 80.72 13.39 22 Georgia Tech 14.28 78.06 13.33 23 UCLA 12.43 101.69 13.25 24 Boise St. 10.25 125.16 12.94 25 Clemson 9.86 124.08 12.62 26 USC 13.19 77.81 12.58 27 West Virginia 8.93 129.32 12.26 28 Louisville 11.26 93.85 12.08 29 Louisiana Tech 13.72 41.73 11.18 30 Stanford 8.91 107.24 11.17 __________________________________________ 31 Arizona 10.88 61.56 10.26 32 Tennessee 9.73 60.48 9.44 33 Virginia Tech 7.95 82.47 9.32 34 Florida 9.99 51.08 9.15 35 Georgia Southern 9.08 46.28 8.31 36 Texas A&M 7.83 57.44 8.02 37 Minnesota 6.63 41.08 6.42 38 Duke 10.75 -16.67 6.35 39 BYU 5.71 49.23 6.21 40 Colorado St. 6.92 32.41 6.19 __________________________________________ 41 Memphis 8.25 7.62 5.87 42 Arkansas St. 3.95 56.73 5.40 43 Penn St. 2.72 68.66 5.16 44 Boston Coll. 3.77 52.27 5.06 45 Missouri 8.72 -20.05 4.84 46 Virginia 1.28 69.11 4.22 47 Pittsburgh -0.07 71.83 3.45 48 East Carolina -1.88 92.84 3.27 49 Utah 7.16 -37.57 2.94 50 South Carolina 2.51 25.19 2.90 _______________________________________ 51 Michigan 1.41 36.08 2.70 52 Texas 2.38 19.54 2.54 53 Nevada 5.42 -27.92 2.25 54 Utah St. 3.70 -5.45 2.20 55 Navy 0.28 31.44 1.72 56 Northwestern 0.10 24.03 1.24 57 Rutgers -1.67 38.28 0.75 58 Syracuse -1.26 28.28 0.54 59 Air Force 0.61 -2.14 0.30 60 W. Michigan 0.46 -7.09 -0.04 ________________________________________ 61 Houston 1.05 -16.56 -0.11 62 Kentucky 0.05 -5.94 -0.26 63 UCF 0.24 -8.77 -0.26 64 Cincinnati 1.14 -21.88 -0.31 65 Purdue -0.50 -6.58 -0.65 66 Iowa -1.21 -6.61 -1.13 67 Washington St. -5.41 41.66 -1.58 68 Rice -3.31 11.75 -1.63 69 LA Lafayette -1.35 -16.30 -1.70 70 Washington 2.33 -75.00 -2.10 _______________________________________ 71 Toledo -3.66 3.13 -2.29 72 UAB -2.73 -19.06 -2.75 73 N.C. State -3.70 -7.49 -2.83 74 Maryland 0.47 -66.97 -2.95 75 Colorado -6.51 22.63 -3.24 76 California -1.92 -46.79 -3.56 77 Cent. Michigan -6.82 2.62 -4.42 78 Temple 0.76 -102.04 -4.47 79 Middle Tenn. St. -2.84 -56.00 -4.63 80 South Alabama -5.94 -18.61 -4.87 _______________________________________ 81 Appalachian State -8.81 3.24 -5.71 82 North Carolina -5.96 -36.45 -5.75 83 Oklahoma St. -4.43 -63.57 -6.05 84 San Jose St. -11.76 33.72 -6.20 85 Oregon St. -7.38 -26.56 -6.22 86 Illinois -4.68 -77.69 -6.91 87 UTEP -7.40 -41.70 -6.97 88 West. Kentucky -5.57 -69.27 -7.09 89 Ball St. -4.19 -89.89 -7.18 90 Ohio -9.45 -42.93 -8.39 _______________________________________ 91 Akron -8.56 -55.62 -8.42 92 Florida Intl. -6.63 -83.09 -8.47 93 Wyoming -9.36 -47.84 -8.57 94 San Diego St. -10.24 -49.02 -9.21 95 Texas St. -11.20 -44.12 -9.61 96 Iowa St. -9.09 -90.31 -10.46 97 Northern Illinois -9.93 -80.24 -10.53 98 Idaho -13.64 -33.32 -10.72 99 Indiana -9.23 -96.66 -10.86 100 Bowling Green -8.32 -109.41 -10.88 ________________________________________ 101 LA Monroe -13.00 -48.06 -11.01 102 Tulane -13.52 -42.55 -11.09 103 UT-San Antonio -9.33 -102.48 -11.22 104 Hawaii -10.57 -85.67 -11.22 105 Texas Tech -14.24 -46.33 -11.75 106 Miami (OH) -11.35 -100.16 -12.45 107 Florida Atlantic -11.34 -104.27 -12.64 108 Southern Miss -13.74 -86.23 -13.37 109 Connecticut -14.86 -84.20 -14.01 110 Kansas -14.13 -96.19 -14.11 ________________________________________ 111 Old Dominion -14.21 -95.82 -14.15 112 New Mexico -11.68 -131.79 -14.21 113 Massachusetts -14.57 -92.53 -14.22 114 Fresno St. -13.93 -122.56 -15.26 115 Army -15.08 -130.06 -16.39 116 Vanderbilt -15.21 -131.15 -16.54 117 South Florida -13.11 -165.40 -16.80 118 Buffalo -18.44 -102.50 -17.29 119 Wake Forest -12.76 -205.73 -18.54 120 Kent St. -18.02 -136.20 -18.65 _______________________________________ 121 Tulsa -20.72 -133.07 -20.30 122 Troy -21.09 -135.16 -20.65 123 North Texas -20.48 -161.85 -21.54 124 UNLV -21.68 -150.65 -21.80 125 New Mexico St. -23.32 -152.97 -23.00 126 Georgia State -25.56 -163.28 -25.00 127 East. Michigan -30.80 -267.61 -33.58 128 SMU -35.16 -243.21 -35.30 By Conference: Rank Team PD YD Score 41 Memphis 8.25 7.62 5.87 48 East Carolina -1.88 92.84 3.27 61 Houston 1.05 -16.56 -0.11 63 UCF 0.24 -8.77 -0.26 64 Cincinnati 1.14 -21.88 -0.31 78 Temple 0.76 -102.04 -4.47 109 Connecticut -14.86 -84.20 -14.01 117 South Florida -13.11 -165.40 -16.80 121 Tulsa -20.72 -133.07 -20.30 128 SMU -35.16 -243.21 -35.30 ________________________________________ 15 Miami (FL) 18.31 146.34 19.34 19 Florida St. 15.40 80.83 14.21 22 Georgia Tech 14.28 78.06 13.33 25 Clemson 9.86 124.08 12.62 28 Louisville 11.26 93.85 12.08 33 Virginia Tech 7.95 82.47 9.32 38 Duke 10.75 -16.67 6.35 44 Boston Coll. 3.77 52.27 5.06 46 Virginia 1.28 69.11 4.22 47 Pittsburgh -0.07 71.83 3.45 58 Syracuse -1.26 28.28 0.54 73 N.C. State -3.70 -7.49 -2.83 82 North Carolina -5.96 -36.45 -5.75 119 Wake Forest -12.76 -205.73 -18.54 ___________________________________________ 3 Ohio St. 26.10 192.62 26.79 7 Michigan St. 22.67 209.39 25.32 9 Nebraska 20.69 145.71 20.90 16 Wisconsin 17.17 160.84 19.29 37 Minnesota 6.63 41.08 6.42 43 Penn St. 2.72 68.66 5.16 51 Michigan 1.41 36.08 2.70 56 Northwestern 0.10 24.03 1.24 57 Rutgers -1.67 38.28 0.75 65 Purdue -0.50 -6.58 -0.65 66 Iowa -1.21 -6.61 -1.13 74 Maryland 0.47 -66.97 -2.95 86 Illinois -4.68 -77.69 -6.91 99 Indiana -9.23 -96.66 -10.86 __________________________________________ 2 TCU 27.68 180.47 27.25 4 Baylor 23.30 228.47 26.67 10 Oklahoma 21.71 128.63 20.74 17 Kansas St. 16.50 85.01 15.14 27 West Virginia 8.93 129.32 12.26 52 Texas 2.38 19.54 2.54 83 Oklahoma St. -4.43 -63.57 -6.05 96 Iowa St. -9.09 -90.31 -10.46 105 Texas Tech -14.24 -46.33 -11.75 110 Kansas -14.13 -96.19 -14.11 __________________________________________ 8 Marshall 23.19 129.09 21.76 29 Louisiana Tech 13.72 41.73 11.18 68 Rice -3.31 11.75 -1.63 72 UAB -2.73 -19.06 -2.75 79 Middle Tenn. St. -2.84 -56.00 -4.63 87 UTEP -7.40 -41.70 -6.97 88 West. Kentucky -5.57 -69.27 -7.09 92 Florida Intl. -6.63 -83.09 -8.47 102 Tulane -13.52 -42.55 -11.09 103 UT-San Antonio -9.33 -102.48 -11.22 107 Florida Atlantic -11.34 -104.27 -12.64 108 Southern Miss -13.74 -86.23 -13.37 111 Old Dominion -14.21 -95.82 -14.15 123 North Texas -20.48 -161.85 -21.54 __________________________________________ 20 Notre Dame 11.23 123.94 13.53 39 BYU 5.71 49.23 6.21 55 Navy 0.28 31.44 1.72 115 Army -15.08 -130.06 -16.39 _________________________________________ 60 W. Michigan 0.46 -7.09 -0.04 71 Toledo -3.66 3.13 -2.29 77 Cent. Michigan -6.82 2.62 -4.42 89 Ball St. -4.19 -89.89 -7.18 90 Ohio -9.45 -42.93 -8.39 91 Akron -8.56 -55.62 -8.42 97 Northern Illinois -9.93 -80.24 -10.53 100 Bowling Green -8.32 -109.41 -10.88 106 Miami (OH) -11.35 -100.16 -12.45 113 Massachusetts -14.57 -92.53 -14.22 118 Buffalo -18.44 -102.50 -17.29 120 Kent St. -18.02 -136.20 -18.65 127 East. Michigan -30.80 -267.61 -33.58 ____________________________________________ 24 Boise St. 10.25 125.16 12.94 40 Colorado St. 6.92 32.41 6.19 53 Nevada 5.42 -27.92 2.25 54 Utah St. 3.70 -5.45 2.20 59 Air Force 0.61 -2.14 0.30 84 San Jose St. -11.76 33.72 -6.20 93 Wyoming -9.36 -47.84 -8.57 94 San Diego St. -10.24 -49.02 -9.21 104 Hawaii -10.57 -85.67 -11.22 112 New Mexico -11.68 -131.79 -14.21 114 Fresno St. -13.93 -122.56 -15.26 124 UNLV -21.68 -150.65 -21.80 ___________________________________________ 13 Oregon 23.60 85.22 19.89 21 Arizona St. 14.18 80.72 13.39 23 UCLA 12.43 101.69 13.25 26 USC 13.19 77.81 12.58 30 Stanford 8.91 107.24 11.17 31 Arizona 10.88 61.56 10.26 49 Utah 7.16 -37.57 2.94 67 Washington St. -5.41 41.66 -1.58 70 Washington 2.33 -75.00 -2.10 75 Colorado -6.51 22.63 -3.24 76 California -1.92 -46.79 -3.56 85 Oregon St. -7.38 -26.56 -6.22 ___________________________________________ 35 Georgia Southern 9.08 46.28 8.31 42 Arkansas St. 3.95 56.73 5.40 69 LA Lafayette -1.35 -16.30 -1.70 80 South Alabama -5.94 -18.61 -4.87 81 Appalachian State -8.81 3.24 -5.71 95 Texas St. -11.20 -44.12 -9.61 98 Idaho -13.64 -33.32 -10.72 101 LA Monroe -13.00 -48.06 -11.01 122 Troy -21.09 -135.16 -20.65 125 New Mexico St. -23.32 -152.97 -23.00 126 Georgia State -25.56 -163.28 -25.00 ___________________________________________ 1 Alabama 24.80 247.51 28.60 5 Auburn 25.26 188.30 26.02 6 Mississippi 26.77 163.36 25.81 11 Mississippi St. 22.67 112.85 20.62 12 LSU 20.50 127.95 19.90 14 Georgia 20.59 118.50 19.50 18 Arkansas 13.73 122.43 15.12 32 Tennessee 9.73 60.48 9.44 34 Florida 9.99 51.08 9.15 36 Texas A&M 7.83 57.44 8.02 45 Missouri 8.72 -20.05 4.84 50 South Carolina 2.51 25.19 2.90 62 Kentucky 0.05 -5.94 -0.26 116 Vanderbilt -15.21 -131.15 -16.54

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

DUSHEE Week 10

Highlights: Frogs stand pat at 5. Mississippi State falls another spot and Michigan State climbs up to 3. Tech is 100th ... 1 Alabama 26.48 271.34 30.86 2 Auburn 29.80 200.97 29.65 3 Michigan St. 24.26 220.73 26.92 4 Mississippi 27.61 172.12 26.78 5 TCU 26.33 169.87 25.82 6 Ohio St. 24.95 184.29 25.60 7 Oklahoma 26.69 149.90 25.09 8 Baylor 18.59 214.09 22.81 9 Mississippi St. 24.93 126.64 22.78 10 Nebraska 21.26 151.76 21.56 _______________________________________ 11 Marshall 22.15 126.49 20.92 12 LSU 22.04 125.75 20.82 13 Oregon 23.40 98.03 20.37 14 Wisconsin 18.03 156.06 19.62 15 Kansas St. 19.93 105.34 18.41 16 Miami (FL) 17.30 141.04 18.40 17 Georgia 18.28 100.63 17.09 18 Notre Dame 15.18 123.56 16.13 19 Arkansas 14.28 128.56 15.78 20 West Virginia 12.76 138.26 15.24 ________________________________________ 21 Florida St. 17.19 68.05 14.78 22 Clemson 12.16 132.28 14.54 23 UCLA 12.02 115.55 13.64 24 USC 13.33 83.24 12.94 25 Boise St. 9.27 138.55 12.92 26 Arizona St. 12.06 92.26 12.53 27 Georgia Tech 12.53 75.43 12.03 28 Louisville 10.51 92.21 11.49 29 Stanford 8.86 111.21 11.32 30 Georgia Southern 10.65 76.65 10.83 ____________________________________________ 31 Louisiana Tech 13.83 31.62 10.76 32 Florida 11.06 63.20 10.45 33 Virginia Tech 8.28 86.22 9.71 34 Arizona 10.75 50.60 9.63 35 Tennessee 9.72 64.66 9.63 36 Texas A&M 5.82 62.68 6.93 37 BYU 5.79 54.31 6.50 38 Boston Coll. 5.51 57.69 6.48 39 Penn St. 3.97 75.74 6.33 40 Memphis 7.47 14.40 5.68 ___________________________________________ 41 Missouri 8.61 -20.82 4.72 42 Michigan 3.34 51.02 4.71 43 Colorado St. 5.48 20.57 4.66 44 Pittsburgh 1.08 80.89 4.66 45 Virginia 0.67 81.99 4.44 46 Iowa 3.90 24.94 3.82 47 Duke 8.21 -34.95 3.77 48 South Carolina 3.27 29.54 3.62 49 Utah 7.95 -39.89 3.36 50 East Carolina -2.41 84.39 2.50 __________________________________________ 51 Houston 4.92 -21.95 2.21 52 Nevada 4.82 -26.76 1.91 53 Navy 0.79 27.96 1.89 54 Syracuse -0.23 38.70 1.73 55 Utah St. 2.46 -1.42 1.57 56 Texas 0.29 24.91 1.40 57 Northwestern 0.22 19.72 1.11 58 Minnesota 1.12 6.64 1.07 59 Kentucky 1.25 2.74 0.97 60 Purdue 0.49 4.89 0.57 ______________________________________ 61 Rutgers -2.18 41.31 0.56 62 Arkansas St. -1.62 29.85 0.37 63 N.C. State -1.02 7.05 -0.34 64 UCF 0.26 -13.08 -0.46 65 W. Michigan -0.33 -13.35 -0.87 66 Cincinnati 0.34 -24.39 -0.96 67 Washington 3.68 -75.14 -1.20 68 Maryland 2.06 -59.87 -1.54 69 Air Force -1.11 -16.55 -1.55 70 Toledo -2.99 7.17 -1.64 ____________________________________ 71 Washington St. -5.99 45.21 -1.79 72 Colorado -6.41 37.00 -2.47 73 Rice -4.02 -0.26 -2.69 74 South Alabama -3.98 -5.72 -2.93 75 LA Lafayette -3.44 -22.93 -3.41 76 California -2.21 -47.44 -3.78 77 UAB -4.25 -20.48 -3.83 78 San Jose St. -9.69 50.57 -4.00 79 Iowa St. -2.89 -46.97 -4.21 80 Oregon St. -4.99 -22.68 -4.43 ________________________________________ 81 Middle Tenn. St. -3.31 -59.36 -5.10 82 Cent. Michigan -7.73 -1.50 -5.23 83 Appalachian State -8.51 -0.23 -5.69 84 Ball St. -1.88 -92.11 -5.74 85 Oklahoma St. -3.93 -65.12 -5.79 86 North Carolina -5.93 -38.59 -5.83 87 UTEP -5.92 -47.22 -6.24 88 Temple -0.11 -127.10 -6.26 89 Illinois -4.75 -79.88 -7.05 90 Florida Intl. -5.84 -65.74 -7.09 ________________________________________ 91 Akron -6.94 -58.77 -7.49 92 West. Kentucky -7.64 -78.49 -8.91 93 Wyoming -9.28 -60.78 -9.14 94 Hawaii -9.58 -67.06 -9.65 95 Florida Atlantic -8.99 -83.95 -10.08 96 San Diego St. -12.19 -53.11 -10.71 97 Idaho -13.75 -43.36 -11.28 98 UT-San Antonio -9.34 -104.98 -11.34 99 Indiana -9.92 -100.10 -11.49 100 Texas Tech -14.16 -46.80 -11.72 _________________________________________ 101 Ohio -12.50 -78.61 -12.16 102 LA Monroe -15.04 -49.63 -12.44 103 Miami (OH) -11.65 -99.15 -12.59 104 Northern Illinois -13.20 -88.81 -13.13 105 Connecticut -13.90 -83.42 -13.33 106 Southern Miss -13.77 -99.20 -14.01 107 Bowling Green -12.26 -122.28 -14.12 108 Massachusetts -14.92 -93.29 -14.49 109 Tulane -18.54 -53.07 -14.94 110 Buffalo -17.56 -71.16 -15.17 __________________________________________ 111 Texas St. -16.02 -95.71 -15.34 112 Old Dominion -15.42 -113.51 -15.81 113 Vanderbilt -14.59 -141.29 -16.60 114 South Florida -12.76 -168.05 -16.69 115 New Mexico -13.89 -165.31 -17.31 116 Kansas -17.80 -115.90 -17.51 117 Fresno St. -15.94 -146.11 -17.74 118 Tulsa -19.16 -119.43 -18.59 119 Army -17.84 -139.57 -18.69 120 Wake Forest -14.14 -204.74 -19.39 ____________________________________________ 121 Kent St. -19.07 -144.01 -19.72 122 Troy -23.62 -132.35 -22.19 123 New Mexico St. -22.29 -159.44 -22.62 124 UNLV -22.94 -152.52 -22.72 125 Georgia State -23.55 -167.52 -23.85 126 North Texas -25.58 -195.99 -26.59 127 East. Michigan -30.92 -268.14 -33.66 128 SMU -37.68 -267.92 -38.16 By Conference: 40 Memphis 7.47 14.40 5.68 50 East Carolina -2.41 84.39 2.50 51 Houston 4.92 -21.95 2.21 64 UCF 0.26 -13.08 -0.46 66 Cincinnati 0.34 -24.39 -0.96 88 Temple -0.11 -127.10 -6.26 105 Connecticut -13.90 -83.42 -13.33 114 South Florida -12.76 -168.05 -16.69 118 Tulsa -19.16 -119.43 -18.59 128 SMU -37.68 -267.92 -38.16 ___________________________________________ 16 Miami (FL) 17.30 141.04 18.40 21 Florida St. 17.19 68.05 14.78 22 Clemson 12.16 132.28 14.54 27 Georgia Tech 12.53 75.43 12.03 28 Louisville 10.51 92.21 11.49 33 Virginia Tech 8.28 86.22 9.71 38 Boston Coll. 5.51 57.69 6.48 44 Pittsburgh 1.08 80.89 4.66 45 Virginia 0.67 81.99 4.44 47 Duke 8.21 -34.95 3.77 54 Syracuse -0.23 38.70 1.73 63 N.C. State -1.02 7.05 -0.34 86 North Carolina -5.93 -38.59 -5.83 120 Wake Forest -14.14 -204.74 -19.39 ___________________________________________ 3 Michigan St. 24.26 220.73 26.92 6 Ohio St. 24.95 184.29 25.60 10 Nebraska 21.26 151.76 21.56 14 Wisconsin 18.03 156.06 19.62 39 Penn St. 3.97 75.74 6.33 42 Michigan 3.34 51.02 4.71 46 Iowa 3.90 24.94 3.82 57 Northwestern 0.22 19.72 1.11 58 Minnesota 1.12 6.64 1.07 60 Purdue 0.49 4.89 0.57 61 Rutgers -2.18 41.31 0.56 68 Maryland 2.06 -59.87 -1.54 89 Illinois -4.75 -79.88 -7.05 99 Indiana -9.92 -100.10 -11.49 ______________________________________________ 5 TCU 26.33 169.87 25.82 7 Oklahoma 26.69 149.90 25.09 8 Baylor 18.59 214.09 22.81 15 Kansas St. 19.93 105.34 18.41 20 West Virginia 12.76 138.26 15.24 56 Texas 0.29 24.91 1.40 79 Iowa St. -2.89 -46.97 -4.21 85 Oklahoma St. -3.93 -65.12 -5.79 100 Texas Tech -14.16 -46.80 -11.72 116 Kansas -17.80 -115.90 -17.51 _____________________________________________ 11 Marshall 22.15 126.49 20.92 31 Louisiana Tech 13.83 31.62 10.76 73 Rice -4.02 -0.26 -2.69 77 UAB -4.25 -20.48 -3.83 81 Middle Tenn. St. -3.31 -59.36 -5.10 87 UTEP -5.92 -47.22 -6.24 90 Florida Intl. -5.84 -65.74 -7.09 92 West. Kentucky -7.64 -78.49 -8.91 95 Florida Atlantic -8.99 -83.95 -10.08 98 UT-San Antonio -9.34 -104.98 -11.34 106 Southern Miss -13.77 -99.20 -14.01 109 Tulane -18.54 -53.07 -14.94 112 Old Dominion -15.42 -113.51 -15.81 126 North Texas -25.58 -195.99 -26.59 ____________________________________________ 18 Notre Dame 15.18 123.56 16.13 37 BYU 5.79 54.31 6.50 53 Navy 0.79 27.96 1.89 119 Army -17.84 -139.57 -18.69 ________________________________________________ 65 W. Michigan -0.33 -13.35 -0.87 70 Toledo -2.99 7.17 -1.64 82 Cent. Michigan -7.73 -1.50 -5.23 84 Ball St. -1.88 -92.11 -5.74 91 Akron -6.94 -58.77 -7.49 101 Ohio -12.50 -78.61 -12.16 103 Miami (OH) -11.65 -99.15 -12.59 104 Northern Illinois -13.20 -88.81 -13.13 107 Bowling Green -12.26 -122.28 -14.12 108 Massachusetts -14.92 -93.29 -14.49 110 Buffalo -17.56 -71.16 -15.17 121 Kent St. -19.07 -144.01 -19.72 127 East. Michigan -30.92 -268.14 -33.66 _______________________________________________ 25 Boise St. 9.27 138.55 12.92 43 Colorado St. 5.48 20.57 4.66 52 Nevada 4.82 -26.76 1.91 55 Utah St. 2.46 -1.42 1.57 69 Air Force -1.11 -16.55 -1.55 78 San Jose St. -9.69 50.57 -4.00 93 Wyoming -9.28 -60.78 -9.14 94 Hawaii -9.58 -67.06 -9.65 96 San Diego St. -12.19 -53.11 -10.71 115 New Mexico -13.89 -165.31 -17.31 117 Fresno St. -15.94 -146.11 -17.74 124 UNLV -22.94 -152.52 -22.72 ________________________________________________ 13 Oregon 23.40 98.03 20.37 23 UCLA 12.02 115.55 13.64 24 USC 13.33 83.24 12.94 26 Arizona St. 12.06 92.26 12.53 29 Stanford 8.86 111.21 11.32 34 Arizona 10.75 50.60 9.63 49 Utah 7.95 -39.89 3.36 67 Washington 3.68 -75.14 -1.20 71 Washington St. -5.99 45.21 -1.79 72 Colorado -6.41 37.00 -2.47 76 California -2.21 -47.44 -3.78 80 Oregon St. -4.99 -22.68 -4.43 __________________________________________________ 30 Georgia Southern 10.65 76.65 10.83 62 Arkansas St. -1.62 29.85 0.37 74 South Alabama -3.98 -5.72 -2.93 75 LA Lafayette -3.44 -22.93 -3.41 83 Appalachian State -8.51 -0.23 -5.69 97 Idaho -13.75 -43.36 -11.28 102 LA Monroe -15.04 -49.63 -12.44 111 Texas St. -16.02 -95.71 -15.34 122 Troy -23.62 -132.35 -22.19 123 New Mexico St. -22.29 -159.44 -22.62 125 Georgia State -23.55 -167.52 -23.85 _______________________________________________________ 1 Alabama 26.48 271.34 30.86 2 Auburn 29.80 200.97 29.65 4 Mississippi 27.61 172.12 26.78 9 Mississippi St. 24.93 126.64 22.78 12 LSU 22.04 125.75 20.82 17 Georgia 18.28 100.63 17.09 19 Arkansas 14.28 128.56 15.78 32 Florida 11.06 63.20 10.45 35 Tennessee 9.72 64.66 9.63 36 Texas A&M 5.82 62.68 6.93 41 Missouri 8.61 -20.82 4.72 48 South Carolina 3.27 29.54 3.62 59 Kentucky 1.25 2.74 0.97 113 Vanderbilt -14.59 -141.29 -16.60

