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  • Blog Entries

    • By Duquesne Frog in Numbers Make Me Horned 0
      This week we'll bring the Extra Crispy version of DUSHEE back into the mix because the "Group of 5" made a big splash in this week's Original formula.  And while I'm reluctant to dismiss unexpected teams that rank highly just because they are unexpected (due perhaps to my own biases), this week's rankings have enough of those teams to give me some pause.  Like, say Utah State, who comes in 6th ... yes, 6th ... in this week's Original formula.
       
      Utah State pounded San Jose (effing) State this week, 62-24, outgaining them by over 400 yards.  This comes on the heels of the Aggies curbstomping Hawaii 56-17 in Week 10, and New Mexico 61-19 in Week 9.  With some exceptions, Utah State has been doing to sorry ass teams what a good team should be doing.  But Utah State has been playing A LOT of sorry ass teams.  So many of them, that they have the 4th easiest schedule in the country (127th out of 130).  They have played three above-average teams this year, and none in the last 5 games, when they have gone from 36th to 6th in the rankings.  The only legitimately good team they played this year was Michigan State (DUSHEE Score -- 11.2), to whom they lost in Week 1 38-31 in East Lansing.  Their other two games against teams with positive DUSHEE scores were a 10-point win in Week 4 against Air Force (3.8) and a 25-point win in Week 6 against BYU (3.6).  Utah State also struggled with Wyoming and avoided Fresno.  They still have to play Boise on the smurf turf.
       
      To review, the Extra Crispy DUSHEE tries to "fix" two potential problems with the Original Formula, 1) by reducing the significance of outlying performances, i.e., games where a team performs either a whole lot better or a whole lot worse than they do on average and 2) placing a greater emphasis on strength of schedule.  The Original DUSHEE doesn't neglect Strength of Schedule.  If you beat a bad team by a TD and beat a good team by a TD, your DUSHEE score against the good team will be higher.  However, if that bad team has only played other bad teams, their comparative margins of victory and yardage margins might not be as low as other bad teams who have played a tougher schedule.   Extra Crispy DUSHEE attempts to correct for this issue by giving you less credit for crushing a bad team, and conversely, punishing you less for getting crushed by a good team. 
       
      So in the Extra Crispy Formulation, Utah State comes in at what seems to be a more reasonable 22nd.  However, the Extra Crispy Formula is not without its warts and makes me uneasy for a few reasons.  One, the methodology is more complex and more difficult to justify numerically ... if you put a gun to my head and tell me to prove to you that the Extra Crispy Formula doesn't just put numbers to my own confirmation bias, go ahead and pull the trigger.  And for every Utah State that the Extra Crispy Formula knocks down, there is a middling "Power 5" team like Texas A&M or Missouri that it elevates (6th and 10th, respectively) because of their high Strength of Schedules (1st and 3rd toughest, respectively).  So I tend to stay with the Original Formula.
       
      And because the Frogs still have a pretty high SOS (13th), the Extra Crispy Formula likes them much more than the Original (53rd vs. 72nd).  The Original Formula has finally given up the notion that the Frogs are a decent, but unlucky, team.  Which gives us a nice segue to ...
       
      Frogs Week-to-Week
      Opp:       @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex    |   ISU      Ttech        OU   |   @ Kan      KSU       @ WVU
      PD:            23.63          7.33      -10.33   | 10.75      -0.38      -6.44 |      -7.25      -5.00       -21.57
      YD:            74.00      140.22       12.89   |161.75    65.75  -106.56 |  133.63  -125.63     -222.43
      Orig. Sc.   19.26         11.55       -6.28   |  14.85       2.87      -9.36 |       1.51      -9.30       -24.94
      XC Sc.       13.50         23.37       -1.28  |  21.72       9.94        5.56 |      -4.78    -14.47       -10.86
       
      As you can see, the Extra Crispy (XC) Formula is much gentler toward the Frogs against Ohio State, ISU, Tech, OU, and WVU.  But less impressed about SMU, Kansas, and Kansas State.
       
      Frogs Next Opponent (Rapey Bears)
      Opp:     UTSA    Duke     Kan   |    OU        KSU      Tex  |      WVU      OkSt        ISU
      PD:        -0.89  -10.13   15.25  | -15.33    -2.75    -0.33  |  -29.57       8.75      -8.38
      YD:       68.33  -40.38 110.00  | 12.33   -14.25  -60.44 | -185.86    -89.25   194.38
      Orig        2.65    -8.67   15.39  |  -9.64     -2.51    -3.09  |   -28.54      1.60        3.64
      XC        -13.69    -7.78     8.28  |    6.01    -7.41     1.15  |    -15.73      4.29       9.67
       
      So you could argue that TCU's better performances have been better than Baptist's, but as we've repeated each week, those good TCU performances now seem like a whole other season ago.  Baptist at least has shown some signs of life of late, which is more than we can say about the Frogs.
       
      Using Original DUSHEE, Baptist is a 1-point favorite at home and the Frogs have a 48% chance of winning.  I will acknowledge that that seems overly auspicious about our chances.
       
      Performances of the Week
      Notes for all three top performances -- Our Frogs gave up the top performance so we have that going for us, which is nice.  Minnesota followed up the worst performance of Week 10 with the second best performance of Week 11.  As you might expect, Minnesota has an extremely high standard deviation in Point Differential (28.7), second highest, in fact, behind only Louisiana-Monroe.  And finally, Clemson has had one of the top 3 performances for SIX of the NINE FBS games they have played.  Alabama has had a top 3 performance in 5 of 10 games.
       
      And Virginia Tech fans may be the only fans in the country more disappointed in their season than Frog fans.
       
      Top 3
      38.91 West Virginia vs. TCU (37 MOV, 313 YM)
      38.33 Minnesota vs. Purdue (31 MOV, 182 YM)
      35.66 Clemson at BC (20 MOV, 311 YM)
       
      Bottom 3
      -49.34 Colorado St. at Nevada (-39 MOV, -376 YM)
      -43.07 South Alabama vs. ULaMon (-28 MOV, -333 YM)
      -37.88 Virginia Tech at Pitt (-30 MOV, -222 YM)
       
      Original DUSHEE Ratings
      The biggest risers of this week were Pitt (up 16 spots to 51st) and Old Dominion (up 4.46 points after a surprise 34-31 win over North Texas).  The biggest drops of the week were the Frogs (down 22 spots to 72nd) and Purdue (down 5.34 points after losing to Minnesota).
       