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

DUSHEE Week 9

DUSHEE was impressed by TCU this week; impressed enough to catapult the Frogs into 3rd in the new DUSHEE poll. The Frogs earned a 47.0 score for the game (46.8 PD, 325.5 YD), eeking out Wisconsin's beatdown of Maryland (45.1 Score, 48.2 PD, 268 YD) for the biggest score of the week. DUSHEE also punished Mississippi State more for winning a close game against Kentucky than it punished Mississippi for their close loss to LSU, dropping the Rebels only one spot to 4th while dropping the Cowbells 4 spots to 8th. West Virginia dropped from 16th to 23rd due primarily to a -32 Yardage Differential against Oklahoma State. 1 Alabama 27.26 286.91 32.10 2 Auburn 30.19 214.95 30.56 3 TCU 29.58 171.34 28.04 4 Mississippi 28.33 173.18 27.29 5 Nebraska 24.63 212.92 26.75 6 Michigan St. 23.94 219.41 26.61 7 Ohio St. 24.67 186.64 25.50 8 Mississippi St. 27.99 139.33 25.42 9 Baylor 18.17 222.91 22.93 10 Marshall 23.32 138.92 22.29 ______________________________________ 11 Oklahoma 24.42 119.25 22.07 12 LSU 22.58 134.41 21.58 13 Georgia 23.02 104.33 20.41 14 Wisconsin 17.63 155.27 19.29 15 Miami (FL) 17.24 151.88 18.86 16 Notre Dame 17.37 127.86 17.79 17 Arkansas 15.68 150.09 17.74 18 Oregon 20.90 78.12 17.73 19 Kansas St. 17.71 104.38 16.87 20 Clemson 14.13 146.20 16.52 _______________________________________ 21 Stanford 12.85 142.80 15.50 22 USC 15.11 95.23 14.70 23 West Virginia 11.23 139.05 14.24 24 Florida St. 17.11 52.64 13.96 25 Louisville 11.86 114.76 13.47 26 Boise St. 8.40 138.17 12.31 27 Arizona St. 12.36 82.68 12.25 28 UCLA 10.81 94.45 11.79 29 Arizona 11.96 68.12 11.28 30 Tennessee 10.79 73.33 10.75 ________________________________________ 31 Texas A&M 8.32 95.33 10.17 32 Georgia Tech 10.90 53.03 9.84 33 Georgia Southern 9.69 55.42 9.15 34 Penn St. 6.14 102.78 9.08 35 Virginia Tech 8.41 68.19 8.92 36 Virginia 4.08 110.61 8.09 37 Boston Coll. 5.33 73.27 7.11 38 Florida 6.25 60.49 7.10 39 Northwestern 5.72 65.97 7.01 40 Duke 10.86 -7.37 6.88 ________________________________________ 41 Memphis 8.04 27.66 6.70 42 South Carolina 6.01 40.89 5.99 43 Utah 8.66 -18.62 4.87 44 Louisiana Tech 7.21 -5.97 4.52 45 Colorado St. 5.44 17.77 4.49 46 BYU 3.34 39.14 4.13 47 Missouri 8.83 -38.83 4.00 48 Michigan 2.03 39.39 3.26 49 Minnesota 3.55 17.38 3.21 50 Rutgers 0.23 60.78 3.10 __________________________________________ 51 Pittsburgh -0.81 72.81 2.99 52 Syracuse 1.49 37.07 2.80 53 East Carolina -1.39 64.12 2.19 54 Navy 0.88 29.30 2.01 55 UCF 3.50 -16.66 1.52 56 Washington St. -3.27 70.69 1.25 57 Kentucky 1.03 8.77 1.11 58 Nevada 4.06 -35.36 0.99 59 Houston 2.68 -22.86 0.68 60 Texas -0.84 21.02 0.46 _________________________________________ 61 Oregon St. -0.68 9.16 -0.01 62 N.C. State -1.03 12.48 -0.08 63 Washington 4.85 -76.42 -0.47 64 Arkansas St. -4.12 43.09 -0.66 65 Iowa -0.14 -12.94 -0.72 66 Iowa St. -0.55 -9.02 -0.81 67 Utah St. -0.85 -9.25 -1.01 68 UAB -1.33 -5.66 -1.16 69 Oklahoma St. 1.01 -44.83 -1.50 70 South Alabama -2.62 2.51 -1.62 ____________________________________________ 71 Middle Tenn. St. -0.34 -32.81 -1.82 72 Colorado -6.16 34.97 -2.41 73 Toledo -3.83 -0.63 -2.58 74 Purdue -0.98 -41.84 -2.69 75 North Carolina -2.50 -21.03 -2.69 76 Cincinnati -1.61 -44.84 -3.25 77 Rice -5.04 0.92 -3.31 78 Maryland 0.85 -80.99 -3.36 79 West. Kentucky -1.96 -51.46 -3.80 80 California -2.74 -51.64 -4.33 ___________________________________________ 81 Air Force -3.43 -43.81 -4.41 82 W. Michigan -3.24 -48.12 -4.50 83 Illinois -2.54 -77.06 -5.43 84 Florida Intl. -4.42 -60.37 -5.88 85 LA Lafayette -6.83 -41.16 -6.55 86 Cent. Michigan -8.45 -21.10 -6.66 87 Akron -6.34 -53.60 -6.83 88 San Jose St. -12.81 25.08 -7.32 89 Ball St. -4.14 -110.65 -8.13 90 UTEP -9.23 -60.28 -9.08 _________________________________________ 91 Texas Tech -11.42 -30.16 -9.08 92 San Diego St. -11.48 -43.98 -9.79 93 Indiana -8.41 -93.72 -10.15 94 Temple -5.23 -141.77 -10.37 95 Florida Atlantic -9.66 -86.17 -10.62 96 Hawaii -9.34 -94.73 -10.83 97 Miami (OH) -10.48 -86.37 -11.18 98 UT-San Antonio -10.25 -104.30 -11.90 99 Old Dominion -12.74 -75.64 -12.16 100 Northern Illinois -12.64 -89.19 -12.76 ___________________________________________ 101 Fresno St. -12.52 -92.68 -12.84 102 Ohio -13.32 -89.90 -13.25 103 Idaho -15.18 -73.52 -13.69 104 Tulane -17.99 -41.75 -14.02 105 Bowling Green -12.09 -122.84 -14.02 106 Massachusetts -15.06 -92.62 -14.53 107 Wyoming -13.33 -118.00 -14.61 108 Appalachian State -15.95 -84.79 -14.75 109 Southern Miss -14.56 -109.11 -15.00 110 LA Monroe -17.29 -80.89 -15.45 ___________________________________________ 111 Connecticut -17.51 -80.44 -15.58 112 Buffalo -18.58 -71.53 -15.86 113 New Mexico -13.93 -139.85 -16.08 114 Kansas -16.45 -111.30 -16.37 115 Army -17.97 -122.47 -17.93 116 Texas St. -17.20 -137.59 -18.14 117 South Florida -14.02 -191.59 -18.65 118 Kent St. -18.39 -135.41 -18.83 119 Wake Forest -14.08 -202.35 -19.20 120 Vanderbilt -16.82 -179.96 -19.95 ___________________________________________ 121 Georgia State -21.38 -122.50 -20.20 122 Tulsa -21.41 -150.33 -21.57 123 New Mexico St. -24.11 -139.64 -22.85 124 Troy -25.69 -132.43 -23.55 125 UNLV -25.05 -182.75 -25.57 126 North Texas -27.23 -204.75 -28.09 127 East. Michigan -31.45 -250.51 -33.13 128 SMU -38.64 -275.79 -39.14 By Conference Rank Team PD YD Score 41 Memphis 8.04 27.66 6.70 53 East Carolina -1.39 64.12 2.19 55 UCF 3.50 -16.66 1.52 59 Houston 2.68 -22.86 0.68 76 Cincinnati -1.61 -44.84 -3.25 94 Temple -5.23 -141.77 -10.37 111 Connecticut -17.51 -80.44 -15.58 117 South Florida -14.02 -191.59 -18.65 122 Tulsa -21.41 -150.33 -21.57 128 SMU -38.64 -275.79 -39.14 _______________________________________ 15 Miami (FL) 17.24 151.88 18.86 20 Clemson 14.13 146.20 16.52 24 Florida St. 17.11 52.64 13.96 25 Louisville 11.86 114.76 13.47 32 Georgia Tech 10.90 53.03 9.84 35 Virginia Tech 8.41 68.19 8.92 36 Virginia 4.08 110.61 8.09 37 Boston Coll. 5.33 73.27 7.11 40 Duke 10.86 -7.37 6.88 51 Pittsburgh -0.81 72.81 2.99 52 Syracuse 1.49 37.07 2.80 62 N.C. State -1.03 12.48 -0.08 75 North Carolina -2.50 -21.03 -2.69 119 Wake Forest -14.08 -202.35 -19.20 ________________________________________ 5 Nebraska 24.63 212.92 26.75 6 Michigan St. 23.94 219.41 26.61 7 Ohio St. 24.67 186.64 25.50 14 Wisconsin 17.63 155.27 19.29 34 Penn St. 6.14 102.78 9.08 39 Northwestern 5.72 65.97 7.01 48 Michigan 2.03 39.39 3.26 49 Minnesota 3.55 17.38 3.21 50 Rutgers 0.23 60.78 3.10 65 Iowa -0.14 -12.94 -0.72 74 Purdue -0.98 -41.84 -2.69 78 Maryland 0.85 -80.99 -3.36 83 Illinois -2.54 -77.06 -5.43 93 Indiana -8.41 -93.72 -10.15 _______________________________________ 3 TCU 29.58 171.34 28.04 9 Baylor 18.17 222.91 22.93 11 Oklahoma 24.42 119.25 22.07 19 Kansas St. 17.71 104.38 16.87 23 West Virginia 11.23 139.05 14.24 60 Texas -0.84 21.02 0.46 66 Iowa St. -0.55 -9.02 -0.81 69 Oklahoma St. 1.01 -44.83 -1.50 91 Texas Tech -11.42 -30.16 -9.08 114 Kansas -16.45 -111.30 -16.37 ________________________________________ 10 Marshall 23.32 138.92 22.29 44 Louisiana Tech 7.21 -5.97 4.52 68 UAB -1.33 -5.66 -1.16 71 Middle Tenn. St. -0.34 -32.81 -1.82 77 Rice -5.04 0.92 -3.31 79 West. Kentucky -1.96 -51.46 -3.80 84 Florida Intl. -4.42 -60.37 -5.88 90 UTEP -9.23 -60.28 -9.08 95 Florida Atlantic -9.66 -86.17 -10.62 98 UT-San Antonio -10.25 -104.30 -11.90 99 Old Dominion -12.74 -75.64 -12.16 104 Tulane -17.99 -41.75 -14.02 109 Southern Miss -14.56 -109.11 -15.00 126 North Texas -27.23 -204.75 -28.09 _____________________________________ 16 Notre Dame 17.37 127.86 17.79 46 BYU 3.34 39.14 4.13 54 Navy 0.88 29.30 2.01 115 Army -17.97 -122.47 -17.93 ______________________________________ 73 Toledo -3.83 -0.63 -2.58 82 W. Michigan -3.24 -48.12 -4.50 86 Cent. Michigan -8.45 -21.10 -6.66 87 Akron -6.34 -53.60 -6.83 89 Ball St. -4.14 -110.65 -8.13 97 Miami (OH) -10.48 -86.37 -11.18 100 Northern Illinois -12.64 -89.19 -12.76 102 Ohio -13.32 -89.90 -13.25 105 Bowling Green -12.09 -122.84 -14.02 106 Massachusetts -15.06 -92.62 -14.53 112 Buffalo -18.58 -71.53 -15.86 118 Kent St. -18.39 -135.41 -18.83 127 East. Michigan -31.45 -250.51 -33.13 ____________________________________________ 26 Boise St. 8.40 138.17 12.31 45 Colorado St. 5.44 17.77 4.49 58 Nevada 4.06 -35.36 0.99 67 Utah St. -0.85 -9.25 -1.01 81 Air Force -3.43 -43.81 -4.41 88 San Jose St. -12.81 25.08 -7.32 92 San Diego St. -11.48 -43.98 -9.79 96 Hawaii -9.34 -94.73 -10.83 101 Fresno St. -12.52 -92.68 -12.84 107 Wyoming -13.33 -118.00 -14.61 113 New Mexico -13.93 -139.85 -16.08 125 UNLV -25.05 -182.75 -25.57 ________________________________________ 18 Oregon 20.90 78.12 17.73 21 Stanford 12.85 142.80 15.50 22 USC 15.11 95.23 14.70 27 Arizona St. 12.36 82.68 12.25 28 UCLA 10.81 94.45 11.79 29 Arizona 11.96 68.12 11.28 43 Utah 8.66 -18.62 4.87 56 Washington St. -3.27 70.69 1.25 61 Oregon St. -0.68 9.16 -0.01 63 Washington 4.85 -76.42 -0.47 72 Colorado -6.16 34.97 -2.41 80 California -2.74 -51.64 -4.33 33 Georgia Southern 9.69 55.42 9.15 64 Arkansas St. -4.12 43.09 -0.66 70 South Alabama -2.62 2.51 -1.62 85 LA Lafayette -6.83 -41.16 -6.55 103 Idaho -15.18 -73.52 -13.69 108 Appalachian State -15.95 -84.79 -14.75 110 LA Monroe -17.29 -80.89 -15.45 116 Texas St. -17.20 -137.59 -18.14 121 Georgia State -21.38 -122.50 -20.20 123 New Mexico St. -24.11 -139.64 -22.85 124 Troy -25.69 -132.43 -23.55 ______________________________________________ 1 Alabama 27.26 286.91 32.10 2 Auburn 30.19 214.95 30.56 4 Mississippi 28.33 173.18 27.29 8 Mississippi St. 27.99 139.33 25.42 12 LSU 22.58 134.41 21.58 13 Georgia 23.02 104.33 20.41 17 Arkansas 15.68 150.09 17.74 30 Tennessee 10.79 73.33 10.75 31 Texas A&M 8.32 95.33 10.17 38 Florida 6.25 60.49 7.10 42 South Carolina 6.01 40.89 5.99 47 Missouri 8.83 -38.83 4.00 57 Kentucky 1.03 8.77 1.11 120 Vanderbilt -16.82 -179.96 -19.95

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

The Case for Marshall

As we've discussed before, every year there are one or two teams that DUSHEE seems to think way more highly of than almost anybody else. I lovingly call this team the DUSHEE WTF team. This year's WTF team appears to be the Thundering Herd. Not that Marhsall is completely disrespected. They are 23rd and 22nd in the AP and Coaches' Polls. The Massey Composite Index has Marshall at 18 and includes a handful of computer polls that place Marshall even higher than DUSHEE's 8th. But the human polls have consistently put an undefeated Marshall behind one-loss and non-Power-Conference darling East Carolina. And it's not hard to understand why. Marshall, by DUSHEE's reckoning, has had the 114th ranked schedule, with games against Miami (the Ohio version), Ohio U, Akron, Old Dominion, Middle Tennessee, and Florida International -- not a single above average team in the lot. But we know the strength of schedule argument all too well. The strength of their opponents really has no bearing on how good a team they are. Put the 1985 Bears in the Sun Belt Conference and they're still the 1985 Bears. If they beat all their opponents by 70, as an elite team should, the fact that they play a terrible schedule doesn't make them NOT the 1985 Bears. It is really easy to dismiss Marshall because of their schedule. And even from the standpoint of a computer model like DUSHEE, the fact that the team's schedule is not more evenly distributed throughout colloege football quality makes it more difficult to assess their quality, even if opponents' opponents also factor into the equation. So let's take a look at Marshall's performance this year. Opp | MiaOh Ohio Akr | ODU MTSU FIU PD | 5.33 24.17 36.00 | 39.00 25.67 30.20 YD | -82.00 318.00 210.80 | 283.00 204.00 -11.40 So aside from Marshall's first game against Miami, Marshall has done to bad opponents what good teams should do, much like TCU would do against the Wyomings, UNLVs and New Mexicos of their schedule in the MWC days. Marshall beat all of their other opponents at least 3 TDs worse than their other opponents beat them, on average. The closest any opponent has gotten to Marshall outside of their relative dud against Miami (15 points) is Middle Tennessee (25 points). Against their other opponents, Middle Tennessee has been the textbook definition of average with a PM of 0.67 points per game. Let's compare these numbers to the same numbers for East Carolina. East Carolina Opp | SoCar VaTech UNC | SMU USF PD | -13.00 15.20 23.00 | -24.60 2.00 YD | 5.60 171.20 302.00 | -133.80 -2.40 East Carolina has gotten a secondary boost from SEC bias. South Carolina simply isn't that good this year. DUSHEE has the Gamecocks as the 50th best tem in the country. Losing by 10 to teh 50th best team in the coutry isn't that impressive, but ECU seems to be getting credit in the pollster's minds for beating a top 25 SEC team. Combine that with only a 3 TD win over what is now the worst team in the country according to DUSHEE, SMU, when everyone else has been beating them by an average of 45 points. The Virginia Tech win has held up as a solid win and their beatdown of a bad North Carolina team make them an above average team. The 55th team in the country according to DUSHEE; 31st according to the Massey Composite, to be exact. So my word of warning is don't fall into the Strength of Schedule trap that was used against us for so many years. Yes, it is hard to know how good Marshall really is given their schedule, but there is some information there. They have beaten their bad teams a lot worse than other schools have beaten those same oppoenents. We may not know how Marshall fares against a quality opponent until their bowl, if then. But until then, don't dismiss them outright. For informational purposes, here are TCU's numbers against their opponents: Opp | Minn SMU OU | Bay OkSt PD | 33.40 17.40 23.50 | 20.00 44.60 YD | 184.20 79.80 86.67 | -104.80 449.00 Not surprisingly, the Baylor game comes out as the Frogs' worst performance, but even there TCU's PD is almost 3 TDs. And even with that Alabama-A&M outlier, last week's OSU game was among the top 3 performances in the country.

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 8 DUSHEE Rankings

Some pretty big swings in the rankings this week as Alabama, propelled by certainly the biggest PD of this season and probably one of the biggest since I've been doing this, is now first in the rankings. Alabama's PD against A&M was 72.2 and the next highest PD on the season has been Auburn's 55.2 against LSU in week 6. I haven't had a chance to go back and see what the highest PD's in DUSHEE history have been, but I'd be surprised if 72.2 is not the highest. Alabama's YD of 561 against A&M was the third highest of the season behind Alabama's 640 in week 4 against Florida and Nebraska's 565 in week 1 against Florida Atlantic. TCU climbed a spot to 9 getting a big boost in YD and staying about level in PD. DUSHEE doesn't think much of Oklahoma State, ranking them a very middling 64th. TCU is now the highest rated Big 12-2 school, one spot ahead of Baylor. And SMU for the first time has usurped Eastern Michigan for the worst team in FBS ... Rank Team PD YD Score 1 Alabama 29.29 324.42 35.54 2 Auburn 34.57 247.67 35.27 3 Mississippi 29.73 202.10 29.79 4 Mississippi St. 31.45 167.11 29.21 5 Ohio St. 28.91 199.91 29.14 6 Nebraska 25.48 231.47 28.41 7 Michigan St. 23.88 203.63 25.97 8 Marshall 26.73 153.73 25.41 9 TCU 27.78 138.97 25.38 10 Baylor 17.29 232.53 23.00 11 Oklahoma 23.94 118.53 21.81 12 LSU 22.18 125.98 21.00 13 Oregon 23.31 106.00 20.77 14 Georgia 22.86 93.34 19.85 15 Notre Dame 17.21 134.52 18.12 16 West Virginia 11.34 189.19 16.90 17 USC 16.18 120.35 16.73 18 Miami (FL) 15.23 132.93 16.71 19 Kansas St. 17.80 93.09 16.46 20 Arkansas 14.44 133.44 16.21 21 Clemson 14.84 123.42 15.98 22 Wisconsin 11.69 141.01 14.76 23 Florida St. 18.12 54.17 14.75 24 Stanford 12.18 130.75 14.57 25 Virginia Tech 13.66 105.52 14.31 26 UCLA 13.32 101.34 13.88 27 Louisville 11.50 115.91 13.39 28 Arizona 12.69 87.15 12.76 29 Virginia 8.08 147.76 12.68 30 Arizona St. 10.32 112.00 12.41 31 Tennessee 12.27 60.25 11.15 32 Boston Coll. 8.75 102.55 10.90 33 Texas A&M 8.48 97.39 10.46 34 Memphis 10.85 23.64 8.40 35 Boise St. 4.57 106.44 8.30 36 Pittsburgh 4.37 102.33 7.96 37 Penn St. 4.88 95.18 7.95 38 Florida 7.16 55.64 7.52 39 BYU 6.03 61.25 7.04 40 Northwestern 5.65 62.64 6.86 41 Georgia Tech 7.03 37.10 6.52 42 Georgia Southern 6.64 41.21 6.46 43 Utah 9.72 -10.52 5.96 44 Syracuse 3.44 71.84 5.84 45 Louisiana Tech 8.87 -3.04 5.76 46 Duke 9.43 -13.43 5.63 47 Minnesota 6.20 16.44 4.94 48 Missouri 11.29 -56.63 4.73 49 Michigan 3.21 50.77 4.65 50 South Carolina 5.16 21.22 4.49 51 Oregon St. 3.47 42.70 4.42 52 Rutgers 0.84 71.92 4.11 53 UAB 2.75 45.19 4.06 54 Colorado St. 5.39 9.09 4.04 55 East Carolina 0.52 68.52 3.73 56 Texas 1.42 51.33 3.48 57 Navy 2.19 29.51 2.92 58 Arkansas St. 0.52 45.80 2.61 59 Maryland 6.67 -48.90 2.03 60 Washington St. -1.53 39.97 0.95 61 Houston 3.13 -23.22 0.94 62 Nevada 4.64 -44.29 0.90 63 Utah St. 1.46 -3.55 0.80 64 Oklahoma St. 5.65 -60.63 0.77 65 Iowa 1.40 -7.87 0.55 66 Kentucky 0.19 -0.13 0.12 67 Washington 7.20 -101.10 -0.19 68 Iowa St. 0.06 -9.76 -0.44 69 N.C. State -1.52 5.69 -0.73 70 South Alabama -1.69 3.19 -0.97 71 Middle Tenn. St. -0.44 -39.43 -2.24 72 Colorado -6.52 40.21 -2.36 73 Florida Intl. -1.42 -38.97 -2.87 74 UCF -0.15 -69.07 -3.51 75 West. Kentucky -2.96 -31.32 -3.52 76 Purdue -1.76 -50.30 -3.65 77 Akron -3.47 -30.58 -3.82 78 North Carolina -3.64 -32.24 -4.02 79 California -2.08 -58.15 -4.26 80 Air Force -4.17 -51.96 -5.34 81 Rice -6.81 -17.18 -5.38 82 Toledo -7.06 -29.12 -6.14 83 Temple -2.73 -91.95 -6.36 84 UT-San Antonio -5.22 -68.53 -6.86 85 San Jose St. -12.76 31.32 -6.96 86 Illinois -5.48 -69.79 -7.10 87 W. Michigan -5.99 -75.28 -7.71 88 Texas Tech -10.33 -20.89 -7.91 89 Cent. Michigan -9.97 -27.83 -8.02 90 Cincinnati -5.44 -97.10 -8.42 91 Indiana -7.06 -92.37 -9.27 92 San Diego St. -11.34 -36.76 -9.38 93 Hawaii -9.34 -71.93 -9.77 94 LA Lafayette -12.08 -45.24 -10.28 95 Miami (OH) -10.71 -82.18 -11.20 96 Ohio -11.77 -81.60 -11.87 97 Florida Atlantic -12.08 -94.08 -12.70 98 Northern Illinois -13.83 -75.54 -12.95 99 Ball St. -9.02 -149.15 -13.37 100 Fresno St. -12.87 -98.16 -13.42 101 Kansas -14.88 -98.86 -14.80 102 Vanderbilt -12.21 -138.23 -14.96 103 Wyoming -14.56 -116.10 -15.44 104 Tulane -19.47 -49.88 -15.44 105 UTEP -15.11 -115.19 -15.76 106 Idaho -17.32 -86.13 -15.80 107 Bowling Green -14.10 -130.11 -15.82 108 Appalachian State -17.52 -85.93 -15.92 109 Old Dominion -15.06 -122.40 -16.08 110 Southern Miss -16.83 -106.56 -16.48 111 LA Monroe -17.85 -93.01 -16.49 112 Massachusetts -16.72 -114.10 -16.78 113 Connecticut -20.04 -70.51 -16.84 114 New Mexico -14.82 -142.72 -16.92 115 South Florida -14.81 -168.40 -18.18 116 Buffalo -22.13 -89.29 -19.16 117 Kent St. -18.84 -138.71 -19.40 118 Georgia State -21.08 -126.13 -20.28 119 Army -20.85 -146.38 -21.12 120 Tulsa -21.19 -143.38 -21.20 121 Texas St. -22.01 -156.17 -22.38 122 Wake Forest -16.82 -230.34 -22.58 123 New Mexico St. -25.78 -152.00 -24.69 124 Troy -27.36 -136.63 -24.99 125 UNLV -28.23 -183.37 -27.87 126 North Texas -27.56 -197.12 -28.10 127 East. Michigan -34.45 -297.88 -37.67 128 SMU -41.41 -286.11 -41.72 By Conference 34 Memphis 10.85 23.64 8.40 55 East Carolina 0.52 68.52 3.73 61 Houston 3.13 -23.22 0.94 74 UCF -0.15 -69.07 -3.51 83 Temple -2.73 -91.95 -6.36 90 Cincinnati -5.44 -97.10 -8.42 113 Connecticut -20.04 -70.51 -16.84 115 South Florida -14.81 -168.40 -18.18 120 Tulsa -21.19 -143.38 -21.20 128 SMU -41.41 -286.11 -41.72 18 Miami (FL) 15.23 132.93 16.71 21 Clemson 14.84 123.42 15.98 23 Florida St. 18.12 54.17 14.75 25 Virginia Tech 13.66 105.52 14.31 27 Louisville 11.50 115.91 13.39 29 Virginia 8.08 147.76 12.68 32 Boston Coll. 8.75 102.55 10.90 36 Pittsburgh 4.37 102.33 7.96 41 Georgia Tech 7.03 37.10 6.52 44 Syracuse 3.44 71.84 5.84 46 Duke 9.43 -13.43 5.63 69 N.C. State -1.52 5.69 -0.73 78 North Carolina -3.64 -32.24 -4.02 122 Wake Forest -16.82 -230.34 -22.58 5 Ohio St. 28.91 199.91 29.14 6 Nebraska 25.48 231.47 28.41 7 Michigan St. 23.88 203.63 25.97 22 Wisconsin 11.69 141.01 14.76 37 Penn St. 4.88 95.18 7.95 40 Northwestern 5.65 62.64 6.86 47 Minnesota 6.20 16.44 4.94 49 Michigan 3.21 50.77 4.65 52 Rutgers 0.84 71.92 4.11 59 Maryland 6.67 -48.90 2.03 65 Iowa 1.40 -7.87 0.55 76 Purdue -1.76 -50.30 -3.65 86 Illinois -5.48 -69.79 -7.10 91 Indiana -7.06 -92.37 -9.27 9 TCU 27.78 138.97 25.38 10 Baylor 17.29 232.53 23.00 11 Oklahoma 23.94 118.53 21.81 16 West Virginia 11.34 189.19 16.90 19 Kansas St. 17.80 93.09 16.46 56 Texas 1.42 51.33 3.48 64 Oklahoma St. 5.65 -60.63 0.77 68 Iowa St. 0.06 -9.76 -0.44 88 Texas Tech -10.33 -20.89 -7.91 101 Kansas -14.88 -98.86 -14.80 8 Marshall 26.73 153.73 25.41 45 Louisiana Tech 8.87 -3.04 5.76 53 UAB 2.75 45.19 4.06 71 Middle Tenn. St. -0.44 -39.43 -2.24 73 Florida Intl. -1.42 -38.97 -2.87 75 West. Kentucky -2.96 -31.32 -3.52 81 Rice -6.81 -17.18 -5.38 84 UT-San Antonio -5.22 -68.53 -6.86 97 Florida Atlantic -12.08 -94.08 -12.70 104 Tulane -19.47 -49.88 -15.44 105 UTEP -15.11 -115.19 -15.76 109 Old Dominion -15.06 -122.40 -16.08 110 Southern Miss -16.83 -106.56 -16.48 126 North Texas -27.56 -197.12 -28.10 15 Notre Dame 17.21 134.52 18.12 39 BYU 6.03 61.25 7.04 57 Navy 2.19 29.51 2.92 119 Army -20.85 -146.38 -21.12 77 Akron -3.47 -30.58 -3.82 82 Toledo -7.06 -29.12 -6.14 87 W. Michigan -5.99 -75.28 -7.71 89 Cent. Michigan -9.97 -27.83 -8.02 95 Miami (OH) -10.71 -82.18 -11.20 96 Ohio -11.77 -81.60 -11.87 98 Northern Illinois -13.83 -75.54 -12.95 99 Ball St. -9.02 -149.15 -13.37 107 Bowling Green -14.10 -130.11 -15.82 112 Massachusetts -16.72 -114.10 -16.78 116 Buffalo -22.13 -89.29 -19.16 117 Kent St. -18.84 -138.71 -19.40 127 East. Michigan -34.45 -297.88 -37.67 35 Boise St. 4.57 106.44 8.30 54 Colorado St. 5.39 9.09 4.04 62 Nevada 4.64 -44.29 0.90 63 Utah St. 1.46 -3.55 0.80 80 Air Force -4.17 -51.96 -5.34 85 San Jose St. -12.76 31.32 -6.96 92 San Diego St. -11.34 -36.76 -9.38 93 Hawaii -9.34 -71.93 -9.77 100 Fresno St. -12.87 -98.16 -13.42 103 Wyoming -14.56 -116.10 -15.44 114 New Mexico -14.82 -142.72 -16.92 125 UNLV -28.23 -183.37 -27.87 13 Oregon 23.31 106.00 20.77 17 USC 16.18 120.35 16.73 24 Stanford 12.18 130.75 14.57 26 UCLA 13.32 101.34 13.88 28 Arizona 12.69 87.15 12.76 30 Arizona St. 10.32 112.00 12.41 43 Utah 9.72 -10.52 5.96 51 Oregon St. 3.47 42.70 4.42 60 Washington St. -1.53 39.97 0.95 67 Washington 7.20 -101.10 -0.19 72 Colorado -6.52 40.21 -2.36 79 California -2.08 -58.15 -4.26 42 Georgia Southern 6.64 41.21 6.46 58 Arkansas St. 0.52 45.80 2.61 70 South Alabama -1.69 3.19 -0.97 94 LA Lafayette -12.08 -45.24 -10.28 106 Idaho -17.32 -86.13 -15.80 108 Appalachian State -17.52 -85.93 -15.92 111 LA Monroe -17.85 -93.01 -16.49 118 Georgia State -21.08 -126.13 -20.28 121 Texas St. -22.01 -156.17 -22.38 123 New Mexico St. -25.78 -152.00 -24.69 124 Troy -27.36 -136.63 -24.99 1 Alabama 29.29 324.42 35.54 2 Auburn 34.57 247.67 35.27 3 Mississippi 29.73 202.10 29.79 4 Mississippi St. 31.45 167.11 29.21 12 LSU 22.18 125.98 21.00 14 Georgia 22.86 93.34 19.85 20 Arkansas 14.44 133.44 16.21 31 Tennessee 12.27 60.25 11.15 33 Texas A&M 8.48 97.39 10.46 38 Florida 7.16 55.64 7.52 48 Missouri 11.29 -56.63 4.73 50 South Carolina 5.16 21.22 4.49 66 Kentucky 0.19 -0.13 0.12 102 Vanderbilt -12.21 -138.23 -14.96