        Week 11     Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/- 1 Alabama  37.18 292.21 38.61 0 -0.27 2 Clemson  35.43 283.57 37.04 0 -1.47 3 Michigan  27.07 234.88 29.17 0 -2.05 4 Oklahoma  21.18 190.07 23.12 0 -2.25 5 Georgia  23.39 138.51 22.15 0 0.29 6 Utah St.  20.23 79.84 17.26 8 1.68 7 West Virginia  18.04 109.60 17.21 14 3.46 8 Penn St.  18.55 89.66 16.61 2 0.39 9 Ohio St.  15.76 128.29 16.58 0 -0.28 10 Fresno St.  18.01 81.59 15.87 2 -0.17 11 Notre Dame  15.19 110.27 15.35 8 1.06 12 Texas A&M  11.19 162.10 15.13 -5 -1.79 13 Mississippi St.  14.34 117.64 15.13 2 0.00 14 Missouri  14.38 99.87 14.31 -6 -2.61 15 LSU  15.78 75.35 14.09 -9 -3.16 16 UCF  16.31 66.31 14.01 1 -0.56 17 Boise St.  13.05 103.64 13.61 14 2.63 18 Iowa  13.23 97.38 13.43 -5 -2.45 19 UAB 11.20 125.68 13.42 -1 -1.06 20 Washington St.  11.33 121.38 13.30 6 1.27 21 Appalachian State 13.73 86.53 13.25 6 1.27 22 Army  13.86 81.41 13.09 1 0.14 23 Temple  12.92 91.96 12.97 -1 -0.52 24 Utah  12.46 87.53 12.45 4 0.87 25 Cincinnati  12.14 89.41 12.32 4 0.88 26 North Texas  11.34 98.97 12.25 -15 -3.89 27 Michigan St.  10.87 82.78 11.16 -3 -1.28 28 N.C. State  10.25 79.97 10.62 -12 -3.97 29 Texas Tech  8.95 77.85 9.65 1 -1.71 30 Iowa St.  10.45 53.85 9.51 -5 -2.87 31 Washington  9.60 64.71 9.47 2 -0.40 32 Buffalo  7.84 71.20 8.60 7 0.96 33 Purdue  8.58 60.17 8.57 -13 -5.34 34 Ohio  8.51 52.25 8.15 2 -0.64 35 Wisconsin  7.22 68.72 8.06 -1 -1.32 36 Miami (FL)  6.17 80.29 7.91 -1 -0.97 37 Florida  7.96 41.07 7.25 1 -0.47 38 Texas  8.63 30.29 7.19 -1 -1.30 39 Stanford  8.31 13.62 6.19 3 0.17 40 Syracuse  7.57 16.61 5.84 3 -0.08 41 Georgia Tech  4.29 62.10 5.80 5 1.02 42 Kentucky  6.29 25.88 5.42 -10 -4.95 43 Oklahoma St.  4.95 43.77 5.37 5 1.46 44 Boston Coll.  6.53 17.46 5.18 -3 -1.30 45 Arizona St.  4.45 34.71 4.61 -5 -2.14 46 Auburn  6.18 -2.64 4.00 -2 -1.52 47 Air Force  3.00 38.41 3.82 14 3.15 48 Florida Atlantic  1.03 65.20 3.77 11 2.65 49 BYU  2.96 33.93 3.58 2 0.50 50 South Carolina  4.42 10.49 3.44 -5 -1.55 51 Pittsburgh  5.12 -0.90 3.37 16 3.49 52 Virginia  4.14 10.85 3.27 2 1.11 53 Nebraska  -0.06 66.38 3.10 -4 -0.57 54 Northwestern  4.35 1.21 2.95 -1 0.22 55 Maryland  2.49 22.12 2.71 -3 -0.06 56 Mississippi  -0.46 60.33 2.55 -9 -1.78 57 East. Michigan  1.79 16.92 2.00 6 1.48 58 Duke  4.69 -25.80 1.91 -1 0.21 59 Houston  2.82 0.18 1.89 -4 -0.22 60 Marshall  1.97 11.38 1.85 6 1.95 61 Memphis  1.46 16.14 1.74 10 2.98 62 Arizona  -2.20 58.47 1.30 -6 -0.63 63 Oregon  1.91 0.51 1.30 -3 0.58 64 Vanderbilt  4.14 -31.18 1.28 -2 0.72 65 Miami (OH)  0.53 13.58 1.00 7 2.47 66 Southern Miss  -3.25 65.92 0.95 2 1.16 67 Troy  0.98 2.34 0.76 8 2.74 68 Tennessee  0.88 1.52 0.66 5 2.37 69 Minnesota  0.63 4.04 0.61 11 4.01 70 USC  0.45 5.10 0.54 -6 0.41 71 Tulane  0.32 -1.85 0.12 -6 0.02 72 TCU  -1.03 14.85 0.02 -22 -3.09 73 San Diego St.  -1.34 15.29 -0.17 -15 -1.41 74 Arkansas St.  -2.40 21.74 -0.57 4 2.26 75 Toledo  1.10 -37.06 -1.02 -5 -0.54 76 Nevada  -1.86 -4.07 -1.43 14 4.04 77 Colorado  -3.19 9.30 -1.68 -8 -1.29 78 Georgia Southern 3.00 -91.72 -2.34 -4 -0.46 79 Middle Tenn. St.  0.09 -52.44 -2.42 9 2.55 80 California  -3.18 -12.75 -2.72 -1 0.25 81 UCLA  -3.76 -9.39 -2.95 -5 -0.49 82 LA Lafayette  -4.13 -7.77 -3.12 -1 0.38 83 Northern Illinois  -0.73 -57.38 -3.20 6 1.83 84 Baylor  -4.82 -0.57 -3.24 0 1.12 85 Florida Intl.  -1.55 -53.57 -3.57 10 3.23 86 Wyoming  -4.51 -13.04 -3.62 -9 -0.85 87 Indiana  -5.37 -11.95 -4.15 -1 0.48 88 W. Michigan  -8.48 9.81 -5.19 5 0.79 89 Louisiana Tech  -5.22 -40.98 -5.42 -6 -1.07 90 East Carolina  -10.54 29.01 -5.66 -5 -1.16 91 South Florida  -6.96 -33.13 -6.21 6 1.15 92 Wake Forest  -6.49 -48.35 -6.61 7 2.09 93 Florida St.  -8.73 -20.85 -6.80 1 -0.81 94 Kansas St.  -3.96 -94.69 -7.12 -2 -1.27 95 Arkansas  -8.70 -31.24 -7.28 -4 -1.80 96 UNC-Charlotte -10.44 -6.90 -7.28 0 -0.37 97 SMU  -6.13 -79.15 -7.84 -10 -3.00 98 Liberty -7.51 -67.04 -8.18 0 -0.70 99 North Carolina  -10.46 -33.94 -8.58 1 0.29 100 Virginia Tech  -8.05 -70.49 -8.70 -18 -4.61 101 LA Monroe  -11.66 -42.36 -9.78 5 1.90 102 Coastal Carolina -10.38 -65.22 -10.01 -1 -0.85 103 Ball St.  -10.69 -70.04 -10.44 -1 0.05 104 Kansas  -8.71 -103.64 -10.71 -1 -0.18 105 Navy  -9.38 -95.23 -10.76 4 3.37 106 Hawaii  -10.26 -91.26 -11.16 -1 0.43 107 Tulsa  -10.55 -88.60 -11.23 -3 -0.52 108 Old Dominion -14.52 -91.62 -14.02 11 4.46 109 New Mexico  -10.75 -153.19 -14.42 -2 -2.26 110 UNLV  -14.68 -101.65 -14.60 6 3.28 111 Akron  -11.34 -159.42 -15.10 -3 -1.01 112 Georgia State -16.79 -113.08 -16.55 2 0.17 113 Massachusetts -17.51 -111.24 -16.94 0 -0.95 114 Cent. Michigan  -17.26 -117.67 -17.08 -3 -1.68 115 Illinois  -15.62 -141.31 -17.10 -3 -1.37 116 West. Kentucky  -18.61 -109.50 -17.59 -1 0.15 117 UTEP  -17.19 -135.03 -17.85 1 0.44 118 Louisville  -20.04 -108.95 -18.52 -1 -0.46 119 Rutgers  -18.64 -138.45 -18.98 2 1.59 120 Colorado St.  -21.46 -105.47 -19.30 -10 -4.65 121 Oregon St.  -19.62 -131.96 -19.32 -1 -0.82 122 Bowling Green  -23.86 -123.77 -21.76 5 2.61 123 Texas St. -20.23 -186.41 -22.31 3 1.26 124 Rice  -23.03 -151.14 -22.51 0 0.41 125 Kent St.  -22.12 -166.06 -22.60 -3 -0.47 126 San Jose St.  -20.65 -197.37 -23.11 -1 0.08 127 South Alabama -22.79 -173.13 -23.39 -4 -1.17 128 New Mexico St.  -23.76 -175.40 -24.14 0 0.49 129 UT-San Antonio -22.78 -214.87 -25.36 0 -0.61 130 Connecticut  -27.39 -248.43 -30.02 0 1.59  
      Original DUSHEE By Conference
      AAC
      16 UCF  16.31 66.31 14.01 23 Temple  12.92 91.96 12.97 25 Cincinnati  12.14 89.41 12.32 59 Houston  2.82 0.18 1.89 61 Memphis  1.46 16.14 1.74 71 Tulane  0.32 -1.85 0.12 90 East Carolina  -10.54 29.01 -5.66 91 South Florida  -6.96 -33.13 -6.21 97 SMU  -6.13 -79.15 -7.84 105 Navy  -9.38 -95.23 -10.76 107 Tulsa  -10.55 -88.60 -11.23 130 Connecticut  -27.39 -248.43 -30.02  
      ACC
      2 Clemson  35.43 283.57 37.04 28 N.C. State  10.25 79.97 10.62 36 Miami (FL)  6.17 80.29 7.91 40 Syracuse  7.57 16.61 5.84 41 Georgia Tech  4.29 62.10 5.80 44 Boston Coll.  6.53 17.46 5.18 51 Pittsburgh  5.12 -0.90 3.37 52 Virginia  4.14 10.85 3.27 58 Duke  4.69 -25.80 1.91 92 Wake Forest  -6.49 -48.35 -6.61 93 Florida St.  -8.73 -20.85 -6.80 99 North Carolina  -10.46 -33.94 -8.58 100 Virginia Tech  -8.05 -70.49 -8.70 118 Louisville  -20.04 -108.95 -18.52  
      B1G
      3 Michigan  27.07 234.88 29.17 8 Penn St.  18.55 89.66 16.61 9 Ohio St.  15.76 128.29 16.58 18 Iowa  13.23 97.38 13.43 27 Michigan St.  10.87 82.78 11.16 33 Purdue  8.58 60.17 8.57 35 Wisconsin  7.22 68.72 8.06 53 Nebraska  -0.06 66.38 3.10 54 Northwestern  4.35 1.21 2.95 55 Maryland  2.49 22.12 2.71 69 Minnesota  0.63 4.04 0.61 87 Indiana  -5.37 -11.95 -4.15 115 Illinois  -15.62 -141.31 -17.10 119 Rutgers  -18.64 -138.45 -18.98  
      BXII-II
      4 Oklahoma  21.18 190.07 23.12 7 West Virginia  18.04 109.60 17.21 29 Texas Tech  8.95 77.85 9.65 30 Iowa St.  10.45 53.85 9.51 38 Texas  8.63 30.29 7.19 43 Oklahoma St.  4.95 43.77 5.37 72 TCU  -1.03 14.85 0.02 84 Baylor  -4.82 -0.57 -3.24 94 Kansas St.  -3.96 -94.69 -7.12 104 Kansas  -8.71 -103.64 -10.71  
      CUSA
      19 UAB 11.20 125.68 13.42 26 North Texas  11.34 98.97 12.25 48 Florida Atlantic  1.03 65.20 3.77 60 Marshall  1.97 11.38 1.85 66 Southern Miss  -3.25 65.92 0.95 79 Middle Tenn. St.  0.09 -52.44 -2.42 85 Florida Intl.  -1.55 -53.57 -3.57 89 Louisiana Tech  -5.22 -40.98 -5.42 96 UNC-Charlotte -10.44 -6.90 -7.28 108 Old Dominion -14.52 -91.62 -14.02 116 West. Kentucky  -18.61 -109.50 -17.59 117 UTEP  -17.19 -135.03 -17.85 124 Rice  -23.03 -151.14 -22.51 129 UT-San Antonio -22.78 -214.87 -25.36  
      Indies
      11 Notre Dame  15.19 110.27 15.35 22 Army  13.86 81.41 13.09 49 BYU  2.96 33.93 3.58 98 Liberty -7.51 -67.04 -8.18 113 Massachusetts -17.51 -111.24 -16.94 128 New Mexico St.  -23.76 -175.40 -24.14  
      MAC
      32 Buffalo  7.84 71.20 8.60 34 Ohio  8.51 52.25 8.15 57 East. Michigan  1.79 16.92 2.00 65 Miami (OH)  0.53 13.58 1.00 75 Toledo  1.10 -37.06 -1.02 83 Northern Illinois  -0.73 -57.38 -3.20 88 W. Michigan  -8.48 9.81 -5.19 103 Ball St.  -10.69 -70.04 -10.44 111 Akron  -11.34 -159.42 -15.10 114 Cent. Michigan  -17.26 -117.67 -17.08 122 Bowling Green  -23.86 -123.77 -21.76 125 Kent St.  -22.12 -166.06 -22.60  
      MWC
      6 Utah St.  20.23 79.84 17.26 10 Fresno St.  18.01 81.59 15.87 17 Boise St.  13.05 103.64 13.61 47 Air Force  3.00 38.41 3.82 73 San Diego St.  -1.34 15.29 -0.17 76 Nevada  -1.86 -4.07 -1.43 86 Wyoming  -4.51 -13.04 -3.62 106 Hawaii  -10.26 -91.26 -11.16 109 New Mexico  -10.75 -153.19 -14.42 110 UNLV  -14.68 -101.65 -14.60 120 Colorado St.  -21.46 -105.47 -19.30 126 San Jose St.  -20.65 -197.37 -23.11  
      P12
      20 Washington St.  11.33 121.38 13.30 24 Utah  12.46 87.53 12.45 31 Washington  9.60 64.71 9.47 39 Stanford  8.31 13.62 6.19 45 Arizona St.  4.45 34.71 4.61 62 Arizona  -2.20 58.47 1.30 63 Oregon  1.91 0.51 1.30 70 USC  0.45 5.10 0.54 77 Colorado  -3.19 9.30 -1.68 80 California  -3.18 -12.75 -2.72 81 UCLA  -3.76 -9.39 -2.95 121 Oregon St.  -19.62 -131.96 -19.32  
      SBC
      21 Appalachian State 13.73 86.53 13.25 67 Troy  0.98 2.34 0.76 74 Arkansas St.  -2.40 21.74 -0.57 78 Georgia Southern 3.00 -91.72 -2.34 82 LA Lafayette  -4.13 -7.77 -3.12 101 LA Monroe  -11.66 -42.36 -9.78 102 Coastal Carolina -10.38 -65.22 -10.01 112 Georgia State -16.79 -113.08 -16.55 123 Texas St. -20.23 -186.41 -22.31 127 South Alabama -22.79 -173.13 -23.39  
      SEC
      1 Alabama  37.18 292.21 38.61 5 Georgia  23.39 138.51 22.15 12 Texas A&M  11.19 162.10 15.13 13 Mississippi St.  14.34 117.64 15.13 14 Missouri  14.38 99.87 14.31 15 LSU  15.78 75.35 14.09 37 Florida  7.96 41.07 7.25 42 Kentucky  6.29 25.88 5.42 46 Auburn  6.18 -2.64 4.00 50 South Carolina  4.42 10.49 3.44 56 Mississippi  -0.46 60.33 2.55 64 Vanderbilt  4.14 -31.18 1.28 68 Tennessee  0.88 1.52 0.66 95 Arkansas  -8.70 -31.24 -7.28  
      Extra Crispy Overall Ratings
      Rank Team PD YD Score 1 Alabama  40.39 292.12 43.71 2 Clemson  36.57 293.38 41.24 3 Michigan  29.77 237.99 33.52 4 Georgia  29.19 153.38 28.27 5 Oklahoma  24.45 183.68 26.85 6 Texas A&M  20.89 157.66 22.99 7 West Virginia  18.91 165.36 22.10 8 Mississippi St.  21.96 126.03 21.88 9 Penn St.  23.81 88.23 20.94 10 Missouri  23.36 92.78 20.91 11 LSU  25.13 64.44 20.46 12 Ohio St.  16.10 125.33 17.94 13 Iowa  17.89 96.67 17.48 14 Michigan St.  18.48 77.24 16.76 15 Notre Dame  15.11 111.95 16.51 16 Utah  15.97 81.63 15.34 17 Temple  14.84 93.95 15.29 18 Texas Tech  15.46 73.16 14.51 19 Fresno St.  14.31 81.93 14.25 20 Army  13.57 78.85 13.58 21 N.C. State  13.24 80.79 13.47 22 Utah St.  12.36 83.70 13.05 23 Purdue  13.66 66.58 12.93 24 Washington St.  8.02 128.90 12.75 25 Boise St.  10.53 91.54 12.28 26 UCF  12.35 61.34 11.75 27 Florida  14.50 35.23 11.69 28 Washington  12.27 60.71 11.67 29 Cincinnati  8.20 91.65 10.73 30 Kentucky  13.42 29.93 10.67 31 Appalachian State 7.51 93.23 10.36 32 UAB 4.11 130.08 10.21 33 Texas  12.26 31.06 9.96 34 Iowa St.  14.69 0.53 9.82 35 Stanford  12.57 19.70 9.51 36 Auburn  14.36 -4.19 9.33 37 Miami (FL)  7.04 77.42 9.14 38 North Texas  4.94 100.39 9.06 39 Wisconsin  7.34 67.68 8.78 40 Oklahoma St.  7.14 61.38 8.29 41 Nebraska  5.15 71.59 7.54 42 Pittsburgh  11.01 2.13 7.46 43 South Carolina  10.75 -2.80 7.00 44 Northwestern  10.11 1.21 6.81 45 Boston Coll.  9.47 7.64 6.75 46 Buffalo  3.03 70.95 6.10 47 BYU  4.86 43.87 5.76 48 Georgia Tech  2.71 61.74 5.35 49 Air Force  3.70 46.04 5.11 50 Tennessee  9.02 -19.55 4.89 51 Mississippi  3.04 49.16 4.85 52 TCU  5.27 21.29 4.74 53 Vanderbilt  10.08 -34.57 4.74 54 Ohio  1.13 61.17 4.27 55 Syracuse  4.75 14.05 3.98 56 Florida Atlantic  0.30 64.03 3.88 57 Arizona St.  3.23 27.78 3.75 58 Maryland  3.68 20.18 3.61 59 Minnesota  2.54 25.91 3.18 60 Duke  6.52 -25.42 2.89 61 Virginia  3.18 1.43 2.20 62 UCLA  3.49 -6.18 1.97 63 USC  1.14 17.89 1.79 64 Arizona  -3.49 58.86 1.05 65 Oregon  1.50 0.52 1.03 66 East. Michigan  -0.41 16.88 0.69 67 Miami (OH)  -1.34 19.02 0.20 68 Marshall  -1.23 12.09 -0.12 69 Tulane  0.79 -17.55 -0.48 70 Houston  -1.66 1.96 -0.99 71 Southern Miss  -7.53 68.39 -1.09 72 San Diego St.  -3.97 22.18 -1.37 73 Baylor  -2.39 -1.62 -1.69 74 Nevada  -3.34 4.92 -1.94 75 Toledo  0.26 -39.08 -2.07 76 Indiana  -2.00 -16.86 -2.30 77 California  -2.52 -14.25 -2.50 78 Arkansas St.  -5.78 22.57 -2.56 79 Memphis  -5.98 23.49 -2.63 80 Colorado  -4.12 -2.98 -2.92 81 LA Lafayette  -4.05 -7.95 -3.16 82 Troy  -5.20 3.54 -3.26 83 Arkansas  -2.36 -31.08 -3.36 84 Wyoming  -4.96 -15.15 -4.18 85 Northern Illinois  -1.67 -54.60 -4.25 86 Florida St.  -4.61 -24.08 -4.46 87 East Carolina  -10.17 40.14 -4.47 88 Middle Tenn. St.  -2.99 -49.62 -4.84 89 Wake Forest  -3.34 -47.64 -4.96 90 W. Michigan  -9.41 7.24 -5.86 91 Kansas St.  -1.05 -96.03 -6.22 92 SMU  -2.80 -89.15 -6.99 93 Georgia Southern -2.56 -92.11 -7.00 94 Louisiana Tech  -8.36 -37.36 -7.72 95 Navy  -4.57 -94.74 -8.49 96 UNC-Charlotte -12.77 -10.14 -9.10 97 North Carolina  -10.75 -34.34 -9.14 98 Virginia Tech  -7.89 -70.60 -9.32 99 Florida Intl.  -11.27 -46.91 -10.21 100 South Florida  -13.74 -33.51 -11.08 101 LA Monroe  -16.51 -25.70 -12.48 102 Kansas  -9.49 -109.38 -12.61 103 Liberty -13.45 -65.00 -12.70 104 Coastal Carolina -13.87 -62.46 -12.83 105 Tulsa  -12.50 -99.13 -14.03 106 Hawaii  -13.30 -91.37 -14.12 107 Ball St.  -15.45 -68.49 -14.24 108 UNLV  -16.62 -59.82 -14.52 109 Louisville  -12.87 -108.09 -14.79 110 Old Dominion -17.94 -80.79 -16.60 111 Akron  -13.71 -157.97 -18.22 112 Oregon St.  -15.58 -152.98 -19.17 113 Rutgers  -17.53 -144.30 -19.98 114 New Mexico  -13.66 -195.80 -20.35 115 Cent. Michigan  -21.07 -117.43 -20.79 116 Illinois  -17.34 -161.96 -20.86 117 West. Kentucky  -23.42 -109.29 -21.89 118 Colorado St.  -25.98 -87.91 -22.37 119 Georgia State -22.26 -135.10 -22.60 120 Massachusetts -22.80 -134.45 -22.92 121 UTEP  -24.75 -123.17 -23.58 122 Bowling Green  -26.89 -112.15 -24.37 123 South Alabama -25.03 -167.36 -26.30 124 Rice  -27.08 -150.05 -26.67 125 Kent St.  -25.54 -171.39 -26.87 126 San Jose St.  -23.31 -203.40 -27.23 127 New Mexico St.  -29.91 -168.81 -29.64 128 Connecticut  -26.75 -229.02 -30.99 129            Texas St.                        -32.17    -179.12        -31.74
      130            UT-San Antonio             -29.23    -216.10        -31.90
       
    • By Duquesne Frog in Numbers Make Me Horned 0
      As we've discussed in previous weeks, Alabama and Clemson have been set for some time your clear top 2 (Alabama has retaken the top spot as the two continue to jockey in the rankings).  This week, Michigan has begun to separate from the pack as a clear #3 and Oklahoma has now created a little bit of space for itself in #4.  Were the season to end today, that is your playoff as far as DUSHEE is concerned.
       