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 7 DUSHEE Rankings

DUSHEE went pretty easy on us, dropping us down to 10. Baylor now leads the country in Yardage Differential, coming in 3rd overall. Auburn had a big enough statistical lead that it remains 1 despite losing to now #2 MissSt. Marshall creeps up another spot ... if I get some time this week I'm want to focus on their performance. And Eastern Mich. almost pulled itself out of the cellar with their win but is still barely behind SMU for worst team in the country. Rank Team PD YD Score 1 Auburn 35.72 260.40 36.86 2 Mississippi St. 33.18 174.13 30.84 3 Baylor 23.01 275.10 29.12 4 Mississippi 28.35 195.89 28.71 5 Alabama 22.52 266.52 28.36 6 Nebraska 25.00 221.44 27.76 7 Marshall 25.64 190.20 26.62 8 Ohio St. 23.20 164.50 23.71 9 Georgia 25.56 132.08 23.66 10 TCU 27.46 77.64 22.20 ________________________________________________ 11 Oklahoma 26.47 88.16 22.06 12 Stanford 19.79 168.91 21.66 13 Michigan St. 20.86 147.66 21.30 14 Texas A&M 17.26 146.03 18.82 15 LSU 18.96 100.97 17.70 16 USC 16.48 127.30 17.37 17 Tennessee 19.47 87.37 17.36 18 Florida St. 19.57 85.40 17.33 19 Notre Dame 17.23 115.56 17.28 20 Clemson 16.70 119.10 17.10 ________________________________________________ 21 Kansas St. 16.03 127.98 17.09 22 Oregon 19.73 72.02 16.76 23 Virginia Tech 16.25 117.20 16.70 24 Miami (FL) 14.88 131.95 16.53 25 Arkansas 14.83 126.24 16.21 26 UCLA 16.23 93.12 15.49 27 Louisville 13.35 128.74 15.35 28 Wisconsin 11.22 142.47 14.62 29 Florida 15.07 48.73 12.49 30 Boston Coll. 9.06 128.15 12.46 _________________________________________________ 31 Arizona 11.88 82.93 12.07 32 Georgia Tech 12.82 67.98 11.95 33 Virginia 7.04 136.18 11.52 34 UAB 9.27 75.06 9.94 35 Pittsburgh 5.65 119.75 9.77 36 Penn St. 6.19 106.24 9.45 37 Arizona St. 6.70 92.50 9.10 38 West Virginia 3.66 130.62 8.98 39 South Carolina 8.48 57.32 8.53 40 BYU 7.44 53.37 7.64 _______________________________________________ 41 Boise St. 3.99 94.96 7.42 42 Texas 4.68 85.24 7.39 43 Navy 6.32 60.93 7.27 44 Rutgers 3.84 91.10 7.13 45 Syracuse 3.33 96.92 7.08 46 Northwestern 5.41 69.13 7.07 47 Utah 10.30 2.33 6.98 48 Duke 10.27 -5.09 6.59 49 Kentucky 7.14 29.34 6.23 50 Minnesota 7.55 21.63 6.12 ___________________________________________________ 51 Oklahoma St. 9.06 -5.65 5.76 52 Iowa St. 5.91 27.09 5.30 53 Louisiana Tech 8.30 -5.29 5.27 54 Memphis 7.80 -1.65 5.12 55 Washington 12.02 -58.61 5.08 56 Michigan 3.33 49.83 4.72 57 Colorado St. 6.25 7.10 4.52 58 Oregon St. 2.88 44.03 4.12 59 Missouri 7.39 -17.29 4.06 60 Arkansas St. 1.70 56.87 3.98 ____________________________________________________ 61 Georgia Southern 3.96 22.26 3.76 62 Washington St. 0.57 61.31 3.45 63 Iowa 3.16 17.22 2.97 64 East Carolina -0.60 65.87 2.90 65 West. Kentucky 1.22 36.66 2.65 66 Utah St. 3.22 4.62 2.38 67 Colorado -5.40 61.08 -0.54 68 Maryland 3.65 -61.10 -0.63 69 California -0.12 -14.64 -0.81 70 Nevada 1.34 -37.76 -1.00 _____________________________________________________ 71 N.C. State -1.83 1.60 -1.14 72 Akron -1.90 -13.28 -1.93 73 Rice -4.66 -3.38 -3.27 74 UCF 0.01 -69.80 -3.49 75 South Alabama -4.37 -26.44 -4.24 76 Illinois -3.08 -47.28 -4.42 77 Temple 1.18 -105.20 -4.49 78 Florida Intl. -0.91 -86.98 -4.96 79 Houston -3.71 -54.63 -5.21 80 Middle Tenn. St. -4.88 -50.80 -5.80 ____________________________________________________ 81 Purdue -2.89 -77.69 -5.82 82 Air Force -5.51 -45.48 -5.95 83 North Carolina -5.77 -45.77 -6.14 84 Hawaii -6.51 -38.96 -6.29 85 Indiana -5.65 -52.54 -6.40 86 Texas Tech -9.83 -11.08 -7.11 87 San Jose St. -14.01 22.03 -8.24 88 UT-San Antonio -5.35 -96.53 -8.40 89 Cincinnati -6.32 -103.25 -9.39 90 Toledo -10.86 -49.88 -9.74 _____________________________________________________ 91 Cent. Michigan -12.52 -49.75 -10.84 92 W. Michigan -9.19 -96.22 -10.95 93 Kansas -11.68 -63.74 -10.98 94 Miami (OH) -12.22 -83.25 -12.32 95 Vanderbilt -9.89 -135.06 -13.36 96 San Diego St. -15.96 -87.85 -15.04 97 Ohio -14.82 -105.10 -15.14 98 Ball St. -11.24 -154.09 -15.21 99 Tulane -19.37 -46.78 -15.26 100 Bowling Green -13.71 -122.58 -15.28 _______________________________________________________ 101 Fresno St. -15.11 -113.00 -15.73 102 Army -15.47 -110.38 -15.84 103 LA Monroe -17.32 -94.98 -16.30 104 UTEP -16.28 -110.89 -16.41 105 Old Dominion -16.18 -120.60 -16.83 106 Troy -19.83 -74.54 -16.95 107 Northern Illinois -16.80 -115.73 -17.00 108 Connecticut -19.83 -83.45 -17.40 109 Buffalo -21.02 -70.75 -17.56 110 Texas St. -17.50 -118.15 -17.59 __________________________________________________________ 111 Wyoming -15.91 -143.70 -17.81 112 Massachusetts -18.28 -129.76 -18.69 113 South Florida -16.06 -172.06 -19.33 114 Idaho -20.08 -125.72 -19.69 115 Florida Atlantic -17.23 -172.46 -20.12 116 Wake Forest -13.38 -231.21 -20.50 117 New Mexico -18.74 -166.31 -20.82 118 LA Lafayette -22.26 -121.69 -20.94 119 Tulsa -19.67 -166.52 -21.45 120 Southern Miss -24.72 -161.15 -24.55 ___________________________________________________________ 121 New Mexico St. -27.34 -133.39 -24.91 122 North Texas -25.45 -164.94 -25.23 123 Georgia State -26.70 -159.93 -25.81 124 Appalachian State -28.66 -161.85 -27.22 125 Kent St. -27.02 -199.38 -28.00 126 UNLV -31.94 -207.65 -31.69 127 SMU -38.92 -261.78 -39.06 128 East. Michigan -35.74 -314.73 -39.59 By Conference Rank Team PD YD Score 54 Memphis 7.80 -1.65 5.12 64 East Carolina -0.60 65.87 2.90 74 UCF 0.01 -69.80 -3.49 77 Temple 1.18 -105.20 -4.49 79 Houston -3.71 -54.63 -5.21 89 Cincinnati -6.32 -103.25 -9.39 108 Connecticut -19.83 -83.45 -17.40 113 South Florida -16.06 -172.06 -19.33 119 Tulsa -19.67 -166.52 -21.45 127 SMU -38.92 -261.78 -39.06 _____________________________________________________ 18 Florida St. 19.57 85.40 17.33 20 Clemson 16.70 119.10 17.10 23 Virginia Tech 16.25 117.20 16.70 24 Miami (FL) 14.88 131.95 16.53 27 Louisville 13.35 128.74 15.35 30 Boston Coll. 9.06 128.15 12.46 32 Georgia Tech 12.82 67.98 11.95 33 Virginia 7.04 136.18 11.52 35 Pittsburgh 5.65 119.75 9.77 45 Syracuse 3.33 96.92 7.08 48 Duke 10.27 -5.09 6.59 71 N.C. State -1.83 1.60 -1.14 83 North Carolina -5.77 -45.77 -6.14 116 Wake Forest -13.38 -231.21 -20.50 _______________________________________________________ 6 Nebraska 25.00 221.44 27.76 8 Ohio St. 23.20 164.50 23.71 13 Michigan St. 20.86 147.66 21.30 28 Wisconsin 11.22 142.47 14.62 36 Penn St. 6.19 106.24 9.45 44 Rutgers 3.84 91.10 7.13 46 Northwestern 5.41 69.13 7.07 50 Minnesota 7.55 21.63 6.12 56 Michigan 3.33 49.83 4.72 63 Iowa 3.16 17.22 2.97 68 Maryland 3.65 -61.10 -0.63 76 Illinois -3.08 -47.28 -4.42 81 Purdue -2.89 -77.69 -5.82 85 Indiana -5.65 -52.54 -6.40 ___________________________________________________________ 3 Baylor 23.01 275.10 29.12 10 TCU 27.46 77.64 22.20 11 Oklahoma 26.47 88.16 22.06 21 Kansas St. 16.03 127.98 17.09 38 West Virginia 3.66 130.62 8.98 42 Texas 4.68 85.24 7.39 51 Oklahoma St. 9.06 -5.65 5.76 52 Iowa St. 5.91 27.09 5.30 86 Texas Tech -9.83 -11.08 -7.11 93 Kansas -11.68 -63.74 -10.98 ___________________________________________________________ 7 Marshall 25.64 190.20 26.62 34 UAB 9.27 75.06 9.94 53 Louisiana Tech 8.30 -5.29 5.27 65 West. Kentucky 1.22 36.66 2.65 73 Rice -4.66 -3.38 -3.27 78 Florida Intl. -0.91 -86.98 -4.96 80 Middle Tenn. St. -4.88 -50.80 -5.80 88 UT-San Antonio -5.35 -96.53 -8.40 99 Tulane -19.37 -46.78 -15.26 104 UTEP -16.28 -110.89 -16.41 105 Old Dominion -16.18 -120.60 -16.83 115 Florida Atlantic -17.23 -172.46 -20.12 120 Southern Miss -24.72 -161.15 -24.55 122 North Texas -25.45 -164.94 -25.23 _____________________________________________________________ 19 Notre Dame 17.23 115.56 17.28 40 BYU 7.44 53.37 7.64 43 Navy 6.32 60.93 7.27 102 Army -15.47 -110.38 -15.84 ___________________________________________________________ 72 Akron -1.90 -13.28 -1.93 90 Toledo -10.86 -49.88 -9.74 91 Cent. Michigan -12.52 -49.75 -10.84 92 W. Michigan -9.19 -96.22 -10.95 94 Miami (OH) -12.22 -83.25 -12.32 97 Ohio -14.82 -105.10 -15.14 98 Ball St. -11.24 -154.09 -15.21 100 Bowling Green -13.71 -122.58 -15.28 107 Northern Illinois -16.80 -115.73 -17.00 109 Buffalo -21.02 -70.75 -17.56 112 Massachusetts -18.28 -129.76 -18.69 125 Kent St. -27.02 -199.38 -28.00 128 East. Michigan -35.74 -314.73 -39.59 ____________________________________________________________ 41 Boise St. 3.99 94.96 7.42 57 Colorado St. 6.25 7.10 4.52 66 Utah St. 3.22 4.62 2.38 70 Nevada 1.34 -37.76 -1.00 82 Air Force -5.51 -45.48 -5.95 84 Hawaii -6.51 -38.96 -6.29 87 San Jose St. -14.01 22.03 -8.24 96 San Diego St. -15.96 -87.85 -15.04 101 Fresno St. -15.11 -113.00 -15.73 111 Wyoming -15.91 -143.70 -17.81 117 New Mexico -18.74 -166.31 -20.82 126 UNLV -31.94 -207.65 -31.69 ________________________________________________________________ 12 Stanford 19.79 168.91 21.66 16 USC 16.48 127.30 17.37 22 Oregon 19.73 72.02 16.76 26 UCLA 16.23 93.12 15.49 31 Arizona 11.88 82.93 12.07 37 Arizona St. 6.70 92.50 9.10 47 Utah 10.30 2.33 6.98 55 Washington 12.02 -58.61 5.08 58 Oregon St. 2.88 44.03 4.12 62 Washington St. 0.57 61.31 3.45 67 Colorado -5.40 61.08 -0.54 69 California -0.12 -14.64 -0.81 ___________________________________________________________________ 60 Arkansas St. 1.70 56.87 3.98 61 Georgia Southern 3.96 22.26 3.76 75 South Alabama -4.37 -26.44 -4.24 103 LA Monroe -17.32 -94.98 -16.30 106 Troy -19.83 -74.54 -16.95 110 Texas St. -17.50 -118.15 -17.59 114 Idaho -20.08 -125.72 -19.69 118 LA Lafayette -22.26 -121.69 -20.94 121 New Mexico St. -27.34 -133.39 -24.91 123 Georgia State -26.70 -159.93 -25.81 124 Appalachian State -28.66 -161.85 -27.22 __________________________________________________________________ 1 Auburn 35.72 260.40 36.86 2 Mississippi St. 33.18 174.13 30.84 4 Mississippi 28.35 195.89 28.71 5 Alabama 22.52 266.52 28.36 9 Georgia 25.56 132.08 23.66 14 Texas A&M 17.26 146.03 18.82 15 LSU 18.96 100.97 17.70 17 Tennessee 19.47 87.37 17.36 25 Arkansas 14.83 126.24 16.21 29 Florida 15.07 48.73 12.49 39 South Carolina 8.48 57.32 8.53 49 Kentucky 7.14 29.34 6.23 59 Missouri 7.39 -17.29 4.06 95 Vanderbilt -9.89 -135.06 -13.36

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 6 DUSHEE Rankings

Rank Team P/G Y/G Score 1 Auburn 42.88 297.20 43.00 2 Alabama 27.41 381.17 36.76 3 Oklahoma 33.75 203.80 32.38 4 Mississippi 29.19 254.13 31.78 5 Mississippi St. 32.15 177.70 30.05 6 Nebraska 24.69 219.84 27.12 7 TCU 29.06 154.03 26.84 8 Marshall 26.88 179.98 26.64 9 Ohio St. 24.76 172.54 24.87 10 Baylor 21.35 207.63 24.31 _______________________________________________ 11 Notre Dame 22.49 177.95 23.62 12 Stanford 24.17 150.79 23.42 13 LSU 24.08 139.02 22.80 14 Michigan St. 21.31 155.69 21.76 15 Oregon 21.81 134.35 21.06 16 Florida St. 22.79 101.52 20.12 17 Georgia 20.10 104.45 18.47 18 Texas A&M 18.79 111.74 17.95 19 Louisville 16.78 134.72 17.72 20 UCLA 20.03 80.30 17.25 ________________________________________________ 21 Clemson 15.77 130.31 16.83 22 Miami (FL) 15.28 132.52 16.62 23 Kansas St. 16.15 120.02 16.58 24 West Virginia 9.08 214.88 16.48 25 Tennessee 18.22 86.82 16.35 26 Virginia Tech 16.72 107.32 16.35 27 Wisconsin 13.98 143.29 16.27 28 Arkansas 18.48 79.79 16.19 29 USC 15.57 118.27 16.11 ________________________________________________ 30 Virginia 9.90 144.70 13.62 31 Minnesota 10.75 110.12 12.51 32 Florida 13.92 61.60 12.27 33 BYU 10.78 99.78 12.03 34 Arizona 13.42 62.42 11.97 35 Memphis 15.38 20.38 11.24 36 Arizona St. 8.63 106.91 10.93 37 Northwestern 11.08 68.31 10.70 38 South Carolina 10.74 71.71 10.64 39 Boston Coll. 7.27 104.43 9.91 40 Oklahoma St. 11.98 33.83 9.63 ________________________________________________ 41 Syracuse 5.44 119.69 9.43 42 Penn St. 6.08 106.86 9.24 43 Boise St. 5.75 103.82 8.87 44 Pittsburgh 4.17 123.70 8.78 45 Navy 8.29 57.61 8.32 46 Utah 11.53 10.40 8.19 47 Missouri 12.80 -7.20 8.18 48 Louisiana Tech 11.63 2.10 7.86 49 Rutgers 3.33 107.85 7.45 50 Washington St. 4.08 97.27 7.44 _________________________________________________ 51 Iowa St. 8.58 33.50 7.35 52 UAB 2.81 110.75 7.25 53 Georgia Tech 9.25 22.25 7.25 54 Texas 6.63 14.48 5.12 55 Colorado St. 4.51 33.77 4.64 56 East Carolina -0.33 82.78 3.79 57 California 5.08 5.55 3.65 58 Washington 9.31 -59.65 3.32 59 Georgia Southern 3.83 11.97 3.14 60 Michigan 1.88 37.68 3.08 ____________________________________________________ 61 Kentucky 3.49 15.01 3.05 62 West. Kentucky -0.80 59.47 2.35 63 Oregon St. 1.47 20.52 1.97 64 Maryland 5.35 -49.75 1.15 65 N.C. State -0.73 29.78 0.96 66 Nevada 3.18 -27.17 0.80 67 Duke 2.88 -32.40 0.35 68 Iowa -1.63 5.79 -0.80 69 Colorado -6.21 41.22 -2.14 70 Air Force -0.78 -39.10 -2.42 _______________________________________________________ 71 Utah St. -4.08 -4.13 -2.92 72 Akron -4.94 5.79 -3.01 73 Florida Intl. 0.36 -67.87 -3.05 74 Temple 3.73 -121.73 -3.41 75 Indiana -0.94 -74.77 -4.25 76 South Alabama -4.38 -28.65 -4.31 77 Arkansas St. -6.52 -17.25 -5.18 78 Rice -7.95 -11.22 -5.84 79 Illinois -5.23 -50.42 -5.93 80 Cincinnati -2.00 -96.29 -6.00 _____________________________________________________ 81 UCF -2.08 -99.83 -6.23 82 Middle Tenn. St. -6.85 -50.32 -7.01 83 Toledo -8.63 -40.93 -7.74 84 San Jose St. -13.56 23.73 -7.89 85 UT-San Antonio -5.98 -90.89 -8.39 86 Purdue -6.68 -93.62 -9.00 87 Hawaii -8.23 -79.18 -9.33 88 Buffalo -13.17 -22.81 -9.88 89 W. Michigan -9.69 -72.81 -9.99 90 Texas Tech -11.98 -59.13 -10.85 ______________________________________________________ 91 Houston -9.75 -92.31 -10.98 92 North Carolina -11.71 -94.25 -12.38 93 Fresno St. -12.65 -97.37 -13.16 94 Miami (OH) -12.88 -118.19 -14.32 95 Wyoming -13.87 -114.75 -14.81 96 Connecticut -17.00 -82.50 -15.34 97 Vanderbilt -12.32 -148.02 -15.39 98 Ohio -13.55 -148.68 -16.24 99 Northern Illinois -16.56 -120.42 -16.88 100 Army -14.27 -154.56 -17.01 ____________________________________________________ 101 Ball St. -12.50 -180.14 -17.07 102 Old Dominion -18.85 -98.33 -17.34 103 Texas St. -17.88 -112.65 -17.38 104 Tulane -21.48 -64.65 -17.45 105 Cent. Michigan -17.95 -114.85 -17.54 106 LA Lafayette -20.22 -86.05 -17.65 107 Bowling Green -18.96 -112.13 -18.08 108 Kansas -17.27 -137.04 -18.16 109 Georgia State -21.73 -105.27 -19.59 110 Wake Forest -12.48 -235.13 -19.73 ____________________________________________________ 111 South Florida -17.88 -167.75 -20.05 112 New Mexico St. -23.68 -90.08 -20.16 113 UTEP -19.70 -144.98 -20.16 114 Florida Atlantic -18.14 -166.82 -20.18 115 Idaho -20.87 -137.83 -20.60 116 LA Monroe -20.35 -153.27 -21.00 117 New Mexico -21.73 -172.12 -22.84 118 Massachusetts -23.30 -151.16 -22.86 119 Southern Miss -24.45 -137.72 -22.98 120 Troy -26.50 -118.42 -23.41 ______________________________________________________ 121 San Diego St. -24.02 -169.83 -24.25 122 Kent St. -24.52 -192.92 -25.70 123 Tulsa -26.23 -179.51 -26.19 124 North Texas -23.56 -254.88 -28.07 125 Appalachian State -30.05 -172.74 -28.41 126 UNLV -36.68 -230.10 -35.61 127 SMU -35.20 -252.18 -35.70 128 East. Michigan -46.75 -392.38 -50.20 Big 12: 3 Oklahoma 33.75 203.80 32.38 7 TCU 29.06 154.03 26.84 10 Baylor 21.35 207.63 24.31 23 Kansas St. 16.15 120.02 16.58 24 West Virginia 9.08 214.88 16.48 40 Oklahoma St. 11.98 33.83 9.63 51 Iowa St. 8.58 33.50 7.35 54 Texas 6.63 14.48 5.12 90 Texas Tech -11.98 -59.13 -10.85 108 Kansas -17.27 -137.04 -18.16

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 5 2014 DUSHEE Rankings

Upon issuing this first ranking of the season, I'll proffer the same disclaimer that I did last season ... it's early. Really early. TCU has only played two games that factor into the ranking (Samford is ignored as an FCS). There's not a ton of data yet. So after week 5, DUSHEE is a big fan of the SEC. I know. It doesn't make me any happier than you. DUSHEE has the average SEC team 6 points better than the average Big 12 team, the second highest ranked conference. DUSHEE has the Big 12 just a skosh ahead of the Pac 12 and well above the ACC and Big 10, which are about even. Here are the conference rankings: SEC 19.09 B12 13.31 P10 12.75 B10 7.44 ACC 7.21 AAC -8.37 CUSA -9.20 MWC -12.61 MAC -19.58 SBC -20.37 As you can see, the delineation between the "Power 5" and the Have-Nots has become quite stark. And here is the top 25: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score 1 Alabama 29.25 386.27 38.40 2 LSU 37.67 250.50 37.37 3 Auburn 32.50 234.08 33.12 4 Mississippi St. 31.58 187.88 30.25 5 Nebraska 26.10 239.52 29.12 6 Stanford 26.61 219.33 28.47 7 Oregon 31.28 154.11 28.39 8 Oklahoma 30.63 159.00 28.20 9 Mississippi 24.75 221.00 27.31 10 Baylor 19.72 288.17 27.25 _____________________________________________________ 11 West Virginia 21.00 239.33 25.71 12 Wisconsin 24.22 193.22 25.60 13 Ohio St. 23.85 186.44 25.03 14 Notre Dame 25.00 162.35 24.61 15 TCU 24.50 137.17 23.05 16 Miami (FL) 20.50 176.92 22.32 17 USC 20.21 176.17 22.09 18 BYU 22.96 133.92 21.86 19 Virginia Tech 19.63 178.83 21.83 20 Arkansas 24.33 106.33 21.43 _____________________________________________________ 21 Georgia 20.65 114.38 19.36 22 Florida 19.11 128.72 19.04 23 UCLA 22.96 74.38 18.95 24 Marshall 19.61 109.33 18.42 25 Kansas St. 19.56 109.22 18.38 26 Texas A&M 19.46 94.38 17.59 27 Louisville 15.79 134.63 17.12 28 Florida St. 19.17 86.50 17.01 29 Tennessee 18.29 86.63 16.43 30 Michigan St. 17.78 88.67 16.19 _____________________________________________________ 31 Virginia 12.17 156.67 15.78 32 Minnesota 12.81 136.58 15.23 33 Syracuse 13.11 131.22 15.16 34 East Carolina 9.39 156.42 13.91 35 South Carolina 15.52 64.83 13.52 36 Iowa St. 13.61 73.39 12.67 37 Arizona 12.25 79.04 12.03 38 N.C. State 9.17 108.04 11.40 39 Washington St. 10.54 84.71 11.17 40 Navy 10.53 78.07 10.84 _____________________________________________________ 41 Oklahoma St. 13.44 34.28 10.64 42 Georgia Southern 9.46 84.63 10.45 43 California 9.28 85.64 10.38 44 Memphis 13.89 7.78 9.64 45 Boston Coll. 6.63 102.17 9.42 46 Boise St. 2.27 127.73 7.76 47 Arizona St. 4.58 92.61 7.59 48 Kentucky 6.08 65.25 7.25 49 Texas 10.83 -6.04 6.93 50 Georgia Tech 8.00 25.00 6.56 _____________________________________________________ 51 Michigan 3.33 81.87 6.23 52 Washington 11.42 -29.42 6.17 53 Rutgers 3.81 71.13 6.02 54 Utah 7.47 11.31 5.53 55 Oregon St. 5.83 28.50 5.28 56 Northwestern 3.83 43.08 4.66 57 Colorado St. 3.53 41.81 4.40 58 Penn St. -0.27 82.88 3.88 59 Missouri 9.15 -56.25 3.34 60 Duke 4.63 4.37 3.30 _____________________________________________________ 61 Pittsburgh -1.83 91.92 3.28 62 UAB -4.22 88.00 1.49 63 Illinois 1.13 14.50 1.46 64 Akron -0.69 32.28 1.12 65 Cincinnati 5.44 -53.11 1.03 66 West. Kentucky -2.77 42.90 0.25 67 Louisiana Tech 2.83 -43.42 -0.24 68 Clemson 1.67 -32.00 -0.45 69 Maryland 6.17 -100.83 -0.82 70 Iowa -2.13 -0.75 -1.45 _____________________________________________________ 71 Colorado -9.00 61.10 -3.01 72 Florida Intl. -4.83 2.33 -3.11 73 Temple 4.83 -129.42 -3.11 74 Texas Tech -4.78 -32.06 -4.75 75 UT-San Antonio 0.23 -101.83 -4.83 76 Nevada -0.72 -91.17 -4.94 77 Hawaii -3.56 -53.86 -5.01 78 Air Force -4.58 -41.69 -5.10 79 Middle Tenn. St. -4.88 -38.67 -5.14 80 Buffalo -14.44 76.67 -5.88 _____________________________________________________ 81 Houston -3.44 -98.22 -7.10 82 Rice -9.29 -32.96 -7.81 83 UCF -6.46 -92.25 -8.82 84 South Alabama -9.17 -66.58 -9.37 85 Toledo -9.29 -77.38 -9.98 86 San Jose St. -17.11 -20.28 -12.40 87 Wyoming -10.00 -119.75 -12.53 88 South Florida -10.46 -123.17 -13.00 89 Indiana -7.22 -176.22 -13.44 90 Purdue -9.75 -143.50 -13.52 _____________________________________________________ 91 Northern Illinois -14.33 -83.78 -13.66 92 Connecticut -15.25 -74.60 -13.82 93 Miami (OH) -13.44 -102.88 -13.99 94 LA Monroe -14.83 -86.50 -14.12 95 Florida Atlantic -9.93 -162.47 -14.57 96 Ball St. -10.83 -152.50 -14.69 97 Arkansas St. -14.17 -107.33 -14.70 98 Kansas -15.33 -96.78 -14.96 99 Ohio -14.33 -119.71 -15.41 100 Utah St. -17.56 -76.11 -15.43 _____________________________________________________ 101 Fresno St. -16.13 -111.29 -16.20 102 W. Michigan -15.00 -132.11 -16.47 103 Georgia State -19.44 -78.44 -16.80 104 UTEP -14.63 -144.83 -16.84 105 Vanderbilt -13.40 -166.83 -17.10 106 Tulane -22.13 -77.63 -18.55 107 Army -18.22 -141.00 -19.05 108 Texas St. -20.94 -104.61 -19.08 109 Old Dominion -21.67 -101.46 -19.41 110 Wake Forest -12.54 -229.75 -19.60 _____________________________________________________ 111 North Carolina -19.50 -188.83 -22.24 112 LA Lafayette -27.17 -123.36 -24.15 113 Troy -28.54 -109.96 -24.41 114 San Diego St. -23.06 -185.67 -24.46 115 New Mexico St. -27.79 -134.13 -25.09 116 Bowling Green -22.92 -200.88 -25.11 117 Massachusetts -26.23 -174.92 -26.05 118 Tulsa -26.17 -179.42 -26.22 119 Southern Miss -28.75 -147.67 -26.39 120 Idaho -26.29 -181.58 -26.41 _____________________________________________________ 121 Cent. Michigan -27.29 -169.50 -26.49 122 Appalachian State -32.92 -155.39 -29.55 123 North Texas -27.11 -285.33 -32.04 124 New Mexico -31.29 -232.46 -32.24 125 Kent St. -32.25 -240.17 -33.25 126 UNLV -36.46 -222.00 -35.17 127 SMU -35.46 -256.13 -36.17 128 East. Michigan -50.67 -428.50 -54.75 The Big 12: 8 Oklahoma 30.63 159.00 28.20 10 Baylor 19.72 288.17 27.25 11 West Virginia 21.00 239.33 25.71 15 TCU 24.50 137.17 23.05 25 Kansas St. 19.56 109.22 18.38 36 Iowa St. 13.61 73.39 12.67 41 Oklahoma St. 13.44 34.28 10.64 49 Texas 10.83 -6.04 6.93 74 Texas Tech -4.78 -32.06 -4.75 98 Kansas -15.33 -96.78 -14.96 Minny comes in at 32 and SMU is the next-to-worst team in college football, ahead of Eastern Michigan.

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Changes to the 2014 DUSHEE Rankings

Before I post the first week of DUSHEE rankings, I want to discuss some small changes in the methodology. I can hear what some of you are thinking. "Gasp!" you say. "You have taken the venerated formula that is DUSHEE and changed it? What right do you have?!?!" I know. But here at DUSHEE headquarters, we strive for perfection. What I've changed is relatively minor, and will make the "Score" for each team more useful. With the change, the DUSHEE score can be used not only to judge relative value, but also to estimate point spreads or how many points better is one team than another team ON AVERAGE. (Key emphasis, that.) In the past, I calculated a Point Differential (PD) and a Yardage Differential (YD). I scaled the PD to be worth 2X the YM (arbitrarily) and then "normalized" the top Score to 100. For all the gory details in the methodology, see the very first post in this blog. The negative to this is 1) the Score in of itself didn't really mean anything in real football terms (e.g., it didn't tell you how many points a team was better than another) and 2) the Score was only of value for that season; you couldn't compare teams from different seasons or eras. I had little cheats to get around those problems, but rather than keep those cheats hidden, I figured, why not incorporate them into the DUSHEE Score. So here's what I've changed. If you plot the YD (on the y-axis) vs. the PD (on the x-axis) for all of the teams in the FBS, you get something that looks like this: You can see that with some variation, the correlation between the two is pretty linear and in a given year usually varies between 6 and 7 yards per point. So if a team has a PD of 10 points, we would expect them, if they were a "normal" team, to have a YD around 65. But since most of the teams do not fall exactly on that "normal" line, I choose to "correct" their PD based on how much their YD deviates from this "normal" 6.5 yards per point. So I take the teams actual PD, multiply it by the slope of that line in the chart above (6.5 in our example) and get an "expected" YD. I subtract it from the team's actual YD and then divide that value by some multiple (call this multiple the CF for correction factor) of the slope (6.5) to get a "corrected" PD, which is then added to the team's real PD to get the new DUSHEE score. If I use a CF of 1, then the team's YD is all of the DUSHEE Score; the PD is basically ignored. As CF goes up, PD is emphasized more over YD. Right now, I've arbitrarily chosen 3 as the CF. That gives PD an effective 3:1 emphasis over YD. Since the number of games is still relatively small and the spread in the data is higher than it will be at the end of the season, the value of CF is pretty important. Changing from 3 to 2 will make a pretty substantial difference in the rankings. As the season goes on and we collect more data, the impact of changing the CF will decrease. So with this change, you can view the "Score" as the corrected "points better/worse than average" for each team. Ascore of zero means you are squarely average. One other change that I'm considering but can't implement yet is eliminating the highest and lowest PD and YD for each team from the calculation. One potential weakness of this methodology is rewarding teams giving teams too much credit for being able to put up a lot of points on weak teams. I'm still not sure whether this is the right thing to do; I know some other computer polling techniques do it. Right now, there aren't enough data points to be throwing some out. But we'll look at the impact of this as we near the season's end. And with that, the inaugural 2014 DUSHEE ranking ...