      The Frogs dropped again, despite the win, three spots to 50th.  DUSHEE has the Frogs as a field goal better than an average team, which is to say, pretty average.  DUSHEE does not think Kansas State is a very good team, and the fact that we beat them by one and were outgained, means that DUSHEE didn't think that was a performance worthy of a good team.  In fact, DUSHEE has the K-State win as the worst performance of the year for the Frogs.  TCU had worse Point Differentials against Texas and Kansas, but when adjusted for a season low Yardage Differential, DUSHEE rated the K-State game as almost 11-points below average.
       
      TCU Week-to-Week
      Opp:       @ SMU      N OhSt      @ Tex    |     ISU       Ttech       OU   |   @ Kan       KSU
      PD:             21.00         7.25        -10.63   |    9.86       1.00       -4.25 |       -7.57      -6.43
      YD:             61.00      150.50        29.63   |189.00     53.43    -95.00  |  118.00   -135.57
      Score:        16.97        12.16         -5.64   |  15.77        3.27      -7.46  |      0.69      -10.88
       
      Perhaps most concerning is that the Frogs are on a pretty clear downward trajectory as the Frogs' best three performances were in their first four games (excluding Southern) and three of their four worst performances have come in the last three weeks.  Put another way, the Frogs averaged a DUSHEE score of 9.81 during the first four games of the season and -3.60 during the second four.  Which shouldn't make us feel very good going into next week, when we face  ...
       
      West Virginia Week-to-Week
      Opp:       N Tenn       KSU      @ Ttech   |    Kan      @ ISU       Bay    |  @ Tex
      PD:            18.71     25.57         13.57    |  11.86     -11.86    42.71   |     7.38
      YD:          206.29     42.71         53.43    | 147.71  -344.71  304.57  |   89.25
      Score:       22.51     19.13         11.65    |   15.09     -24.68    43.29  |     9.26
       
      If you are looking for any kind of solace that the Frogs will have a chance this week in Morgantown, I can only offer two rather minor consolations.  First, the Mountaineers have played a softer conference slate than the Frogs so far, having not played OU yet and having beaten up on the dregs (Kansas, Kansas State, and Baylor).  And for one common opponent, WVU was inexplicably destroyed by Iowa State while we managed to beat the Cyclones before the aforementioned 4-game swoon.  If the Frogs and Mountaineers who faced Iowa State show up on Saturday, the Frogs win by 40 points!!!
       
      Unfortunately those are not the only two data points we have, and against our other four common opponents, the Fightin' Holgersons have been an average of 17-points better than the Frogs and 14-points better over their last four games.  Taking the whole season into account, DUSHEE has the Mountaineers as 14.5-point favorites at Milan Puskar Stadium with a 23% chance of winning.
       
      Conference Ratings
      For the first time this season, the B1G has edged past the BXII-II as the second-best conference in FBS, albeit by a hundredth of a point.  Both conferences are well behind the SEC and well ahead of the ever-so mediocre ACC and P12.  The American Athletic (AAC) has picked a bad year to market themselves as a "Power" conference as they are now less than a point better than the Mountain West.
       
      SEC 10.95 B10 5.77 B12 5.76 ACC 2.65 P12 2.06 AAC -2.72 MWC -3.60 CUSA -6.70 MAC -6.88 SBC -8.15  
      Week 10 Performances
      Top 3
      50.17 -- Michigan vs. PSU (35 MOV, 219 YM)
      48.89 -- Alabama at LSU (29 MOV, 380 YM)
      43.60 -- Mississippi St. vs. Louisiana Tech (42 MOV, 294 YM)
       
      Bottom 3
      -45.17 Minnesota at Illinois (-24 MOV, -208 YM)
      -44.09 Florida Int'l. vs. Florida Atl. (-35 MOV, -266 YM)
      -44.39 Georgia So. at Louisiana-Monroe (-19 MOV, -359 YM)
       
      Overall Ratings
      The only thing that changed in the Top 6 is that Alabama and Clemson switched positions at the top.  A&M, despite losing, climbed 3 spots to #7, benefitting from larger falls by the B1G trio of Penn State, Ohio State, and Iowa.  Big movers at the top this week include UCF and UAB who jumped 13 and 16 spots, respectively, into the top 20.  Utah, Texas Tech, and Washington all took big tumbles out of the top 25. 
       
      The biggest overall gainers were Tulane, who jumped 25 spots in the rankings after destroying USF (DUSHEE was pretty prescient about them if you read my blog post from two weeks ago ...), and Louisiana-Monroe whose DUSHEE score rose 7.26 points after a three-score takedown of Georgia Southern.
       
      The biggest overall losers this week, both in terms of ranking position and DUSHEE score were the Golden Gophers of Minnesota who lost over 6 points and dropped 26 spots in the rankings after losing by 24 to a truly terrible Illinois team.
       
        Week 10     Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/- 1 Alabama  36.81 294.81 38.88 1 1.12 2 Clemson  37.07 283.53 38.51 -1 -1.19 3 Michigan  28.23 254.75 31.22 0 1.78 4 Oklahoma  23.25 202.68 25.36 0 -0.15 5 Georgia  23.75 123.80 21.86 0 -0.19 6 LSU  19.98 80.74 17.24 0 -3.89 7 Texas A&M  12.26 179.79 16.92 3 -0.03 8 Missouri  16.72 118.62 16.92 6 1.35 9 Ohio St.  15.25 137.37 16.85 -2 -3.12 10 Penn St.  18.25 83.45 16.23 -1 -1.92 11 North Texas  15.19 123.43 16.13 1 0.15 12 Fresno St.  18.49 76.32 16.04 4 1.13 13 Iowa  15.39 115.48 15.88 -5 -2.69 14 Utah St.  19.48 53.40 15.59 8 2.48 15 Mississippi St.  14.43 113.36 15.13 5 1.63 16 N.C. State  13.95 108.70 14.59 -5 -1.56 17 UCF  17.31 62.29 14.57 13 2.60 18 UAB 13.30 115.30 14.48 16 3.56 19 Notre Dame  13.96 102.47 14.29 -1 -0.04 20 Purdue  13.93 94.85 13.90 5 1.38 21 West Virginia  15.42 71.32 13.75 -4 -0.69 22 Temple  12.62 104.31 13.49 -1 0.01 23 Army  14.03 73.96 12.95 -10 -2.78 24 Michigan St.  12.51 84.32 12.44 11 1.91 25 Iowa St.  12.15 87.95 12.38 -6 -1.62 26 Washington St.  9.71 114.11 12.03 3 0.02 27 Appalachian State 12.38 76.68 11.98 -4 -1.05 28 Utah  11.58 79.32 11.58 -13 -3.47 29 Cincinnati  11.46 78.15 11.44 7 3.58 30 Texas Tech  11.31 78.46 11.36 -6 -1.22 31 Boise St.  10.18 85.98 10.97 0 -0.81 32 Kentucky  11.14 60.48 10.37 0 -1.33 33 Washington  9.81 68.30 9.86 -7 -2.57 34 Wisconsin  7.91 84.57 9.39 -1 -1.54 35 Miami (FL)  7.27 83.00 8.88 -8 -3.25 36 Ohio  9.08 56.22 8.79 15 5.47 37 Texas  9.31 46.96 8.49 2 1.03 38 Florida  9.23 32.21 7.72 -10 -4.38 39 Buffalo  7.27 57.36 7.64 1 0.56 40 Arizona St.  6.84 44.98 6.75 12 3.50 41 Boston Coll.  7.10 35.97 6.48 -4 -1.37 42 Stanford  8.17 11.67 6.02 6 0.74 43 Syracuse  7.47 19.11 5.91 -1 -0.33 44 Auburn  6.93 18.48 5.52 -3 -0.96 45 South Carolina  5.32 29.66 4.99 0 -1.01 46 Georgia Tech  3.33 52.68 4.79 4 0.61 47 Mississippi  1.53 67.92 4.33 2 0.04 48 Oklahoma St.  3.20 36.59 3.92 -2 -1.64 49 Nebraska  -0.60 83.67 3.67 6 1.03 50 TCU  1.28 46.37 3.11 -3 -2.37 51 BYU  2.34 31.21 3.08 9 1.97 52 Maryland  3.75 5.45 2.77 -8 -3.30 53 Northwestern  3.98 1.70 2.74 0 -0.18 54 Virginia  2.28 13.20 2.16 -11 -3.92 55 Houston  3.45 -3.84 2.11 -17 -5.51 56 Arizona  -1.65 62.26 1.93 7 1.55 57 Duke  5.48 -40.15 1.70 2 0.57 58 San Diego St.  -0.14 27.43 1.24 6 1.15 59 Florida Atlantic  -1.03 37.10 1.12 22 5.06 60 Oregon  0.98 1.20 0.71 2 0.22 61 Air Force  0.69 4.27 0.67 7 1.82 62 Vanderbilt  4.03 -43.54 0.57 -4 -0.60 63 East. Michigan  0.84 -1.00 0.51 2 0.56 64 USC  0.42 -3.22 0.13 -7 -1.47 65 Tulane  1.24 -14.95 0.10 25 5.65 66 Marshall  0.29 -6.08 -0.10 9 2.24 67 Pittsburgh  1.88 -28.20 -0.12 4 1.32 68 Southern Miss  -5.63 72.80 -0.21 2 0.95 69 Colorado  -2.00 19.34 -0.39 -8 -1.08 70 Toledo  3.09 -52.35 -0.49 10 3.41 71 Memphis  -1.24 -8.62 -1.24 6 1.66 72 Miami (OH)  -2.20 0.01 -1.47 1 0.31 73 Tennessee  -1.33 -16.85 -1.71 -4 -0.56 74 Georgia Southern 3.95 -92.86 -1.89 -18 -4.05 75 Troy  -1.99 -13.35 -1.98 3 1.39 76 UCLA  -3.43 -3.64 -2.46 -9 -1.50 77 Wyoming  -3.69 -6.33 -2.77 7 1.29 78 Arkansas St.  -5.35 15.07 -2.83 4 1.16 79 California  -4.17 -4.00 -2.97 7 1.47 80 Minnesota  -3.62 -20.25 -3.40 -26 -6.08 81 LA Lafayette  -4.33 -12.67 -3.50 4 0.70 82 Virginia Tech  -3.70 -33.50 -4.09 6 0.74 83 Louisiana Tech  -3.81 -37.09 -4.35 -17 -3.81 84 Baylor  -4.43 -28.96 -4.36 -1 -0.31 85 East Carolina  -10.70 54.16 -4.50 -13 -2.86 86 Indiana  -7.10 2.27 -4.62 -12 -2.37 87 SMU  -3.43 -52.34 -4.83 14 5.29 88 Middle Tenn. St.  -1.77 -77.99 -4.97 7 1.69 89 Northern Illinois  -3.49 -55.71 -5.04 0 0.49 90 Nevada  -4.51 -50.66 -5.47 2 0.52 91 Arkansas  -8.29 0.96 -5.48 2 0.57 92 Kansas St.  -2.83 -81.62 -5.85 -1 0.07 93 W. Michigan  -9.20 3.25 -5.98 -6 -1.40 94 Florida St.  -7.88 -15.35 -6.00 0 0.12 95 Florida Intl.  -5.37 -66.28 -6.80 -19 -4.37 96 UNC-Charlotte -10.97 8.19 -6.91 1 0.52 97 South Florida  -8.26 -38.23 -7.36 -1 -0.57 98 Liberty -5.96 -72.11 -7.48 -19 -4.00 99 Wake Forest  -8.42 -63.68 -8.71 3 1.52 100 North Carolina  -11.95 -18.50 -8.87 -2 0.01 101 Coastal Carolina -8.72 -68.64 -9.15 6 2.74 102 Ball St.  -10.80 -67.65 -10.49 -2 -0.85 103 Kansas  -8.01 -106.65 -10.53 -4 -1.24 104 Tulsa  -10.33 -78.58 -10.71 -1 0.13 105 Hawaii  -10.56 -93.51 -11.59 -1 -0.28 106 LA Monroe  -13.07 -60.77 -11.67 12 7.26 107 New Mexico  -8.88 -128.27 -12.16 -2 -0.69 108 Akron  -11.13 -137.32 -14.10 1 -0.28 109 Navy  -12.92 -113.38 -14.13 -3 -2.35 110 Colorado St.  -17.79 -57.40 -14.65 -2 -1.11 111 Cent. Michigan  -15.59 -102.96 -15.40 -1 -1.23 112 Illinois  -13.09 -143.88 -15.73 9 4.66 113 Massachusetts -16.17 -107.07 -15.99 4 2.66 114 Georgia State -16.99 -110.79 -16.71 1 1.30 115 West. Kentucky  -18.87 -106.12 -17.74 -4 -2.61 116 UNLV  -17.12 -132.81 -17.87 3 1.81 117 Louisville  -19.47 -104.44 -18.06 -5 -1.34 118 UTEP  -17.72 -133.04 -18.29 -4 -0.34 119 Old Dominion -19.25 -116.01 -18.48 -3 0.09 120 Oregon St.  -18.88 -121.75 -18.51 -7 -0.86 121 Rutgers  -19.45 -156.23 -20.56 3 1.97 122 Kent St.  -21.64 -158.31 -22.13 3 1.05 123 South Alabama -22.01 -155.07 -22.22 -3 -1.96 124 Rice  -23.24 -152.47 -22.91 -1 -0.95 125 San Jose St.  -21.57 -180.96 -23.19 -3 -1.68 126 Texas St. -21.00 -196.60 -23.57 3 2.01 127 Bowling Green  -25.81 -147.26 -24.37 0 0.08 128 New Mexico St.  -23.84 -179.62 -24.63 0 0.21 129 UT-San Antonio -21.51 -213.96 -24.75 -3 -1.07 130 Connecticut  -27.91 -267.25 -31.61 0 -0.24  
      By Conference
      AAC
      17 UCF  17.31 62.29 14.57 22 Temple  12.62 104.31 13.49 29 Cincinnati  11.46 78.15 11.44 55 Houston  3.45 -3.84 2.11 65 Tulane  1.24 -14.95 0.10 71 Memphis  -1.24 -8.62 -1.24 85 East Carolina  -10.70 54.16 -4.50 87 SMU  -3.43 -52.34 -4.83 97 South Florida  -8.26 -38.23 -7.36 104 Tulsa  -10.33 -78.58 -10.71 109 Navy  -12.92 -113.38 -14.13 130 Connecticut  -27.91 -267.25 -31.61  
      ACC
      2 Clemson  37.07 283.53 38.51 16 N.C. State  13.95 108.70 14.59 35 Miami (FL)  7.27 83.00 8.88 41 Boston Coll.  7.10 35.97 6.48 43 Syracuse  7.47 19.11 5.91 46 Georgia Tech  3.33 52.68 4.79 54 Virginia  2.28 13.20 2.16 57 Duke  5.48 -40.15 1.70 67 Pittsburgh  1.88 -28.20 -0.12 82 Virginia Tech  -3.70 -33.50 -4.09 94 Florida St.  -7.88 -15.35 -6.00 99 Wake Forest  -8.42 -63.68 -8.71 100 North Carolina  -11.95 -18.50 -8.87 117 Louisville  -19.47 -104.44 -18.06  
      B1G
      3 Michigan  28.23 254.75 31.22 9 Ohio St.  15.25 137.37 16.85 10 Penn St.  18.25 83.45 16.23 13 Iowa  15.39 115.48 15.88 20 Purdue  13.93 94.85 13.90 24 Michigan St.  12.51 84.32 12.44 34 Wisconsin  7.91 84.57 9.39 49 Nebraska  -0.60 83.67 3.67 52 Maryland  3.75 5.45 2.77 53 Northwestern  3.98 1.70 2.74 80 Minnesota  -3.62 -20.25 -3.40 86 Indiana  -7.10 2.27 -4.62 112 Illinois  -13.09 -143.88 -15.73 121 Rutgers  -19.45 -156.23 -20.56  
      BXII-II
      4 Oklahoma  23.25 202.68 25.36 21 West Virginia  15.42 71.32 13.75 25 Iowa St.  12.15 87.95 12.38 30 Texas Tech  11.31 78.46 11.36 37 Texas  9.31 46.96 8.49 48 Oklahoma St.  3.20 36.59 3.92 50 TCU  1.28 46.37 3.11 84 Baylor  -4.43 -28.96 -4.36 92 Kansas St.  -2.83 -81.62 -5.85 103 Kansas  -8.01 -106.65 -10.53  
      CUSA
      11 North Texas  15.19 123.43 16.13 18 UAB 13.30 115.30 14.48 59 Florida Atlantic  -1.03 37.10 1.12 66 Marshall  0.29 -6.08 -0.10 68 Southern Miss  -5.63 72.80 -0.21 83 Louisiana Tech  -3.81 -37.09 -4.35 88 Middle Tenn. St.  -1.77 -77.99 -4.97 95 Florida Intl.  -5.37 -66.28 -6.80 96 UNC-Charlotte -10.97 8.19 -6.91 115 West. Kentucky  -18.87 -106.12 -17.74 118 UTEP  -17.72 -133.04 -18.29 119 Old Dominion -19.25 -116.01 -18.48 124 Rice  -23.24 -152.47 -22.91 129 UT-San Antonio -21.51 -213.96 -24.75  
      Indies
      19 Notre Dame  13.96 102.47 14.29 23 Army  14.03 73.96 12.95 51 BYU  2.34 31.21 3.08 98 Liberty -5.96 -72.11 -7.48 113 Massachusetts -16.17 -107.07 -15.99 128 New Mexico St.  -23.84 -179.62 -24.63  
      MAC
      36 Ohio  9.08 56.22 8.79 39 Buffalo  7.27 57.36 7.64 63 East. Michigan  0.84 -1.00 0.51 70 Toledo  3.09 -52.35 -0.49 72 Miami (OH)  -2.20 0.01 -1.47 89 Northern Illinois  -3.49 -55.71 -5.04 93 W. Michigan  -9.20 3.25 -5.98 102 Ball St.  -10.80 -67.65 -10.49 108 Akron  -11.13 -137.32 -14.10 111 Cent. Michigan  -15.59 -102.96 -15.40 122 Kent St.  -21.64 -158.31 -22.13 127 Bowling Green  -25.81 -147.26 -24.37  
      MWC
      12 Fresno St.  18.49 76.32 16.04 14 Utah St.  19.48 53.40 15.59 31 Boise St.  10.18 85.98 10.97 58 San Diego St.  -0.14 27.43 1.24 61 Air Force  0.69 4.27 0.67 77 Wyoming  -3.69 -6.33 -2.77 90 Nevada  -4.51 -50.66 -5.47 105 Hawaii  -10.56 -93.51 -11.59 107 New Mexico  -8.88 -128.27 -12.16 110 Colorado St.  -17.79 -57.40 -14.65 116 UNLV  -17.12 -132.81 -17.87 125 San Jose St.  -21.57 -180.96 -23.19  
      P12
      26 Washington St.  9.71 114.11 12.03 28 Utah  11.58 79.32 11.58 33 Washington  9.81 68.30 9.86 40 Arizona St.  6.84 44.98 6.75 42 Stanford  8.17 11.67 6.02 56 Arizona  -1.65 62.26 1.93 60 Oregon  0.98 1.20 0.71 64 USC  0.42 -3.22 0.13 69 Colorado  -2.00 19.34 -0.39 76 UCLA  -3.43 -3.64 -2.46 79 California  -4.17 -4.00 -2.97 120 Oregon St.  -18.88 -121.75 -18.51  
      SBC
      27 Appalachian State 12.38 76.68 11.98 74 Georgia Southern 3.95 -92.86 -1.89 75 Troy  -1.99 -13.35 -1.98 78 Arkansas St.  -5.35 15.07 -2.83 81 LA Lafayette  -4.33 -12.67 -3.50 101 Coastal Carolina -8.72 -68.64 -9.15 106 LA Monroe  -13.07 -60.77 -11.67 114 Georgia State -16.99 -110.79 -16.71 123 South Alabama -22.01 -155.07 -22.22 126 Texas St. -21.00 -196.60 -23.57  
      SEC
      1 Alabama  36.81 294.81 38.88 5 Georgia  23.75 123.80 21.86 6 LSU  19.98 80.74 17.24 7 Texas A&M  12.26 179.79 16.92 8 Missouri  16.72 118.62 16.92 15 Mississippi St.  14.43 113.36 15.13 32 Kentucky  11.14 60.48 10.37 38 Florida  9.23 32.21 7.72 44 Auburn  6.93 18.48 5.52 45 South Carolina  5.32 29.66 4.99 47 Mississippi  1.53 67.92 4.33 62 Vanderbilt  4.03 -43.54 0.57 73 Tennessee  -1.33 -16.85 -1.71 91 Arkansas  -8.29 0.96 -5.48  
       