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

The Count of Monte Carlo

I've never been to Monte Carlo. But I kinda like the music. Monte Carlo is the stuff of James Bond and European royalty. I don't want to be presumptuous, but most of you reading probably will never go to Monte Carlo. But I'm here to show you how you can bring all the intrigue and prestige of Monte Carlo to your mother's basement or wherever it is you spend your free time playing around with sports statistics on your computer. Monte Carlo simulations have a wide applicability in science and engineering. They're used to model the spread of diseases, radiation, traffic, and many other natural phenomena. At a really basic level, the Monte Carlo technique assumes that while the likelihood of any one particular event happening is essentially random, the collection of a large number of those random events results in behavior that is quite predictable. Roll a (non-loaded) die once and between 1 and 6, you have no idea what will come up. The individual event is random. But if you track the results of the individual rolls, you will see that as you accumulate more and more results, the behavior of the die becomes very predictable. Given a large number of rolls, 1 will come up 16.67% of the time, 2 will come up 16.67% of the time, 3 will come up 16.67% of the time, and so on up to 6. To apply this to college football, we've discussed in the past about the randomness of a team's performance on a given play or even in a given game. TCU beats Oklahoma in Norman, then loses the next week to SMU. But over the course of a season, those random fluctuations average out to some mean level of performance, somewhere between the outliers. If the 2005 TCU team played Oklahoma 100 times, it might have lost 75 of them. And had they played SMU 100 times, they might have won 75. If those games were decided on the basis of coin flips at those odds, TCU beating Oklahoma was the equivalent of flipping two coins and getting heads twice while any other result (heads-tails, tails-heads, tails-tails) would have resulted in a loss to Oklahoma. That pair of games resulted in two consecutive improbable results. Improbable, but not impossible. And fundamentally random. But using information from the 10-12 other rolls of the dice for those two teams that year, we can actually begin to estimate just how unlikely those results were. So how do we determine what the odds of a victory in a particular game is? Let's assume that a team's performance is "normal." That is, a team is just as likely to play a touchdown worse than their average performance as they are to play a touchdown better. And a team is just as likely to be two touchdowns worse than their average performance than two touchdowns better, but less likely than they are to be one touchdown worse or better. In other words, their performance fits the famous "bell curve." Take your favorite performance metric. Obviously, I'm partial to DUSHEE, but you can use Sagarin, the SRS, or whatever metric ESPN is using these days to assess their win probabilities. At the end of the 2005 season, using the DUSHEE metric and ignoring the effect of yardage, TCU was roughly 15 points better against their opponents than an average team was against their opponents. Oklahoma was roughly 10 points better than average. So you can see based on this metric alone, TCU beating Oklahoma, even in Norman if you give the Sooners the customary 3-4 points for home-field advantage, was not an upset based on their mean performance. In reality, the game was pretty close to a coin flip. Also that year, TCU's standard deviation about that average +15 performance was about 12.5 points. Worded another way, roughly 75% of their performances that year were between 2.5 and 27.5 (+15-12.5 and +15+12.5) better than the average team's performance. Go out another standard deviation on either side, and you would capture 95% of the team's performances. So that TCU team was good. Ranked 17th in the country based on DUSHEE. But it wasn't so good that a below average performance wasn't possible. in fact, that TCU team gave about a 10% chance of producing a below-average performance. Oklahoma, on the other hand, had a standard deviation of 10.6 points. They were a little more consistent than TCU. With three things, we can generate a Monte Carlo simulation of TCU-vs.-OU outcomes; a random number generator (the die in our previous analogy), the teams' average performance, and the teams' standard deviation about that average performance. Want the 2005 TCU team to play the 2005 OU team 100 times? 1000 times? A billion times? The equation that governs the likelihood a randomized event distributed about a mean is an ugly one: but Bill Gates gives us a handy little function in Excel that takes care of the math for us (the NORMINV function for those of you playing along at home) which solves for 'x' in the above equation if you give it F (the roll of the dice), mu (the average performance -- +15 for the 2005 TCU team), and sigma (the standard deviation). On a spreadsheet, I've got 1030 games "simulated" between those OU and TCU teams. A screen shot of the first 31 of those games appears below: Column O is the randomly generated F(x) for TCU and Column P is the simulated performance result for TCU. Columns Q and R are the corresponding values for OU. Column S is the "outcome" of the simulated game, taking TCU's performance and subtracting OU's performance. The value could be viewed as the margin of victory for that simulated game. A positive value means TCU won; a negative value means OU won. Cell P5 counts the number of times TCU won and divides by the total number of simulated games; Cell R5 computes the same number for OU. So you can see, our Monte Carlo simulation predicts that TCU had a 53% probability to beat OU that year. Slightly better than a coin flip. But looking down through that list of the first 30 simulated "games" out of the 1030, you can see that OU "won" 20 of those first 31, including 7 in a row at one stretch. At another point TCU "beat" OU 6 of 7. In the top right of the spreadsheet are the maximum, minimum and average MOV for the 1000+ game series. So in one of the 1000+ games TCU beat OU by 65; in another OU beat TCU by 80. On average TCU beats OU by 2. If we repeat this process for the 2005 TCU-SMU matchup, SMU's mean performance that year was about -7.5 below average with a standard deviation of almost 26 points (extremely inconsistent). Using these numbers in our Monte Carlo simulator and SMU had about a 23% chance of winning that game. I don't know if that makes anybody feel any better or worse about losing to SMU that year. Probably not. Maybe Kenny Rogers can help soothe the pain ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVlRx2U-xUA

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 13 DUSHEE Rankings

Some shuffling this week, although not as much as you might expect. At this point in the season, each team has played 8-10 games against FBS competition, so even a big loss (e.g. Baylor to Okie St) doesn't dramatically swing teams, particularly teams at the top and bottom of the poll because the teams are more sparsely populated. There can still be a lot of movement in the middle of the poll because that's where the lion's share of teams are. But it was enough to allow Florida State to pass Baylor, but not by a lot. I'd be happier about this if recent events hadn't indicated that the Jimbo Fisher-era Florida State program seems to be run about the same way as the Bobby Bowden era Florida State programs. Still warms the cockles of my heart to see Baylor spit the bit ... 1 Florida St. 42.52 243.80 92.76 2 Baylor 36.44 312.33 90.42 3 Alabama 29.23 184.10 65.51 4 Ohio St. 25.59 180.05 59.35 5 Wisconsin 22.46 189.96 55.46 6 Oregon 21.56 163.04 51.20 7 Clemson 20.17 145.91 47.20 8 Arizona St. 19.09 150.98 46.04 9 Louisville 17.32 154.47 43.62 10 LSU 18.94 129.31 43.52 11 Oklahoma St. 21.60 71.23 41.56 12 Washington 16.14 140.06 40.24 13 Missouri 19.62 84.45 39.84 14 Stanford 18.31 101.42 39.57 15 Texas A&M 17.63 110.50 39.45 16 Georgia 13.30 149.46 36.75 17 Fresno St. 13.09 147.34 36.19 18 South Carolina 13.78 131.63 35.62 19 BYU 12.56 131.74 33.71 20 UCF 14.38 84.36 31.58 21 Virginia Tech 11.37 125.46 31.18 22 Auburn 15.08 68.44 30.99 23 Michigan St. 12.80 98.92 30.62 24 Kansas St. 14.67 63.23 29.80 25 Mississippi 11.37 110.44 29.58 26 Oklahoma 10.73 107.61 28.28 27 Iowa 11.33 97.39 28.15 28 East Carolina 12.51 79.32 28.09 29 Boise St. 10.18 75.75 24.05 30 UCLA 11.30 58.55 23.99 31 Northern Illinois 10.47 58.39 22.68 32 Utah St. 9.74 64.33 22.15 33 Arizona 9.80 60.08 21.79 34 Marshall 7.92 79.08 20.83 35 USC 9.24 56.67 20.55 36 Bowling Green 8.35 63.08 19.82 37 Texas Tech 5.63 93.86 18.79 38 Houston 12.29 -5.92 18.75 39 Georgia Tech 6.77 73.94 18.49 40 Mississippi St. 5.71 87.34 18.23 41 Miami (FL) 7.00 50.58 16.38 42 Notre Dame 7.29 46.04 16.35 43 Toledo 7.71 22.18 14.50 44 Michigan 8.43 6.86 14.00 45 Buffalo 6.06 21.29 11.80 46 Florida 3.08 59.15 11.11 47 Texas 4.74 28.40 10.47 48 Nebraska 4.20 36.03 10.43 49 Cincinnati 1.82 70.69 10.34 50 Utah 4.80 21.99 9.89 51 Ball St. 5.74 -0.42 9.00 52 North Carolina 4.46 14.55 8.57 53 North Texas 4.86 4.10 8.09 54 Memphis 3.85 19.11 8.08 55 Oregon St. 1.02 59.14 7.85 56 Indiana 5.23 -11.30 7.04 57 Duke 4.99 -21.10 5.63 58 Florida Atlantic 1.15 18.20 3.74 59 Rice 2.13 1.92 3.56 60 Penn St. -0.32 28.51 2.51 61 Minnesota 4.05 -36.62 2.51 62 Pittsburgh 1.78 -15.97 1.11 63 Northwestern 0.71 -2.50 0.85 64 UT-San Antonio -0.32 12.59 0.82 65 N.C. State -1.62 23.87 -0.03 66 San Diego St. -3.18 46.18 -0.13 67 Boston Coll. 2.11 -34.18 -0.29 68 West. Kentucky -4.58 51.72 -1.76 69 Vanderbilt 0.29 -31.88 -2.92 70 Navy 0.91 -41.74 -2.97 71 Colorado St. -0.65 -27.86 -3.98 72 Tennessee -1.45 -23.83 -4.81 73 Tulane -0.14 -51.43 -5.65 74 TCU -1.61 -31.42 -5.86 75 Washington St. -2.32 -24.01 -6.19 76 Middle Tenn. St. -1.80 -40.57 -7.13 77 LA Lafayette -2.60 -46.75 -9.04 78 Illinois -4.00 -36.18 -10.13 79 San Jose St. -7.38 12.71 -10.29 80 South Alabama -3.93 -39.42 -10.36 81 SMU -7.98 17.67 -10.72 82 West Virginia -4.93 -34.49 -11.42 83 Syracuse -5.59 -28.27 -11.79 84 Maryland -7.18 -23.03 -13.74 85 Tulsa -7.79 -27.18 -15.15 86 Ohio -5.09 -68.52 -15.26 87 Kent St. -6.11 -56.83 -15.63 88 Rutgers -6.63 -70.69 -17.91 89 Nevada -7.41 -72.58 -19.35 90 UNLV -8.87 -59.15 -20.23 91 Wake Forest -6.62 -92.85 -20.25 92 South Florida -9.60 -49.82 -20.39 93 Akron -9.14 -59.76 -20.72 94 Kentucky -9.17 -60.21 -20.81 95 Arkansas St. -6.24 -107.79 -21.23 96 Arkansas -10.17 -49.32 -21.24 97 Iowa St. -8.67 -77.81 -21.89 98 Wyoming -11.64 -53.06 -23.95 99 Temple -8.93 -102.14 -24.87 100 Army -13.46 -59.55 -27.51 101 Connecticut -12.83 -69.06 -27.51 102 Hawaii -12.35 -86.64 -28.62 103 Virginia -14.07 -80.59 -30.68 104 Troy -14.55 -88.88 -32.32 105 New Mexico -13.74 -122.56 -34.60 106 LA Monroe -14.47 -113.49 -34.80 107 California -20.41 -48.44 -37.29 108 Cent. Michigan -15.27 -137.54 -38.59 109 Purdue -17.08 -116.78 -39.25 110 Kansas -15.95 -135.15 -39.42 111 Colorado -18.28 -103.00 -39.69 112 Texas St. -15.65 -154.30 -40.96 113 Louisiana Tech -19.39 -102.92 -41.43 114 UAB -19.18 -131.30 -44.10 115 Georgia State -17.80 -153.30 -44.24 116 Air Force -19.30 -151.06 -46.38 117 Massachusetts -22.04 -148.50 -50.42 118 W. Michigan -24.01 -127.46 -51.31 119 UTEP -23.02 -154.26 -52.58 120 Idaho -26.35 -162.74 -58.71 121 Southern Miss -31.95 -151.10 -66.32 122 East. Michigan -29.54 -205.25 -68.24 123 New Mexico St. -30.99 -200.10 -69.98 124 Florida Intl. -32.17 -216.55 -73.57 125 Miami (OH) -28.84 -288.36 -75.92 By Conference: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 9 Louisville 17.32 154.47 43.62 AAC 20 UCF 14.38 84.36 31.58 AAC 38 Houston 12.29 -5.92 18.75 AAC 49 Cincinnati 1.82 70.69 10.34 AAC 54 Memphis 3.85 19.11 8.08 AAC 81 SMU -7.98 17.67 -10.72 AAC 88 Rutgers -6.63 -70.69 -17.91 AAC 92 South Florida -9.60 -49.82 -20.39 AAC 99 Temple -8.93 -102.14 -24.87 AAC 101 Connecticut -12.83 -69.06 -27.51 AAC 1 Florida St. 42.52 243.80 92.76 ACC 7 Clemson 20.17 145.91 47.20 ACC 21 Virginia Tech 11.37 125.46 31.18 ACC 39 Georgia Tech 6.77 73.94 18.49 ACC 41 Miami (FL) 7.00 50.58 16.38 ACC 52 North Carolina 4.46 14.55 8.57 ACC 57 Duke 4.99 -21.10 5.63 ACC 62 Pittsburgh 1.78 -15.97 1.11 ACC 65 N.C. State -1.62 23.87 -0.03 ACC 67 Boston Coll. 2.11 -34.18 -0.29 ACC 83 Syracuse -5.59 -28.27 -11.79 ACC 84 Maryland -7.18 -23.03 -13.74 ACC 91 Wake Forest -6.62 -92.85 -20.25 ACC 103 Virginia -14.07 -80.59 -30.68 ACC 4 Ohio St. 25.59 180.05 59.35 B10 5 Wisconsin 22.46 189.96 55.46 B10 23 Michigan St. 12.80 98.92 30.62 B10 27 Iowa 11.33 97.39 28.15 B10 44 Michigan 8.43 6.86 14.00 B10 48 Nebraska 4.20 36.03 10.43 B10 56 Indiana 5.23 -11.30 7.04 B10 60 Penn St. -0.32 28.51 2.51 B10 61 Minnesota 4.05 -36.62 2.51 B10 63 Northwestern 0.71 -2.50 0.85 B10 78 Illinois -4.00 -36.18 -10.13 B10 109 Purdue -17.08 -116.78 -39.25 B10 2 Baylor 36.44 312.33 90.42 B12 11 Oklahoma St. 21.60 71.23 41.56 B12 24 Kansas St. 14.67 63.23 29.80 B12 26 Oklahoma 10.73 107.61 28.28 B12 37 Texas Tech 5.63 93.86 18.79 B12 47 Texas 4.74 28.40 10.47 B12 74 TCU -1.61 -31.42 -5.86 B12 82 West Virginia -4.93 -34.49 -11.42 B12 97 Iowa St. -8.67 -77.81 -21.89 B12 110 Kansas -15.95 -135.15 -39.42 B12 28 East Carolina 12.51 79.32 28.09 CUSA 34 Marshall 7.92 79.08 20.83 CUSA 53 North Texas 4.86 4.10 8.09 CUSA 58 Florida Atlantic 1.15 18.20 3.74 CUSA 59 Rice 2.13 1.92 3.56 CUSA 64 UT-San Antonio -0.32 12.59 0.82 CUSA 73 Tulane -0.14 -51.43 -5.65 CUSA 76 Middle Tenn. St. -1.80 -40.57 -7.13 CUSA 85 Tulsa -7.79 -27.18 -15.15 CUSA 113 Louisiana Tech -19.39 -102.92 -41.43 CUSA 114 UAB -19.18 -131.30 -44.10 CUSA 119 UTEP -23.02 -154.26 -52.58 CUSA 121 Southern Miss -31.95 -151.10 -66.32 CUSA 124 Florida Intl. -32.17 -216.55 -73.57 CUSA 19 BYU 12.56 131.74 33.71 Ind 42 Notre Dame 7.29 46.04 16.35 Ind 70 Navy 0.91 -41.74 -2.97 Ind 100 Army -13.46 -59.55 -27.51 Ind 120 Idaho -26.35 -162.74 -58.71 Ind 123 New Mexico St. -30.99 -200.10 -69.98 Ind 31 Northern Illinois 10.47 58.39 22.68 MAC 36 Bowling Green 8.35 63.08 19.82 MAC 43 Toledo 7.71 22.18 14.50 MAC 45 Buffalo 6.06 21.29 11.80 MAC 51 Ball St. 5.74 -0.42 9.00 MAC 86 Ohio -5.09 -68.52 -15.26 MAC 87 Kent St. -6.11 -56.83 -15.63 MAC 93 Akron -9.14 -59.76 -20.72 MAC 108 Cent. Michigan -15.27 -137.54 -38.59 MAC 117 Massachusetts -22.04 -148.50 -50.42 MAC 118 W. Michigan -24.01 -127.46 -51.31 MAC 122 East. Michigan -29.54 -205.25 -68.24 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -28.84 -288.36 -75.92 MAC 17 Fresno St. 13.09 147.34 36.19 MWC 29 Boise St. 10.18 75.75 24.05 MWC 32 Utah St. 9.74 64.33 22.15 MWC 66 San Diego St. -3.18 46.18 -0.13 MWC 71 Colorado St. -0.65 -27.86 -3.98 MWC 79 San Jose St. -7.38 12.71 -10.29 MWC 89 Nevada -7.41 -72.58 -19.35 MWC 90 UNLV -8.87 -59.15 -20.23 MWC 98 Wyoming -11.64 -53.06 -23.95 MWC 102 Hawaii -12.35 -86.64 -28.62 MWC 105 New Mexico -13.74 -122.56 -34.60 MWC 116 Air Force -19.30 -151.06 -46.38 MWC 6 Oregon 21.56 163.04 51.20 P10 8 Arizona St. 19.09 150.98 46.04 P10 12 Washington 16.14 140.06 40.24 P10 14 Stanford 18.31 101.42 39.57 P10 30 UCLA 11.30 58.55 23.99 P10 33 Arizona 9.80 60.08 21.79 P10 35 USC 9.24 56.67 20.55 P10 50 Utah 4.80 21.99 9.89 P10 55 Oregon St. 1.02 59.14 7.85 P10 75 Washington St. -2.32 -24.01 -6.19 P10 107 California -20.41 -48.44 -37.29 P10 111 Colorado -18.28 -103.00 -39.69 P10 68 West. Kentucky -4.58 51.72 -1.76 SBC 77 LA Lafayette -2.60 -46.75 -9.04 SBC 80 South Alabama -3.93 -39.42 -10.36 SBC 95 Arkansas St. -6.24 -107.79 -21.23 SBC 104 Troy -14.55 -88.88 -32.32 SBC 106 LA Monroe -14.47 -113.49 -34.80 SBC 112 Texas St. -15.65 -154.30 -40.96 SBC 115 Georgia State -17.80 -153.30 -44.24 SBC 3 Alabama 29.23 184.10 65.51 SEC 10 LSU 18.94 129.31 43.52 SEC 13 Missouri 19.62 84.45 39.84 SEC 15 Texas A&M 17.63 110.50 39.45 SEC 16 Georgia 13.30 149.46 36.75 SEC 18 South Carolina 13.78 131.63 35.62 SEC 22 Auburn 15.08 68.44 30.99 SEC 25 Mississippi 11.37 110.44 29.58 SEC 40 Mississippi St. 5.71 87.34 18.23 SEC 46 Florida 3.08 59.15 11.11 SEC 69 Vanderbilt 0.29 -31.88 -2.92 SEC 72 Tennessee -1.45 -23.83 -4.81 SEC 94 Kentucky -9.17 -60.21 -20.81 SEC 96 Arkansas -10.17 -49.32 -21.24 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 12 DUSHEE Rankings

Forgot to post these last week ... 1 Baylor 42.77 361.89 99.62 2 Florida St. 43.01 255.60 90.31 3 Alabama 30.10 188.49 64.08 4 Ohio St. 26.02 202.51 59.00 5 Wisconsin 23.81 201.08 55.42 6 Oregon 25.55 170.33 55.34 7 Louisville 19.72 175.89 46.75 8 Texas A&M 21.30 142.92 46.22 9 Arizona St. 18.91 155.83 43.67 10 Clemson 19.44 141.81 43.22 11 Stanford 18.54 100.86 38.07 12 BYU 14.98 157.32 37.69 13 Missouri 19.79 71.22 37.32 14 LSU 15.63 101.20 33.58 15 South Carolina 13.48 128.95 32.76 16 Kansas St. 16.74 71.91 32.63 17 Mississippi 12.92 130.51 32.02 18 Washington 13.09 119.21 31.27 19 UCF 14.69 83.61 30.51 20 Georgia 11.54 130.66 29.89 21 Virginia Tech 11.06 122.83 28.43 22 Auburn 14.38 65.00 28.33 23 Michigan St. 11.73 94.26 26.88 24 Fresno St. 10.62 112.86 26.84 25 Oklahoma St. 15.56 20.00 26.07 26 Oklahoma 10.03 107.02 25.39 27 East Carolina 11.30 78.61 24.78 28 Boise St. 11.32 77.87 24.74 29 UCLA 11.82 61.37 24.01 30 Iowa 10.91 76.16 23.94 31 USC 10.73 67.62 22.89 32 Houston 13.76 9.34 22.30 33 Utah St. 9.26 76.74 21.42 34 Texas Tech 6.41 101.55 19.25 35 Mississippi St. 7.15 88.50 19.21 36 Utah 8.56 52.75 18.14 37 Marshall 6.76 74.73 17.34 38 Georgia Tech 6.73 72.47 17.10 39 Northern Illinois 8.56 39.59 16.94 40 Michigan 8.75 28.06 16.18 41 Miami (FL) 7.11 43.67 15.06 42 Oregon St. 4.44 87.57 14.91 43 Bowling Green 7.14 33.05 14.14 44 Toledo 7.20 20.65 13.10 45 Buffalo 6.59 30.29 13.02 46 Notre Dame 5.94 34.97 12.45 47 North Texas 6.48 14.50 11.42 48 Texas 5.11 31.48 10.82 49 Arizona 3.94 43.14 10.07 50 Nebraska 4.15 36.17 9.76 51 Florida 2.81 57.03 9.58 52 Rice 5.13 8.93 8.81 53 Ball St. 5.58 0.84 8.77 54 North Carolina 4.17 12.77 7.67 55 Duke 5.77 -25.01 6.71 56 Indiana 6.01 -30.68 6.56 57 Pittsburgh 3.08 1.98 4.98 58 Northwestern 2.51 5.31 4.39 59 Cincinnati -0.71 41.33 2.66 60 Minnesota 4.30 -45.70 2.53 61 Memphis 1.47 -1.77 2.13 62 Vanderbilt 1.99 -22.21 1.07 63 Penn St. -1.01 20.25 0.27 64 Boston Coll. 2.30 -49.90 -0.96 65 Navy 0.85 -38.58 -2.19 66 San Diego St. -4.42 47.45 -2.56 67 Florida Atlantic -1.77 -3.31 -3.06 68 Colorado St. -0.31 -35.78 -3.74 69 Middle Tenn. St. -1.09 -31.82 -4.59 70 Illinois -1.53 -28.60 -4.99 71 Tennessee -1.78 -24.53 -5.00 72 UT-San Antonio -3.15 -2.53 -5.14 73 Washington St. -1.96 -23.94 -5.23 74 N.C. State -3.68 3.40 -5.43 75 Ohio -1.74 -32.84 -5.70 76 TCU -1.93 -33.40 -6.05 77 LA Lafayette -2.60 -46.21 -8.26 78 West Virginia -4.05 -30.45 -9.09 79 SMU -8.18 30.44 -9.96 80 West. Kentucky -8.64 24.77 -11.20 81 Kentucky -5.83 -34.45 -12.22 82 Syracuse -6.31 -37.28 -13.23 83 San Jose St. -8.55 -1.85 -13.49 84 Arkansas St. -4.08 -81.53 -13.79 85 Maryland -8.48 -7.03 -13.86 86 Tulane -4.18 -81.20 -13.91 87 Rutgers -6.07 -59.80 -14.92 88 South Alabama -7.05 -58.94 -16.36 89 Arkansas -9.24 -33.86 -17.48 90 Nevada -7.98 -78.23 -19.57 91 Tulsa -10.12 -43.10 -19.70 92 Temple -6.20 -112.44 -19.91 93 South Florida -9.59 -57.76 -20.20 94 Akron -9.37 -64.32 -20.46 95 Wake Forest -8.03 -92.29 -20.92 96 Wyoming -10.46 -60.57 -21.81 97 UNLV -11.14 -71.79 -23.89 98 Iowa St. -10.65 -90.99 -24.89 99 Kent St. -10.62 -104.64 -26.09 100 Virginia -12.92 -67.02 -26.24 101 Kansas -10.95 -104.69 -26.60 102 Hawaii -12.69 -77.58 -26.85 103 Connecticut -14.80 -45.87 -27.24 104 Army -14.14 -66.07 -28.05 105 New Mexico -12.87 -102.66 -29.41 106 California -18.11 -29.33 -30.89 107 LA Monroe -13.55 -110.29 -31.17 108 Troy -15.67 -98.47 -33.39 109 Texas St. -14.39 -150.98 -36.19 110 Colorado -17.97 -96.33 -36.78 111 Purdue -17.59 -112.13 -37.63 112 Louisiana Tech -18.71 -105.02 -38.72 113 Air Force -18.15 -138.11 -40.87 114 Cent. Michigan -18.29 -145.60 -41.77 115 UTEP -19.85 -129.82 -42.76 116 Massachusetts -19.13 -146.73 -43.18 117 Georgia State -20.03 -198.34 -49.29 118 UAB -23.60 -145.84 -50.07 119 W. Michigan -24.67 -134.65 -50.71 120 Idaho -26.62 -180.88 -57.96 121 East. Michigan -28.47 -181.08 -60.86 122 New Mexico St. -28.40 -184.42 -61.05 123 Southern Miss -33.01 -153.41 -65.42 124 Florida Intl. -33.85 -221.71 -72.95 125 Miami (OH) -30.11 -302.73 -74.52

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 11 DUSHEE Ratings

Some shuffling in the top 10 as Oregon falls to 5 and Stanford climbs to 9. I promised some more commentary last week on which I did not deliver, so I'll try to touch some of those subjects this week ... 1 Baylor 44.27 365.45 100.00 2 Florida St. 42.12 256.35 86.90 3 Alabama 31.96 176.02 64.26 4 Ohio St. 26.69 209.70 59.34 5 Oregon 25.87 190.07 56.31 6 Louisville 21.52 182.47 49.05 7 Wisconsin 20.83 179.81 47.76 8 Texas A&M 20.15 133.68 42.57 9 Stanford 21.28 112.20 42.34 10 Arizona St. 17.94 164.18 41.98 11 Clemson 18.36 140.72 40.49 12 Missouri 20.54 79.68 38.28 13 Kansas St. 20.16 83.65 38.07 14 BYU 15.43 155.74 37.41 15 South Carolina 14.69 133.43 34.28 16 LSU 16.20 101.65 33.70 17 UCF 16.54 90.80 33.23 18 Virginia Tech 13.54 138.04 32.96 19 Washington 13.95 122.71 32.20 20 Georgia 11.80 146.73 31.11 21 Mississippi 12.41 94.39 27.30 22 Michigan St. 11.25 106.40 26.63 23 Fresno St. 10.60 113.52 26.29 24 Auburn 14.07 51.93 25.98 25 Oklahoma 9.44 117.08 24.86 26 Oklahoma St. 14.04 24.29 23.44 27 Iowa 10.81 77.02 23.31 28 USC 10.58 76.09 22.88 29 Georgia Tech 9.76 86.42 22.57 30 Utah St. 9.68 80.04 21.87 31 UCLA 10.83 59.40 21.75 32 Houston 13.86 7.48 21.65 33 Utah 9.81 58.23 20.11 34 East Carolina 8.38 72.70 19.24 35 Marshall 8.80 62.48 18.96 36 Miami (FL) 9.34 49.85 18.64 37 Mississippi St. 5.86 106.13 18.45 38 Michigan 9.05 32.17 16.60 39 Boise St. 7.61 53.03 16.31 40 Texas Tech 5.04 93.81 16.10 41 Arizona 6.30 62.12 15.15 42 Indiana 9.54 -3.40 14.14 43 Buffalo 7.99 20.64 13.96 44 North Texas 7.83 21.44 13.79 45 Oregon St. 4.16 72.38 12.83 46 Notre Dame 5.36 36.12 11.37 47 Texas 5.99 20.47 10.92 48 Nebraska 5.45 28.43 10.81 49 Florida 2.64 61.66 9.56 50 North Carolina 4.38 23.17 8.73 51 Toledo 4.48 17.75 8.38 52 Northern Illinois 3.71 19.17 7.34 53 Ball St. 5.08 -13.64 6.46 54 Pittsburgh 4.11 -1.03 6.13 55 Northwestern 3.10 4.89 5.13 56 Duke 4.17 -18.08 4.68 57 Minnesota 5.46 -40.04 4.65 58 Penn St. 0.93 18.37 3.07 59 Bowling Green 1.24 7.02 2.51 60 Ohio 2.60 -15.93 2.49 61 Memphis 0.21 18.30 1.97 62 N.C. State -1.31 36.94 1.36 63 Vanderbilt 1.80 -22.00 0.74 64 San Diego St. -3.58 47.90 -1.10 65 West Virginia -0.26 -13.68 -1.63 66 Tennessee -0.63 -15.83 -2.39 67 Rice -0.19 -28.04 -2.81 68 San Jose St. -4.72 27.24 -4.69 69 LA Lafayette -1.59 -25.37 -4.70 70 Florida Atlantic -2.26 -16.05 -4.88 71 Boston Coll. 0.81 -70.18 -5.11 72 UT-San Antonio -3.23 -3.78 -5.23 73 Illinois -1.61 -32.98 -5.41 74 Middle Tenn. St. -1.86 -34.43 -5.93 75 Cincinnati -5.64 20.97 -6.64 76 Kentucky -4.03 -20.75 -7.98 77 Washington St. -3.60 -32.71 -8.40 78 SMU -8.75 49.75 -8.75 79 TCU -3.81 -35.31 -8.96 80 South Alabama -4.26 -32.34 -9.36 81 Navy -2.29 -66.49 -9.48 82 Rutgers -3.95 -49.49 -10.44 83 West. Kentucky -8.56 26.54 -10.56 84 Syracuse -4.85 -37.52 -10.73 85 Colorado St. -4.06 -54.15 -11.04 86 Tulane -3.54 -73.12 -11.96 87 Wyoming -6.87 -40.00 -14.00 88 Arkansas -8.79 -33.80 -16.36 89 Arkansas St. -6.25 -79.57 -16.65 90 Maryland -9.96 -23.08 -17.16 91 Akron -7.87 -59.24 -17.27 92 Iowa St. -7.09 -72.89 -17.31 93 Wake Forest -7.65 -92.07 -19.89 94 California -14.15 1.51 -21.28 95 South Florida -9.37 -78.90 -21.31 96 UNLV -11.40 -72.19 -23.77 97 Temple -9.03 -118.70 -24.38 98 Virginia -12.46 -63.36 -24.57 99 Connecticut -13.24 -54.37 -24.96 100 Tulsa -14.35 -45.05 -25.78 101 Army -13.46 -64.15 -26.16 102 New Mexico -12.11 -103.23 -27.65 103 Kansas -12.27 -101.96 -27.77 104 Nevada -12.02 -106.85 -27.85 105 Troy -14.62 -64.33 -27.94 106 Hawaii -13.76 -80.02 -28.05 107 Kent St. -11.23 -122.70 -28.08 108 LA Monroe -13.76 -111.00 -30.85 109 Texas St. -12.36 -149.10 -32.17 110 Purdue -17.50 -99.57 -35.48 111 Louisiana Tech -18.37 -94.60 -36.35 112 Colorado -18.88 -103.79 -37.95 113 Cent. Michigan -17.35 -137.72 -38.69 114 Air Force -19.00 -146.22 -41.95 115 UTEP -21.55 -143.42 -45.56 116 Massachusetts -21.34 -169.12 -47.57 117 UAB -23.27 -147.34 -48.53 118 W. Michigan -24.96 -142.22 -50.63 119 Georgia State -21.33 -242.61 -54.19 120 East. Michigan -27.38 -177.02 -57.42 121 Idaho -27.10 -186.73 -57.88 122 New Mexico St. -29.47 -195.72 -62.27 123 Southern Miss -32.62 -154.25 -63.30 124 Florida Intl. -32.61 -207.70 -68.11 125 Miami (OH) -30.84 -301.74 -73.92 By Conference: 6 Louisville 21.52 182.47 49.05 AAC 17 UCF 16.54 90.80 33.23 AAC 32 Houston 13.86 7.48 21.65 AAC 61 Memphis 0.21 18.30 1.97 AAC 75 Cincinnati -5.64 20.97 -6.64 AAC 78 SMU -8.75 49.75 -8.75 AAC 82 Rutgers -3.95 -49.49 -10.44 AAC 95 South Florida -9.37 -78.90 -21.31 AAC 97 Temple -9.03 -118.70 -24.38 AAC 99 Connecticut -13.24 -54.37 -24.96 AAC 2 Florida St. 42.12 256.35 86.90 ACC 11 Clemson 18.36 140.72 40.49 ACC 18 Virginia Tech 13.54 138.04 32.96 ACC 29 Georgia Tech 9.76 86.42 22.57 ACC 36 Miami (FL) 9.34 49.85 18.64 ACC 50 North Carolina 4.38 23.17 8.73 ACC 54 Pittsburgh 4.11 -1.03 6.13 ACC 56 Duke 4.17 -18.08 4.68 ACC 62 N.C. State -1.31 36.94 1.36 ACC 71 Boston Coll. 0.81 -70.18 -5.11 ACC 84 Syracuse -4.85 -37.52 -10.73 ACC 90 Maryland -9.96 -23.08 -17.16 ACC 93 Wake Forest -7.65 -92.07 -19.89 ACC 98 Virginia -12.46 -63.36 -24.57 ACC 4 Ohio St. 26.69 209.70 59.34 B10 7 Wisconsin 20.83 179.81 47.76 B10 22 Michigan St. 11.25 106.40 26.63 B10 27 Iowa 10.81 77.02 23.31 B10 38 Michigan 9.05 32.17 16.60 B10 42 Indiana 9.54 -3.40 14.14 B10 48 Nebraska 5.45 28.43 10.81 B10 55 Northwestern 3.10 4.89 5.13 B10 57 Minnesota 5.46 -40.04 4.65 B10 58 Penn St. 0.93 18.37 3.07 B10 73 Illinois -1.61 -32.98 -5.41 B10 110 Purdue -17.50 -99.57 -35.48 B10 1 Baylor 44.27 365.45 100.00 B12 13 Kansas St. 20.16 83.65 38.07 B12 25 Oklahoma 9.44 117.08 24.86 B12 26 Oklahoma St. 14.04 24.29 23.44 B12 40 Texas Tech 5.04 93.81 16.10 B12 47 Texas 5.99 20.47 10.92 B12 65 West Virginia -0.26 -13.68 -1.63 B12 79 TCU -3.81 -35.31 -8.96 B12 92 Iowa St. -7.09 -72.89 -17.31 B12 103 Kansas -12.27 -101.96 -27.77 B12 34 East Carolina 8.38 72.70 19.24 CUSA 35 Marshall 8.80 62.48 18.96 CUSA 44 North Texas 7.83 21.44 13.79 CUSA 67 Rice -0.19 -28.04 -2.81 CUSA 70 Florida Atlantic -2.26 -16.05 -4.88 CUSA 72 UT-San Antonio -3.23 -3.78 -5.23 CUSA 74 Middle Tenn. St. -1.86 -34.43 -5.93 CUSA 86 Tulane -3.54 -73.12 -11.96 CUSA 100 Tulsa -14.35 -45.05 -25.78 CUSA 111 Louisiana Tech -18.37 -94.60 -36.35 CUSA 115 UTEP -21.55 -143.42 -45.56 CUSA 117 UAB -23.27 -147.34 -48.53 CUSA 123 Southern Miss -32.62 -154.25 -63.30 CUSA 124 Florida Intl. -32.61 -207.70 -68.11 CUSA 14 BYU 15.43 155.74 37.41 Ind 46 Notre Dame 5.36 36.12 11.37 Ind 81 Navy -2.29 -66.49 -9.48 Ind 101 Army -13.46 -64.15 -26.16 Ind 120 Idaho -27.10 -186.73 -57.88 Ind 122 New Mexico St. -29.47 -195.72 -62.27 Ind 43 Buffalo 7.99 20.64 13.96 MAC 51 Toledo 4.48 17.75 8.38 MAC 52 Northern Illinois 3.71 19.17 7.34 MAC 53 Ball St. 5.08 -13.64 6.46 MAC 59 Bowling Green 1.24 7.02 2.51 MAC 60 Ohio 2.60 -15.93 2.49 MAC 91 Akron -7.87 -59.24 -17.27 MAC 107 Kent St. -11.23 -122.70 -28.08 MAC 113 Cent. Michigan -17.35 -137.72 -38.69 MAC 116 Massachusetts -21.34 -169.12 -47.57 MAC 118 W. Michigan -24.96 -142.22 -50.63 MAC 119 East. Michigan -27.38 -177.02 -57.42 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -30.84 -301.74 -73.92 MAC 23 Fresno St. 10.60 113.52 26.29 MWC 30 Utah St. 9.68 80.04 21.87 MWC 39 Boise St. 7.61 53.03 16.31 MWC 64 San Diego St. -3.58 47.90 -1.10 MWC 68 San Jose St. -4.72 27.24 -4.69 MWC 85 Colorado St. -4.06 -54.15 -11.04 MWC 87 Wyoming -6.87 -40.00 -14.00 MWC 96 UNLV -11.40 -72.19 -23.77 MWC 102 New Mexico -12.11 -103.23 -27.65 MWC 104 Nevada -12.02 -106.85 -27.85 MWC 106 Hawaii -13.76 -80.02 -28.05 MWC 114 Air Force -19.00 -146.22 -41.95 MWC 5 Oregon 25.87 190.07 56.31 P10 9 Stanford 21.28 112.20 42.34 P10 10 Arizona St. 17.94 164.18 41.98 P10 19 Washington 13.95 122.71 32.20 P10 28 USC 10.58 76.09 22.88 P10 31 UCLA 10.83 59.40 21.75 P10 33 Utah 9.81 58.23 20.11 P10 41 Arizona 6.30 62.12 15.15 P10 45 Oregon St. 4.16 72.38 12.83 P10 77 Washington St. -3.60 -32.71 -8.40 P10 94 California -14.15 1.51 -21.28 P10 112 Colorado -18.88 -103.79 -37.95 P10 69 LA Lafayette -1.59 -25.37 -4.70 SBC 80 South Alabama -4.26 -32.34 -9.36 SBC 83 West. Kentucky -8.56 26.54 -10.56 SBC 89 Arkansas St. -6.25 -79.57 -16.65 SBC 105 Troy -14.62 -64.33 -27.94 SBC 108 LA Monroe -13.76 -111.00 -30.85 SBC 109 Texas St. -12.36 -149.10 -32.17 SBC 121 Georgia State -24.85 -225.85 -58.00 SBC 3 Alabama 31.96 176.02 64.26 SEC 8 Texas A&M 20.15 133.68 42.57 SEC 12 Missouri 20.54 79.68 38.28 SEC 15 South Carolina 14.69 133.43 34.28 SEC 16 LSU 16.20 101.65 33.70 SEC 20 Georgia 11.80 146.73 31.11 SEC 21 Mississippi 12.41 94.39 27.30 SEC 24 Auburn 14.07 51.93 25.98 SEC 37 Mississippi St. 5.86 106.13 18.45 SEC 49 Florida 2.64 61.66 9.56 SEC 63 Vanderbilt 1.80 -22.00 0.74 SEC 66 Tennessee -0.63 -15.83 -2.39 SEC 76 Kentucky -4.03 -20.75 -7.98 SEC 88 Arkansas -8.79 -33.80 -16.36 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 10 DUSHEE Ratings

I'm just going to post the rankings here, and then maybe later in the week if I get some time, I'll discuss some particulars of the numbers at this point in the season. Some items which need discussing: 1) The WTF team of 2013, Kansas State, 2) underrated and overrated teams (looking at you Northern Illinois, Fresno, and of course, Notre Dame), 3) a closer look at some specific teams of interest including Baylor, TCU, etc. (I'm open to suggestions), 4) the lack of a non-AQ pressence in the top 25, and 5) strength of schedule. Might not get into all of these, but we'll see what time permits. Seriously looking for suggestions here because I'm about as disinterested in college football as I've ever been. BTW, based on DUSHEE, this TCU team is now, easily, the worst team of the Patterson era ... 1 Baylor 45.33 370.98 100.00 2 Florida St. 41.96 298.67 88.58 3 Oregon 29.63 222.66 63.59 4 Alabama 31.86 175.82 62.73 5 Ohio St. 26.93 210.49 58.53 6 Louisville 26.64 214.46 58.45 7 Arizona St. 20.84 188.45 47.56 8 Wisconsin 21.04 178.37 46.96 9 Texas A&M 21.41 154.72 45.40 10 Clemson 19.08 141.85 40.82 11 BYU 16.06 158.78 37.86 12 Missouri 19.88 89.88 37.38 13 Kansas St. 18.34 99.71 35.97 14 UCF 17.31 105.68 34.99 15 LSU 17.64 99.39 34.91 16 Stanford 18.44 85.88 34.90 17 South Carolina 14.60 139.09 33.96 18 Washington 14.45 126.51 32.61 19 Mississippi 15.18 106.34 31.89 20 Georgia 12.23 147.90 31.24 21 Miami (FL) 13.55 74.52 26.66 22 Virginia Tech 10.23 126.32 26.35 23 Iowa 12.48 78.15 25.40 24 Michigan St. 11.02 101.87 25.35 25 Oklahoma St. 13.93 50.82 25.10 26 Utah St. 11.32 93.68 25.06 27 Oklahoma 10.33 109.72 25.02 28 Auburn 13.37 57.62 24.88 29 USC 11.10 93.79 24.75 30 UCLA 11.76 55.73 22.34 31 Georgia Tech 9.33 91.70 21.94 32 Houston 14.36 5.22 21.68 33 Utah 10.00 60.66 20.17 34 Texas Tech 7.12 87.24 18.29 35 Michigan 9.58 40.09 17.73 36 Mississippi St. 5.33 98.54 16.65 37 Fresno St. 6.37 81.20 16.63 38 Florida 7.02 62.14 15.91 39 Arizona 5.83 69.54 14.80 40 Notre Dame 7.21 39.27 14.16 41 Boise St. 6.41 44.92 13.47 42 Texas 7.37 28.92 13.46 43 Marshall 5.78 53.98 13.35 44 Oregon St. 4.48 74.64 13.26 45 Indiana 8.46 0.99 12.59 46 East Carolina 4.72 55.56 11.92 47 Nebraska 4.97 16.94 8.86 48 North Texas 5.68 -7.92 7.69 49 Ohio 4.52 0.53 6.73 50 Northern Illinois 2.87 15.31 5.61 51 North Carolina 2.38 21.04 5.38 52 Toledo 2.84 7.00 4.82 53 Penn St. 1.55 26.02 4.61 54 Buffalo 3.57 -8.83 4.50 55 Tennessee 2.79 -0.58 4.07 56 Ball St. 4.35 -29.56 3.81 57 Pittsburgh 1.58 8.74 3.11 58 Northwestern 2.38 -5.38 3.04 59 Duke 2.01 -13.41 1.77 60 N.C. State -0.82 25.98 1.09 61 West Virginia 0.36 -5.28 0.07 62 Minnesota 3.62 -59.98 0.01 63 Memphis -1.22 13.59 -0.60 64 Bowling Green -1.35 13.08 -0.83 65 Rice 0.88 -25.12 -0.94 66 Illinois 0.93 -26.91 -1.03 67 Vanderbilt -0.60 -5.64 -1.39 68 Boston Coll. 2.37 -55.26 -1.41 69 UT-San Antonio -3.18 14.81 -3.38 70 San Jose St. -4.08 29.32 -3.42 71 TCU -1.00 -25.36 -3.74 72 Kentucky -1.49 -22.61 -4.21 73 San Diego St. -5.06 36.72 -4.21 74 LA Lafayette -2.88 -13.25 -5.43 75 Cincinnati -4.87 18.39 -5.56 76 Florida Atlantic -3.30 -21.29 -6.78 77 Washington St. -3.06 -27.61 -6.98 78 West. Kentucky -8.58 34.25 -9.63 79 Colorado St. -3.45 -52.98 -9.81 80 Maryland -6.73 1.32 -9.83 81 Wyoming -5.18 -27.56 -10.11 82 Navy -3.42 -57.92 -10.20 83 South Alabama -4.81 -39.79 -10.65 84 Rutgers -4.82 -50.12 -11.59 85 SMU -10.85 37.83 -12.68 86 Middle Tenn. St. -5.82 -60.05 -13.94 87 Syracuse -5.92 -61.12 -14.19 88 Tulane -4.14 -96.59 -14.72 89 Iowa St. -6.88 -61.94 -15.68 90 Arkansas -9.20 -24.41 -15.77 91 Akron -7.42 -56.46 -15.99 92 Virginia -9.21 -45.90 -17.69 93 California -12.23 -0.75 -18.14 94 South Florida -8.06 -70.38 -18.17 95 Wake Forest -5.78 -120.89 -19.30 96 LA Monroe -9.44 -87.60 -21.74 97 Temple -8.57 -115.00 -22.89 98 Arkansas St. -10.38 -103.61 -24.56 99 Kansas -9.99 -112.45 -24.76 100 Colorado -12.76 -66.36 -24.76 101 Tulsa -14.34 -47.96 -25.46 102 New Mexico -12.31 -95.86 -26.72 103 Nevada -12.18 -101.69 -27.05 104 Texas St. -11.12 -141.68 -29.04 105 Kent St. -11.83 -130.55 -29.09 106 UNLV -14.43 -92.07 -29.51 107 Hawaii -14.60 -91.16 -29.68 108 Connecticut -16.13 -78.54 -30.83 109 Army -15.46 -96.27 -31.41 110 Purdue -16.83 -82.04 -32.17 111 Troy -16.79 -86.55 -32.51 112 Louisiana Tech -19.12 -110.73 -38.10 113 Cent. Michigan -17.82 -139.30 -38.73 114 Air Force -19.48 -148.82 -42.03 115 UTEP -22.62 -136.74 -45.60 116 UAB -23.41 -157.44 -48.60 117 Massachusetts -23.04 -174.55 -49.59 118 W. Michigan -24.76 -154.76 -50.36 119 Georgia State -21.43 -248.43 -53.77 120 East. Michigan -28.13 -176.20 -57.24 121 Idaho -28.21 -196.11 -59.14 122 Florida Intl. -29.73 -178.93 -59.86 123 New Mexico St. -31.21 -205.99 -64.46 124 Southern Miss -34.12 -162.26 -64.86 125 Miami (OH) -29.85 -320.85 -72.66 By Conference: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 6 Louisville 26.64 214.46 58.45 AAC 14 UCF 17.31 105.68 34.99 AAC 32 Houston 14.36 5.22 21.68 AAC 63 Memphis -1.22 13.59 -0.60 AAC 75 Cincinnati -4.87 18.39 -5.56 AAC 84 Rutgers -4.82 -50.12 -11.59 AAC 85 SMU -10.85 37.83 -12.68 AAC 94 South Florida -8.06 -70.38 -18.17 AAC 97 Temple -8.57 -115.00 -22.89 AAC 108 Connecticut -16.13 -78.54 -30.83 AAC 2 Florida St. 41.96 298.67 88.58 ACC 10 Clemson 19.08 141.85 40.82 ACC 21 Miami (FL) 13.55 74.52 26.66 ACC 22 Virginia Tech 10.23 126.32 26.35 ACC 31 Georgia Tech 9.33 91.70 21.94 ACC 51 North Carolina 2.38 21.04 5.38 ACC 57 Pittsburgh 1.58 8.74 3.11 ACC 59 Duke 2.01 -13.41 1.77 ACC 60 N.C. State -0.82 25.98 1.09 ACC 68 Boston Coll. 2.37 -55.26 -1.41 ACC 80 Maryland -6.73 1.32 -9.83 ACC 87 Syracuse -5.92 -61.12 -14.19 ACC 92 Virginia -9.21 -45.90 -17.69 ACC 95 Wake Forest -5.78 -120.89 -19.30 ACC 5 Ohio St. 26.93 210.49 58.53 B10 8 Wisconsin 21.04 178.37 46.96 B10 23 Iowa 12.48 78.15 25.40 B10 24 Michigan St. 11.02 101.87 25.35 B10 35 Michigan 9.58 40.09 17.73 B10 45 Indiana 8.46 0.99 12.59 B10 47 Nebraska 4.97 16.94 8.86 B10 53 Penn St. 1.55 26.02 4.61 B10 58 Northwestern 2.38 -5.38 3.04 B10 62 Minnesota 3.62 -59.98 0.01 B10 66 Illinois 0.93 -26.91 -1.03 B10 110 Purdue -16.83 -82.04 -32.17 B10 1 Baylor 45.33 370.98 100.00 B12 13 Kansas St. 18.34 99.71 35.97 B12 25 Oklahoma St. 13.93 50.82 25.10 B12 27 Oklahoma 10.33 109.72 25.02 B12 34 Texas Tech 7.12 87.24 18.29 B12 42 Texas 7.37 28.92 13.46 B12 61 West Virginia 0.36 -5.28 0.07 B12 71 TCU -1.00 -25.36 -3.74 B12 89 Iowa St. -6.88 -61.94 -15.68 B12 99 Kansas -9.99 -112.45 -24.76 B12 43 Marshall 5.78 53.98 13.35 CUSA 46 East Carolina 4.72 55.56 11.92 CUSA 48 North Texas 5.68 -7.92 7.69 CUSA 65 Rice 0.88 -25.12 -0.94 CUSA 69 UT-San Antonio -3.18 14.81 -3.38 CUSA 76 Florida Atlantic -3.30 -21.29 -6.78 CUSA 86 Middle Tenn. St. -5.82 -60.05 -13.94 CUSA 88 Tulane -4.14 -96.59 -14.72 CUSA 101 Tulsa -14.34 -47.96 -25.46 CUSA 112 Louisiana Tech -19.12 -110.73 -38.10 CUSA 115 UTEP -22.62 -136.74 -45.60 CUSA 116 UAB -23.41 -157.44 -48.60 CUSA 122 Florida Intl. -29.73 -178.93 -59.86 CUSA 124 Southern Miss -34.12 -162.26 -64.86 CUSA 11 BYU 16.06 158.78 37.86 Ind 40 Notre Dame 7.21 39.27 14.16 Ind 82 Navy -3.42 -57.92 -10.20 Ind 109 Army -15.46 -96.27 -31.41 Ind 121 Idaho -28.21 -196.11 -59.14 Ind 123 New Mexico St. -31.21 -205.99 -64.46 Ind 49 Ohio 4.52 0.53 6.73 MAC 50 Northern Illinois 2.87 15.31 5.61 MAC 52 Toledo 2.84 7.00 4.82 MAC 54 Buffalo 3.57 -8.83 4.50 MAC 56 Ball St. 4.35 -29.56 3.81 MAC 64 Bowling Green -1.35 13.08 -0.83 MAC 91 Akron -7.42 -56.46 -15.99 MAC 105 Kent St. -11.83 -130.55 -29.09 MAC 113 Cent. Michigan -17.82 -139.30 -38.73 MAC 117 Massachusetts -23.04 -174.55 -49.59 MAC 118 W. Michigan -24.76 -154.76 -50.36 MAC 120 East. Michigan -28.13 -176.20 -57.24 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -29.85 -320.85 -72.66 MAC 26 Utah St. 11.32 93.68 25.06 MWC 37 Fresno St. 6.37 81.20 16.63 MWC 41 Boise St. 6.41 44.92 13.47 MWC 70 San Jose St. -4.08 29.32 -3.42 MWC 73 San Diego St. -5.06 36.72 -4.21 MWC 79 Colorado St. -3.45 -52.98 -9.81 MWC 81 Wyoming -5.18 -27.56 -10.11 MWC 102 New Mexico -12.31 -95.86 -26.72 MWC 103 Nevada -12.18 -101.69 -27.05 MWC 106 UNLV -14.43 -92.07 -29.51 MWC 107 Hawaii -14.60 -91.16 -29.68 MWC 114 Air Force -19.48 -148.82 -42.03 MWC 3 Oregon 29.63 222.66 63.59 P10 7 Arizona St. 20.84 188.45 47.56 P10 16 Stanford 18.44 85.88 34.90 P10 18 Washington 14.45 126.51 32.61 P10 29 USC 11.10 93.79 24.75 P10 30 UCLA 11.76 55.73 22.34 P10 33 Utah 10.00 60.66 20.17 P10 39 Arizona 5.83 69.54 14.80 P10 44 Oregon St. 4.48 74.64 13.26 P10 77 Washington St. -3.06 -27.61 -6.98 P10 93 California -12.23 -0.75 -18.14 P10 100 Colorado -12.76 -66.36 -24.76 P10 74 LA Lafayette -2.88 -13.25 -5.43 SBC 78 West. Kentucky -8.58 34.25 -9.63 SBC 83 South Alabama -4.81 -39.79 -10.65 SBC 96 LA Monroe -9.44 -87.60 -21.74 SBC 98 Arkansas St. -10.38 -103.61 -24.56 SBC 104 Texas St. -11.12 -141.68 -29.04 SBC 111 Troy -16.79 -86.55 -32.51 SBC 119 Georgia State -21.43 -248.43 -53.77 SBC 4 Alabama 31.86 175.82 62.73 SEC 9 Texas A&M 21.41 154.72 45.40 SEC 12 Missouri 19.88 89.88 37.38 SEC 15 LSU 17.64 99.39 34.91 SEC 17 South Carolina 14.60 139.09 33.96 SEC 19 Mississippi 15.18 106.34 31.89 SEC 20 Georgia 12.23 147.90 31.24 SEC 28 Auburn 13.37 57.62 24.88 SEC 36 Mississippi St. 5.33 98.54 16.65 SEC 38 Florida 7.02 62.14 15.91 SEC 55 Tennessee 2.79 -0.58 4.07 SEC 67 Vanderbilt -0.60 -5.64 -1.39 SEC 72 Kentucky -1.49 -22.61 -4.21 SEC 90 Arkansas -9.20 -24.41 -15.77 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 9 DUSHEE Rankings

Crappiest football season ever ... 1 Baylor 45.10 370.43 100.00 2 Florida St. 42.14 301.54 89.46 3 Oregon 31.23 233.31 67.17 4 Alabama 32.40 161.25 62.49 5 Louisville 26.57 208.57 58.05 6 Ohio St. 26.93 194.76 57.35 7 Wisconsin 20.58 197.26 48.15 8 Arizona St. 19.36 182.57 45.02 9 Texas A&M 18.86 132.73 39.84 10 BYU 16.00 163.35 38.32 11 Kansas St. 18.09 112.81 36.93 12 Missouri 19.28 92.77 36.90 13 Stanford 19.15 93.27 36.76 14 Clemson 16.96 125.93 36.41 15 LSU 18.06 99.92 35.74 16 UCF 16.90 112.08 35.09 17 South Carolina 13.76 160.83 34.77 18 Washington 13.92 131.35 32.38 19 Georgia 12.19 146.39 31.16 20 Virginia Tech 12.80 135.46 31.08 21 Mississippi 13.93 97.48 29.37 22 UCLA 13.93 82.67 28.07 23 Miami (FL) 13.83 80.31 27.69 24 Auburn 14.42 66.16 27.32 25 Houston 16.45 22.80 26.47 26 Iowa 13.44 63.36 25.62 27 Oklahoma 10.44 105.73 24.93 28 Georgia Tech 10.45 90.91 23.62 29 Arizona 9.90 92.40 22.94 30 Michigan 11.97 55.39 22.71 31 Utah 9.98 65.16 20.63 32 Michigan St. 8.76 82.80 20.39 33 Texas Tech 8.87 79.38 20.24 34 Utah St. 8.14 87.91 19.92 35 USC 8.61 77.78 19.72 36 Oklahoma St. 10.61 42.57 19.56 37 Oregon St. 7.28 97.00 19.46 38 Florida 8.67 70.52 19.16 39 Mississippi St. 7.44 81.55 18.32 40 Fresno St. 6.66 78.26 16.86 41 Indiana 9.81 24.39 16.74 42 East Carolina 6.59 73.96 16.37 43 Notre Dame 7.86 43.29 15.54 44 Texas 7.61 37.84 14.67 45 Boise St. 4.49 84.63 14.21 46 Nebraska 6.49 5.93 10.17 47 Tennessee 4.85 24.21 9.36 48 Pittsburgh 3.74 27.26 7.99 49 North Texas 5.90 -10.42 7.84 50 Marshall 2.47 33.64 6.66 51 North Carolina 2.12 23.96 5.28 52 Ohio 3.47 0.62 5.21 53 Duke 3.58 -3.21 5.03 54 Buffalo 3.49 -11.77 4.14 55 Penn St. 1.04 25.49 3.81 56 TCU 2.64 -3.51 3.62 57 Ball St. 4.22 -31.34 3.48 58 N.C. State -0.34 26.78 1.88 59 Northern Illinois 0.51 8.54 1.53 60 Minnesota 4.75 -70.38 0.79 61 Illinois 2.07 -29.20 0.47 62 West Virginia 0.22 0.95 0.41 63 Northwestern 0.39 -4.21 0.21 64 Memphis -1.35 23.87 0.12 65 Toledo 1.79 -28.88 0.09 66 Bowling Green -1.50 2.57 -1.99 67 Washington St. -0.79 -13.27 -2.35 68 LA Lafayette -2.70 12.56 -2.90 69 Rice 0.07 -34.71 -2.98 70 Vanderbilt -1.64 -7.50 -3.10 71 Kentucky -1.50 -15.12 -3.58 72 Boston Coll. 0.75 -53.64 -3.67 73 UT-San Antonio -5.18 22.05 -5.73 74 San Jose St. -4.62 8.85 -6.07 75 West. Kentucky -9.07 70.23 -7.21 76 Iowa St. -2.56 -40.47 -7.41 77 San Diego St. -7.51 30.53 -8.44 78 Virginia -5.13 -13.95 -8.86 79 South Alabama -3.89 -37.17 -9.09 80 Maryland -6.82 0.44 -10.09 81 Cincinnati -6.89 -10.25 -11.14 82 Rutgers -4.39 -54.99 -11.42 83 Tulane -2.37 -90.80 -11.61 84 Colorado St. -2.65 -101.72 -12.99 85 Florida Atlantic -6.83 -38.36 -13.57 86 SMU -11.26 32.42 -13.84 87 Wyoming -6.54 -48.28 -14.02 88 Wake Forest -3.61 -99.43 -14.22 89 Akron -7.51 -40.94 -14.81 90 Middle Tenn. St. -6.17 -66.55 -15.10 91 Navy -6.21 -66.48 -15.14 92 Arkansas -10.36 -31.07 -18.16 93 South Florida -9.01 -78.69 -20.40 94 Tulsa -10.87 -49.95 -20.60 95 Syracuse -9.30 -84.83 -21.37 96 California -14.93 -4.98 -22.62 97 Temple -8.92 -110.84 -23.13 98 Kansas -8.75 -120.67 -23.75 99 Purdue -14.83 -40.61 -25.64 100 LA Monroe -11.95 -89.84 -25.75 101 Army -12.95 -75.81 -25.99 102 Hawaii -12.54 -86.92 -26.37 103 Colorado -13.06 -94.07 -27.78 104 UNLV -13.54 -88.28 -27.98 105 Kent St. -11.02 -142.34 -29.05 106 Texas St. -11.11 -142.53 -29.20 107 New Mexico -13.47 -105.25 -29.39 108 Nevada -14.10 -96.00 -29.49 109 Connecticut -15.40 -75.39 -29.59 110 Arkansas St. -13.69 -124.94 -31.47 111 Troy -16.62 -102.02 -33.77 112 Louisiana Tech -18.19 -107.87 -36.63 113 Cent. Michigan -18.60 -144.01 -40.47 114 UTEP -21.07 -127.22 -42.64 115 Massachusetts -23.41 -180.80 -50.89 116 W. Michigan -25.07 -161.51 -51.63 117 Air Force -24.37 -173.31 -51.64 118 UAB -26.58 -165.04 -54.19 119 East. Michigan -27.91 -149.11 -54.75 120 Georgia State -22.79 -261.34 -57.14 121 Idaho -30.15 -214.83 -63.93 122 Southern Miss -34.51 -167.60 -66.20 123 Florida Intl. -33.64 -209.57 -68.64 124 New Mexico St. -34.63 -244.17 -73.19 125 Miami (OH) -31.07 -329.14 -75.48 By Conference: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 5 Louisville 26.57 208.57 58.05 AAC 16 UCF 16.90 112.08 35.09 AAC 25 Houston 16.45 22.80 26.47 AAC 64 Memphis -1.35 23.87 0.12 AAC 81 Cincinnati -6.89 -10.25 -11.14 AAC 82 Rutgers -4.39 -54.99 -11.42 AAC 86 SMU -11.26 32.42 -13.84 AAC 93 South Florida -9.01 -78.69 -20.40 AAC 97 Temple -8.92 -110.84 -23.13 AAC 109 Connecticut -15.40 -75.39 -29.59 AAC 2 Florida St. 42.14 301.54 89.46 ACC 14 Clemson 16.96 125.93 36.41 ACC 20 Virginia Tech 12.80 135.46 31.08 ACC 23 Miami (FL) 13.83 80.31 27.69 ACC 28 Georgia Tech 10.45 90.91 23.62 ACC 48 Pittsburgh 3.74 27.26 7.99 ACC 51 North Carolina 2.12 23.96 5.28 ACC 53 Duke 3.58 -3.21 5.03 ACC 58 N.C. State -0.34 26.78 1.88 ACC 72 Boston Coll. 0.75 -53.64 -3.67 ACC 78 Virginia -5.13 -13.95 -8.86 ACC 80 Maryland -6.82 0.44 -10.09 ACC 88 Wake Forest -3.61 -99.43 -14.22 ACC 95 Syracuse -9.30 -84.83 -21.37 ACC 6 Ohio St. 26.93 194.76 57.35 B10 7 Wisconsin 20.58 197.26 48.15 B10 26 Iowa 13.44 63.36 25.62 B10 30 Michigan 11.97 55.39 22.71 B10 32 Michigan St. 8.76 82.80 20.39 B10 41 Indiana 9.81 24.39 16.74 B10 46 Nebraska 6.49 5.93 10.17 B10 55 Penn St. 1.04 25.49 3.81 B10 60 Minnesota 4.75 -70.38 0.79 B10 61 Illinois 2.07 -29.20 0.47 B10 63 Northwestern 0.39 -4.21 0.21 B10 99 Purdue -14.83 -40.61 -25.64 B10 1 Baylor 45.10 370.43 100.00 B12 11 Kansas St. 18.09 112.81 36.93 B12 27 Oklahoma 10.44 105.73 24.93 B12 33 Texas Tech 8.87 79.38 20.24 B12 36 Oklahoma St. 10.61 42.57 19.56 B12 44 Texas 7.61 37.84 14.67 B12 56 TCU 2.64 -3.51 3.62 B12 62 West Virginia 0.22 0.95 0.41 B12 76 Iowa St. -2.56 -40.47 -7.41 B12 98 Kansas -8.75 -120.67 -23.75 B12 42 East Carolina 6.59 73.96 16.37 CUSA 49 North Texas 5.90 -10.42 7.84 CUSA 50 Marshall 2.47 33.64 6.66 CUSA 69 Rice 0.07 -34.71 -2.98 CUSA 73 UT-San Antonio -5.18 22.05 -5.73 CUSA 83 Tulane -2.37 -90.80 -11.61 CUSA 85 Florida Atlantic -6.83 -38.36 -13.57 CUSA 90 Middle Tenn. St. -6.17 -66.55 -15.10 CUSA 94 Tulsa -10.87 -49.95 -20.60 CUSA 112 Louisiana Tech -18.19 -107.87 -36.63 CUSA 114 UTEP -21.07 -127.22 -42.64 CUSA 118 UAB -26.58 -165.04 -54.19 CUSA 122 Southern Miss -34.51 -167.60 -66.20 CUSA 123 Florida Intl. -33.64 -209.57 -68.64 CUSA 10 BYU 16.00 163.35 38.32 Ind 43 Notre Dame 7.86 43.29 15.54 Ind 91 Navy -6.21 -66.48 -15.14 Ind 101 Army -12.95 -75.81 -25.99 Ind 121 Idaho -30.15 -214.83 -63.93 Ind 124 New Mexico St. -34.63 -244.17 -73.19 Ind 52 Ohio 3.47 0.62 5.21 MAC 54 Buffalo 3.49 -11.77 4.14 MAC 57 Ball St. 4.22 -31.34 3.48 MAC 59 Northern Illinois 0.51 8.54 1.53 MAC 65 Toledo 1.79 -28.88 0.09 MAC 66 Bowling Green -1.50 2.57 -1.99 MAC 89 Akron -7.51 -40.94 -14.81 MAC 105 Kent St. -11.02 -142.34 -29.05 MAC 113 Cent. Michigan -18.60 -144.01 -40.47 MAC 115 Massachusetts -23.41 -180.80 -50.89 MAC 116 W. Michigan -25.07 -161.51 -51.63 MAC 119 East. Michigan -27.91 -149.11 -54.75 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -31.07 -329.14 -75.48 MAC 34 Utah St. 8.14 87.91 19.92 MWC 40 Fresno St. 6.66 78.26 16.86 MWC 45 Boise St. 4.49 84.63 14.21 MWC 74 San Jose St. -4.62 8.85 -6.07 MWC 77 San Diego St. -7.51 30.53 -8.44 MWC 84 Colorado St. -2.65 -101.72 -12.99 MWC 87 Wyoming -6.54 -48.28 -14.02 MWC 102 Hawaii -12.54 -86.92 -26.37 MWC 104 UNLV -13.54 -88.28 -27.98 MWC 107 New Mexico -13.47 -105.25 -29.39 MWC 108 Nevada -14.10 -96.00 -29.49 MWC 117 Air Force -24.37 -173.31 -51.64 MWC 3 Oregon 31.23 233.31 67.17 P10 8 Arizona St. 19.36 182.57 45.02 P10 13 Stanford 19.15 93.27 36.76 P10 18 Washington 13.92 131.35 32.38 P10 22 UCLA 13.93 82.67 28.07 P10 29 Arizona 9.90 92.40 22.94 P10 31 Utah 9.98 65.16 20.63 P10 35 USC 8.61 77.78 19.72 P10 37 Oregon St. 7.28 97.00 19.46 P10 67 Washington St. -0.79 -13.27 -2.35 P10 96 California -14.93 -4.98 -22.62 P10 103 Colorado -13.06 -94.07 -27.78 P10 68 LA Lafayette -2.70 12.56 -2.90 SBC 75 West. Kentucky -9.07 70.23 -7.21 SBC 79 South Alabama -3.89 -37.17 -9.09 SBC 100 LA Monroe -11.95 -89.84 -25.75 SBC 106 Texas St. -11.11 -142.53 -29.20 SBC 110 Arkansas St. -13.69 -124.94 -31.47 SBC 111 Troy -16.62 -102.02 -33.77 SBC 120 Georgia State -22.79 -261.34 -57.14 SBC 4 Alabama 32.40 161.25 62.49 SEC 9 Texas A&M 18.86 132.73 39.84 SEC 12 Missouri 19.28 92.77 36.90 SEC 15 LSU 18.06 99.92 35.74 SEC 17 South Carolina 13.76 160.83 34.77 SEC 19 Georgia 12.19 146.39 31.16 SEC 21 Mississippi 13.93 97.48 29.37 SEC 24 Auburn 14.42 66.16 27.32 SEC 38 Florida 8.67 70.52 19.16 SEC 39 Mississippi St. 7.44 81.55 18.32 SEC 47 Tennessee 4.85 24.21 9.36 SEC 70 Vanderbilt -1.64 -7.50 -3.10 SEC 71 Kentucky -1.50 -15.12 -3.58 SEC 92 Arkansas -10.36 -31.07 -18.16 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 8 DUSHEE Rankings