    • By Duquesne Frog in Numbers Make Me Horned 0
      No movement in the top 4 although Clemson increased its lead over Bama a bit this week and the Frogs fell (only) 4 more spots to 47th, helped by outgaining Kansas by 200 yards despite losing.  The largest faller this week in both ranking and score was Baylor, who dropped 26 spots in the ranking to 83rd.  The biggest climber this week was Georgia Southern who beat DUSHEE darling Appalachian State and climbed 33 spots to 56th.
       
      TCU Week-by-Week
      The Kansas game looks bad, but maybe not as bad as you might imagine.  The Frogs did almost 5 points worse against Kansas than their average opponent has but 115 yards better, making the Kansas game only the third worst on the season for the Frogs in DUSHEE score (behind OU and Texas).  The SMU, Ohio State and Iowa State games still look like solid performances, although all of those games are getting awfully far away in the rearview mirror.
       
      Opp:      @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex   |   ISU      Ttech      OU      |   @ Kan
      PD:           17.17         9.29        -9.86   |   7.00        2.50      -2.00 |    -4.67
      YD:           21.17     169.71       41.43  | 190.00    93.00  -101.29 |  115.17
      Score:      12.46       14.33        -4.58  |    13.78      6.13      -6.19  |     2.41
       
      TCU's Next Opponent (Kansas State)
      Kansas State has, if possible, been even more underwhelming than the Frogs.  By far their best performance came against Oklahoma State in Week 7, a 31-12 whooping of the Fightin' Mullets, and in that game, K-State garnered a score 2 TDs better than any performance TCU has had this year.  That said, their performances against their two toughest opponents, Mississippi State and Oklahoma, were 3 TDs worse than any performance TCU has had this year.  Outside of Okie St. and UTSA, K-State has been a below average team, usually well-below average.
       
      Opp:       MissSt      UTSA      WVU   |     Tex      @ Bay      OkSt    |    @ OU
      PD:         -15.83       14.43    -13.40   |     1.57     -13.00     28.67   |     -15.71
      YD:       -279.83       10.57    -60.00   | -102.57  -103.00   181.00   |   -325.29
      Score:    -23.98       10.13    -11.81  |      -3.87     -13.61     27.80   |     -26.08
       
      I find this difficult to type, but DUSHEE has TCU as a better than 2 TD favorite at home against the Fightin' Snyders, winning about 78% of the time.  DUSHEE has K-State as only slightly better than Kansas.  Of course, you see how well we did against the Jayhawks.
       
      Performances of the Week
      Top 3
      45.78 -- Clemson at Florida St. (49 MOV, 277 YM)
      43.66 -- West Virginia vs. Baylor (44 MOV, 281 YM)
      42.96 -- Utah State vs. New Mexico (42 MOV, 413 YM)
       
      Bottom 3
      -35.51 -- Ball St. vs. Ohio (-38 MOV, -312 YM)
      -33.84 -- New Mexico at Utah State (-42 MOV, -413 YM)
      -31.59 -- Baylor at WVU (-44 MOV, -281 YM)
       