I was up until almost midnight serving fries to the voracious throng at the Pitt-Old Dominion game last night, and while I technically did not have a drop of alcohol, nonetheless I feel hungover. The continued suckage of our football team has not helped matters. So I'm just posting the results. Bleh. By Team Rk Team PD YD Score 1 Baylor 47.92 376.16 100.00 2 Florida St. 45.75 309.93 91.16 3 Oregon 29.03 217.03 59.63 4 Alabama 31.85 165.35 59.03 5 Louisville 27.56 191.55 55.34 6 Wisconsin 21.28 201.93 47.47 7 Ohio St. 22.23 154.12 44.61 8 Arizona St. 18.10 189.27 41.91 9 Missouri 22.50 113.90 41.45 10 Clemson 20.38 136.42 40.46 11 Washington 19.29 153.29 40.42 12 Miami (FL) 17.29 128.67 35.46 13 Stanford 18.78 95.03 34.59 14 Georgia 14.02 156.21 33.31 15 Kansas St. 16.49 116.13 33.24 16 UCLA 16.48 110.67 32.75 17 LSU 17.58 84.54 32.00 18 UCF 16.44 102.46 31.98 19 BYU 13.23 150.76 31.72 20 Virginia Tech 14.30 128.41 31.26 21 South Carolina 11.78 156.10 30.17 22 Utah 15.64 87.69 29.56 23 Georgia Tech 12.84 113.74 27.93 24 Texas A&M 12.81 93.63 26.13 25 Nebraska 13.46 80.61 25.89 26 Fresno St. 9.64 136.70 25.48 27 Michigan 13.63 64.32 24.70 28 Mississippi 12.37 77.78 24.12 29 Texas Tech 11.68 87.60 24.01 30 Florida 10.45 81.08 21.73 31 Iowa 11.81 47.14 20.65 32 Utah St. 8.84 94.41 20.64 33 Arizona 10.62 63.75 20.44 34 Oregon St. 7.81 107.95 20.39 35 Indiana 11.65 37.93 19.62 36 Mississippi St. 7.88 86.14 18.57 37 Oklahoma St. 8.73 71.44 18.48 38 Oklahoma 7.90 84.44 18.46 39 Boise St. 6.65 96.81 17.79 40 USC 7.39 74.46 16.87 41 Marshall 5.47 96.87 16.15 42 East Carolina 6.54 72.57 15.52 43 Penn St. 6.34 67.69 14.81 44 Houston 10.43 -1.42 14.46 45 Auburn 10.04 4.21 14.41 46 Illinois 8.58 16.45 13.43 47 Notre Dame 6.08 51.23 12.99 48 Tennessee 7.38 27.79 12.75 49 Pittsburgh 6.26 41.64 12.41 50 TCU 6.40 36.07 12.11 51 West Virginia 4.16 23.63 7.89 52 Michigan St. 2.68 47.11 7.88 53 Boston Coll. 7.31 -32.78 7.35 54 Texas 3.63 8.08 5.78 55 Duke 2.55 22.28 5.52 56 Ohio 3.49 -5.84 4.36 57 Buffalo 2.38 -9.59 2.49 58 Vanderbilt 1.06 10.73 2.43 59 Ball St. 3.20 -33.63 1.53 60 North Texas 3.66 -51.41 0.61 61 North Carolina -0.50 14.13 0.54 62 Kentucky -0.51 -3.98 -1.06 63 Washington St. -0.42 -14.16 -1.83 64 Iowa St. 1.45 -49.68 -2.33 65 N.C. State -2.82 18.10 -2.35 66 Rutgers -0.81 -14.38 -2.40 67 Northern Illinois -0.54 -19.92 -2.51 68 Bowling Green -2.03 2.68 -2.61 69 Florida Atlantic -3.46 15.43 -3.48 70 Cincinnati -3.96 16.38 -4.09 71 Memphis -4.08 14.13 -4.46 72 Toledo -0.16 -51.33 -4.73 73 Northwestern -1.67 -33.91 -5.30 74 South Alabama -3.08 -12.89 -5.44 75 Virginia -5.34 -4.88 -7.90 76 UT-San Antonio -8.25 34.24 -8.53 77 West. Kentucky -9.35 49.20 -8.76 78 Maryland -6.88 6.75 -9.03 79 Wyoming -3.34 -50.37 -9.09 80 Minnesota 0.37 -116.83 -9.74 81 LA Lafayette -5.30 -44.27 -11.29 82 Colorado St. -2.24 -95.63 -11.52 83 SMU -11.65 53.65 -11.58 84 Rice -4.96 -53.75 -11.66 85 San Jose St. -8.01 -16.64 -12.65 86 California -12.11 23.22 -14.90 87 Syracuse -6.66 -65.50 -15.06 88 South Florida -7.89 -59.97 -16.29 89 Tulane -4.96 -114.64 -16.99 90 Arkansas -9.97 -35.43 -17.05 91 Navy -7.52 -76.52 -17.23 92 San Diego St. -10.89 -40.84 -18.81 93 Connecticut -11.71 -33.27 -19.30 94 Wake Forest -5.74 -128.89 -19.34 95 Tulsa -10.75 -57.83 -20.10 96 Colorado -11.95 -47.50 -20.88 97 Temple -7.63 -124.31 -21.57 98 Akron -10.32 -81.60 -21.59 99 Nevada -11.20 -99.36 -24.38 100 Army -13.06 -76.57 -24.98 101 Middle Tenn. St. -10.64 -123.17 -25.68 102 Kent St. -10.39 -141.93 -26.98 103 Arkansas St. -13.87 -86.79 -27.01 104 Kansas -10.91 -134.35 -27.04 105 Purdue -16.46 -50.76 -27.47 106 Hawaii -14.82 -83.97 -28.09 107 New Mexico -13.84 -104.49 -28.51 108 UNLV -15.09 -90.26 -29.01 109 LA Monroe -15.43 -127.88 -32.79 110 Louisiana Tech -17.40 -101.51 -33.24 111 Troy -20.18 -103.53 -37.29 112 Texas St. -14.74 -195.47 -37.75 113 Cent. Michigan -19.43 -152.97 -40.59 114 UTEP -20.95 -133.77 -41.03 115 Massachusetts -22.78 -173.28 -47.04 116 Air Force -22.83 -189.81 -48.57 117 East. Michigan -27.18 -131.34 -49.52 118 UAB -25.03 -182.76 -51.03 119 W. Michigan -26.99 -184.53 -53.93 120 Georgia State -23.81 -269.45 -56.93 121 Idaho -29.11 -199.68 -58.22 122 Southern Miss -34.26 -148.14 -60.89 123 Florida Intl. -36.08 -226.86 -70.35 124 New Mexico St. -34.58 -253.12 -70.56 125 Miami (OH) -32.53 -327.93 -74.25 By Conference Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 5 Louisville 27.56 191.55 55.34 AAC 18 UCF 16.44 102.46 31.98 AAC 44 Houston 10.43 -1.42 14.46 AAC 66 Rutgers -0.81 -14.38 -2.40 AAC 70 Cincinnati -3.96 16.38 -4.09 AAC 71 Memphis -4.08 14.13 -4.46 AAC 83 SMU -11.65 53.65 -11.58 AAC 88 South Florida -7.89 -59.97 -16.29 AAC 93 Connecticut -11.71 -33.27 -19.30 AAC 97 Temple -7.63 -124.31 -21.57 AAC 2 Florida St. 45.75 309.93 91.16 ACC 10 Clemson 20.38 136.42 40.46 ACC 12 Miami (FL) 17.29 128.67 35.46 ACC 20 Virginia Tech 14.30 128.41 31.26 ACC 23 Georgia Tech 12.84 113.74 27.93 ACC 49 Pittsburgh 6.26 41.64 12.41 ACC 53 Boston Coll. 7.31 -32.78 7.35 ACC 55 Duke 2.55 22.28 5.52 ACC 61 North Carolina -0.50 14.13 0.54 ACC 65 N.C. State -2.82 18.10 -2.35 ACC 75 Virginia -5.34 -4.88 -7.90 ACC 78 Maryland -6.88 6.75 -9.03 ACC 87 Syracuse -6.66 -65.50 -15.06 ACC 94 Wake Forest -5.74 -128.89 -19.34 ACC 6 Wisconsin 21.28 201.93 47.47 B10 7 Ohio St. 22.23 154.12 44.61 B10 25 Nebraska 13.46 80.61 25.89 B10 27 Michigan 13.63 64.32 24.70 B10 31 Iowa 11.81 47.14 20.65 B10 35 Indiana 11.65 37.93 19.62 B10 43 Penn St. 6.34 67.69 14.81 B10 46 Illinois 8.58 16.45 13.43 B10 52 Michigan St. 2.68 47.11 7.88 B10 73 Northwestern -1.67 -33.91 -5.30 B10 80 Minnesota 0.37 -116.83 -9.74 B10 105 Purdue -16.46 -50.76 -27.47 B10 1 Baylor 47.92 376.16 100.00 B12 15 Kansas St. 16.49 116.13 33.24 B12 29 Texas Tech 11.68 87.60 24.01 B12 37 Oklahoma St. 8.73 71.44 18.48 B12 38 Oklahoma 7.90 84.44 18.46 B12 50 TCU 6.40 36.07 12.11 B12 51 West Virginia 4.16 23.63 7.89 B12 54 Texas 3.63 8.08 5.78 B12 64 Iowa St. 1.45 -49.68 -2.33 B12 104 Kansas -10.91 -134.35 -27.04 B12 41 Marshall 5.47 96.87 16.15 CUSA 42 East Carolina 6.54 72.57 15.52 CUSA 60 North Texas 3.66 -51.41 0.61 CUSA 69 Florida Atlantic -3.46 15.43 -3.48 CUSA 76 UT-San Antonio -8.25 34.24 -8.53 CUSA 84 Rice -4.96 -53.75 -11.66 CUSA 89 Tulane -4.96 -114.64 -16.99 CUSA 95 Tulsa -10.75 -57.83 -20.10 CUSA 101 Middle Tenn. St. -10.64 -123.17 -25.68 CUSA 110 Louisiana Tech -17.40 -101.51 -33.24 CUSA 114 UTEP -20.95 -133.77 -41.03 CUSA 118 UAB -25.03 -182.76 -51.03 CUSA 122 Southern Miss -34.26 -148.14 -60.89 CUSA 123 Florida Intl. -36.08 -226.86 -70.35 CUSA 19 BYU 13.23 150.76 31.72 Ind 47 Notre Dame 6.08 51.23 12.99 Ind 91 Navy -7.52 -76.52 -17.23 Ind 100 Army -13.06 -76.57 -24.98 Ind 121 Idaho -29.11 -199.68 -58.22 Ind 124 New Mexico St. -34.58 -253.12 -70.56 Ind 56 Ohio 3.49 -5.84 4.36 MAC 57 Buffalo 2.38 -9.59 2.49 MAC 59 Ball St. 3.20 -33.63 1.53 MAC 67 Northern Illinois -0.54 -19.92 -2.51 MAC 68 Bowling Green -2.03 2.68 -2.61 MAC 72 Toledo -0.16 -51.33 -4.73 MAC 98 Akron -10.32 -81.60 -21.59 MAC 102 Kent St. -10.39 -141.93 -26.98 MAC 113 Cent. Michigan -19.43 -152.97 -40.59 MAC 115 Massachusetts -22.78 -173.28 -47.04 MAC 117 East. Michigan -27.18 -131.34 -49.52 MAC 119 W. Michigan -26.99 -184.53 -53.93 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -32.53 -327.93 -74.25 MAC 26 Fresno St. 9.64 136.70 25.48 MWC 32 Utah St. 8.84 94.41 20.64 MWC 39 Boise St. 6.65 96.81 17.79 MWC 79 Wyoming -3.34 -50.37 -9.09 MWC 82 Colorado St. -2.24 -95.63 -11.52 MWC 85 San Jose St. -8.01 -16.64 -12.65 MWC 92 San Diego St. -10.89 -40.84 -18.81 MWC 99 Nevada -11.20 -99.36 -24.38 MWC 106 Hawaii -14.82 -83.97 -28.09 MWC 107 New Mexico -13.84 -104.49 -28.51 MWC 108 UNLV -15.09 -90.26 -29.01 MWC 116 Air Force -22.83 -189.81 -48.57 MWC 3 Oregon 29.03 217.03 59.63 P10 8 Arizona St. 18.10 189.27 41.91 P10 11 Washington 19.29 153.29 40.42 P10 13 Stanford 18.78 95.03 34.59 P10 16 UCLA 16.48 110.67 32.75 P10 22 Utah 15.64 87.69 29.56 P10 33 Arizona 10.62 63.75 20.44 P10 34 Oregon St. 7.81 107.95 20.39 P10 40 USC 7.39 74.46 16.87 P10 63 Washington St. -0.42 -14.16 -1.83 P10 86 California -12.11 23.22 -14.90 P10 96 Colorado -11.95 -47.50 -20.88 P10 74 South Alabama -3.08 -12.89 -5.44 SBC 77 West. Kentucky -9.35 49.20 -8.76 SBC 81 LA Lafayette -5.30 -44.27 -11.29 SBC 103 Arkansas St. -13.87 -86.79 -27.01 SBC 109 LA Monroe -15.43 -127.88 -32.79 SBC 111 Troy -20.18 -103.53 -37.29 SBC 112 Texas St. -14.74 -195.47 -37.75 SBC 120 Georgia State -23.81 -269.45 -56.93 SBC 4 Alabama 31.85 165.35 59.03 SEC 9 Missouri 22.50 113.90 41.45 SEC 14 Georgia 14.02 156.21 33.31 SEC 17 LSU 17.58 84.54 32.00 SEC 21 South Carolina 11.78 156.10 30.17 SEC 24 Texas A&M 12.81 93.63 26.13 SEC 28 Mississippi 12.37 77.78 24.12 SEC 30 Florida 10.45 81.08 21.73 SEC 36 Mississippi St. 7.88 86.14 18.57 SEC 45 Auburn 10.04 4.21 14.41 SEC 48 Tennessee 7.38 27.79 12.75 SEC 58 Vanderbilt 1.06 10.73 2.43 SEC 62 Kentucky -0.51 -3.98 -1.06 SEC 90 Arkansas -9.97 -35.43 -17.05 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 7 DUSHEE Rankings

DUSHEE has decided he has pumped as much sunshine as he can. Unimpressed by TCU's performance against Kansas (TCU's first negative PD of the year at -4.67), the Frogs have dropped to 41. Baylor, despite playing their first decent opponent of the year (Buffalo has drifted back to 65th) and not winning by 50, has creeped back past Florida State into the #1 spot. Kansas State was rewarded with a solid moral victory in the Baylor game with a leap from 53 to 21 and into the 3 spot in the Big XII ranking. And thanks to Timex's question last week, Bill Curry's Georgia State squad makes its inaugural appearance in DUSHEE, coming in at number 124, second worst team in the nation just ahead of Miami of Ohio. Also worth noting, relating to the SEC Fatigue post a few months back. So far this year and continuing into this week, the PAC 12's ranking, 26.95 (based on average DUSHEE score for the conference) is slightly higher than the SEC's 24.97. The Big XII is 3rd at 21.56. Rk Team PD YD Score 1 Baylor 43.60 355.68 97.47 2 Florida St. 45.31 305.25 95.32 3 Oregon 32.80 264.95 73.08 4 Washington 30.52 248.35 68.17 5 Louisville 28.70 210.41 61.96 6 Alabama 28.61 127.26 54.11 7 Clemson 25.79 170.42 53.95 8 Wisconsin 19.35 218.00 48.84 9 Georgia 19.19 214.01 48.23 10 UCLA 20.87 175.54 47.15 11 Ohio St. 22.05 148.60 46.39 12 LSU 22.77 136.93 46.37 13 Miami (FL) 20.92 158.80 45.67 14 Utah 19.73 131.26 41.35 15 Missouri 23.12 54.78 39.27 16 Nebraska 19.35 113.65 39.16 17 Florida 15.06 169.77 38.02 18 South Carolina 13.96 173.11 36.70 19 Texas Tech 16.45 118.57 35.32 20 Arizona St. 14.90 136.31 34.68 21 Kansas St. 15.31 118.95 33.67 22 Stanford 17.46 68.36 32.16 23 Iowa 15.77 78.28 30.58 24 Texas A&M 13.61 106.13 29.98 25 BYU 10.57 127.46 27.45 26 Arizona 13.13 84.98 27.29 27 Virginia Tech 10.67 114.95 26.44 28 UCF 11.99 70.26 24.25 29 Indiana 13.52 44.62 24.14 30 Oregon St. 9.26 110.48 23.94 31 Michigan 13.09 49.28 23.93 32 Boise St. 8.45 116.41 23.30 33 Oklahoma 9.77 92.28 23.00 34 Penn St. 9.53 76.53 21.18 35 Mississippi St. 8.16 89.43 20.36 36 Fresno St. 8.23 77.00 19.31 37 Illinois 12.63 4.99 19.13 38 Michigan St. 7.43 85.79 18.95 39 USC 8.30 69.98 18.76 40 Mississippi 10.33 36.83 18.69 41 TCU 8.86 54.71 18.18 42 Georgia Tech 5.66 93.87 17.07 43 Oklahoma St. 6.48 70.58 16.13 44 Pittsburgh 7.53 49.71 15.75 45 Utah St. 5.05 83.61 15.22 46 Tennessee 7.54 41.22 14.98 47 Auburn 10.26 -6.73 14.54 48 Marshall 3.91 88.04 13.95 49 Iowa St. 9.61 -3.65 13.87 50 Boston Coll. 9.90 -11.20 13.60 51 Houston 7.76 11.38 12.53 52 East Carolina 4.66 56.22 12.11 53 Texas 6.23 14.98 10.60 54 Ohio 4.66 17.71 8.53 55 Memphis 1.09 62.86 7.44 56 Notre Dame 3.22 25.92 7.16 57 Syracuse 5.83 -17.86 6.96 58 N.C. State 0.71 43.93 5.13 59 Ball St. 5.23 -36.22 4.38 60 Duke 1.56 14.15 3.62 61 Wyoming 3.13 -19.30 2.84 62 Kentucky 0.94 9.83 2.30 63 West Virginia 1.57 -15.23 0.91 64 Maryland -1.42 24.72 0.20 65 Buffalo 0.90 -17.42 -0.29 66 Toledo 1.01 -24.61 -0.79 67 North Texas 2.63 -50.78 -0.82 68 Northwestern -0.03 -11.06 -1.07 69 Rutgers 0.34 -17.70 -1.13 70 Bowling Green -1.95 -1.07 -2.98 71 Virginia -2.89 10.23 -3.32 72 South Alabama -4.10 10.08 -5.13 73 Vanderbilt -0.36 -50.41 -5.21 74 California -8.02 62.26 -6.08 75 Florida Atlantic -4.88 1.03 -7.12 76 Washington St. -3.11 -33.33 -7.69 77 Northern Illinois -1.78 -60.07 -8.21 78 UT-San Antonio -8.20 37.52 -8.64 79 Arkansas -6.42 7.24 -8.82 80 Rice -3.45 -41.01 -8.90 81 Minnesota 0.40 -117.24 -10.29 82 West. Kentucky -8.82 23.48 -10.86 83 North Carolina -7.47 -11.81 -12.14 84 Cincinnati -9.08 -24.48 -15.70 85 South Florida -7.83 -61.08 -17.25 86 SMU -13.75 26.13 -17.91 87 Tulane -5.30 -119.00 -18.87 88 San Jose St. -10.60 -37.37 -19.14 89 Tulsa -10.33 -55.84 -20.45 90 LA Lafayette -10.89 -48.06 -20.56 91 San Diego St. -11.64 -43.63 -21.26 92 New Mexico -9.48 -79.55 -21.40 93 Connecticut -10.89 -60.28 -21.69 94 Army -10.92 -66.69 -22.33 95 Akron -11.35 -68.75 -23.16 96 Navy -8.48 -115.16 -23.22 97 Nevada -10.70 -84.70 -23.68 98 Wake Forest -9.85 -134.60 -27.05 99 Temple -10.62 -138.52 -28.56 100 UNLV -15.31 -65.58 -28.72 101 Colorado -15.25 -73.63 -29.38 102 Middle Tenn. St. -12.13 -126.80 -29.70 103 Arkansas St. -14.17 -94.94 -29.77 104 Kent St. -9.52 -169.81 -29.83 105 Hawaii -15.35 -81.53 -30.26 106 Colorado St. -11.41 -151.13 -30.89 107 Texas St. -12.32 -156.84 -32.77 108 Kansas -13.03 -153.73 -33.52 109 Purdue -20.89 -72.05 -37.57 110 Louisiana Tech -18.95 -120.79 -39.23 111 LA Monroe -18.01 -149.73 -40.52 112 UTEP -21.51 -142.51 -45.03 113 Troy -22.89 -129.42 -45.85 114 Cent. Michigan -22.75 -147.00 -47.28 115 Massachusetts -23.41 -185.49 -51.82 116 UAB -24.84 -182.26 -53.64 117 Air Force -23.54 -203.23 -53.66 118 East. Michigan -28.59 -149.86 -56.18 119 Idaho -30.19 -218.13 -64.88 120 Southern Miss -34.54 -148.84 -64.88 121 W. Michigan -31.36 -206.68 -65.54 122 Florida Intl. -33.55 -215.40 -69.59 123 New Mexico St. -34.03 -249.14 -73.43 124 Georgia State -29.47 -338.12 -74.94 125 Miami (OH) -33.61 -358.60 -82.97 Rankings by Conference: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 5 Louisville 28.70 210.41 61.96 AAC 28 UCF 11.99 70.26 24.25 AAC 51 Houston 7.76 11.38 12.53 AAC 55 Memphis 1.09 62.86 7.44 AAC 69 Rutgers 0.34 -17.70 -1.13 AAC 84 Cincinnati -9.08 -24.48 -15.70 AAC 85 South Florida -7.83 -61.08 -17.25 AAC 86 SMU -13.75 26.13 -17.91 AAC 93 Connecticut -10.89 -60.28 -21.69 AAC 99 Temple -10.62 -138.52 -28.56 AAC 2 Florida St. 45.31 305.25 95.32 ACC 7 Clemson 25.79 170.42 53.95 ACC 13 Miami (FL) 20.92 158.80 45.67 ACC 27 Virginia Tech 10.67 114.95 26.44 ACC 42 Georgia Tech 5.66 93.87 17.07 ACC 44 Pittsburgh 7.53 49.71 15.75 ACC 50 Boston Coll. 9.90 -11.20 13.60 ACC 57 Syracuse 5.83 -17.86 6.96 ACC 58 N.C. State 0.71 43.93 5.13 ACC 60 Duke 1.56 14.15 3.62 ACC 64 Maryland -1.42 24.72 0.20 ACC 71 Virginia -2.89 10.23 -3.32 ACC 83 North Carolina -7.47 -11.81 -12.14 ACC 98 Wake Forest -9.85 -134.60 -27.05 ACC 8 Wisconsin 19.35 218.00 48.84 B10 11 Ohio St. 22.05 148.60 46.39 B10 16 Nebraska 19.35 113.65 39.16 B10 23 Iowa 15.77 78.28 30.58 B10 29 Indiana 13.52 44.62 24.14 B10 31 Michigan 13.09 49.28 23.93 B10 34 Penn St. 9.53 76.53 21.18 B10 37 Illinois 12.63 4.99 19.13 B10 38 Michigan St. 7.43 85.79 18.95 B10 68 Northwestern -0.03 -11.06 -1.07 B10 81 Minnesota 0.40 -117.24 -10.29 B10 109 Purdue -20.89 -72.05 -37.57 B10 1 Baylor 43.60 355.68 97.47 B12 19 Texas Tech 16.45 118.57 35.32 B12 21 Kansas St. 15.31 118.95 33.67 B12 33 Oklahoma 9.77 92.28 23.00 B12 41 TCU 8.86 54.71 18.18 B12 43 Oklahoma St. 6.48 70.58 16.13 B12 49 Iowa St. 9.61 -3.65 13.87 B12 53 Texas 6.23 14.98 10.60 B12 63 West Virginia 1.57 -15.23 0.91 B12 108 Kansas -13.03 -153.73 -33.52 B12 48 Marshall 3.91 88.04 13.95 CUSA 52 East Carolina 4.66 56.22 12.11 CUSA 67 North Texas 2.63 -50.78 -0.82 CUSA 75 Florida Atlantic -4.88 1.03 -7.12 CUSA 78 UT-San Antonio -8.20 37.52 -8.64 CUSA 80 Rice -3.45 -41.01 -8.90 CUSA 87 Tulane -5.30 -119.00 -18.87 CUSA 89 Tulsa -10.33 -55.84 -20.45 CUSA 102 Middle Tenn. St. -12.13 -126.80 -29.70 CUSA 110 Louisiana Tech -18.95 -120.79 -39.23 CUSA 112 UTEP -21.51 -142.51 -45.03 CUSA 116 UAB -24.84 -182.26 -53.64 CUSA 120 Southern Miss -34.54 -148.84 -64.88 CUSA 122 Florida Intl. -33.55 -215.40 -69.59 CUSA 25 BYU 10.57 127.46 27.45 Ind 56 Notre Dame 3.22 25.92 7.16 Ind 94 Army -10.92 -66.69 -22.33 Ind 96 Navy -8.48 -115.16 -23.22 Ind 119 Idaho -30.19 -218.13 -64.88 Ind 123 New Mexico St. -34.03 -249.14 -73.43 Ind 54 Ohio 4.66 17.71 8.53 MAC 59 Ball St. 5.23 -36.22 4.38 MAC 65 Buffalo 0.90 -17.42 -0.29 MAC 66 Toledo 1.01 -24.61 -0.79 MAC 70 Bowling Green -1.95 -1.07 -2.98 MAC 77 Northern Illinois -1.78 -60.07 -8.21 MAC 95 Akron -11.35 -68.75 -23.16 MAC 104 Kent St. -9.52 -169.81 -29.83 MAC 114 Cent. Michigan -22.75 -147.00 -47.28 MAC 115 Massachusetts -23.41 -185.49 -51.82 MAC 118 East. Michigan -28.59 -149.86 -56.18 MAC 121 W. Michigan -31.36 -206.68 -65.54 MAC 125 Miami (OH) -33.61 -358.60 -82.97 MAC 32 Boise St. 8.45 116.41 23.30 MWC 36 Fresno St. 8.23 77.00 19.31 MWC 45 Utah St. 5.05 83.61 15.22 MWC 61 Wyoming 3.13 -19.30 2.84 MWC 88 San Jose St. -10.60 -37.37 -19.14 MWC 91 San Diego St. -11.64 -43.63 -21.26 MWC 92 New Mexico -9.48 -79.55 -21.40 MWC 97 Nevada -10.70 -84.70 -23.68 MWC 100 UNLV -15.31 -65.58 -28.72 MWC 105 Hawaii -15.35 -81.53 -30.26 MWC 106 Colorado St. -11.41 -151.13 -30.89 MWC 117 Air Force -23.54 -203.23 -53.66 MWC 3 Oregon 32.80 264.95 73.08 P10 4 Washington 30.52 248.35 68.17 P10 10 UCLA 20.87 175.54 47.15 P10 14 Utah 19.73 131.26 41.35 P10 20 Arizona St. 14.90 136.31 34.68 P10 22 Stanford 17.46 68.36 32.16 P10 26 Arizona 13.13 84.98 27.29 P10 30 Oregon St. 9.26 110.48 23.94 P10 39 USC 8.30 69.98 18.76 P10 74 California -8.02 62.26 -6.08 P10 76 Washington St. -3.11 -33.33 -7.69 P10 101 Colorado -15.25 -73.63 -29.38 P10 72 South Alabama -4.10 10.08 -5.13 SBC 82 West. Kentucky -8.82 23.48 -10.86 SBC 90 LA Lafayette -10.89 -48.06 -20.56 SBC 103 Arkansas St. -14.17 -94.94 -29.77 SBC 107 Texas St. -12.32 -156.84 -32.77 SBC 111 LA Monroe -18.01 -149.73 -40.52 SBC 113 Troy -22.89 -129.42 -45.85 SBC 124 Georgia State -29.47 -338.12 -74.94 SBC 6 Alabama 28.61 127.26 54.11 SEC 9 Georgia 19.19 214.01 48.23 SEC 12 LSU 22.77 136.93 46.37 SEC 15 Missouri 23.12 54.78 39.27 SEC 17 Florida 15.06 169.77 38.02 SEC 18 South Carolina 13.96 173.11 36.70 SEC 24 Texas A&M 13.61 106.13 29.98 SEC 35 Mississippi St. 8.16 89.43 20.36 SEC 40 Mississippi 10.33 36.83 18.69 SEC 46 Tennessee 7.54 41.22 14.98 SEC 47 Auburn 10.26 -6.73 14.54 SEC 62 Kentucky 0.94 9.83 2.30 SEC 73 Vanderbilt -0.36 -50.41 -5.21 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 6 DUSHEE Rankings