      Conference Rankings
      SEC 11.53 B12 6.58 B10 6.37 ACC 3.23 P12 2.34 AAC -3.34 MWC -4.07 CUSA -6.78 MAC -7.56 SBC -9.10  
      Strength of Schedule
      Top 10
      1 A&M 11.95 2 Mizz 11.87 3 Tenn 11.55 4 LSU 10.00 5 ISU 9.76 6 UCLA 9.05 7 TCU 8.59 8 MissSt 8.32 9 Neb 7.97 10 MichSt 7.87  
      Bottom 10
      122 USU -7.08 123 USM -8.26 124 Troy -8.31 125 Mem -8.49 126 UCF -8.57 127 UTSA -9.24 128 Ohio -9.64 129 USF -10.15 130 FIU -10.16 131 TexSt -16.04  
      Overall Ratings
      Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/- 1 Clemson  37.86 301.37 39.70 0 0.21 2 Alabama  36.47 280.20 37.76 0 -0.99 3 Michigan  25.86 254.14 29.43 0 -0.12 4 Oklahoma  24.17 196.03 25.52 0 0.54 5 Georgia  23.95 126.58 22.04 2 2.19 6 LSU  23.19 118.33 21.14 -1 -1.58 7 Ohio St.  18.49 159.42 19.98 1 0.29 8 Iowa  17.78 140.03 18.57 2 -0.33 9 Penn St.  21.31 82.18 18.15 0 -1.15 10 Texas A&M  12.68 177.00 16.95 -4 -3.76 11 N.C. State  14.17 139.63 16.15 2 -1.83 12 North Texas  14.74 128.17 15.98 2 -1.67 13 Army  16.41 99.72 15.73 6 0.79 14 Missouri  15.39 110.54 15.56 -2 -2.61 15 Utah  14.93 106.17 15.05 6 0.61 16 Fresno St.  16.77 77.76 14.91 10 1.84 17 West Virginia  16.33 74.08 14.44 15 4.02 18 Notre Dame  15.39 84.80 14.33 2 -0.29 19 Iowa St.  12.59 116.88 14.00 10 2.23 20 Mississippi St.  12.57 106.69 13.50 4 -0.36 21 Temple  12.70 104.51 13.48 4 0.19 22 Utah St.  17.48 30.22 13.10 17 6.11 23 Appalachian State 14.35 72.33 13.04 -12 -5.54 24 Texas Tech  11.73 99.14 12.58 -2 -1.83 25 Purdue  12.95 81.15 12.52 -10 -4.07 26 Washington  11.23 103.14 12.43 -8 -3.17 27 Miami (FL)  10.89 101.57 12.14 -10 -3.92 28 Florida  13.63 62.88 12.10 -5 -1.92 29 Washington St.  9.98 111.54 12.01 -1 -0.45 30 UCF  14.32 50.52 11.97 0 1.40 31 Boise St.  11.00 92.59 11.78 0 1.31 32 Kentucky  12.24 73.72 11.70 -5 -1.25 33 Wisconsin  9.25 99.15 10.93 -17 -5.29 34 UAB 9.72 92.28 10.91 -1 1.18 35 Michigan St.  11.15 64.63 10.54 2 2.41 36 Cincinnati  7.83 55.08 7.87 0 -0.91 37 Boston Coll.  8.51 45.43 7.85 14 3.72 38 Houston  8.57 39.70 7.62 14 3.95 39 Texas  7.96 44.79 7.46 -5 -2.09 40 Buffalo  6.70 54.45 7.08 2 1.07 41 Auburn  6.83 40.09 6.48 0 0.21 42 Syracuse  6.89 34.44 6.24 7 1.48 43 Virginia  5.44 51.16 6.08 -5 -0.94 44 Maryland  6.42 37.15 6.06 2 0.53 45 South Carolina  5.68 46.06 6.00 -10 -3.28 46 Oklahoma St.  5.91 33.57 5.55 -1 -0.14 47 TCU  2.78 75.60 5.48 -4 -0.46 48 Stanford  8.76 -11.86 5.27 2 0.98 49 Mississippi  2.04 60.95 4.29 -1 -0.49 50 Georgia Tech  3.95 32.10 4.18 8 2.75 51 Ohio  3.30 23.28 3.32 29 7.11 52 Arizona St.  4.08 11.08 3.25 2 0.20 53 Northwestern  3.27 15.40 2.92 12 3.11 54 Minnesota  1.53 34.59 2.68 2 0.77 55 Nebraska  -2.30 86.96 2.64 -2 -0.54 56 Georgia Southern 7.43 -58.11 2.16 33 7.91 57 USC  2.45 -0.89 1.59 4 0.58 58 Vanderbilt  4.73 -41.44 1.17 2 -0.14 59 Duke  4.40 -37.67 1.13 -12 -4.36 60 BYU  1.08 8.02 1.11 -1 -0.22 61 Colorado  -1.52 35.38 0.69 -21 -5.60 62 Oregon  -0.38 15.71 0.50 -18 -5.31 63 Arizona  -2.87 47.64 0.38 28 6.54 64 San Diego St.  -0.07 2.93 0.09 -1 -0.44 65 East. Michigan  1.69 -24.53 -0.05 -10 -2.00 66 Louisiana Tech  0.00 -11.20 -0.54 0 -0.15 67 UCLA  -1.47 0.26 -0.97 -5 -1.73 68 Air Force  -0.51 -16.85 -1.15 11 2.29 69 Tennessee  -1.27 -6.29 -1.15 1 0.14 70 Southern Miss  -8.02 87.23 -1.16 3 1.02 71 Pittsburgh  0.81 -41.32 -1.44 6 1.81 72 East Carolina  -8.41 82.75 -1.64 -4 -0.95 73 Miami (OH)  -2.36 -4.28 -1.78 -2 0.24 74 Indiana  -4.63 17.37 -2.26 -10 -2.18 75 Marshall  -0.75 -38.46 -2.35 0 0.14 76 Florida Intl.  -0.08 -49.57 -2.43 8 2.25 77 Memphis  -2.48 -26.13 -2.90 6 1.27 78 Troy  -3.09 -27.22 -3.37 -2 -0.15 79 Liberty -4.00 -16.93 -3.48 -1 -0.10 80 Toledo  -0.59 -73.02 -3.89 16 3.97 81 Florida Atlantic  -6.38 6.43 -3.94 5 1.07 82 Arkansas St.  -5.97 -0.08 -3.99 -10 -1.88 83 Baylor  -4.84 -17.39 -4.06 -26 -5.77 84 Wyoming  -4.67 -19.76 -4.06 4 1.38 85 LA Lafayette  -5.69 -8.56 -4.21 2 0.88 86 California  -6.19 -6.50 -4.44 6 2.78 87 W. Michigan  -7.49 8.68 -4.58 -18 -3.73 88 Virginia Tech  -3.88 -46.90 -4.84 -21 -4.28 89 Northern Illinois  -3.74 -63.22 -5.53 -8 -1.57 90 Tulane  -5.47 -39.62 -5.55 5 2.07 91 Kansas St.  -1.90 -97.02 -5.92 -17 -3.51 92 Nevada  -5.08 -54.32 -5.99 1 1.37 93 Arkansas  -8.73 -4.85 -6.05 -8 -1.36 94 Florida St.  -6.60 -35.74 -6.12 -12 -2.16 95 Middle Tenn. St.  -2.89 -98.68 -6.66 7 3.82 96 South Florida  -6.13 -56.39 -6.79 -2 0.61 97 UNC-Charlotte -10.79 -5.11 -7.44 2 1.17 98 North Carolina  -13.19 -1.77 -8.88 0 -0.54 99 Kansas  -5.96 -110.72 -9.29 2 -0.32 100 Ball St.  -9.67 -66.63 -9.65 -10 -3.72 101 SMU  -8.89 -87.36 -10.12 8 3.44 102 Wake Forest  -9.21 -85.05 -10.22 3 1.79 103 Tulsa  -11.25 -69.58 -10.84 -3 -2.06 104 Hawaii  -10.30 -92.44 -11.30 2 1.19 105 New Mexico  -9.34 -109.23 -11.47 -8 -3.33 106 Navy  -9.86 -108.53 -11.78 -2 -0.18 107 Coastal Carolina -11.93 -82.03 -11.89 1 1.20 108 Colorado St.  -17.04 -45.54 -13.55 -5 -3.01 109 Akron  -11.62 -126.64 -13.82 3 1.90 110 Cent. Michigan  -15.03 -86.50 -14.17 -3 -1.30 111 West. Kentucky  -16.30 -88.83 -15.13 -1 -0.82 112 Louisville  -17.13 -110.36 -16.72 -1 -2.36 113 Oregon St.  -18.81 -106.54 -17.65 9 5.04 114 UTEP  -17.42 -132.01 -17.95 5 2.81 115 Georgia State -18.42 -119.67 -18.02 2 1.50 116 Old Dominion -19.53 -115.67 -18.57 -3 -1.91 117 Massachusetts -17.19 -149.77 -18.64 -1 0.28 118 LA Monroe  -19.76 -120.05 -18.93 0 1.04 119 UNLV  -18.05 -159.43 -19.68 -4 -1.57 120 South Alabama -20.10 -143.10 -20.26 0 1.38 121 Illinois  -16.94 -189.58 -20.39 -7 -3.28 122 San Jose St.  -20.29 -166.35 -21.51 3 2.97 123 Rice  -22.24 -148.85 -21.97 3 3.69 124 Rutgers  -21.51 -170.86 -22.54 0 0.94 125 Kent St.  -22.13 -175.50 -23.18 -2 0.23 126 UT-San Antonio -20.89 -203.12 -23.67 -5 -1.16 127 Bowling Green  -26.64 -139.53 -24.45 0 1.81 128 New Mexico St.  -24.67 -175.01 -24.84 1 3.08 129 Texas St. -23.15 -211.50 -25.58 -1 2.17 130 Connecticut  -26.77 -281.79 -31.37 0 -0.43  
      By Conference
      AAC
      21 Temple  12.70 104.51 13.48 30 UCF  14.32 50.52 11.97 36 Cincinnati  7.83 55.08 7.87 38 Houston  8.57 39.70 7.62 72 East Carolina  -8.41 82.75 -1.64 77 Memphis  -2.48 -26.13 -2.90 90 Tulane  -5.47 -39.62 -5.55 96 South Florida  -6.13 -56.39 -6.79 101 SMU  -8.89 -87.36 -10.12 103 Tulsa  -11.25 -69.58 -10.84 106 Navy  -9.86 -108.53 -11.78 130 Connecticut  -26.77 -281.79 -31.37  
      ACC
      1 Clemson  37.86 301.37 39.70 11 N.C. State  14.17 139.63 16.15 27 Miami (FL)  10.89 101.57 12.14 37 Boston Coll.  8.51 45.43 7.85 42 Syracuse  6.89 34.44 6.24 43 Virginia  5.44 51.16 6.08 50 Georgia Tech  3.95 32.10 4.18 59 Duke  4.40 -37.67 1.13 71 Pittsburgh  0.81 -41.32 -1.44 88 Virginia Tech  -3.88 -46.90 -4.84 94 Florida St.  -6.60 -35.74 -6.12 98 North Carolina  -13.19 -1.77 -8.88 102 Wake Forest  -9.21 -85.05 -10.22 112 Louisville  -17.13 -110.36 -16.72  
      B1G
      3 Michigan  25.86 254.14 29.43 7 Ohio St.  18.49 159.42 19.98 8 Iowa  17.78 140.03 18.57 9 Penn St.  21.31 82.18 18.15 25 Purdue  12.95 81.15 12.52 33 Wisconsin  9.25 99.15 10.93 35 Michigan St.  11.15 64.63 10.54 44 Maryland  6.42 37.15 6.06 53 Northwestern  3.27 15.40 2.92 54 Minnesota  1.53 34.59 2.68 55 Nebraska  -2.30 86.96 2.64 74 Indiana  -4.63 17.37 -2.26 121 Illinois  -16.94 -189.58 -20.39 124 Rutgers  -21.51 -170.86 -22.54  
      BXII-II
      4 Oklahoma  24.17 196.03 25.52 17 West Virginia  16.33 74.08 14.44 19 Iowa St.  12.59 116.88 14.00 24 Texas Tech  11.73 99.14 12.58 39 Texas  7.96 44.79 7.46 46 Oklahoma St.  5.91 33.57 5.55 47 TCU  2.78 75.60 5.48 83 Baylor  -4.84 -17.39 -4.06 91 Kansas St.  -1.90 -97.02 -5.92 99 Kansas  -5.96 -110.72 -9.29  
      CUSA
      12 North Texas  14.74 128.17 15.98 34 UAB 9.72 92.28 10.91 66 Louisiana Tech  0.00 -11.20 -0.54 70 Southern Miss  -8.02 87.23 -1.16 75 Marshall  -0.75 -38.46 -2.35 76 Florida Intl.  -0.08 -49.57 -2.43 81 Florida Atlantic  -6.38 6.43 -3.94 95 Middle Tenn. St.  -2.89 -98.68 -6.66 97 UNC-Charlotte -10.79 -5.11 -7.44 111 West. Kentucky  -16.30 -88.83 -15.13 114 UTEP  -17.42 -132.01 -17.95 116 Old Dominion -19.53 -115.67 -18.57 123 Rice  -22.24 -148.85 -21.97 126 UT-San Antonio -20.89 -203.12 -23.67  
      Indies
      13 Army  16.41 99.72 15.73 18 Notre Dame  15.39 84.80 14.33 60 BYU  1.08 8.02 1.11 79 Liberty -4.00 -16.93 -3.48 117 Massachusetts -17.19 -149.77 -18.64 128 New Mexico St.  -24.67 -175.01 -24.84  
      MAC
      40 Buffalo  6.70 54.45 7.08 51 Ohio  3.30 23.28 3.32 65 East. Michigan  1.69 -24.53 -0.05 73 Miami (OH)  -2.36 -4.28 -1.78 80 Toledo  -0.59 -73.02 -3.89 87 W. Michigan  -7.49 8.68 -4.58 89 Northern Illinois  -3.74 -63.22 -5.53 100 Ball St.  -9.67 -66.63 -9.65 109 Akron  -11.62 -126.64 -13.82 110 Cent. Michigan  -15.03 -86.50 -14.17 125 Kent St.  -22.13 -175.50 -23.18 127 Bowling Green  -26.64 -139.53 -24.45  
      MWC
      16 Fresno St.  16.77 77.76 14.91 22 Utah St.  17.48 30.22 13.10 31 Boise St.  11.00 92.59 11.78 64 San Diego St.  -0.07 2.93 0.09 68 Air Force  -0.51 -16.85 -1.15 84 Wyoming  -4.67 -19.76 -4.06 92 Nevada  -5.08 -54.32 -5.99 104 Hawaii  -10.30 -92.44 -11.30 105 New Mexico  -9.34 -109.23 -11.47 108 Colorado St.  -17.04 -45.54 -13.55 119 UNLV  -18.05 -159.43 -19.68 122 San Jose St.  -20.29 -166.35 -21.51  
      P12
      15 Utah  14.93 106.17 15.05 26 Washington  11.23 103.14 12.43 29 Washington St.  9.98 111.54 12.01 48 Stanford  8.76 -11.86 5.27 52 Arizona St.  4.08 11.08 3.25 57 USC  2.45 -0.89 1.59 61 Colorado  -1.52 35.38 0.69 62 Oregon  -0.38 15.71 0.50 63 Arizona  -2.87 47.64 0.38 67 UCLA  -1.47 0.26 -0.97 86 California  -6.19 -6.50 -4.44 113 Oregon St.  -18.81 -106.54 -17.65  
      SBC
      23 Appalachian State 14.35 72.33 13.04 56 Georgia Southern 7.43 -58.11 2.16 78 Troy  -3.09 -27.22 -3.37 82 Arkansas St.  -5.97 -0.08 -3.99 85 LA Lafayette  -5.69 -8.56 -4.21 107 Coastal Carolina -11.93 -82.03 -11.89 115 Georgia State -18.42 -119.67 -18.02 118 LA Monroe  -19.76 -120.05 -18.93 120 South Alabama -20.10 -143.10 -20.26 129 Texas St. -23.15 -211.50 -25.58  
      SEC
      2 Alabama  36.47 280.20 37.76 5 Georgia  23.95 126.58 22.04 6 LSU  23.19 118.33 21.14 10 Texas A&M  12.68 177.00 16.95 14 Missouri  15.39 110.54 15.56 20 Mississippi St.  12.57 106.69 13.50 28 Florida  13.63 62.88 12.10 32 Kentucky  12.24 73.72 11.70 41 Auburn  6.83 40.09 6.48 45 South Carolina  5.68 46.06 6.00 49 Mississippi  2.04 60.95 4.29 58 Vanderbilt  4.73 -41.44 1.17 69 Tennessee  -1.27 -6.29 -1.15 93 Arkansas  -8.73 -4.85 -6.05  
       
    • By Duquesne Frog in Numbers Make Me Horned 1
      I figure interest in this blog is niche at best, even when the Frogs are playing well.  So I assume at this point, I'm just writing this for myself.  But nonetheless, for this week's entry in the second saddest diary ever written (allowing that Anne Frank's is probably still a little sadder) ...
       
      Clemson reclaims the top spot in the rankings, but it really is just Clemson, Bama, and the rest of the field at this point.  There is an almost 10-point gap between those two teams and 3rd ranked Michigan.  The Sooners rose to the 4th spot in the rankings, due mostly to Ohio State and Penn State falling significantly.
       
      A team I'd like to focus on this week is USF, which if DUSHEE is any judge, may be the worst 7-0 team in the history of major college football.  After beating the lowest-ranked DUSHEE team, UConn, by only a TD, DUSHEE now has Charlie Strong's Bulls ranked 94th.  That "win" garnered USF a DUSHEE score of -31.40 for the week.   When combined with playing the second easiest schedule in FBS ... USF's opponents are, on average, almost 2TDs worse than an average FBS team ... Georgia Tech (ranked 58th), Illinois (114), East Carolina (68), UMass (116), Tulsa (100), UConn (130) ... and only beating that ridiculously easy schedule by an average of 8-points, USF appears to be a paper tiger of the highest order. 
       