For all us glum TCU fans, DUSHEE comes in this Sunday morning with good news. One, despite hanging 73 on WVU, Baylor has fallen out of the top spot, ceding to Lee Corso's alma mater, Florida State. Two, despite losing to Oklahoma and showing only the slightest pulse of an offense, TCU is now on the cusp of the top 25. That's right Frog fans, despite how you feel today, DUSHEE is here to totally blow sunshine up your collective asses and boost your self esteem with participation ribbons galore! Sarcasm aside, given the still small sampling, by DUSHEE standards, TCU has had the 11th hardest schedule in college football. And while LRBWHCGMFP and most of the TCU faithful do not accept moral victories, DUSHEE rewards them in spades. Here are the 15 toughest schedules in college football right now, and some other schedules of note: 1 WVU 29.90 2 Tennessee 29.76 3 Cal 28.26 4 Virginia 28.20 5 Washington 28.03 6 Georgia 28.00 7 Utah 23.88 8 ASU 21.95 9 SMU 19.48 10 Florida 18.06 11 TCU 17.75 12 Colorado 15.80 13 Arizona 15.69 14 BC 15.61 15 VaTech 15.36 15 Buffalo 15.36 33 Oklahoma St. 7.17 41 Iowa St. 5.45 62 Oklahoma -1.27 75 Texas -3.13 89 Kansas -5.59 93 Baylor -7.15 104 Texas Tech -11.42 105 Kansas St. -13.30 So despite being 2-3 (1-3 in games that DUSHEE actually takes into account), those losses have all come in close games against top 35 opponents. So TCU's PMs, in particular, are not bad at all. TCU's PM (15.9) ranks 23rd in the country. Their YM (61.4) is 41st. Here are TCU's game-by-game totals: Opp: LSU Ttech SMU OU PM: 13.00 17.33 14.33 19.00 YM: -80.40 234.67 50.67 40.75 By this metric, TCU's performance against OU was very similar to their performance against SMU. The difference was quality of opponent. So weep not, Frog nation! DUSHEE says to keep your head up! You're not doing so bad! Now, Danny's mom brought you all juice boxes and rice krispies treats. Everybody take ONE!!! And yes, TCU is ahead of Oklahoma. Don't worry about that. Full rankings by team: Rank Team PD YD Points 1 Florida St. 49.08 344.60 94.93 2 Baylor 44.50 407.11 93.74 3 Washington 38.27 332.35 79.18 4 Oregon 34.46 240.96 66.57 5 Louisville 33.31 226.58 63.84 6 Clemson 32.54 185.85 59.49 7 Alabama 30.21 74.40 47.27 8 Georgia 21.57 217.99 47.11 9 UCLA 24.00 175.76 47.01 10 Miami (FL) 23.30 186.96 46.95 11 Florida 19.83 232.10 45.89 12 Ohio St. 22.53 153.27 43.18 13 Nebraska 22.13 124.40 40.28 14 Utah 19.33 169.83 40.16 15 LSU 22.58 99.40 38.88 16 Indiana 22.94 89.81 38.59 17 Stanford 21.77 99.57 37.78 18 Arizona 17.96 148.04 36.51 19 Missouri 22.63 50.48 34.98 20 Iowa 17.57 111.63 33.03 21 Arizona St. 15.21 139.37 32.06 22 Texas A&M 17.42 87.29 30.85 23 Wisconsin 10.52 167.63 27.95 24 Texas Tech 18.83 22.29 27.51 25 South Carolina 10.00 170.20 27.45 26 TCU 15.92 61.42 26.71 27 Virginia Tech 11.68 97.33 23.84 28 BYU 8.50 137.37 22.74 29 Ohio 12.65 50.60 21.36 30 Oklahoma 8.85 105.90 20.66 31 Boise St. 7.13 129.06 20.19 32 Fresno St. 9.12 92.68 19.96 33 Tennessee 10.53 53.60 18.72 34 Pittsburgh 9.29 71.67 18.49 35 Illinois 12.04 14.71 17.63 36 UCF 9.55 51.43 17.21 37 Michigan 11.68 10.49 16.79 38 Georgia Tech 7.02 80.52 16.11 39 N.C. State 6.25 93.42 16.10 40 Mississippi St. 7.18 68.98 15.40 41 Penn St. 6.37 67.97 14.20 42 Marshall 4.40 99.93 14.10 43 USC 5.30 83.88 14.03 44 Utah St. 4.05 102.73 13.86 45 Auburn 10.36 -4.90 13.74 46 Kentucky 4.53 92.58 13.69 47 Oregon St. 3.46 88.77 11.92 48 Mississippi 7.69 15.88 11.78 49 East Carolina 7.34 19.24 11.58 50 Iowa St. 4.83 59.83 11.45 51 Houston 6.49 24.54 10.85 52 Michigan St. 3.08 76.09 10.37 53 Kansas St. 6.21 5.58 8.93 54 Oklahoma St. 4.35 35.77 8.84 55 Boston Coll. 6.60 -3.92 8.70 56 Arkansas 2.73 60.62 8.64 57 Notre Dame 4.07 30.75 8.05 58 West Virginia 5.13 9.44 7.76 59 Ball St. 5.50 -30.87 5.01 60 Syracuse 5.42 -39.96 4.15 61 Northwestern 2.29 12.33 4.13 62 Toledo 2.08 -6.88 2.29 63 California -4.83 107.21 2.09 64 Texas 2.04 -12.84 1.74 65 Buffalo 2.13 -20.44 1.24 66 Washington St. 0.13 -12.71 -0.86 67 Virginia -2.27 3.65 -2.80 68 UT-San Antonio -6.11 61.10 -3.39 69 West. Kentucky -5.95 53.18 -3.81 70 Maryland -3.08 1.96 -4.05 71 Northern Illinois 0.70 -63.87 -4.22 72 North Texas 0.91 -71.24 -4.54 73 Memphis -3.71 6.42 -4.54 74 Duke -4.63 0.15 -6.30 75 Rice -3.67 -22.01 -6.80 76 South Alabama -5.50 6.69 -6.97 77 Rutgers -3.60 -27.56 -7.15 78 Wyoming -0.99 -81.48 -7.95 79 Navy -0.36 -102.08 -8.77 80 Bowling Green -5.43 -25.93 -9.52 81 Colorado -6.56 -22.56 -10.78 82 Minnesota -0.25 -133.50 -11.16 83 North Carolina -7.38 -26.57 -12.23 84 Vanderbilt -4.93 -69.90 -12.40 85 South Florida -8.40 -16.33 -12.79 86 Florida Atlantic -8.75 -40.51 -15.23 87 LA Lafayette -8.19 -57.23 -15.82 88 SMU -12.08 5.08 -16.08 89 Tulsa -12.57 -15.62 -18.42 90 San Diego St. -11.63 -51.27 -20.03 91 Cincinnati -14.08 -11.33 -20.14 92 Army -10.92 -71.62 -20.71 93 Middle Tenn. St. -8.70 -113.70 -21.10 94 San Jose St. -13.25 -53.13 -22.39 95 Temple -7.63 -167.71 -24.01 96 Connecticut -11.17 -113.00 -24.40 97 Texas St. -5.21 -215.15 -24.55 98 Nevada -12.87 -93.90 -25.17 99 New Mexico -12.87 -97.05 -25.44 100 Wake Forest -10.92 -134.58 -25.81 101 Akron -14.08 -85.18 -26.13 102 UNLV -15.75 -88.94 -28.71 103 Tulane -13.30 -131.30 -28.80 104 LA Monroe -18.80 -59.20 -30.46 105 Colorado St. -11.63 -187.81 -31.09 106 Hawaii -18.10 -85.38 -31.63 107 Kansas -14.50 -147.61 -31.76 108 Kent St. -12.70 -202.24 -33.72 109 Purdue -22.22 -51.42 -34.49 110 Arkansas St. -17.65 -134.42 -34.98 111 Louisiana Tech -20.73 -113.33 -37.49 112 UTEP -20.20 -154.47 -40.09 113 UAB -24.15 -184.45 -47.92 114 Massachusetts -24.46 -180.13 -47.99 115 Air Force -24.03 -212.97 -50.07 116 East. Michigan -28.25 -154.50 -51.09 117 Troy -27.80 -166.60 -51.45 118 Cent. Michigan -29.00 -178.60 -54.06 119 W. Michigan -29.35 -181.42 -54.77 120 Idaho -28.53 -218.03 -56.61 121 Southern Miss -37.80 -187.75 -66.82 122 Florida Intl. -35.54 -226.90 -66.91 123 New Mexico St. -35.75 -268.49 -70.56 124 Miami (OH) -34.10 -355.50 -75.36 Rankings by conference: Rank Team P/G Y/G Score Conf 5 Louisville 33.31 226.58 63.84 AAC 36 UCF 9.55 51.43 17.21 AAC 51 Houston 6.49 24.54 10.85 AAC 73 Memphis -3.71 6.42 -4.54 AAC 77 Rutgers -3.60 -27.56 -7.15 AAC 85 South Florida -8.40 -16.33 -12.79 AAC 88 SMU -12.08 5.08 -16.08 AAC 91 Cincinnati -14.08 -11.33 -20.14 AAC 95 Temple -7.63 -167.71 -24.01 AAC 96 Connecticut -11.17 -113.00 -24.40 AAC 1 Florida St. 49.08 344.60 94.93 ACC 6 Clemson 32.54 185.85 59.49 ACC 10 Miami (FL) 23.30 186.96 46.95 ACC 27 Virginia Tech 11.68 97.33 23.84 ACC 34 Pittsburgh 9.29 71.67 18.49 ACC 38 Georgia Tech 7.02 80.52 16.11 ACC 39 N.C. State 6.25 93.42 16.10 ACC 55 Boston Coll. 6.60 -3.92 8.70 ACC 60 Syracuse 5.42 -39.96 4.15 ACC 67 Virginia -2.27 3.65 -2.80 ACC 70 Maryland -3.08 1.96 -4.05 ACC 74 Duke -4.63 0.15 -6.30 ACC 83 North Carolina -7.38 -26.57 -12.23 ACC 100 Wake Forest -10.92 -134.58 -25.81 ACC 12 Ohio St. 22.53 153.27 43.18 B10 13 Nebraska 22.13 124.40 40.28 B10 16 Indiana 22.94 89.81 38.59 B10 20 Iowa 17.57 111.63 33.03 B10 23 Wisconsin 10.52 167.63 27.95 B10 35 Illinois 12.04 14.71 17.63 B10 37 Michigan 11.68 10.49 16.79 B10 41 Penn St. 6.37 67.97 14.20 B10 52 Michigan St. 3.08 76.09 10.37 B10 61 Northwestern 2.29 12.33 4.13 B10 82 Minnesota -0.25 -133.50 -11.16 B10 109 Purdue -22.22 -51.42 -34.49 B10 2 Baylor 44.50 407.11 93.74 B12 24 Texas Tech 18.83 22.29 27.51 B12 26 TCU 15.92 61.42 26.71 B12 30 Oklahoma 8.85 105.90 20.66 B12 50 Iowa St. 4.83 59.83 11.45 B12 53 Kansas St. 6.21 5.58 8.93 B12 54 Oklahoma St. 4.35 35.77 8.84 B12 58 West Virginia 5.13 9.44 7.76 B12 64 Texas 2.04 -12.84 1.74 B12 107 Kansas -14.50 -147.61 -31.76 B12 42 Marshall 4.40 99.93 14.10 CUSA 49 East Carolina 7.34 19.24 11.58 CUSA 68 UT-San Antonio -6.11 61.10 -3.39 CUSA 72 North Texas 0.91 -71.24 -4.54 CUSA 75 Rice -3.67 -22.01 -6.80 CUSA 86 Florida Atlantic -8.75 -40.51 -15.23 CUSA 89 Tulsa -12.57 -15.62 -18.42 CUSA 93 Middle Tenn. St. -8.70 -113.70 -21.10 CUSA 103 Tulane -13.30 -131.30 -28.80 CUSA 111 Louisiana Tech -20.73 -113.33 -37.49 CUSA 112 UTEP -20.20 -154.47 -40.09 CUSA 113 UAB -24.15 -184.45 -47.92 CUSA 121 Southern Miss -37.80 -187.75 -66.82 CUSA 122 Florida Intl. -35.54 -226.90 -66.91 CUSA 28 BYU 8.50 137.37 22.74 Ind 57 Notre Dame 4.07 30.75 8.05 Ind 79 Navy -0.36 -102.08 -8.77 Ind 92 Army -10.92 -71.62 -20.71 Ind 120 Idaho -28.53 -218.03 -56.61 Ind 123 New Mexico St. -35.75 -268.49 -70.56 Ind 29 Ohio 12.65 50.60 21.36 MAC 59 Ball St. 5.50 -30.87 5.01 MAC 62 Toledo 2.08 -6.88 2.29 MAC 65 Buffalo 2.13 -20.44 1.24 MAC 71 Northern Illinois 0.70 -63.87 -4.22 MAC 80 Bowling Green -5.43 -25.93 -9.52 MAC 101 Akron -14.08 -85.18 -26.13 MAC 108 Kent St. -12.70 -202.24 -33.72 MAC 114 Massachusetts -24.46 -180.13 -47.99 MAC 116 East. Michigan -28.25 -154.50 -51.09 MAC 118 Cent. Michigan -29.00 -178.60 -54.06 MAC 119 W. Michigan -29.35 -181.42 -54.77 MAC 124 Miami (OH) -34.10 -355.50 -75.36 MAC 31 Boise St. 7.13 129.06 20.19 MWC 32 Fresno St. 9.12 92.68 19.96 MWC 44 Utah St. 4.05 102.73 13.86 MWC 78 Wyoming -0.99 -81.48 -7.95 MWC 90 San Diego St. -11.63 -51.27 -20.03 MWC 94 San Jose St. -13.25 -53.13 -22.39 MWC 98 Nevada -12.87 -93.90 -25.17 MWC 99 New Mexico -12.87 -97.05 -25.44 MWC 102 UNLV -15.75 -88.94 -28.71 MWC 105 Colorado St. -11.63 -187.81 -31.09 MWC 106 Hawaii -18.10 -85.38 -31.63 MWC 115 Air Force -24.03 -212.97 -50.07 MWC 3 Washington 38.27 332.35 79.18 P10 4 Oregon 34.46 240.96 66.57 P10 9 UCLA 24.00 175.76 47.01 P10 14 Utah 19.33 169.83 40.16 P10 17 Stanford 21.77 99.57 37.78 P10 18 Arizona 17.96 148.04 36.51 P10 21 Arizona St. 15.21 139.37 32.06 P10 43 USC 5.30 83.88 14.03 P10 47 Oregon St. 3.46 88.77 11.92 P10 63 California -4.83 107.21 2.09 P10 66 Washington St. 0.13 -12.71 -0.86 P10 81 Colorado -6.56 -22.56 -10.78 P10 69 West. Kentucky -5.95 53.18 -3.81 SBC 76 South Alabama -5.50 6.69 -6.97 SBC 87 LA Lafayette -8.19 -57.23 -15.82 SBC 97 Texas St. -5.21 -215.15 -24.55 SBC 104 LA Monroe -18.80 -59.20 -30.46 SBC 110 Arkansas St. -17.65 -134.42 -34.98 SBC 117 Troy -27.80 -166.60 -51.45 SBC 7 Alabama 30.21 74.40 47.27 SEC 8 Georgia 21.57 217.99 47.11 SEC 11 Florida 19.83 232.10 45.89 SEC 15 LSU 22.58 99.40 38.88 SEC 19 Missouri 22.63 50.48 34.98 SEC 22 Texas A&M 17.42 87.29 30.85 SEC 25 South Carolina 10.00 170.20 27.45 SEC 33 Tennessee 10.53 53.60 18.72 SEC 40 Mississippi St. 7.18 68.98 15.40 SEC 45 Auburn 10.36 -4.90 13.74 SEC 46 Kentucky 4.53 92.58 13.69 SEC 48 Mississippi 7.69 15.88 11.78 SEC 56 Arkansas 2.73 60.62 8.64 SEC 84 Vanderbilt -4.93 -69.90 -12.40 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Week 5 DUSHEE Rankings

Allow me to apologize in advance. Baylor is the number one team in the land according to DUSHEE. Now wait, wait. ... WAIT! Remember the discussion from the first NMMH blog post. Teams are not well "interconnected," as Sagarin puts it, at this point. Baylor's ranking is coming based on the results of two games, against Buffalo and ULaMon. And because Buffalo put a pretty decent whooping on UConn this week, Buffalo isn't looking as bad (51st) in the rankings as they probably are in reality. Hang 70 on a fair-to-middlin' team (or at least a team that appears fair-to-middlin after a few games into the season) and your PM and YM will be high. Very high. Point is this. Right now Baylor is sporting a PD of 54 and a YD of 397.5. Since 2000, the largest PD any team has had at the conclusion of the season was the 2005 Texas team at 38.4 and the largest YD was the 2000 Florida State team at 282. So unless this year's Baylor team is perhaps the best team in the history of college football, do not expect those numbers to stay anywhere close to where they are. Not only will they fall as they play close games against better opponents but expect their scores against Buffalo and ULaMon (especially Buffalo) to fall as the season progresses and those teams fall in the rankings. As a basis for comparison, Texas Tech was the top ranked team in DUSHEE at this point last season with a PD of 31.1 and a YD of 332. They ended up ranked 39th with a PD of 3.8 and a YD of 100.8. This begs a question: Why not cap blowouts? Other ranking systems do that and there may be some validity to the argument for doing so. The reason why I don't is because the selection of the cap is arbitrary and I'm trying to put in as few arbitrary judgements into the methodology as possible. Where do I cap it? 28? 35? Why? Do I cap yardage too? Again, where? I'd argue that the fact that Baylor can hang 70 on Buffalo while most other teams cannot is relevant information. Capping their 57-point victory to 28 or some other arbitrary value artificially brings them down to a level of a far greater number of teams who have the ability to beat Buffalo by a similar score. So I'm not convinced blowouts of that magnitude should be thrown out or their effect reduced. I'd prefer to let a more complete and rounded field of competition affect the numbers. But nonetheless mock away. DUSHEE probably deserves it. The Frogs, by the way, open the polls at 42nd with a PD of 10.0 and a YD of 43.2. Here are the rankings by team, followed by the rankings by conference. Rank Team PD YD Points 1 Baylor 54.08 397.50 100.00 2 Washington 50.56 381.83 94.33 3 Oregon 40.44 180.61 65.10 4 Clemson 35.33 223.67 62.34 5 Louisville 33.22 223.39 59.70 6 Georgia 27.73 289.40 58.38 7 Florida St. 32.56 214.50 58.14 8 UCLA 30.42 215.19 55.55 9 Iowa 29.63 126.54 47.21 10 Alabama 31.71 80.00 45.92 11 Florida 18.33 272.17 45.31 12 Arizona St. 22.53 208.17 45.19 13 Arizona 21.81 168.47 41.00 14 Utah 19.33 169.67 38.04 15 Miami (FL) 19.36 164.03 37.60 16 Stanford 20.17 135.67 36.25 17 LSU 19.87 130.30 35.43 18 Virginia Tech 17.13 171.08 35.42 19 South Carolina 15.17 198.67 35.28 20 Illinois 24.94 41.39 34.34 21 Penn St. 17.13 156.58 34.21 22 Nebraska 18.56 134.61 34.16 23 Ohio St. 16.79 150.79 33.32 24 Wisconsin 11.75 181.63 29.63 25 Texas A&M 17.63 92.21 29.49 26 N.C. State 12.22 146.50 27.30 27 Mississippi St. 14.22 112.06 26.92 28 Syracuse 18.83 28.33 25.68 29 Missouri 16.78 33.78 23.59 30 Oregon St. 7.58 169.92 23.50 31 Oklahoma 9.96 131.60 23.26 32 West Virginia 10.28 110.67 21.92 33 Texas Tech 16.17 1.83 20.18 34 Auburn 13.33 42.73 20.07 35 Oklahoma St. 8.42 114.25 19.91 36 California 5.89 149.94 19.74 37 UCF 9.79 85.21 19.20 38 Mississippi 14.67 10.00 19.00 39 Georgia Tech 6.67 126.67 18.77 40 BYU 3.88 147.38 17.04 41 Kentucky 5.42 121.38 16.79 42 TCU 10.00 43.17 15.97 43 Houston 8.53 60.00 15.55 44 Tennessee 10.79 14.54 14.58 45 Iowa St. 7.83 57.83 14.51 46 Indiana 12.17 -9.83 14.26 47 Ohio 10.22 15.67 13.96 48 Utah St. 5.23 78.10 12.96 49 USC 4.07 86.13 12.19 50 Boise St. 3.17 82.54 10.78 51 Buffalo 9.33 -12.50 10.52 52 Notre Dame 5.57 39.93 10.21 53 East Carolina 8.92 -15.17 9.79 54 Maryland 3.33 67.17 9.71 55 Pittsburgh 3.38 34.25 7.02 56 Fresno St. 4.33 17.33 6.81 57 Washington St. 2.73 39.29 6.64 58 Michigan 3.35 21.81 5.97 59 Rice 3.15 16.27 5.25 60 Texas 3.67 7.48 5.16 61 Northwestern 4.33 -4.44 5.00 62 Ball St. 5.83 -37.92 4.08 63 Arkansas 1.38 7.50 2.33 64 Northern Illinois 6.39 -82.36 1.08 65 Virginia -1.00 0.17 -1.22 66 Duke -3.13 23.42 -1.93 67 Toledo -1.38 -7.17 -2.30 68 UT-San Antonio -7.13 64.43 -3.49 69 Rutgers -0.28 -37.89 -3.49 70 West. Kentucky -7.71 69.46 -3.78 71 Kansas St. 1.83 -78.83 -4.27 72 Boston Coll. 0.06 -60.36 -4.94 73 Wyoming 0.75 -76.81 -5.45 74 South Alabama -4.56 -27.56 -7.93 75 Marshall -7.78 12.94 -8.56 76 Bowling Green -6.21 -20.83 -9.42 77 North Carolina -4.83 -46.63 -9.86 78 Colorado -11.50 42.33 -10.73 79 Minnesota 2.67 -178.60 -11.52 80 Navy -4.25 -77.50 -11.70 81 Michigan St. -9.89 2.47 -12.05 82 North Texas -1.00 -131.56 -12.16 83 San Jose St. -8.67 -18.56 -12.28 84 Cincinnati -8.33 -34.28 -13.17 85 Army -8.67 -32.33 -13.42 86 San Diego St. -10.81 -10.25 -14.24 87 Texas St. -0.78 -167.50 -14.87 88 Vanderbilt -6.63 -103.79 -16.82 89 Connecticut -8.28 -81.61 -17.03 90 Memphis -8.89 -72.78 -17.05 91 Akron -9.71 -61.50 -17.13 92 Florida Atlantic -11.03 -97.43 -21.76 93 Tulsa -15.00 -60.92 -23.64 94 LA Monroe -15.67 -68.50 -25.10 95 SMU -20.44 -26.94 -27.56 96 Middle Tenn. St. -13.58 -131.35 -27.73 97 South Florida -18.08 -76.42 -28.75 98 Nevada -14.17 -139.88 -29.16 99 Colorado St. -11.17 -185.17 -29.21 100 LA Lafayette -13.89 -144.83 -29.23 101 Kansas -15.67 -152.33 -32.05 102 Louisiana Tech -19.92 -98.83 -32.88 103 Kent St. -16.08 -161.38 -33.32 104 East. Michigan -21.50 -80.83 -33.35 105 Tulane -18.04 -133.92 -33.47 106 New Mexico -20.54 -97.19 -33.52 107 UNLV -19.88 -117.67 -34.39 108 Purdue -23.06 -77.15 -34.98 109 Hawaii -19.73 -131.02 -35.32 110 Arkansas St. -20.17 -144.42 -36.97 111 Temple -16.00 -214.33 -37.61 112 UAB -26.25 -136.89 -43.88 113 UTEP -23.73 -182.90 -44.58 114 W. Michigan -26.75 -158.54 -46.30 115 Massachusetts -24.83 -209.78 -48.18 116 Florida Intl. -26.89 -205.61 -50.38 117 Idaho -26.63 -212.83 -50.66 118 Air Force -24.33 -248.67 -50.79 119 Cent. Michigan -33.75 -133.58 -52.90 120 Southern Miss -34.33 -129.54 -53.29 121 Wake Forest -27.38 -254.46 -55.04 122 Troy -34.96 -155.67 -56.23 123 New Mexico St. -30.70 -278.13 -61.12 124 Miami (OH) -32.08 -415.83-74.27 Rank Team PD YD Score Conf 5 Louisville 33.22222 223.39 59.70 AAC 37 UCF 9.791667 85.21 19.20 AAC 43 Houston 8.527778 60.00 15.55 AAC 69 Rutgers -0.27778 -37.89 -3.49 AAC 84 Cincinnati -8.33333 -34.28 -13.17 AAC 89 Connecticut -8.27778 -81.61 -17.03 AAC 90 Memphis -8.88889 -72.78 -17.05 AAC 95 SMU -20.4444 -26.94 -27.56 AAC 97 South Florida -18.0833 -76.42 -28.75 AAC 111 Temple -16 -214.33 -37.61 AAC 4 Clemson 35.33333 223.67 62.34 ACC 7 Florida St. 32.55556 214.50 58.14 ACC 15 Miami (FL) 19.36111 164.03 37.60 ACC 18 Virginia Tech 17.125 171.08 35.42 ACC 26 N.C. State 12.22222 146.50 27.30 ACC 28 Syracuse 18.83333 28.33 25.68 ACC 39 Georgia Tech 6.666667 126.67 18.77 ACC 54 Maryland 3.333333 67.17 9.71 ACC 55 Pittsburgh 3.375 34.25 7.02 ACC 65 Virginia -1 0.17 -1.22 ACC 66 Duke -3.125 23.42 -1.93 ACC 72 Boston Coll. 0.055556 -60.36 -4.94 ACC 77 North Carolina -4.83333 -46.63 -9.86 ACC 121 Wake Forest -27.375 -254.46 -55.04 ACC 9 Iowa 29.625 126.54 47.21 B10 20 Illinois 24.94444 41.39 34.34 B10 21 Penn St. 17.125 156.58 34.21 B10 22 Nebraska 18.55556 134.61 34.16 B10 23 Ohio St. 16.79167 150.79 33.32 B10 24 Wisconsin 11.75 181.63 29.63 B10 46 Indiana 12.16667 -9.83 14.26 B10 58 Michigan 3.354167 21.81 5.97 B10 61 Northwestern 4.333333 -4.44 5.00 B10 79 Minnesota 2.666667 -178.60 -11.52 B10 81 Michigan St. -9.88889 2.47 -12.05 B10 108 Purdue -23.0625 -77.15 -34.98 B10 1 Baylor 54.08333 397.50 100.00 B12 31 Oklahoma 9.958333 131.60 23.26 B12 32 West Virginia 10.27778 110.67 21.92 B12 33 Texas Tech 16.16667 1.83 20.18 B12 35 Oklahoma St. 8.416667 114.25 19.91 B12 42 TCU 10 43.17 15.97 B12 45 Iowa St. 7.833333 57.83 14.51 B12 60 Texas 3.666667 7.48 5.16 B12 71 Kansas St. 1.833333 -78.83 -4.27 B12 101 Kansas -15.6667 -152.33 -32.05 B12 53 East Carolina 8.916667 -15.17 9.79 CUSA 59 Rice 3.145833 16.27 5.25 CUSA 68 UT-San Antonio -7.13333 64.43 -3.49 CUSA 75 Marshall -7.77778 12.94 -8.56 CUSA 82 North Texas -1 -131.56 -12.16 CUSA 92 Florida Atlantic -11.0333 -97.43 -21.76 CUSA 93 Tulsa -15 -60.92 -23.64 CUSA 96 Middle Tenn. St. -13.5833 -131.35 -27.73 CUSA 102 Louisiana Tech -19.9167 -98.83 -32.88 CUSA 105 Tulane -18.0417 -133.92 -33.47 CUSA 112 UAB -26.25 -136.89 -43.88 CUSA 113 UTEP -23.7292 -182.90 -44.58 CUSA 116 Florida Intl. -26.8889 -205.61 -50.38 CUSA 120 Southern Miss -34.3333 -129.54 -53.29 CUSA 40 BYU 3.875 147.38 17.04 Ind 52 Notre Dame 5.566667 39.93 10.21 Ind 80 Navy -4.25 -77.50 -11.70 Ind 85 Army -8.66667 -32.33 -13.42 Ind 117 Idaho -26.6333 -212.83 -50.66 Ind 123 New Mexico St. -30.7 -278.13 -61.12 Ind 47 Ohio 10.22222 15.67 13.96 MAC 51 Buffalo 9.333333 -12.50 10.52 MAC 62 Ball St. 5.833333 -37.92 4.08 MAC 64 Northern Illinois 6.388889 -82.36 1.08 MAC 67 Toledo -1.375 -7.17 -2.30 MAC 76 Bowling Green -6.20833 -20.83 -9.42 MAC 91 Akron -9.70833 -61.50 -17.13 MAC 103 Kent St. -16.0833 -161.38 -33.32 MAC 104 East. Michigan -21.5 -80.83 -33.35 MAC 114 W. Michigan -26.75 -158.54 -46.30 MAC 115 Massachusetts -24.8333 -209.78 -48.18 MAC 119 Cent. Michigan -33.75 -133.58 -52.90 MAC 124 Miami (OH) -32.0833 -415.83 -74.27 MAC 48 Utah St. 5.229167 78.10 12.96 MWC 50 Boise St. 3.166667 82.54 10.78 MWC 56 Fresno St. 4.333333 17.33 6.81 MWC 73 Wyoming 0.75 -76.81 -5.45 MWC 83 San Jose St. -8.66667 -18.56 -12.28 MWC 86 San Diego St. -10.8056 -10.25 -14.24 MWC 98 Nevada -14.1667 -139.88 -29.16 MWC 99 Colorado St. -11.1667 -185.17 -29.21 MWC 106 New Mexico -20.5417 -97.19 -33.52 MWC 107 UNLV -19.875 -117.67 -34.39 MWC 109 Hawaii -19.7292 -131.02 -35.32 MWC 118 Air Force -24.3333 -248.67 -50.79 MWC 2 Washington 50.55556 381.83 94.33 P10 3 Oregon 40.44444 180.61 65.10 P10 8 UCLA 30.41667 215.19 55.55 P10 12 Arizona St. 22.52778 208.17 45.19 P10 13 Arizona 21.80556 168.47 41.00 P10 14 Utah 19.33333 169.67 38.04 P10 16 Stanford 20.16667 135.67 36.25 P10 30 Oregon St. 7.583333 169.92 23.50 P10 36 California 5.888889 149.94 19.74 P10 49 USC 4.066667 86.13 12.19 P10 57 Washington St. 2.729167 39.29 6.64 P10 78 Colorado -11.5 42.33 -10.73 P10 70 West. Kentucky -7.70833 69.46 -3.78 SBC 74 South Alabama -4.55556 -27.56 -7.93 SBC 87 Texas St. -0.77778 -167.50 -14.87 SBC 94 LA Monroe -15.6667 -68.50 -25.10 SBC 100 LA Lafayette -13.8889 -144.83 -29.23 SBC 110 Arkansas St. -20.1667 -144.42 -36.97 SBC 122 Troy -34.9583 -155.67 -56.23 SBC 6 Georgia 27.72917 289.40 58.38 SEC 10 Alabama 31.70833 80.00 45.92 SEC 11 Florida 18.33333 272.17 45.31 SEC 17 LSU 19.86667 130.30 35.43 SEC 19 South Carolina 15.16667 198.67 35.28 SEC 25 Texas A&M 17.625 92.21 29.49 SEC 27 Mississippi St. 14.22222 112.06 26.92 SEC 29 Missouri 16.77778 33.78 23.59 SEC 34 Auburn 13.33333 42.73 20.07 SEC 38 Mississippi 14.66667 10.00 19.00 SEC 41 Kentucky 5.416667 121.38 16.79 SEC 44 Tennessee 10.79167 14.54 14.58 SEC 63 Arkansas 1.375 7.50 2.33 SEC 88 Vanderbilt -6.625 -103.79 -16.82 SEC

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

These Teams are Keeping You From a 2013 DUSHEE Poll!!!

As Levi Stubbs would say, this one gonna be short ... I believe I've alluded to this before, but the way DUSHEE runs, every team in FBS must have played at least two games against FBS opponents before any numbers can be generated. Even then, the amount of information isn't particularly robust, but that is the minimum threshold past which zeros are no longer in the denominator and DUSHEE doesn't throw its hands up in disgust and leave the room. So as I track the season, this fact gives a little insight into some of the softer early season schedules. Going into this week there are 17 FBS schools who have only played one game against FBS opponents. Everybody has played at least one. Those 17 are: Pac-12: Arizona State, Colorado Big-12: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, West Virginia AAC: UConn, Houston, SMU ACC: Clemson, Georgia Tech, NC State MWC: Fresno, San Diego State, San Jose State Indies: Navy SBC: Texas State Now in Colorado and Fresno's defense, they wouldn't be on the list if their game against each other last week hadn't been cancelled. And you'll note that the SEC and Big 10 do not have any schools on the list. And half of the Big 12 IS on the list. Tsk tsk. If all 17 of these schools played a FBS opponent this week, I could publish DUSHEE results next week. But alas, three schools are preventing the inaugural 2013 ranking: Colorado, Iowa State, and Navy. Again, Colorado is on the list due to acts of God, so they deserve a pass. However Navy and Iowa State have no such excuse. Not only is Iowa State on the list of schools who will still have only played 1 FBS opponent in the first 4 weeks of the season, but to add insult to injury, they are 0-2, having lost to FCS Northern Iowa and Iowa. Fortunately for them, they had Bye as their opponent in both weeks 2 and 4. Navy has at least taken advantage of their patsy schedule, sitting at 2-0 with wins over Indiana and Delaware. Navy's schedule this year is plain silly. Notre Dame is the only team with even a chance of being top 25 when they play. After that, it's probably a toss-up between Indiana and Pitt for the Midshipmen's toughest opponent. So to the veritable throng of DUSHEE enthusiasts filling my inbox with exhortations to publish the first ranking this week, I feel ya. But send those nastygrams to the AD's at Iowa State and Navy, not to me. I cannot feed DUSHEE what I don't have.

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Blind Squirrels Finding Acorns

Any avid college football fan, particularly one who follows one team closely over the course of a season, knows that teams of 18-22 years old kids/men are fickle. The 2005 TCU team starts the season by going into Norman and handing the Sooners the second of just 5 losses they've had at home in the Bob Stoops era. Then the next week they lose to a 5-6 SMU team. Last year's TCU team was all over the map as well, losing badly to a mediocre Iowa State team but whipping a solid Baylor team. In many cases, such imprecision from our college football teams is rationalized away with excuses like "coach didn't get them motivated" or "trap game" or "getting caught at the Indian casino playing poker with a table of hookers shows that Johnny wasn't ready to play." Any one or combination of such excuses might be relevant, but the reality is that college football teams, even the best ones with the most disciplined and senior-laden rosters, are extremely inconsistent. So as we enter the first week of the 2013 college football season and we look over the Frog's schedule and tick off the wins and losses, let's review the 2012 season and look at just how confident we should be when we predict that W in the win column for the SMU game. DUSHEE, guide the way As we've discussed before, Point Differential compares how Team A does against Team B relative to how all of Team B's other opponents have done against them. The Point Differential (PD) tells us that if Team A beats Team B by 10 more points than the average team on Team B's schedule beat them by, then if Team A is consistent, they should be pretty close to 10 points better than the average opponent against every other team on their schedule. Let's take the 2012 TCU team as an example. TCU's average PD for the year was 3.6, meaning that TCU was, on average, 3.62 points better against their opponents than the average team their opponents played. In turn, here were the final PD's for all of TCU's opponents on the year: Kan Uva SMU | ISU Bay Ttech | OkSt WVU KSU | Tex OU MichSt -15.8 -9.6 1.3 | 1.5 9.3 3.8 | 14.3 0.9 18.6 | 8.3 13.9 7.1 Table 1. Season average PD's for TCU's opponents in 2012 So if TCU (and their opponents) had been perfectly consistent in their play, we would have expected the outcome, or margin of victory, for each of those games to have been roughly TCU's PD minus their opponent's PD. So Table 2, we compare the "expected" outcome to the actual outcome: Opp Exp. | Act. Diff Kan 18.4 | 14 -4.4 UVa 13.2 | 20 6.8 SMU 2.3 | 8 5.7 ISU 2.1 | -14 -16.1 Bay -5.7 | 28 33.7 TTech -0.2 | -3 -2.8 OkSt -10.7 | -22 -11.3 WVU 2.7 | 1 -1.7 KSU -15 | -13 -2 Tex -4.7 | 7 12.4 OU -10.3 | -7 3.3 MichSt -3.5 | -1 2.5 Table 2. Based on Point Differential the expected outcome for each of TCU's games last year compared to the actual outcome. Based on this, we would surmise that TCU's worst game of the season was the Iowa State game where an expected 2 point win was in reality a 14 point loss. TCU did 16.1 points worse in that game than the rest of the season indicated they should have done. They followed that game the next week with the game in which they most "out-kicked their coverage" against Baylor. Had both teams performed, on average, as they performed for the season, we should have expected Baylor to have beaten TCU by 6 points. Instead TCU beat Baylor by 4 TDs. From this perspective, the games in which TCU (and their opponents) performed most like their "average" selves were the West Virginia, Kansas State, Tech, and Michigan State games. The Baylor, ISU, Texas and Oklahoma State games were the games most unlike our average performance. Even the Best Are Inconsistent Despite TCU's youth, upheaval, and conference inexperience, TCU was the 44th (out of 124) most consistent team in college football based on standard deviation of PD (13.9 points). By that metric, the most consistent team in college football last season was Troy with a standard deviation of 7.7. Assuming that their performance looks like a normal distribution (i.e., a bell curve) then it is 32% likely (1/e) that in any one game they are at least 7.7 points better or worse than their average PD would predict. And that is the most consistent team in college football. There was a roughly 1-in-3 chance that TCU's play in a given week was TWO TOUCHDOWNS or more off of their "average" performance. Alabama, DUSHEE's (and everybody else's) best team, was the 13th most consistent team in the country, with a standard deviation of 10.1 points. If we repeat the exercise that we did for TCU in Table 2 for Alabama, we get the following: Opp OppPD | Exp Act | Diff Mich 11.5 | 19.6 27 | 7.4 WKU -2.8 | 33.9 35 | 1.1 Ark -4.4 | 35.5 52 | 16.5 FAU -8.4 | 39.5 33 | -6.5 Miss 6.7 | 24.4 19 | -5.4 Mizz 1.9 | 29.2 32 | 2.8 Tenn 0.5 | 30.6 31 | 0.4 MissSt 3.9 | 27.2 31 | 3.8 LSU 15.3 | 15.8 4 | -11.8 A&M 26.3 | 4.8 -5 | -9.8 Aub -8.7 | 39.8 49 | 9.2 Uga 18.7 | 12.4 4 | -8.4 ND 17.9 | 13.2 28 | 14.8 Table 3. Alabama's expected and actual performance Besides the week 3 annihilation of Arkansas, Alabama's most "uncharacteristic" performance was the MNC game against ND. On average, we should have expected Alabama to have beaten ND by two TDs rather than 4. But again, there was a 1-in-3 chance that Alabama's performance could swing at least 20 points on a given night last season. On that night, it swung up two TDs. Understanding this, you begin to see why going undefeated is such a difficult thing to do. Even the best teams in college football will have a game or two where they underperform by a touchdown or more. And if those games come against an opponent whose average performance is only a touchdown worse, or who happens to overperform that week, that team loses, even if it is, statistically, the better team. Alabama was, statistically, 5 points better than A&M. Play that game 100 times and Alabama probably wins 60**. But on that particular day they lost by 5. ** Monte Carlo simulations using an adjusted PD estimate that Alabama would win 55-60% against A&M -- perhaps we'll discuss such simulation techniques on a future post. Selling Oceanfront Property in Kentucky The most inconsistent team in college football in 2012? Kentucky with a standard deviation in PD of 27.1 points. Opp OppPD| Exp Act | Diff L'ville 4.8 | -19.2 -18 | 1.2 KentSt 4.5 | -18.9 33 | 51.9 WKU -2.8 | -11.6 -1 | 10.6 Fla 18.9 | -33.3 -38 | -4.7 SoCar 15.8 | -30.2 -21 | 9.2 MissSt 3.9 | -18.3 -13 | 5.3 Ark -4.4 | -10 -42 | -32 Uga 18.7 | -33.1 -5 | 28.1 Mizz 1.9 | -16.3 -23 | -6.7 Vandy 5.1 | -19.5 -40 | -20.5 Tenn 0.5 | -14.9 -20 | -5.1 Table 4. Kentucky's roller coaster season. Kentucky "should have" lost to Kent State by 19. They beat the Golden Flash by 33. Kentucky "should have" lost to Arkansas by 10. Instead they lost by 42. Vanderbilt treated them similarly. Georgia "should have" beaten Kentucky by 33 but only beat them by 5. If you bet on Kentucky during the 2012 season, you were a fool. In a strikingly odd statistical anomaly, of the 10 most inconsistent teams in college football last year, seven were on TCU's schedule including six from the exceedingly inconsistent Big 12: Kentucky 27.1 SMU 26.5 UCLA 24.3 Arizona 23.8 Oklahoma St. 23.7 Texas Tech 23.1 Baylor 22.4 Texas 21.8 West Virginia 21.5 Kansas 21.4 Table 5: The 10 most inconsistent college football teams of 2012. TCU's opponents are bold. So as maddening as TCU's inconsistency may have felt for fans last year, the Frogs were in reality one of the more consistent teams in their conference. Which is damning with faint praise. So some may accuse me of writing all of this as a hedge against my performance in college pick-em contests. But I assure you my motives are purely analytical. That said, if I do poorly, come to this post to see my excuse. The rest of you suckers just got lucky ...

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Apologetics for the Patterson Era

Cue the voice of John Facenda ... In the blazing Texas September sun, as the rest of America begins the gradual chill into fall, the heat clings to the Earth here like the tick clings to the mockingbird. Where the zest and frolic of Spring has fallen prey to the searing August scourge and the only life that thrives is the pestilent fire ant, one man also thrives. He thrives not on water, the last drop of which was seen in May, nor on other basic human needs, needs that make mere mortal men weak, like the malnourished babe clinging to the suckled teet for survival. That man thrives not on these mortal trivialities, but on the foolishness of Freshman quarterbacks and the hubris of All-American running backs. Each obsessive hitch of his polyester coaching pants and each compulsive cinch of his grass-stained sneakers are naught but the mundane routine of the shadowy panther, contently licking his fur in the few deceptively calm seconds before vaulting onto his prey in its final desperate moments of life. That man is Legendary Rose Bowl Winning Head Coach Gary Mother Truckin' Patterson of the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs ... Whoa, that got away from me a little. I was just about to break out the video camera and record .There is no question that, with a begrudging assist to Dennis Franchione, without Gary Patterson, the Frogs are not in the Big XII. He probably gets at least some small credit for the increase in applications and enrollment at TCU, the increase in endowment, and the explosion in campus construction that has occurred over the last decade. He certainly gets a lot of the credit for the new Amon Giles Carter Stadium, a stadium that is likely to be called Carter-Patterson Stadium (or Patterson-Carter?) someday in the not-too-distant future. After all, it was in the not-too-distant past when TCU was among the most consistently awful teams in college football. Although it predates the TCU consciousness of the newer students and alumni who now fill a stadium more than half as big as the number of living TCU alumni who walk the planet, the Franchione-Patterson era was ushered into being by the 1-10 season of 1997. That season marked the end of the Pat Sullivan era, an era which, like a few of the seven TCU coaching "eras" which spanned the time between Abe Martin's retirement in 1966 and Franchione's hiring in 1998 (an average of 4.5 years per coach), showed a few very rare glimmers of hope -- for the first time since shortly after King John signed the Magna Carta and winning at asterisk-laden 5-way SWC co-championship in 1994. But after that 1994 season, Sullivan's got to second base with LSU before getting stood up for cheaper date Gerry DiNardo and it was all downhill from there. The only consolation of that final Sullivan year was the heaping plate of schadenfreude enjoyed at the expense of SMU, who blew their first (and last until June Jones arrived) opportunity at a bowl game since the Death Penalty. TCU fans celebrated that win with an ironic dash onto the field to tear down the goal posts; unfortunately, no one clued the Tarrant County Sheriffs onto the ironic intent of the gesture as they pepper sprayed the hell out of some of the fans streaming onto the field.It is with this Waterboy-esque level of pathos into which Franchione and Patterson set foot onto the campus in 1998. Of course their Bobby Boucher turns out to be an unheralded sophomore tailback who will be a Heisman invitee in three years, but I doubt even they had any inkling of that at that time. Not everybody is as smitten with our Gary as we are. He won in mediocre conferences. He only had to win one or two "big" games a year. Look at last year! TCU joins a real conference and they go a game over .500! Bam! Lock it! Ignoring the myriad issues surrounding last season's team and the argument that coaching that band of Freshmen up to the level that they sometimes played may have been his best coaching job yet, let's look at this notion of the "easy" conference being the primary reason for TCU's success over the last decade. The Immediate Impact of the "Soft Conference" Starting in 1996, TCU, SMU, Rice and Houston, cast aside by their big state school brethren (and skirt riders Baylor) were left to fend for themselves and found homes in the new 16-team behemoth WAC (for the former three) and CUSA (for the latter). If TCU succeeded during the Patterson era primarily because of the weaker conference competition, then all of the four schools from the ostensibly "major" Southwest Conference must have immediately competed for conference titles in their new leagues, right? In reality, the four schools all did better after joining their new conferences, but only slightly. Looking at winning percentage of the 4 teams in the 5 years immediately prior (1991-1995) and immediately after (1996-2000) the breakup of the SWC, SMU and Houston averaged roughly 2 more wins a season in the years after the SWC than before, Rice averaged 0.7 more wins a season, and TCU averaged 0.4 more wins. And keep in mind that in 1991, SMU was just in their third season back from the Death Penalty and Houston received their sanctions for John Jenkins' assery during that time. The SMU and Houston teams at the end of the SWC were about as decimated as college football teams could be. They had nowhere to go but up. Years TCU SMU Rice Houston 1991-1995 0.471 0.209 0.427 0.227 1996-2000 0.508 0.413 0.491 0.408 Table 1. Winning percentage for the 4 SWC schools left out of the Big XII in the 5 years before and after the breakup of the SWC Point differential over those same two time periods tells an even more muddled story. Years TCU SMU Rice Houston 1991-1995 -50.4 -143.8 -18.2 -135.8 1996-2000 46.8 -49.4 -25.2 -70.6 Table 2. Average yearly point differential for the 4 SWC schools left out of the Big XII in the 5 years before and after the breakup of the SWC Rice, despite winning 0.7 more games a season, saw a decrease in their point differential after the breakup of the SWC. TCU went from 4 points worse than their opponents on average per game to 4 points better, and Houston and SMU went from being two TDs worse than their opponents on average per game to being within a TD of their opponents. On average, across the 4 teams, changing conferences gave these teams 1.3 wins a season and 5.7 points a game more. And that is if you neglect how historically and artificially horrible SMU and Houston were in those final years of the SWC due to scholarship restrictions and sanctions. The Sullivan-era Frogs needed a lot more than 1.3 wins a season and 5.7 points per game to get to where the Frogs got in 2009 and 2010. And the reality is, the last decade-and-a-half of the SWC was a pretty mediocre era for the SWC, part of what led to its demise. It shouldn't come as a big surprise that the schools who were bad teams at the end of the SWC continued to be bad in their new mediocre conferences. The "Ease" of Going Undefeated in a Non-AQ Conference Another argument of the Patterson detractor is that TCU and other non-AQ schools have a better chance of going undefeated in a season by virtue of their soft conference and that the non-AQ, in effect, has an unfair advantage over the AQ school to get the proper ranking to be qualified for a BCS game. MWC 9 6 105 0.057 WAC 9 9 132 0.068 P12 5 14 143 0.098 SBC 5 9 86 0.105 SEC 6 15 136 0.110 B12 5 17 138 0.123 CUSA 5 16 125 0.128 ACC 5 18 136 0.132 BE 6 16 118 0.136 B10 3 19 136 0.140 MAC 4 20 134 0.149 Table 3. Since 1996, the number of undefeated conference seasons, combined conference champion losses, combined conference games played, and average losing percentage for the conference champion. Table sorted with "easiest" leagues to go undefeated on top and most difficult on bottom. The detractor is correct in that the MWC has been, for whatever reason, the easiest conference in college football in which to go undefeated. However, note that the MAC has been the most difficult conference in which to go undefeated. The Sun Belt, historically one of, if not the, worst conference, is harder to go undefeated in than the Pac 10/12 and about the same difficulty as the vaunted SEC. The Big 10, Big East, and ACC are the conferences with the highest likelihood of a conference champion suffering a loss. It is evident from this that the factors that go into the "ease" with which teams in a particular conference can go undefeated has little to do with the strength of the conference. It appears that the more likely driver is a lack of parity in a conference. The lack of parity in the MWC was discussed in some detail in a previous NMMH entry, and for each of the 6 "easiest" conferences in which to go undefeated, 1-3 dominant teams over the time span we're discussing here are easy to identify (WAC -- Boise, P12 -- USC and Oregon, SBC -- Troy, SEC -- Alabama, Florida, LSU). Also note that outside the MWC and WAC, no conference has had more than 6 undefeated champions over the last 17 seasons. The True Toll of the Mythical "Week-In-Week-Out Pounding" Six schools have transitioned either to or from Non-AQ to AQ conferences over the last 12 years; Louisville, Cincinnati, and USF from CUSA to the Big East in 2005, Utah from the MWC to Pac 12 in 2011, TCU from the MWC to Big 12 in 2012, and Temple, going both directions, from the Big East to the MAC in 2005 and back to the Big East in 2012. Using the DUSHEE metric, we can compare how equivalently performing teams have done relative to their conference performance. Figure 1. DUSHEE score versus year for TCU. Conference affiliation designated by marker. Curve is 3-year moving average. Based on Figure 1, DUSHEE scored the 2003 CUSA team, the 2007 MWC team, and the 2012 Big 12 team all about the same. If we accept that those three teams performed roughly equivalently, then their relative performance within their conference should tell us something about the strength of those conferences, ignoring any year-to-year variability inherent within conference performance. In 2003, TCU went 11-2 overall, 7-1 in conference, and CUSA's average DUSHEE score was -13.6. In 2007, TCU went 8-5 overall, 4-4 in conference, and the MWC's average DUSHEE score was -0.3 In 2012, TCU went 7-6 overall, 4-5 in conference, and the Big XII's average DUSHEE score was 18.2 So clearly there is a correlation between conference strength and on-field success if a team's performance is held constant. But notice that there wasn't a big difference between the 2007 and 2012 TCU teams in terms of on-the-field results. the MWC team was a game better overall and a half game better in conference, even though the 2012 Big XII was significantly better than the 2007 MWC overall. If we look closely at the correlations with the other 5 teams, we can begin to estimate how big a role conference affiliation plays on success. Figure 2. For the 6 teams who have moved from non-AQ to AQ conferences and vice versa (TCU, Utah, Louisville, Cincinnati, USF, and Temple), their conference winning percentage as a function of DUSHEE Score since 2000. The correlation is very weak, but if you take the linear fit as having any value at all (which I'm not sure any statistician would abide), the move from non-AQ to AQ for a mediocre team (DUSHEE = 0) decreases the team's conference winning percentage from roughly 60% to 40% (the difference between 3-5 and 5-3). And the impact of the move appears to decrease as the team's performance improves (i.e., the two linear fits appear to converge with increasing DUSHEE score). What's It All Mean? While there is some justification for the claim that TCU has benefited by the relegation to non-AQ status after the fall of the SWC, that benefit has been over-estimated. At best, TCU has probably gained an extra 1-2 wins per year in their poorer performing years. And in their better years (namely 2009 and 2010) they are unlikely to have benefited much at all. An easier level of competition nominally makes wins easier, but that advantage is mitigated by the severe recruiting and financial disadvantages that playing in non-AQ conferences possesses. Patterson's legacy is intact. Let's just figure out whether his name or Amon's name should be listed first on the stadium.

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

 

Demystifying the "Computer Poll" in the BCS era

Revenge of the Nerds Back in February, ESPN (The Magazine) ran a cover story about the controversial 2012 MLB AL MVP race between Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout, which somehow turned into a proxy battle between "old school" baseball men who used their eyes and guts to evaluate players and the new age sabermatrician nerds who could only see what was quantifiable. Qualitative evaluation versus quantitative evaluation. Clint Eastwood in Trouble With the Curve versus Brad Pitt in Moneyball. For those who didn't pay any attention to the controversy, the narrative went something like this. Detroit's Miguel Cabrera won the Triple Crown, leading the league in batting average, home runs and RBIs, the first player to do so in major league baseball since Carl Yastrzemski for the Red Sox in 1967. Cabrera also led his team to the pennant. The old school guys were decidedly in the Miguel Cabrera camp. On the other hand, Mike Trout, center fielder for the California Los Angeles Anaheim Orange County Angels of Anaheim, California, USA, had what many statisticians argued was one of the best seasons in baseball history. Compared to Miguel Cabrera who is an average fielder at a less-critical position (third base) and a slow baserunner, Mike Trout was the textbook definition of the "5-tool" player -- hitting for average, hitting for power, speed, strong arm, strong fielder. Trout, the statisticians claimed was just as strong, if not stronger due to his speed, than Cabrera offensively, and light years ahead of Cabrera defensively while playing what is considered a more critical position. WAR or Wins Above Replacement, an inscrutable statistic designed to try and evaluate players based on their performance in all aspects of their game, not just at the plate, had Trout earning his team 11 wins compared to some schmoe called up from Triple A while Cabrera was good for roughly 7 wins. Trout, the nu skool claimed, was the MVP. The Angels also greatly underperformed as a team, finishing 5 games back in a division led by a team with a small fraction of their payroll. I'll refer you to the linked ESPN article to read more about the details behind the arguments for each player, but one statement made by the author, Sam Miller, I think, sums up the absurdity of this whole argument plus touches on a greater systemic problem in our culture, the fear of the analytical: For Mike Trout supporters, WAR was simple and unimpeachable evidence of a perfect player performing at a nearly unprecedented level. For Miguel Cabrera supporters, WAR was the joyless and inscrutable tool of eggheads, trolls, all of us who never played the game. Cabrera vs. Trout was often reduced to a referendum on the value of data. "This WAR statistic is another way of declaring, 'Nerds win!'" best-selling author Mitch Albom wrote in defense of Cabrera. Albom has it wrong. At the risk of grandiloquence, this is about more than one MVP race, about more than even baseball. We live in a world of disagreement on epochal issues that we can't resolve even when the science is unambiguous: evolution, vaccines and climate change among them. These issues are daunting. Relying on science that's hard to understand can be scary. So the tendency is to cling to the comforts of ideology and tradition -- even when those ideologies are wrong, even when the traditions are outdated. ... Even though I'm a staff writer and editor at Baseball Prospectus, I'm not going to try to convince you that Mike Trout should have beaten Miguel Cabrera for the MVP award. WAR, despite what you might have read, does not take a position on that. But I will try to convince you that WAR represents a chance to respond to the complexity of baseball with something more than ideology or despair. Here, I'm going to resist the strong urge to digress down a more socio-political path in the interest of staying focused. But Miller makes the case that the proxy being fought here really goes beyond baseball or sports. It reflects a general ambivalence, if not animosity, of the misunderstood and analytical. Neither side is wrong. Both players had historically epic seasons. Miguel Cabrera did something that hadn't been done in almost half a century. Mike Trout emerged as potentially the best player of a new generation. The primary difference between the old school and the new school is which, how many, and in what way data is used to assess player excellence. Enter the Computer Poll The "Computer Poll" was introduced into the college football lexicon in 1998 with the advent of the Bowl Championship Series. And immediately, fans hated it. Computers don't watch games! They can't appreciate the one-handed grab of a pass over the middle in traffic or the way a good linebacker can scrape off of a blocking guard and take out the pitch man on an option. It distills football down into numbers and numbers are boring. Why are these nerds trying to ruin football with all this math?!?! And so, as the controversies of each season passed, the "formula" for the "Computer Polls" was tweaked. Margin of victory, despite being perfectly correlated to wins, and wins always a strong traditional method of determining which teams were the best, was continually diminished in importance and finally eliminated in 2004. Added to the BCS equation in an effort to eliminate human biases in evaluating football teams, the weight of the computer poll was continually diminished when the results of the "unbiased" computer polls didn't confirm the biases of the "human" polls. In other words, over the course of the BCS, the methodology by which one might use data to evaluate the relative strength of football teams became something that no statistician would ever devise or agree to. And whatever biases those models sought to reduce, were forced right back into them by people who clearly did not understand the advantages (and disadvantages) of such analytics. A few key points to understand about the Computer Polls: 1) "Computer Polls" are really models Models, if done well, seek to emulate some physical system. Models are built to emulate pumps in a submarine, electronics in a computer, unseen subatomic interactions during the Big Bang. And to paraphrase the notorious scientists/activist James Hansen, not a one of them is right. And that is because the whole point in building a model is to try to boil a intractably complex thing, be it the climate of the Earth's atmosphere or a interaction of 124 college football teams, into a small enough number of essential and understandable elements to be computationally feasible and still representative enough of the intractably complex system to glean meaning from it. No model is going to be able to predict the movement of every atom in the atmosphere nor will it be able to predict the proper alignment of the billions of butterfly effects that had to occur in the right way for TCU to beat Kansas in basketball last year. So the first thing to understand is that models are not the systems themselves. They deviate from reality every time a variable that affects the system isn't considered (and in complex systems there are countless variables), every time a simplifying assumption is made, every time the modeler picks one piece of data to put into it and leaves another out. But the their advantage lies, especially in the era of computers, in the ability to include many more variables than the human brain can process at one time. We've all heard the Transitive Theory of Football before -- in 2012, TCU beat Baylor by 28 and Baylor beat Kansas State by 28, then TCU should beat Kansas State by 56! The reality is that the performance of college football teams is noisy and how a team plays one week may is likely not to be at all representative of how they play in subsequent weeks. In reality, TCU not only didn't beat Kansas State by 56, they lost by 13. But the number of results analyzed in the Transitive Theory of Football (three) is about as much information as the normal human brain can hold at one time. A computer model, while far from capable of evaluating every single variable in a system, can at least evaluate more than a cursory glance over a schedule of results by a human brain. 2) Computer polls are subject to human bias too Computers just crunch the numbers. Aside from HAL, how they crunch the numbers is dependent on the humans who tell them what to do. And how the numbers are crunched is where the human bias of the programmers enters into the model. As discussed in a previous entry, DUSHEE makes a number of assumptions, simplifications, and subjective assessments, as all models do. All of those assumptions and simplifications can be justified to varying degrees of rigor but nonetheless I as the modeler have determined what information I think is important, how much more important some information is than other, and even how much information I'm willing to consider given time limitations. My personal bias goes into every one of those decisions. The same is true for Sagarin's model or Billingley's model or any other model used by the BCS system. Add to that the aforementioned biases that the BCS forces into those models themselves to make the models give them the answers they want to be given. However, a "computer" model, if allowed, does eliminate historical bias; e.g., Texas must be good this year because they've always been good and they always have highly ranked classes, thus I will rank them highly at the beginning of the season and punish them less severely for losses than I might a "non-traditional" power. Fan loyalty bias is reduced or preference for a style of play. Not eliminated, as the modeler could skew the analysis of the stats in favor of a stronger rushing game, but at a minimum, the actual numbers on the field are what is dictating the analysis. 3) Nothing prevents "human" poll voters from using a quantitative analysis or model to determine their own rankings Frank Windegger, who once was a voter in the Harris Poll, could have used DUSHEE, or his own model, to establish how he votes. So could anybody else. In that regard, the "computer poll" is nothing more than a really analytical "human poll." There is nothing inherently "un"human about using data to guide an assessment. Good assessments use data. The "old school" baseball fans were using data to support their assessment that Cabrera was the MVP, namely the "Triple Crown" stats. Nothing inherently wrong with them. They provide insight into important parts of a player's game. Old school pollsters are using data too. They're using the Transitive Theory, they're using strength of schedule, winning percentage, total offense and defense, all kinds of data, both quantitative and pseudo-quantitative. So in light of this, even with the continually diminishing clout of the computer poll during the BCS era, it still has an extremely disproportionate weighting in the BCS calculation, if viewed from a per voter basis. There are 115 Harris voters and 60 voters in the Coaches' Poll accounting for 2/3 of the BCS standings. There are 6 computer polls (ignoring that the biggest outlier gets thrown out) accounting for the other 1/3. So each Harris voter is contributing 0.29% to the BCS standings, each coach is contributing 0.56%, and each computer poll is contributing 5.6%. The computer polls are weighted 10 times more than each individual coach and almost 20 times more than the individual Harris voter. Did anybody put any thought into this? If we accept the argument that the computer polls are superior by eliminating more qualitative bias, why include the human polls at all? However if we then return some of the qualitative bias to the computer polls (by eliminating margin of victory and dictating how the modelers use the numbers to give results more in keeping with the human polls) then why have them weighted as much as they are? The computers were added because we can't trust Lane Kiffin not to vote USC number one when he knows other teams in the country are better but then when the computers tell us some team is Number 1 other than the one the humans voted in, we decide we can't trust the computers either. 4) Despite what you hear, college football's regular season tells you the LEAST of any major sport league about the relative dominance of its teams FBS college football has 124 teams (I think, unless more were added this offseason that I forgot) who play a 12-game season. One the other extreme, Major League Baseball has 30 teams who play a 162-game schedule. While one can and many have argued that the importance of any one individual game is almost nil in baseball and the opposite is true in college football, those making that argument often ignore the flip side of that coin. If we eliminate the inter-league games, at the end of a 144-game season, an MLB team has played every opponent in its league (15 teams, starting this year) at least 8 times. There should be no doubt who the best team in the league is. Playoffs, from the perspective of determining the best team in the league, have no purpose in baseball. They could go back to the pre-expansion era system of the best record in each league playing in the World Series, and no one would have an argument that their team deserved an opportunity. You had 162 games (now 144 in the inter-league era) to prove otherwise. In college football, not only do you only play each opponent only once, but you only play one-tenth of the teams in your "league," meaning, in this case, the FCS. Yes, each game is very important, but the season is statistically insufficient to definitively determine which team or teams are the best in the country. Undefeated, one-loss, even two-loss teams could and have had a case that their team was the best in the country. So in college football, more than any other American major sport, the need to coax out as much information from such a meager statistical sampling is critical if your goal is to determine which teams are the best. And so, I would argue, is the need for extending the season into a playoff. So analytical and statistical approaches should be emphasized. Because for all the bally-hoo nonsense about how "every game is a playoff game" (like Alabama getting knocked out of the "playoff" by A&M last year, right?), the reality is the regular season doesn't give us nearly enough information to determine who the best teams are based on wins and losses alone. If it did, there wouldn't be controversy every single year about who should be playing in the MNC. DUSHEE versus the BCS If computer polls were truly unbiased arbiters of college football excellence, they'd all arrive at the same dispassionate result. But they don't. In fact, their results can vary as wildly as the voters in any of the human polls. Last year, Billingsley had Northern Illinois at 12 while Sagarin had them unranked. The computers had Florida State anywhere from 14 to 24. Clemson, ranked 13 in both human polls was also unranked in Sagarin's. Part of the reason why the computer polls are so universally reviled is because all of them except Colley keep their methodology at least partially obscure. Massey, on his website, compiles the output of 124 different computer polls (not including DUSHEE!), which probably gives the best true estimate of college football team rankings. So how does DUSHEE compare to the computer polls used to determine the BCS MNC participants? I compared the 2012 DUSHEE results to 120 of the 124 computer ranking models (eliminating the ones that did not rank all 124 FCS teams) cataloged on Massey's website by using a simple R-squared correlation measure. An R-squared equal to 1 means that two data sets are perfectly correlated, i.e., the rankings of the two systems from 1 to 124 are identical. The closer the number to 1, the more closely correlated the two data sets. The systems to which DUSHEE correlates most closely are: Bias-Free (link broken) 0.982 Margin Aware Bradley Terry 0.970 Maurer 0.963 McDonald-Seer 0.963 PerformanZ 0.962 Not all of these systems detail their methodology (although the Margin-Aware and Maurer methods do describe a clear emphasis on MOV, much like DUSHEE), but it is probably safe to assume that these five methods most closely resemble DUSHEE. Perhaps not surprisingly, DUSHEE doesn't compare as well with the BCS systems since they expressly do not use margin-of-victory in their formulations: Sagarin 0.939 Massey 0.939 Wolfe 0.931 Colley 0.926 Anderson 0.925 Billingsley 0.916 If you take the compiled standings of all 124 polls on the Massey site, DUSHEE compared to that ranking at an R2 of 0.957. Not bad for a system that only looks at two statistics, if I do say so myself.

Duquesne Frog

Duquesne Frog

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