      Things start getting a little tougher for the Bulls next week with @Houston (52), Tulane (95), @Cincinnati (36), @Temple (25), and UCF (30) ... the remaining 5 games include the 4 best teams in the American as rated by DUSHEE.  (Although DUSHEE thinks UCF is extremely overrated too, just not as much as USF.)  The only one of those 5 games where USF should be favored is the game at home against Tulane and DUSHEE expects the Bulls to be heavy underdogs for all of the other 4 (best chance of winning is 23% at Houston this week).  DUSHEE gives USF an 0.05% chance of going undefeated through those 5 games.
       
      Frogs
      Because DUSHEE has OU still very highly rated and had little expectation that the Frogs would be competitive, the Frogs didn't really drop as much as you might think, falling four spots to 43rd.  The Frogs week-to-week look like this now:
       
      Opp:      @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex   |   ISU      Ttech      OU
      PD:         15.80          9.29         -8.50   |  6.00       5.40      -4.33
      YD:         20.40      169.71        64.17  | 192.00   118.20  -150.83
      Score:    11.51        14.34         -2.58  | 13.22       9.28     -10.13
       
      So it was actually a pretty decent week in the moral victory department for the Frogs.  While the performance against OU was judged the worst of the season, and the walloping that Purdue put on Ohio State really dropped the Frogs' comparative score against the Buckeyes a ton, the wins against SMU and Iowa State are looking solid at this point, and even the loss to Tech looks pretty decent with Tech's excellent play of late.  As of this moment, only the Texas and Oklahoma games look like total turds.
       
      Believe it or not (I expect most will not), DUSHEE has the Frogs as favorites for 4 of the remaining 5 games:
      @Kansas +12 (67% chance Frogs win)
      Kansas St. +12.5 (72%)
      @West Virginia -7.5 (34%)
      @Baylor +0.5 (51%)
      Oklahoma St. +4 (56%)
       
      As of now, the Frogs have played the 4th toughest schedule in FBS, according to DUSHEE.  Although, that will take a hit this week as the Frogs play ...
       
      Frogs Next Opponent (Kansas)
      Playing Kansas is generally the salve that calms troubled football teams, but God knows that has rarely been the case for the Frogs.  After showing some signs early in the season that the Jayhawks might have improved a little this season (ignoring Nichols St., as DUSHEE does), Kansas has returned to form of late, and seems to be in turmoil after dumping Meachem.  Hopefully, the Frogs take care of business as they did last year.
       
      As mentioned above, DUSHEE has the Frogs as 12-point favorites on the road.
      Opp:      @ CMU      Rut     @ Bay   |   OkSt     @ WVU     @ Ttech
      PD:          12.33     25.57    -25.40  |   -16.80       -4.25        -29.40
      YD:          18.67   148.71  -154.00  | -194.40   -205.00     -207.00
      Score:       9.12     24.19     -24.33  |   -20.54     -12.68        -29.54
       
      So after looking like a reasonable football team against two other really bad teams (CMU and Rutgers), Kansas has returned to form in conference play, getting pounded by everybody by at least 3 TDs.
       
      Top Performances of the Week
      50.70 Clemson vs. NC-State (34 MOV, 174 YM)
      46.46 Missouri vs. Memphis (32 MOV, 238 YM)
      46.02 Purdue vs. Ohio St. (29 MOV, -7 YM)
       
      Bottom Performances of the Week
      -50.46 Oregon St. vs. Cal (-42 MOV, -298 YM)
      -38.55 Bowling Green at Ohio (-35 MOV, -283 YM)
      -36.11 Minnesota at Nebraska (-25 MOV, -185 YM)
       
      Conference Ratings
      SEC 12.62 B12 7.31 B10 7.01 ACC 3.85 P12 2.30 AAC -4.04 MWC -4.91 CUSA -7.60 MAC -7.89 SBC -9.95  
      Overall Rankings
        Week 8     Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/- 1 Clemson  36.58 314.39 39.49 1 0.66 2 Alabama  37.21 290.28 38.75 -1 -0.44 3 Michigan  26.00 254.44 29.55 0 0.81 4 Oklahoma  24.62 178.43 24.98 2 0.07 5 LSU  24.63 131.21 22.72 2 -0.78 6 Texas A&M  16.18 206.57 20.71 5 0.88 7 Georgia  21.43 115.93 19.85 3 -0.44 8 Ohio St.  18.19 157.38 19.68 -3 -6.82 9 Penn St.  22.64 87.45 19.30 -5 -8.44 10 Iowa  18.09 142.36 18.90 7 2.50 11 Appalachian State 19.41 117.35 18.57 -3 -4.64 12 Missouri  16.51 149.15 18.17 15 6.05 13 N.C. State  15.92 153.32 17.98 -4 -4.77 14 North Texas  16.73 135.10 17.64 2 1.11 15 Purdue  16.65 114.46 16.60 19 6.92 16 Wisconsin  15.02 129.11 16.21 2 -0.06 17 Miami (FL)  13.91 141.25 16.06 3 0.68 18 Washington  14.74 120.29 15.61 3 1.08 19 Army  16.36 83.93 14.94 -7 -2.77 20 Notre Dame  16.28 78.38 14.62 -1 -1.17 21 Utah  13.76 109.67 14.44 4 2.12 22 Texas Tech  14.00 105.65 14.41 1 1.43 23 Florida  15.51 76.82 14.03 -9 -2.87 24 Mississippi St.  13.34 103.37 13.86 -9 -2.78 25 Temple  12.57 102.30 13.29 -3 -0.17 26 Fresno St.  14.64 68.91 13.07 6 2.89 27 Kentucky  14.71 65.49 12.95 -14 -4.01 28 Washington St.  9.21 131.52 12.46 5 2.30 29 Iowa St.  10.92 93.52 11.77 0 0.12 30 UCF  12.71 43.55 10.57 1 0.04 31 Boise St.  9.39 87.61 10.47 9 2.03 32 West Virginia  12.52 43.16 10.42 -8 -1.90 33 UAB 8.69 81.99 9.73 15 4.76 34 Texas  9.71 63.99 9.55 -8 -2.75 35 South Carolina  8.95 69.01 9.28 6 1.29 36 Cincinnati  9.36 52.69 8.77 9 2.79 37 Michigan St.  9.00 44.23 8.13 -7 -3.10 38 Virginia  7.14 47.03 7.02 6 0.84 39 Utah St.  13.46 -41.28 6.99 -11 -4.70 40 Colorado  4.83 63.86 6.29 -3 -2.45 41 Auburn  6.70 37.48 6.27 10 1.55 42 Buffalo  5.66 46.50 6.01 8 1.23 43 TCU  3.94 68.94 5.94 -4 -2.65 44 Oregon  5.21 48.58 5.80 13 2.55 45 Oklahoma St.  6.44 29.24 5.70 1 -0.26 46 Maryland  5.70 36.17 5.54 -11 -4.04 47 Duke  9.69 -20.27 5.49 -9 -3.15 48 Mississippi  2.57 63.73 4.78 5 0.69 49 Syracuse  5.23 26.57 4.76 7 1.42 50 Stanford  9.00 -35.66 4.29 -1 -0.52 51 Boston Coll.  5.91 3.92 4.13 -8 -2.30 52 Houston  5.03 6.44 3.66 0 -0.43 53 Nebraska  -1.85 91.83 3.18 13 3.85 54 Arizona St.  4.20 5.30 3.05 -12 -3.61 55 East. Michigan  3.47 -7.49 1.95 16 3.79 56 Minnesota  1.61 17.43 1.91 -20 -7.64 57 Baylor  0.69 25.97 1.71 -2 -1.67 58 Georgia Tech  0.90 17.28 1.43 1 -0.81 59 BYU  2.20 -2.97 1.33 5 1.57 60 Vanderbilt  4.85 -40.07 1.31 3 1.18 61 USC  2.11 -8.27 1.01 -14 -4.17 62 UCLA  0.81 4.56 0.76 -1 -0.15 63 San Diego St.  1.94 -15.93 0.53 -9 -3.32 64 Indiana  -3.13 41.77 -0.08 12 2.96 65 Northwestern  -0.03 -3.64 -0.19 -5 -1.81 66 Louisiana Tech  0.36 -12.95 -0.39 -8 -3.52 67 Virginia Tech  1.38 -30.86 -0.56 0 0.81 68 East Carolina  -7.30 87.00 -0.69 9 2.41 69 W. Michigan  -4.08 38.94 -0.85 6 1.81 70 Tennessee  -1.56 -5.18 -1.29 0 0.53 71 Miami (OH)  -2.36 -9.41 -2.03 13 3.06 72 Arkansas St.  -4.15 13.67 -2.11 0 -0.24 73 Southern Miss  -7.48 58.57 -2.17 12 2.99 74 Kansas St.  0.52 -57.40 -2.41 -5 -0.75 75 Marshall  -0.77 -41.13 -2.49 3 0.73 76 Troy  -3.85 -13.53 -3.22 11 2.60 77 Pittsburgh  -1.68 -44.43 -3.25 -3 -0.95 78 Liberty -3.60 -20.37 -3.38 -5 -1.45 79 Air Force  -2.24 -40.41 -3.44 0 0.40 80 Ohio  -3.14 -35.34 -3.79 13 4.42 81 Northern Illinois  -2.62 -46.01 -3.96 8 2.70 82 Florida St.  -3.78 -29.94 -3.96 6 2.43 83 Memphis  -3.80 -34.23 -4.18 -18 -3.93 84 Florida Intl.  -2.64 -60.81 -4.68 8 2.65 85 Arkansas  -7.53 6.99 -4.69 1 1.12 86 Florida Atlantic  -7.05 -6.61 -5.02 -6 -0.50 87 LA Lafayette  -5.96 -23.14 -5.08 11 4.65 88 Wyoming  -5.63 -35.14 -5.44 12 5.65 89 Georgia Southern -0.45 -113.54 -5.75 2 1.24 90 Ball St.  -6.39 -34.65 -5.93 -9 -1.15 91 Arizona  -9.90 9.08 -6.17 -1 0.76 92 California  -9.48 -18.83 -7.22 15 5.42 93 Nevada  -7.86 -44.29 -7.37 10 4.50 94 South Florida  -7.66 -47.96 -7.41 -26 -5.81 95 Tulane  -7.00 -61.53 -7.62 -33 -7.88 96 Toledo  -4.71 -98.34 -7.86 -1 1.52 97 New Mexico  -7.07 -71.29 -8.14 -3 0.10 98 North Carolina  -13.96 20.06 -8.34 8 4.24 99 UNC-Charlotte -12.86 -0.77 -8.61 -3 0.79 100 Tulsa  -9.72 -47.95 -8.78 -17 -3.89 101 Kansas  -6.32 -98.84 -8.96 -19 -4.10 102 Middle Tenn. St.  -8.87 -95.11 -10.48 0 1.15 103 Colorado St.  -14.33 -20.53 -10.54 1 1.44 104 Navy  -10.00 -102.82 -11.60 4 2.10 105 Wake Forest  -11.40 -91.91 -12.01 -6 -1.49 106 Hawaii  -11.60 -99.05 -12.49 -5 -1.39 107 Cent. Michigan  -13.95 -74.36 -12.87 -10 -3.46 108 Coastal Carolina -13.66 -83.04 -13.10 1 1.19 109 SMU  -12.48 -109.22 -13.56 -4 -1.16 110 West. Kentucky  -15.39 -84.42 -14.31 1 0.97 111 Louisville  -13.93 -105.65 -14.36 1 1.73 112 Akron  -13.34 -142.16 -15.72 -2 -0.54 113 Old Dominion -16.53 -117.56 -16.67 4 3.10 114 Illinois  -13.28 -171.87 -17.11 1 0.87 115 UNLV  -15.29 -164.86 -18.11 1 0.47 116 Massachusetts -17.06 -157.26 -18.92 3 3.59 117 Georgia State -19.65 -133.58 -19.52 -4 -2.97 118 LA Monroe  -21.01 -124.09 -19.97 7 4.97 119 UTEP  -20.68 -145.07 -20.75 1 2.40 120 South Alabama -20.38 -167.69 -21.64 -2 -0.57 121 UT-San Antonio -20.07 -190.28 -22.52 1 0.97 122 Oregon St.  -25.50 -118.57 -22.69 -8 -5.81 123 Kent St.  -22.30 -177.94 -23.41 1 1.22 124 Rutgers  -22.78 -172.50 -23.47 -1 0.55 125 San Jose St.  -24.29 -172.59 -24.48 2 3.21 126 Rice  -25.90 -174.78 -25.66 0 1.83 127 Bowling Green  -28.38 -152.84 -26.26 -6 -2.84 128 Texas St. -25.68 -221.20 -27.74 0 1.49 129 New Mexico St.  -26.85 -208.74 -27.92 0 2.39 130 Connecticut  -26.78 -272.45 -30.94 0 3.58  
      Rankings By Conference
      AAC
      25 Temple  12.57 102.30 13.29 30 UCF  12.71 43.55 10.57 36 Cincinnati  9.36 52.69 8.77 52 Houston  5.03 6.44 3.66 68 East Carolina  -7.30 87.00 -0.69 83 Memphis  -3.80 -34.23 -4.18 94 South Florida  -7.66 -47.96 -7.41 95 Tulane  -7.00 -61.53 -7.62 100 Tulsa  -9.72 -47.95 -8.78 104 Navy  -10.00 -102.82 -11.60 109 SMU  -12.48 -109.22 -13.56 130 Connecticut  -26.78 -272.45 -30.94  
      ACC
      1 Clemson  36.58 314.39 39.49 13 N.C. State  15.92 153.32 17.98 17 Miami (FL)  13.91 141.25 16.06 38 Virginia  7.14 47.03 7.02 47 Duke  9.69 -20.27 5.49 49 Syracuse  5.23 26.57 4.76 51 Boston Coll.  5.91 3.92 4.13 58 Georgia Tech  0.90 17.28 1.43 67 Virginia Tech  1.38 -30.86 -0.56 77 Pittsburgh  -1.68 -44.43 -3.25 82 Florida St.  -3.78 -29.94 -3.96 98 North Carolina  -13.96 20.06 -8.34 105 Wake Forest  -11.40 -91.91 -12.01 111 Louisville  -13.93 -105.65 -14.36  
      B1G
      3 Michigan  26.00 254.44 29.55 8 Ohio St.  18.19 157.38 19.68 9 Penn St.  22.64 87.45 19.30 10 Iowa  18.09 142.36 18.90 15 Purdue  16.65 114.46 16.60 16 Wisconsin  15.02 129.11 16.21 37 Michigan St.  9.00 44.23 8.13 46 Maryland  5.70 36.17 5.54 53 Nebraska  -1.85 91.83 3.18 56 Minnesota  1.61 17.43 1.91 64 Indiana  -3.13 41.77 -0.08 65 Northwestern  -0.03 -3.64 -0.19 114 Illinois  -13.28 -171.87 -17.11 124 Rutgers  -22.78 -172.50 -23.47  
      BXII-II
      4 Oklahoma  24.62 178.43 24.98 22 Texas Tech  14.00 105.65 14.41 29 Iowa St.  10.92 93.52 11.77 32 West Virginia  12.52 43.16 10.42 34 Texas  9.71 63.99 9.55 43 TCU  3.94 68.94 5.94 45 Oklahoma St.  6.44 29.24 5.70 57 Baylor  0.69 25.97 1.71 74 Kansas St.  0.52 -57.40 -2.41 101 Kansas  -6.32 -98.84 -8.96  
      CUSA
      14 North Texas  16.73 135.10 17.64 33 UAB 8.69 81.99 9.73 66 Louisiana Tech  0.36 -12.95 -0.39 73 Southern Miss  -7.48 58.57 -2.17 75 Marshall  -0.77 -41.13 -2.49 84 Florida Intl.  -2.64 -60.81 -4.68 86 Florida Atlantic  -7.05 -6.61 -5.02 99 UNC-Charlotte -12.86 -0.77 -8.61 102 Middle Tenn. St.  -8.87 -95.11 -10.48 110 West. Kentucky  -15.39 -84.42 -14.31 113 Old Dominion -16.53 -117.56 -16.67 119 UTEP  -20.68 -145.07 -20.75 121 UT-San Antonio -20.07 -190.28 -22.52 126 Rice  -25.90 -174.78 -25.66  
      Indies
      19 Army  16.36 83.93 14.94 20 Notre Dame  16.28 78.38 14.62 59 BYU  2.20 -2.97 1.33 78 Liberty -3.60 -20.37 -3.38 116 Massachusetts -17.06 -157.26 -18.92 129 New Mexico St.  -26.85 -208.74 -27.92  
      MAC
      42 Buffalo  5.66 46.50 6.01 55 East. Michigan  3.47 -7.49 1.95 69 W. Michigan  -4.08 38.94 -0.85 71 Miami (OH)  -2.36 -9.41 -2.03 80 Ohio  -3.14 -35.34 -3.79 81 Northern Illinois  -2.62 -46.01 -3.96 90 Ball St.  -6.39 -34.65 -5.93 96 Toledo  -4.71 -98.34 -7.86 107 Cent. Michigan  -13.95 -74.36 -12.87 112 Akron  -13.34 -142.16 -15.72 123 Kent St.  -22.30 -177.94 -23.41 127 Bowling Green  -28.38 -152.84 -26.26  
      MWC
      26 Fresno St.  14.64 68.91 13.07 31 Boise St.  9.39 87.61 10.47 39 Utah St.  13.46 -41.28 6.99 63 San Diego St.  1.94 -15.93 0.53 79 Air Force  -2.24 -40.41 -3.44 88 Wyoming  -5.63 -35.14 -5.44 93 Nevada  -7.86 -44.29 -7.37 97 New Mexico  -7.07 -71.29 -8.14 103 Colorado St.  -14.33 -20.53 -10.54 106 Hawaii  -11.60 -99.05 -12.49 115 UNLV  -15.29 -164.86 -18.11 125 San Jose St.  -24.29 -172.59 -24.48  
      P12
      18 Washington  14.74 120.29 15.61 21 Utah  13.76 109.67 14.44 28 Washington St.  9.21 131.52 12.46 40 Colorado  4.83 63.86 6.29 44 Oregon  5.21 48.58 5.80 50 Stanford  9.00 -35.66 4.29 54 Arizona St.  4.20 5.30 3.05 61 USC  2.11 -8.27 1.01 62 UCLA  0.81 4.56 0.76 91 Arizona  -9.90 9.08 -6.17 92 California  -9.48 -18.83 -7.22 122 Oregon St.  -25.50 -118.57 -22.69  
      SBC
      11 Appalachian State 19.41 117.35 18.57 72 Arkansas St.  -4.15 13.67 -2.11 76 Troy  -3.85 -13.53 -3.22 87 LA Lafayette  -5.96 -23.14 -5.08 89 Georgia Southern -0.45 -113.54 -5.75 108 Coastal Carolina -13.66 -83.04 -13.10 117 Georgia State -19.65 -133.58 -19.52 118 LA Monroe  -21.01 -124.09 -19.97 120 South Alabama -20.38 -167.69 -21.64 128 Texas St. -25.68 -221.20 -27.74  
      SEC
      2 Alabama  37.21 290.28 38.75 5 LSU  24.63 131.21 22.72 6 Texas A&M  16.18 206.57 20.71 7 Georgia  21.43 115.93 19.85 12 Missouri  16.51 149.15 18.17 23 Florida  15.51 76.82 14.03 24 Mississippi St.  13.34 103.37 13.86 27 Kentucky  14.71 65.49 12.95 35 South Carolina  8.95 69.01 9.28 41 Auburn  6.70 37.48 6.27 48 Mississippi  2.57 63.73 4.78 60 Vanderbilt  4.85 -40.07 1.31 70 Tennessee  -1.56 -5.18 -1.29 85 Arkansas  -7.53 6.99 -4.69  
    • By Duquesne Frog in Numbers Make Me Horned 0
      Alabama retakes the top spot this week, but the Tide and Clemson have emerged as the clear top 2 with a bunch of B1G teams filling out the rest of the top 5.  Yes, two-loss Penn State is still in the top 5, but they did have the second biggest single score drop of the week (Georgia dropped slightly more), falling over 10 points; the way the numbers worked out, however, they just dropped one spot, getting leapt by Michigan. 
       
      Oklahoma did very well against the bye, jumping 2 spots and increasing their score by 2.5 points.  We'll discuss how that happened when we look at Oklahoma's numbers in the 'TCU's next opponent' section. 
       
      Frogs Week-by-Week
      The Frogs fell 5 spots to 39th, even though their score dropped less than a point.  They fell because a lot of teams just under them jumped with strong performances: Duke, Minnesota, Purdue, Michigan St., and Iowa State all leapt the Frogs.
       
      Opp:       @ SMU     N OhSt     @ Tex   |   ISU      Ttech
      PD:           11.25         17.67       -8.50   |  6.00      -0.50
      YD:          -13.75        199.33     64.17   | 192.00   80.00
      Score:       6.82          21.58       -2.51   |   13.44     3.60
       
      Due to Iowa State's recent performance, our win against them, while visually ugly, is actually starting to look pretty good comparatively.  The Tech loss was rated as mediocre as you might imagine and by far our best performance is still that loss to Ohio State. 
       
      The Frogs are ranked 47th in the country in point differential, but 20th in yardage differential.  This disparity is largely explained by the turnover situation with which we are all too aware.  The Frogs have moved the ball on opponents like a top-20 team, but they sure haven't scored like one.
       
      Two pieces of potential solace for Frog fans are 1) neglecting the Southern matchup which is ignored by DUSHEE, the Frogs have the 6th toughest schedule in the country right now, and 2) of the 6 remaining Big 12 games left on our schedule, 4 are against teams actually ranked lower than the Frogs.  So we have that going for us, which is nice.  Missouri has had the toughest schedule according to DUSHEE.
       
      Frogs Next Opponent -- Oklahoma
      The Sooners have climbed to 6th in the rankings, despite the Texas loss.  Here are their numbers to date:
       
      Opp:       FAU      UCLA     @ ISU   |   Army      Bay     N Tex
      PD:        50.00     21.60     14.40   |  24.80     37.00     5.50
      YD:       379.00    33.00   133.20   |  80.20   242.00   94.50
      Score:   51.96     16.02     16.15   |   20.48     36.56     8.31
       
      So the Texas game was definitely a dud for the Sooners (and the 'N' stands for 'neutral site', not 'North', for clarification), but outside of that game (Texas seems to have gotten the worst shot out of several of their opponents this year), the Sooners have been pretty impressive this year.  The Army game, which everyone thought was a bad performance for the Sooners, was actually pretty good as the Cadets have far exceeded anybody's expectations and are ranked 12th in DUSHEE Original (and 20th even in DUSHEE Extra Crispy with the added emphasis on schedule strength). 
       
      As mentioned above, the Sooners fared well during the bye, improving 2.5 points despite sitting at home.  This was due to UCLA getting a blowout win over Cal, Iowa State whipping WVU, and Army blowing out SJfSU.  Baylor and Texas played each other so that was a wash for the Sooners.  The Sooners comparative performances against those 3 opponents all got big boosts this week.
       
      Against common opponents, the Sooners were about 3 points better than the Frogs against Iowa State ... but if you account for the fact that Oklahoma played the Cyclones in Ames and the Frogs got them in Ft. Worth, the Sooners were about 11 points better than the Frogs against Iowa State on a neutral field.  The Sooners were about 11 points better than the Frogs against Texas, but again taking into account the fact that the Frogs played Texas in Austin and Oklahoma played them at a neutral site, the Sooners were about a touchdown better against the Horns.
       
      All that said, the Frogs are heavy underdogs to the Sooners ... 12 points, even after giving the Frogs a 4.2 point home field advantage (the current calculated number for the season).  If this game were in Norman, the Frogs would be 3 TD dogs.  DUSHEE gives the Frogs about a 27% chance of winning.
       
      Conference Rankings
      The Big XII-II still ranks second among the conferences, about a half point better (on average) than the B1G.
       
      SEC 12.48 BXII-ii 8.56 B1G 7.97 ACC 3.89 P12 2.51 AAC -3.01 MWC -5.85 MAC -8.87 CUSA -8.98 SBC -10.73  
      Top Performances of the Week
      48.72 -- Iowa St vs. WVU (16 MOV, 346 YM)
      46.95 -- LSU vs. UGa (20 MOV, 153 YM)
      43.98 -- Alabama vs. Mizzou (29 MOV, 352 YM)
       
      Bottom Performances of the Week
      -56.00 -- New Mexico St. at Louisiana-Lafayette (-28 MOV, -353 YM)
      -43.52 -- Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana-Monroe (-25 MOV, -27 YM)
      -41.66 -- Western Kentucky at UNC-Charlotte (-26 MOV, -192 YM)
       
      Overall Rankings
        Week 7     Rank Team PD YD Score Rk +/- Score +/- 1 Alabama  37.23 292.39 39.19 1 1.02 2 Clemson  34.97 315.62 38.83 -1 -1.92 3 Michigan  25.69 236.27 28.74 3 2.58 4 Penn St.  30.65 148.43 27.73 -1 -10.17 5 Ohio St.  25.91 187.61 26.50 0 -4.01 6 Oklahoma  25.55 160.32 24.91 2 2.53 7 LSU  24.55 145.18 23.50 8 5.30 8 Appalachian State 23.96 147.25 23.21 -1 -2.91 9 N.C. State  21.28 174.28 22.75 0 0.85 10 Georgia  21.14 126.18 20.30 -6 -10.56 11 Texas A&M  14.72 203.75 19.83 3 0.92 12 Army  19.39 97.35 17.71 7 1.35 13 Kentucky  18.34 96.31 16.96 5 -0.13 14 Florida  18.62 91.31 16.90 8 1.28 15 Mississippi St.  16.93 108.96 16.64 9 3.24 16 North Texas  15.93 120.40 16.54 11 4.70 17 Iowa  15.74 120.15 16.40 0 -0.84 18 Wisconsin  14.83 129.85 16.27 -5 -3.64 19 Notre Dame  17.81 79.64 15.79 -8 -5.09 20 Miami (FL)  12.81 139.15 15.38 0 -0.77 21 Washington  13.93 106.53 14.53 11 4.23 22 Temple  12.68 101.93 13.46 1 -2.06 23 Texas Tech  11.80 103.88 12.97 -11 -7.03 24 West Virginia  14.25 57.43 12.32 -14 -9.44 25 Utah  13.61 65.94 12.31 14 5.05 26 Texas  12.14 85.58 12.30 2 0.98 27 Missouri  10.35 106.18 12.12 -11 -5.25 28 Utah St.  17.39 1.97 11.69 8 2.50 29 Iowa St.  10.85 89.90 11.65 15 6.03 30 Michigan St.  10.95 79.80 11.22 10 4.36 31 UCF  11.78 54.26 10.52 4 1.27 32 Fresno St.  11.12 56.18 10.18 5 1.49 33 Washington St.  6.18 122.83 10.16 -4 -0.67 34 Purdue  7.74 91.82 9.67 14 4.54 35 Maryland  9.30 68.64 9.57 -4 -0.88 36 Minnesota  10.16 56.49 9.55 7 3.22 37 Colorado  7.08 81.72 8.74 -7 -1.98 38 Duke  14.12 -15.76 8.64 4 2.21 39 TCU  5.18 104.35 8.59 -5 -0.67 40 Boise St.  5.81 92.83 8.44 -15 -4.01 41 South Carolina  7.60 59.55 7.99 -20 -7.99 42 Arizona St.  7.82 29.47 6.66 -4 -1.89 43 Boston Coll.  8.14 20.40 6.43 2 0.87 44 Virginia  5.13 56.08 6.17 -3 -0.52 45 Cincinnati  7.21 23.92 5.98 7 2.30 46 Oklahoma St.  6.43 34.03 5.96 -20 -6.09 47 USC  3.66 55.77 5.18 7 1.92 48 UAB 2.75 63.82 4.97 29 8.90 49 Stanford  9.26 -27.76 4.81 2 0.82 50 Buffalo  4.07 41.92 4.78 10 2.56 51 Auburn  4.98 28.40 4.71 -18 -5.49 52 Houston  5.46 9.17 4.09 -6 -1.34 53 Mississippi  1.48 62.99 4.08 -6 -1.10 54 San Diego St.  4.94 11.34 3.85 -5 -0.57 55 Baylor  2.52 34.52 3.38 0 0.40 56 Syracuse  4.40 8.41 3.35 2 0.76 57 Oregon  3.29 21.53 3.25 -4 -0.13 58 Louisiana Tech  2.79 25.83 3.13 13 4.68 59 Georgia Tech  1.68 22.90 2.24 -2 -0.38 60 Northwestern  2.09 4.40 1.61 -4 -1.01 61 UCLA  1.15 2.96 0.91 6 2.19 62 Tulane  1.42 -13.86 0.27 3 0.43 63 Vanderbilt  3.74 -48.10 0.13 -13 -4.05 64 BYU  0.51 -11.84 -0.24 11 2.91 65 Memphis  0.10 -6.48 -0.25 24 6.30 66 Nebraska  -6.71 77.27 -0.68 -7 -3.03 67 Virginia Tech  0.85 -39.40 -1.37 -6 -3.53 68 South Florida  -0.96 -19.56 -1.60 -6 -3.31 69 Kansas St.  1.33 -51.93 -1.67 12 2.92 70 Tennessee  -2.52 -2.79 -1.82 -7 -3.16 71 East. Michigan  -1.63 -15.18 -1.84 12 2.87 72 Arkansas St.  -4.68 25.58 -1.86 0 0.11 73 Liberty -1.70 -16.16 -1.93 9 2.74 74 Pittsburgh  -1.33 -28.83 -2.30 -4 -0.80 75 W. Michigan  -6.98 40.54 -2.66 -9 -1.96 76 Indiana  -5.38 11.25 -3.04 -12 -3.00 77 East Carolina  -8.86 57.18 -3.09 -1 0.18 78 Marshall  -3.03 -24.30 -3.22 14 3.54 79 Air Force  -1.05 -63.81 -3.84 1 0.70 80 Florida Atlantic  -5.75 -13.88 -4.52 -6 -1.70 81 Ball St.  -4.19 -40.35 -4.78 -12 -3.31 82 Kansas  -1.59 -77.26 -4.86 -14 -3.52 83 Tulsa  -4.57 -37.60 -4.90 1 0.19 84 Miami (OH)  -5.37 -30.56 -5.09 11 2.93 85 Southern Miss  -9.30 21.11 -5.16 12 3.63 86 Arkansas  -9.64 12.59 -5.81 2 0.55 87 Troy  -6.80 -26.10 -5.82 3 0.74 88 Florida St.  -6.50 -41.94 -6.40 -2 -0.21 89 Northern Illinois  -4.59 -73.08 -6.65 10 4.57 90 Arizona  -10.89 6.89 -6.92 -12 -2.90 91 Georgia Southern -1.83 -117.38 -6.99 -12 -2.55 92 Florida Intl.  -3.92 -95.99 -7.33 -7 -1.64 93 Ohio  -6.23 -82.53 -8.21 -2 -1.55 94 New Mexico  -5.99 -86.33 -8.23 -21 -6.03 95 Toledo  -6.37 -104.37 -9.38 7 2.43 96 UNC-Charlotte -11.75 -31.89 -9.40 18 9.93 97 Cent. Michigan  -9.26 -65.86 -9.41 8 4.21 98 LA Lafayette  -10.75 -52.13 -9.73 14 7.19 99 Wake Forest  -9.66 -83.12 -10.53 -1 -0.36 100 Wyoming  -10.83 -78.76 -11.09 -6 -3.51 101 Hawaii  -9.17 -101.35 -11.10 -8 -4.22 102 Middle Tenn. St.  -11.22 -84.37 -11.63 2 0.71 103 Nevada  -12.87 -66.96 -11.87 8 4.71 104 Colorado St.  -14.10 -52.52 -11.98 2 1.92 105 SMU  -11.53 -95.90 -12.40 -5 -1.00 106 North Carolina  -19.35 6.43 -12.58 2 2.80 107 California  -15.33 -49.27 -12.64 -20 -6.42 108 Navy  -11.59 -121.52 -13.70 2 2.00 109 Coastal Carolina -15.46 -80.97 -14.29 -6 -2.46 110 Akron  -11.85 -148.08 -15.18 5 4.24 111 West. Kentucky  -16.66 -84.95 -15.28 -15 -7.23 112 Louisville  -15.62 -115.52 -16.09 -5 -1.95 113 Georgia State -15.88 -121.29 -16.55 0 1.76 114 Oregon St.  -19.94 -73.01 -16.88 -5 -1.25 115 Illinois  -13.82 -178.36 -17.98 -14 -6.45 116 UNLV  -17.01 -147.26 -18.58 0 1.17 117 Old Dominion -18.45 -151.84 -19.76 1 1.62 118 South Alabama -19.89 -158.76 -21.07 1 1.57 119 Massachusetts -18.69 -204.50 -22.51 6 4.00 120 UTEP  -22.20 -169.93 -23.15 0 -0.13 121 Bowling Green  -26.38 -118.70 -23.42 6 5.03 122 UT-San Antonio -21.61 -184.59 -23.48 0 0.27 123 Rutgers  -23.27 -173.16 -24.02 -2 -0.64 124 Kent St.  -23.26 -185.63 -24.63 -7 -3.42 125 LA Monroe  -24.99 -168.45 -24.94 3 5.76 126 Rice  -28.60 -171.32 -27.49 -3 -3.35 127 San Jose St.  -27.03 -196.81 -27.69 -3 -2.13 128 Texas St. -27.69 -219.15 -29.24 2 11.88 129 New Mexico St.  -28.53 -229.87 -30.32 -3 -3.56 130 Connecticut  -30.97 -282.32 -34.52 -1 -1.56  
      Rankings by Conference
      AAC
      22 Temple  12.68 101.93 13.46 31 UCF  11.78 54.26 10.52 45 Cincinnati  7.21 23.92 5.98 52 Houston  5.46 9.17 4.09 62 Tulane  1.42 -13.86 0.27 65 Memphis  0.10 -6.48 -0.25 68 South Florida  -0.96 -19.56 -1.60 77 East Carolina  -8.86 57.18 -3.09 83 Tulsa  -4.57 -37.60 -4.90 105 SMU  -11.53 -95.90 -12.40 108 Navy  -11.59 -121.52 -13.70 130 Connecticut  -30.97 -282.32 -34.52  
      ACC
      2 Clemson  34.97 315.62 38.83 9 N.C. State  21.28 174.28 22.75 20 Miami (FL)  12.81 139.15 15.38 38 Duke  14.12 -15.76 8.64 43 Boston Coll.  8.14 20.40 6.43 44 Virginia  5.13 56.08 6.17 56 Syracuse  4.40 8.41 3.35 59 Georgia Tech  1.68 22.90 2.24 67 Virginia Tech  0.85 -39.40 -1.37 74 Pittsburgh  -1.33 -28.83 -2.30 88 Florida St.  -6.50 -41.94 -6.40 99 Wake Forest  -9.66 -83.12 -10.53 106 North Carolina  -19.35 6.43 -12.58 112 Louisville  -15.62 -115.52 -16.09  
      B1G
      3 Michigan  25.69 236.27 28.74 4 Penn St.  30.65 148.43 27.73 5 Ohio St.  25.91 187.61 26.50 17 Iowa  15.74 120.15 16.40 18 Wisconsin  14.83 129.85 16.27 30 Michigan St.  10.95 79.80 11.22 34 Purdue  7.74 91.82 9.67 35 Maryland  9.30 68.64 9.57 36 Minnesota  10.16 56.49 9.55 60 Northwestern  2.09 4.40 1.61 66 Nebraska  -6.71 77.27 -0.68 76 Indiana  -5.38 11.25 -3.04 115 Illinois  -13.82 -178.36 -17.98 123 Rutgers  -23.27 -173.16 -24.02  
      BXII-II
      6 Oklahoma  25.55 160.32 24.91 23 Texas Tech  11.80 103.88 12.97 24 West Virginia  14.25 57.43 12.32 26 Texas  12.14 85.58 12.30 29 Iowa St.  10.85 89.90 11.65 39 TCU  5.18 104.35 8.59 46 Oklahoma St.  6.43 34.03 5.96 55 Baylor  2.52 34.52 3.38 69 Kansas St.  1.33 -51.93 -1.67 82 Kansas  -1.59 -77.26 -4.86  
      CUSA
      16 North Texas  15.93 120.40 16.54 48 UAB 2.75 63.82 4.97 58 Louisiana Tech  2.79 25.83 3.13 78 Marshall  -3.03 -24.30 -3.22 80 Florida Atlantic  -5.75 -13.88 -4.52 85 Southern Miss  -9.30 21.11 -5.16 92 Florida Intl.  -3.92 -95.99 -7.33 96 UNC-Charlotte -11.75 -31.89 -9.40 102 Middle Tenn. St.  -11.22 -84.37 -11.63 111 West. Kentucky  -16.66 -84.95 -15.28 117 Old Dominion -18.45 -151.84 -19.76 120 UTEP  -22.20 -169.93 -23.15 122 UT-San Antonio -21.61 -184.59 -23.48 126 Rice  -28.60 -171.32 -27.49  
      Indies
      12 Army  19.39 97.35 17.71 19 Notre Dame  17.81 79.64 15.79 64 BYU  0.51 -11.84 -0.24 73 Liberty -1.70 -16.16 -1.93 119 Massachusetts -18.69 -204.50 -22.51 129 New Mexico St.  -28.53 -229.87 -30.32  
      MAC
      50 Buffalo  4.07 41.92 4.78 71 East. Michigan  -1.63 -15.18 -1.84 75 W. Michigan  -6.98 40.54 -2.66 81 Ball St.  -4.19 -40.35 -4.78 84 Miami (OH)  -5.37 -30.56 -5.09 89 Northern Illinois  -4.59 -73.08 -6.65 93 Ohio  -6.23 -82.53 -8.21 95 Toledo  -6.37 -104.37 -9.38 97 Cent. Michigan  -9.26 -65.86 -9.41 110 Akron  -11.85 -148.08 -15.18 121 Bowling Green  -26.38 -118.70 -23.42 124 Kent St.  -23.26 -185.63 -24.63  
      MWC
      28 Utah St.  17.39 1.97 11.69 32 Fresno St.  11.12 56.18 10.18 40 Boise St.  5.81 92.83 8.44 54 San Diego St.  4.94 11.34 3.85 79 Air Force  -1.05 -63.81 -3.84 94 New Mexico  -5.99 -86.33 -8.23 100 Wyoming  -10.83 -78.76 -11.09 101 Hawaii  -9.17 -101.35 -11.10 103 Nevada  -12.87 -66.96 -11.87 104 Colorado St.  -14.10 -52.52 -11.98 116 UNLV  -17.01 -147.26 -18.58 127 San Jose St.  -27.03 -196.81 -27.69  
      P12
      21 Washington  13.93 106.53 14.53 25 Utah  13.61 65.94 12.31 33 Washington St.  6.18 122.83 10.16 37 Colorado  7.08 81.72 8.74 42 Arizona St.  7.82 29.47 6.66 47 USC  3.66 55.77 5.18 49 Stanford  9.26 -27.76 4.81 57 Oregon  3.29 21.53 3.25 61 UCLA  1.15 2.96 0.91 90 Arizona  -10.89 6.89 -6.92 107 California  -15.33 -49.27 -12.64 114 Oregon St.  -19.94 -73.01 -16.88  
      SBC
      8 Appalachian State 23.96 147.25 23.21 72 Arkansas St.  -4.68 25.58 -1.86 87 Troy  -6.80 -26.10 -5.82 91 Georgia Southern -1.83 -117.38 -6.99 98 LA Lafayette  -10.75 -52.13 -9.73 109 Coastal Carolina -15.46 -80.97 -14.29 113 Georgia State -15.88 -121.29 -16.55 118 South Alabama -19.89 -158.76 -21.07 125 LA Monroe  -24.99 -168.45 -24.94 128 Texas St. -27.69 -219.15 -29.24  
      SEC
      1 Alabama  37.23 292.39 39.19 7 LSU  24.55 145.18 23.50 10 Georgia  21.14 126.18 20.30 11 Texas A&M  14.72 203.75 19.83 13 Kentucky  18.34 96.31 16.96 14 Florida  18.62 91.31 16.90 15 Mississippi St.  16.93 108.96 16.64 27 Missouri  10.35 106.18 12.12 41 South Carolina  7.60 59.55 7.99 51 Auburn  4.98 28.40 4.71 53 Mississippi  1.48 62.99 4.08 63 Vanderbilt  3.74 -48.10 0.13 70 Tennessee  -2.52 -2.79 -1.82 86 Arkansas  -9.64 12.59 -5.81  
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    • This is it, men (and women, and non-gender binaries). It's all come down to a battle with Baylor in order to maintain our slim chances at a Wednesday night football game in a baseball stadium on the day after Christmas. But this isn't just any ol' football game in a baseball stadium on the day after Christmas, it's a football game in a baseball stadium on the day after Christmas in which 6-win teams will be celebrating the world's most iconic cheese-based cracker. Down seasons like this are few and far between, so who knows if we'll ever again have a reason to purchase a Hane's Beefy Tee with this beauty of a logo on it:     But seriously, some projections have Oklahoma State vs. USC playing for the Cheez. After this giant curd of a season, it'd be pretty tasty to rattle off wins against Baylor and Oklahoma State, then get a Sun Bowl redux.    And I'm dead serious about a t-shirt. I really, really want a reason to buy one. Go Frogs. Go to hell, Baylor.
    • The first round of the main draw at the Norman Futures tourney has been set and the 4 Frogs remaining have been assigned their opponents.  Reese Stalder will play Alexandre Bakshi, a lefthanded wild card from Tbilisi, Georgia, with an ATP rank of #1123.  7th seeded Nick Chappell will play British Ryan Peniston (yet again, I'm not sure how it's pronounced), who has an ATP rank of #693.  Trevor Johnson will play 3rd seeded Aggie Jordi Arconada, who has an ATP ranking of #594.  And Alastair Gray will face 8th seeded fellow Brit Andrew Watson, who has an ATP rank of #684.  The Frogs have a 1 in 8 shot at winning the tourney, with 4 out of 32 players. 
    • Best of luck and success to him.  Good to catch health issues early so he can have a long and healthy future.
    • Thanks for your service, Joe! Good luck, Horned Frog!
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